Script Ib
Script Ib
Intro
Câu 1: Mercantilism is a bankrupt theory with no place in the modern world. Discuss?
● Elements of mercantilist thinking Mercantilism, which emphasizes accumulating wealth through trade surpluses and protectionist policies, is often considered
persist in modern economic outdated. However, elements of mercantilist thinking persist in modern economic strategies.FasterCapital
strategies.
● The resurgence of tariffs under For instance, the resurgence of tariffs under President Donald Trump's administration reflects mercantilist tendencies. These
President Donald Trump's tariffs aimed to protect domestic industries by imposing import duties, thereby encouraging local production. Such policies have
administration. led to trade tensions and economic uncertainties globally.
● China has been accused of
manipulating its currency to
make exports more competitive.
● The challenge lies in balancing
national interests with the
benefits of free trade and global
cooperation.
Moreover, countries like China have been accused of manipulating their currency to make exports more competitive, a strategy
aligned with mercantilist principles. This approach aims to maintain a trade surplus by boosting exports and limiting imports.
While mercantilism as a comprehensive theory may be considered obsolete, its core ideas continue to influence contemporary
trade policies. The challenge lies in balancing national interests with the benefits of free trade and global cooperation.
● Its fairness is a subject of ● Free trade promotes efficiency, innovation, and consumer benefits by allowing goods and services to move across
debate. borders with minimal restrictions. However, its fairness is a subject of debate.
● Proponents argue that free ● Proponents argue that free trade has significantly contributed to poverty reduction. Between 1995 and 2022, the
trade has significantly percentage of individuals in low- and middle-income countries living in extreme poverty decreased from 40% to under
contributed to poverty
reduction. 11%, partly due to increased trade openness.World Economic Forum
● In India, economic
liberalization led to increased
income inequality.
● Therefore, while free trade
offers overall economic
advantages, ensuring its
fairness requires policies that
address its uneven impacts.
● Furthermore, the benefits of free trade are not always evenly distributed. In India, economic liberalization led to
increased income inequality, with the top 10% of the population holding 77% of the total national wealth by 2022.
● Therefore, while free trade offers overall economic advantages, ensuring its fairness requires policies that address its
uneven impacts, such as social safety nets and workforce retraining programs.
Câu 3: Unions in developed nations often oppose imports from low-wage countries and advocate trade barriers to protect jobs from what they often characterize as
“unfair” import competition. Is such competition “unfair”?
Do you think that this argument is in the best interests of (a) the unions, (b) the people they represent, and/or (c) the country as a whole?
In this context, "unfair" competition refers to trade practices that, while not necessarily illegal, create significant disadvantages
It is unfair for domestic workers. This includes situations where imports from countries with lower labor standards and wages lead to job
displacement and wage suppression in developed nations.
1. Job Displacement Due to Imports
1. Job Displacement Due to Imports
2. Wage Suppression
● Between 1999 and 2011, increased imports from China resulted in the displacement of approximately 2.4 million U.S.
3. Disproportionate Impact on jobs, predominantly in manufacturing sectors.
Low-Wage Earners
2. Wage Suppression
Impact on Unions, Workers, and
the Country ● Trade with low-wage countries has exerted downward pressure on wages, especially for workers without a college
degree. Estimates suggest that expanded trade reduced the annual wages of a full-time American worker without a
(a) Unions four-year college degree by approximately $1,800.
While protecting certain industries, trade barriers can have broader economic consequences:
● Higher Consumer Prices: Tariffs increase the cost of imported goods, leading to higher prices for consumers.
● Reduced Economic Efficiency: Resources may be allocated to less efficient domestic industries instead of more
competitive sectors.
● Retaliation and Trade Wars: Other countries may impose their own tariffs, affecting exports and leading to broader
economic disruptions.
Conclusion
From the "unfair" competition perspective, there is significant evidence that imports from low-wage countries have led to job
losses and wage suppression among certain groups of workers in developed nations. While trade barriers can offer short-term
protection for these workers, they may also result in higher consumer prices and reduced economic efficiency. Therefore, a
balanced approach that includes support for affected workers, investment in competitive industries, and engagement in fair trade
practices may better serve national interests.
Câu 4: What are the potential costs of adopting a free trade regime? Do you think governments should do anything to reduce these costs? Why?
Adopting a free trade regime offers numerous benefits, such as increased market access and economic efficiency. However, it
Potential Costs of Adopting a Free
also presents several potential costs that can impact various sectors of the economy.
Trade Regime
2. Wage Suppression
● Import competition can lower
wages, especially in industries
exposed to global markets.
● Displaced manufacturing
workers who shift to service
jobs often face wage declines
of 6% to 22%.
3. Economic Inequality
Recommended Government
Actions:
3. Economic Inequality
While free trade can contribute to overall economic growth, the benefits may not be evenly distributed. Large corporations and
certain sectors may gain disproportionately, leading to increased income inequality within a country. The Economic Policy
Institute has claimed that free trade created a large trade deficit in the United States for decades, leading to the closure of many
factories and costing the United States millions of jobs in the manufacturing sector.
Should Governments Act to Reduce These Costs?
Yes, governments should implement measures to mitigate the adverse effects of free trade. Such interventions can help ensure
that the benefits of free trade are more equitably distributed and that vulnerable populations are protected.
● Environmental and Labor Regulations: Implementing and enforcing standards can prevent a "race to the bottom" in
environmental and labor practices, ensuring sustainable and fair trade.
● Social Safety Nets: Strengthening unemployment benefits and other social programs can provide a buffer for
individuals affected by trade-related disruptions.
Conclusion
While free trade can drive economic growth and efficiency, it also poses challenges that require proactive government policies.
By addressing job displacement, wage suppression, and economic inequality, governments can create a more inclusive and
resilient economy that maximizes the benefits of free trade while minimizing its drawbacks.
Câu 5: Reread the Country Focus “Is China Manipulating Its Currency in Pursuit of a Neo-Mercantilist Policy?”
a. Do you think China is pursuing a currency policy that can be characterized as neo-mercantilist?
b. What should the United States, and other countries, do about this?
a. Is China Pursuing a a. Is China Pursuing a Neo-Mercantilist Currency Policy?
Neo-Mercantilist Currency Policy?
Neo-mercantilism involves strategies where a country seeks to achieve a trade surplus by promoting exports and limiting
Yes, China has at times pursued imports, often through state intervention, including currency manipulation.
policies that can be characterized as
neo-mercantilist, especially in the Trade Surplus:
past.
● In 2024, China recorded a merchandise trade surplus of approximately $992.2 billion, marking a record high.
Trade Surplus
Currency Management:
Currency Management:
⇒ While China's substantial trade surplus and managed currency policies exhibit characteristics of neo-mercantilism,
the absence of recent evidence of persistent, one-sided currency intervention suggests a more complex economic strategy.
● The U.S. Treasury should continue to monitor China's foreign exchange practices and advocate for greater transparency
in its currency policies.
2. Trade Policy Measures:
● Implementing targeted tariffs or trade remedies in response to unfair trade practices can be considered, as seen with the
recent U.S. tariffs reaching up to 145% on Chinese goods.
3. Multilateral Engagement:
● Engaging with international institutions like the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to address concerns about currency
practices and promote fair trade standards globally.
● Investing in domestic industries, workforce development, and innovation to enhance competitiveness and reduce
reliance on imports.
● Expanding trade relationships with other countries to mitigate the impact of trade imbalances and reduce dependency on
any single trading partner.
⇒ By combining vigilant monitoring, strategic trade policies, and domestic economic initiatives, the United States and
other countries can address challenges associated with China's trade and currency practices while promoting a fair and
balanced global trading.
Câu 6: Reread the Country Focus “Moving U.S. White-Collar Jobs Offshore.”
a. Who benefits from the outsourcing of skilled white-collar jobs to developing nations? Who are the losers?
b. Will developed nations like the United States suffer from the loss of high-skilled and high-paying jobs?
● Beneficiaries
In recent decades, the belief that free trade benefits all participating nations equally has come under serious scrutiny.
Multinational firms &
shareholders During the 1980s and 1990s, we saw industries like textiles, footwear, steel, and electronics relocate from developed
countries to lower-wage economies. At the time, it was still widely assumed that high-wage, knowledge-intensive jobs—such as
■ Bank of America: offshored software development and computer design—would remain anchored in places like the U.S.
~5,000 IT jobs → $100 / hr →
$20 / hr But that assumption is no longer valid.
■ Flour Corp.: engaged 200 Major U.S. corporations have increasingly outsourced white-collar roles to emerging markets, where labor costs are
engineers in Philippines ( < $3,000 significantly lower.
/ yr ) → 15% project‐cost
reduction For example, Bank of America relocated thousands of IT positions to India, where the same tasks are now performed for
just $20 an hour compared to $100 in the U.S.
■ Zoho Corp.: 20 U.S. staff vs.
>1,000 in India Companies like Infosys and Wipro now handle mortgage processing and radiological interpretation remotely for major
U.S. institutions. Even startups like Zoho adopt this distributed model from day one—employing just 20 staff in California while
○ Developing‐country maintaining a workforce of over 1,000 in India.
professionals
This trend presents serious challenges to advanced economies trying to preserve or grow high-skill employment.
■ Infosys: 250 engineers
developing IT apps for Bank of
America
So, who benefits, and who loses in this process?
■ Wipro: radiologists interpret 30
The first beneficiaries are multinational corporations and their shareholders.
CT scans/day for Massachusetts
General Hospital
They enjoy significant cost savings by relocating high-skill tasks offshore. For instance, Bank of America saved millions by
transferring 5,000 IT jobs to India. This enhances their global competitiveness and boosts profits.
■ Bangalore chip designers:
~$10,000 / yr for Texas The second group of winners are workers in developing nations.
Instruments projects
They gain access to jobs that pay far above local averages. Infosys engineers, Wipro radiologists, and Bangalore-based chip
Losers designers now earn far more than they would in local industries. Even architectural drafters in the Philippines and Poland are
now part of global projects.
○ U.S. white‐collar workers
But not everyone wins.
■ ≈5,000 IT layoffs at Bank of
America The losers include displaced white-collar workers in the U.S.
■ Displaced software engineers, They experience job loss and increasing wage competition. In Bank of America’s case, nearly 5,000 American IT jobs were cut.
radiologists, drafters
Also affected are domestic communities that relied on these jobs. These regions face economic decline and reduced tax
○ Domestic communities revenue as high-skill employment moves abroad.
■ Regional economic
contraction
Looking ahead, the outlook for developed economies raises several concerns:
■ Reduced tax base and
public‐service funding First, there's a risk of talent erosion.
When knowledge-intensive roles are consistently offshored, countries like the U.S. weaken their capacity in fields like software,
finance, and advanced engineering.
● Wage‐growth suppression
○ Concentrated losses in
service/tech hubs →
community decline
● Partial mitigation
○ Emerging hybrid/reshoring
models, but immediate
job‐creation gap persists
Câu 7: Is there a difference between the transference of high-paying white collar jobs, such as computer programming and accounting, to developing nations, and
low-paying blue-collar jobs? If so, what is the difference, and should government do anything to stop the flow of white-collar jobs out of the country to countries such as
India?
Distinguishing Between From now on, I’ll begin by distinguishing between blue-collar and white-collar offshoring—two forms of global labor
redistribution that carry very different economic implications.
Blue-Collar and White-Collar
Offshoring Blue-collar offshoring involves the physical relocation of manufacturing tasks that require factories and machinery. These are
not easily transferable without major capital investments.
● Blue-collar work requires
factories and physical In contrast, white-collar tasks, such as programming or medical diagnostics, are increasingly digital. Once broadband
investment; it's not easily infrastructure is in place, these tasks become highly tradable and no longer tied to geography.
transferable.
While manufacturing offshoring created sudden and concentrated labor shocks—like those observed during the China
● White-collar work is Shock—white-collar offshoring tends to generate more fragmented and smaller-scale disruptions.
digitizable and tradable across
borders via networks. Because service tasks are often divisible and spread across occupations, the economic impact appears more like “ripples” than
“waves.”
● Labor market impact:
Blue-collar offshoring causes
large, concentrated shocks;
white-collar offshoring leads
to smaller, more dispersed
disruptions.
● White-collar offshoring
lowers entry- and mid-level
salaries but creates domestic
roles in management and
supervision.
Should Governments
Intervene?
● Most OECD countries do
not restrict service offshoring
due to digital enforcement
challenges and
competitiveness concerns.
Alternative Solutions
● Strengthen social safety nets
and invest in lifelong
learning, especially in STEM
fields.
White-collar offshoring, however, mostly affects entry- and mid-level salaries. But it can also create new domestic roles in
Strategic Trade Policies & management and oversight, which partially offsets the job losses.
Conclusion
From the consumer and firm perspective, both types of offshoring reduce costs.
● Strategic trade policy:
targeted subsidies to support Just as offshored manufacturing lowers retail prices, offshoring services expands the availability of affordable software, design,
domestic service sectors; and back-office support. This increases both corporate profitability and consumer choice.
promising but controversial.
● Conclusion: White-collar
offshoring poses unique,
long-term challenges. Blanket
bans are not effective.
Currently, most OECD countries do not impose direct restrictions on service offshoring. Regulating digital labor flows is
inherently difficult and may even weaken competitiveness.
By contrast, policies in the goods sector—such as tariffs or export subsidies—are more established. But there’s no direct
equivalent for white-collar services.
Broad restrictions, such as penalties or bans, could backfire. They may increase business costs, suppress innovation, and
reduce the broader efficiency gains from global trade.
Even more concerning, such measures could lead to retaliation from trade partners and disrupt globally integrated service
networks.
International bodies recommend strengthening social safety nets, expanding lifelong learning programs, and improving
STEM education to help workers transition.
Subsidized training in areas like data analytics or digital project management can reduce adjustment costs more effectively
than protectionist measures.
We can also draw lessons from countries like Cambodia and Sri Lanka, which have integrated formalization goals into their
national employment policies.
Cambodia simplifies business registration, while Sri Lanka extends social protections to informal workers and offers evening
schools, apprenticeships, and subsidized vocational training. These steps help workers shift into formal, sustainable
employment.
While promising in theory, such interventions remain rare and politically sensitive.
In conclusion, white-collar offshoring introduces unique challenges—not as visible or abrupt as blue-collar job losses, but
potentially more systemic in the long run.
Rather than blunt restrictions, the most effective policy response is a balanced mix:
This approach allows economies to retain high-value employment while still capturing the benefits of global integration in
the service sector.
Câu 8: Drawing upon the new trade theory and Porter’s theory of national competitive advantage, outline the case for government policies that would build national
competitive advantage in biotechnology. What kinds of policies would you recommend that the government adopt? Are these policies at variance with the basic free trade
philosophy?
1. Introduction – Theoretical Next, we will discuss how government policy can help build national competitive advantage in the biotechnology sector.
To frame this discussion, we draw on New Trade Theory and Porter’s Diamond Model.
Foundations New Trade Theory tells us that industries like biotechnology, which involve high fixed R&D costs, benefit from
economies of scale and first-mover advantages.
● New Trade Theory:
→ Biotech requires high
R&D investment → benefits
from economies of scale and
first-mover advantages.
○ Demand Conditions
(sophisticated home
market)
○ Related &
Supporting
Industries (CROs,
suppliers)
○ Firm Strategy,
Structure, Rivalry
(domestic
competition drives
innovation)
3. Human Capital
Development
● Invest in STEM education
& postgraduate fellowships
(e.g., genomics, regulatory
science).
● Digital infrastructure:
○ Develop national
clinical data
platforms and
standardized
bioinformatics Infrastructure and Cluster Development
systems to boost
innovation via “In terms of infrastructure, governments should promote the formation of biotech clusters—co-located zones
network effects. combining universities, startups, CROs, and manufacturing labs.
Shared wet labs, pilot-scale facilities, and subsidized land can lower entry costs for firms.
Moreover, establishing national digital platforms—like anonymized clinical data repositories—will enable
network externalities and facilitate data-driven innovation.”
○ Institutionalize
fast-track approval
for breakthrough
therapies.
● Harmonized IP protections:
○ Align IP laws with
major export markets
to secure long-term
innovation returns
and boost investor
confidence.
○ Use public
procurement
guarantees (e.g., for
vaccines,
diagnostics).
○ Introduce
outcome-based
reimbursement
(reward treatments
with long-term
value).
● Export promotion:
○ Support trade
missions, export
financing, and
temporary tariff
relief on key inputs.
Câu 9: The world’s poorest countries are at a competitive disadvantage in every sector of their economies. They have little to export; they have no capital; their land is of
poor quality; they often have too many people given available work opportunities; and they are poorly educated. Free trade cannot possibly be in the interests of such
nations. Discuss?
● Dismissing free trade as ● While it's true that the poorest countries face significant challenges, dismissing free trade as contrary to their interests
contrary to their interests overlooks its potential benefits.
overlooks its potential ● The African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) exemplifies how trade can aid development. If fully implemented,
benefits. the AfCFTA could boost regional incomes by up to 9% and lift 50 million people out of extreme poverty by 2035. This
● The African Continental Free agreement aims to reduce tariffs, improve infrastructure, and harmonize regulations, thereby enhancing competitiveness.
Trade Area (AfCFTA)
exemplifies how trade can aid
development.
● To fully benefit from free
trade, these nations need
supportive policies, including
investments in education,
infrastructure, and governance
reforms.
● Moreover, participation in global trade allows developing countries to access larger markets, attract foreign investment,
and acquire new technologies. These factors can stimulate economic growth, create jobs, and improve living standards.
● However, to fully benefit from free trade, these nations need supportive policies, including investments in education,
infrastructure, and governance reforms. International assistance and fair trade practices are also crucial to ensure that the
gains from trade are inclusive and sustainable.
Final