MARKS:

100
MATHEMATICS MODULE ONE

CALCULUS AND STATISTICS

Time Limit: 2.5 hours

SECTION A

1. The following table shows the probability distribution of an event X.

x a 3 5 7 12

P(X = x) 0.3 b 0.05 0.1 k

where a, b and k are constants. It is found that E(X) = 30.25b.

(a) Express E(X 2 – 2) and E(X + 6) in terms of a, b and k. (3 marks)

(b) If E(X 2 – 2) = aE(X + 6) + 44.6 , find a, b and k. (3 marks)

(c) Let R and S be the events which 7 > x > 2 and 5 ≤ x < 9 respectively. Are R and S independent?

Explain your answer.

(2 marks)

2. The figure shows a cone with slant height 10 cm and height x cm.

The rate of change of height increases by 0.5 cm/s.

(a) Express the surface area of the cone (outside only) in terms of x

and π. (2 marks)

(b) Find the rate of change of the surface area and the radius when

the height is 4 cm. (3 marks)

3. Danny plays a game until he wins a prize. Given that the probability

that he will win a prize in each round is 0.2.

(a) Find the probability that he will win the prize after playing 4 rounds or less. (2 marks)

(b) If Danny fails to win a prize within n rounds, the probability for him to win a prize within 20

rounds is greater than 0.8. Find the greatest value of n. (3 marks)

(c) Given that each round costs $10 and the prize values $50. Find the probability that the game is

worth playing. (2 marks)

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4. Let A and B be two events and A’ and B’ be their complementary events respectively. It is given

13 3 6
that P(A ∪ B) = and P(A | B’) = and P(B | A’) = .
20 10 13

(a) Find P(A ∩ B) and hence find P(A) and P(B). (2 marks)

(b) Are A and B independent? Explain your answer. (2 marks)

(c) Let C be an event. Is it possible for A and C to be independent? Explain your answer.

(2 marks)

5. Consider the equation f(x) = (ln x)4 – 2(ln x)2 – 3.

(a) Find the x-intercept(s) of f(x). (2 marks)

(c) Find the maximum and minimum value(s) of f(x). (4 marks)

6.

2 1
(a) Expand e−x until the term of 3 . (2 marks)
x

(a + 5x)b
(b) In the expansion of , it is found that the constant term is 729 and the coefficient of x
2 −1
(− )
e x

is 7 654.5. Find a and b. (3 marks)

(a + 5x)b dy
(c) Hence, let y =
2 −1
. Find | . (3 marks)
(− )
dx x = − 1
e x 2

√x + ln x
7. Given the function h (x) = .
√x−ln x
(a) Find the extreme value of h (x). (4 marks)

(b) Hence, find the equation of the horizontal tangent(s) to h’ (x). (3 marks)

8. Let f’(x) = 3ln x x

d
(a) By considering 3ln x x2, find f(x). (3 marks)
dx

(b) Find the area bound by f’(x), the curve y = ex, the y-axis and the line x = 2. (3 marks)

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SECTION B

9. A shop owner is checking the performances of the salespeople in the shop. The performance of a

salesperson in a month will be treated as good if he/she makes at least 2 sales of $1 000 or above

in that month. Anson is a salesman of the shop. Based on previous records, the number of sales of

$1 000 or above made by him in a month follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 0.9.

(a) Find the probability that the performance of Anson is treated as good in a particular month.

(2 marks)

(b) To reward the salespeople with good performances, the shop owner plans to launch a reward

scheme in the coming 3 months. Two proposals are made:

Proposal I:
Number of months that
the performance of a
3 2 1 0
salesperson is treated as
good

Reward $1 000 $450 $200 $0

Proposal II:
Total number of sales of $1 000 or
above made by a salesperson in 3 6 or more Otherwise
months
Reward $k $0

Given that the expected amount of the reward obtained by Anson will be higher if Proposal II

is adopted, find the least integral value of k. (4 marks)

(c) Andy is another salesman of the shop, and the number of sales of $1 000 or above made by

him in a month follows a Poisson distribution with a mean of 1.2. It is known that the numbers

of such sales made by Anson and Andy are independent.

(i) Find the probability that there is at most 1 sale of $1 000 or above in total made by

them in a particular month.

(ii) Given that there is at most 1 sale of $1 000 or above in total made by them in a

particular month, find the probability that such sale is made by Andy. (5 marks)

10. The pesticide residue level contained in a tomato from a farm follows a normal distribution with a

mean of μ units and a standard deviation of 0.8 units.

(a) A survey is conducted to estimate μ.

(i) A sample of 30 tomatoes is randomly selected and their pesticide residue levels are

recorded as follows:

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 Pesticide residue level (n units) Number of tomatoes

6.0 < n ≤ 6.5 1

6.5 < n ≤ 7.0 4

7.0 < n ≤ 7.5 7

7.5 < n ≤ 8.0 10

8.0 < n ≤ 8.5 8

Find a 95% confidence interval for μ.

(ii) Find the least sample size to be taken such that the width of a 99% confidence

interval for μ is at most 0.3. (5 marks)

(b) Suppose μ = 8. The maximum allowable pesticide residue level contained in tomatoes is 10

units.

(i) If a tomato is randomly selected from the farm, find the probability that the pesticide

residue level contained exceeds the maximum allowable level.

(ii) A sample of 10 tomatoes is randomly selected and their pesticide residue levels

contained are checked one by one. Given that there are at most 2 tomatoes with the

pesticide residue levels exceeding the maximum allowable level, find the probability

that the 8th tomato checked is the 1st one with the pesticide residue level exceeding

the maximum allowable level. (6 marks)

11. Let f(x) be a function defined for all x ≥ 0. It is given that f’(x) = 24ekx, where k is a constant,

f(0) = -45 and f’(6) - f’(3) = -4.16

(a) (i) Find the values of k.

(ii) By taking k = -0.5, find f(5). (4 marks)

(b) Let g(x) be another function for all x ≥ 0. It is given

that g’(x) = 5xe-0.5x and g(0) = -16. The figure shows

a sketch of g’(x). Use the trapezoidal rule with 5 sub-

intervals to estimate g(5). (3 marks) (3 marks)

(c) From (b) and the figure, Jack claims that g(5) must

be greater than f(5). Do you agree? Explain your

answer. (2 marks)

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12. A researcher modelled the daily number of users that enter a webpage N (in thousand) over t days

since the webpage launched an update be:

kt
N= + 10
aebt + 2t
where a, b and k are constants and t ≥ 0.

kt
(a) Express ln [ – 2t] as a linear function of t. (1 mark)
N − 10

(b) Given that the slope and the horizontal interception of the function obtained in (a) are 0.5 and

-2ln2 respectively. Moreover, there are 10 755 visitors on the 1st day.

(i) Find k correct to the nearest integer.

(ii) Find the extreme value(s) of N.

(iii) If the number of visitors reached a maximum within 5 days, the update is effective. Is

the update effective? Explain your answer.

d2 N
(iv) Hence, find .
dt2
dN
(v) Describe how N varies from the launch of the update. Hence find the values of N,
dt

d2 N
and after a very long time. (13 marks)
dt2

END OF PAPER

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