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Algorithms and Methods Info

The document outlines various algorithms and methods used in predictive modeling and data analysis, including ANFIS for Ethereum movement prediction, Kalman Filter for sensor data accuracy, and Bayesian Inference for cricket match outcomes. It also discusses financial concepts like the Kelly Criterion for betting strategies, log returns for finance, momentum for stock price changes, and liquidity measurement. Each method is described with its application and relevant formulas.

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Aditya Raj
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9 views3 pages

Algorithms and Methods Info

The document outlines various algorithms and methods used in predictive modeling and data analysis, including ANFIS for Ethereum movement prediction, Kalman Filter for sensor data accuracy, and Bayesian Inference for cricket match outcomes. It also discusses financial concepts like the Kelly Criterion for betting strategies, log returns for finance, momentum for stock price changes, and liquidity measurement. Each method is described with its application and relevant formulas.

Uploaded by

Aditya Raj
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Algorithms and Methods Used

1. ANFIS (Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System)

Description:

ANFIS combines the learning capabilities of neural networks with the human-like reasoning

style of fuzzy logic. It?s used for modeling complex nonlinear functions, especially where expert

knowledge in the form of fuzzy rules is available.

Key Characteristics:

- Hybrid learning (gradient descent + least squares)

- Fuzzy if-then rules

- Used here for up/down movement prediction of Ethereum

2. Kalman Filter

Description:

The Kalman Filter is a recursive algorithm used for estimating the state of a dynamic system

from a series of incomplete and noisy measurements.

Use Case:

- Filtering spikes and noise from HCSR04 ultrasonic sensor readings

- Applied to sensor data to improve accuracy and stability

3. Flood Fill Algorithm

Description:

A classic algorithm used for area filling and maze solving. It works by iteratively spreading from

a source point to all reachable neighboring cells.

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Algorithms and Methods Used

Application:

- Used in the maze-solving robot to determine shortest path and explore the maze.

4. Bayesian Inference (for Cricket Match Prediction)

Description:

Bayesian methods use probabilities for both hypotheses and data. It updates beliefs as more

evidence or information becomes available.

Application:

- Used in the cricket sports betting bot

- Helps calculate posterior probability of a match outcome given prior probabilities and match

data

5. Kelly Criterion

Description:

A formula used to determine the optimal size of a series of bets to maximize logarithmic wealth

over time.

Formula:

f* = (bp - q)/b

where:

- f* is the fraction of the bankroll to bet

- b is the odds received on the bet (b to 1)

- p is the probability of winning

- q = 1 - p is the probability of losing

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Algorithms and Methods Used

6. Log Returns

Description:

Logarithmic returns are preferred in finance due to their time-additive properties.

Formula:

log_return = log(Close_t / Close_{t-1})

7. Momentum

Description:

Measures the rate of rise or fall in stock prices.

Formula:

Momentum = Close_t - Close_{t-n}

8. Liquidity

Description:

Measures market stability through price movement versus volume.

Formula:

Liquidity = |Return| / Volume

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