Day 5
Day 5
Welcome to Day 5 of our series! Today, we’ll explore Linear Regression, a foundational
algorithm in supervised learning. This method is widely used for predicting continuous
outcomes, and by the end of this blog, you will know how to apply it to predict housing
prices using a real-world dataset!
What is Regression?
In supervised learning, regression is a method used to predict continuous outcomes based on
input features. Unlike classification, where the goal is to categorize inputs into discrete labels,
regression predicts values, such as prices, temperatures, or sales. The most common type of
regression is Linear Regression, which assumes a linear relationship between input variables
(also called features or independent variables) and the target variable (or dependent
variable).
Key types of regression include:
Linear Regression: Fits a straight line that best represents the data.
Polynomial Regression: Fits a nonlinear curve to the data.
Ridge/Lasso Regression: Adds penalties to prevent overfitting in models with many
features.
Today, we’ll focus on Linear Regression using the California Housing Dataset.
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Step 3: Splitting the Data
To evaluate the performance of our model, we need to split the data into training and testing
sets. The training set will be used to build the model, while the testing set will allow us to
check how well the model performs on unseen data.
A typical approach is to use around 80% of the data for training and 20% for testing. This
ensures that we have enough data to train the model while still keeping a portion to validate
its performance.
Step 4: Training the Linear Regression Model
Now that we have the data ready, it's time to build the model. Linear Regression aims to
find a straight line (a linear relationship) that best fits the data. This line is used to predict
house prices based on the input features we’ve selected.
The model will try to minimize the difference between the actual prices and the predicted
prices by finding the best possible coefficients for the input features (e.g., median income and
average rooms).
Step 5: Evaluating the Model
Once the model is trained, we can use the testing set to evaluate its performance. Two
important metrics for regression models are:
Mean Squared Error (MSE): This measures the average squared difference between
the actual and predicted values. A lower MSE indicates better model performance.
R-squared (R²): This tells us how well the input features explain the variation in the
target variable. An R² value close to 1 means the model explains most of the variation
in house prices.
After evaluating the model, you’ll have an idea of how well it can predict house prices based
on the features in the dataset.
Takeaways
Linear Regression is a great starting point in supervised learning, helping us
understand how different features relate to a continuous target variable.
In real-world projects, the process of loading data, exploring it, splitting it into
training and testing sets, building the model, and evaluating performance is a common
workflow.
Understanding these steps will serve as a foundation for more advanced machine
learning models that we’ll cover in future days!
In the next few days, we will dive deeper into other techniques and introduce more complex
models. I’ll see you in the next blog. Until then, keep learning and stay healthy!
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