Decision Making
Decision Making
MAIN SEMINAR
ON
“DECISION MAKING
&
PROBLEM SOLVING”
Moderator Submitted by :
Dr. Smita Das Vidusha Aswal
Associate professor M. Sc. Nursing 1st year
CON, AIIMS CON, AIIMS
Outlines
• Decision making
To cope with the realities of today’s health care system, nurses must be prepared to be critical
thinkers. They must be ready to welcome change and thrive in rapidly changing environment.
The term decision making was imported by Chester Barnard around middle of the past.
PROBLEM
“A matter or situation regarding as unwelcome or harmful and needing to be dealt with and
overcome”.
Problem solving is the highest level of learning. To solve problems a person must have a
clear idea of the problem or of the goal being sought and must able to recall previously
learned rules that relate to the same situation.
Problem solving is a process of overcoming difficulties that appears to interfere with the
attainment of goal. It is a procedure of making adjustment in spite of interferences. – Skinner
Problem solving refers to a particular set of skills that can be used to define a problem,
general possible solutions to that problem and help you to achieve a positive outcome.
The development of a problem-solving approach to nursing has been one of the more
important changes that has taken place in nursing during the last decade. There has been a
major shift from nursing's traditional disease-oriented approach to care, to a patient-centred,
problem-solving approach. Traditional nursing is dominated by the medical model, that is,
the patient's nursing care is directed by doctors' orders (Clarke 1978, Boylan 1982).
Traditional practitioners see the patient as a repository of disease, the main goal being to
alleviate symptoms. Consequently, the curriculum for this type of nursing included the
didactic transmission of general nursing principles, coupled with the imparting of recipes of
specific nursing care to be used according to the patient's disease or symptoms.
Problem solving is the basic skill identifying a problem and taking steps to resolve it.
Common sense is helpful in solving many problems; however when a problem is complex or
challenging to define we may need to use other methods of problem solving to solve
problem:
1. Trial and error method – is most common approach that tests ideas to decide which
methods work and which do not. Usually the results are completely unknown until
tried because the experimenter simply does not have sufficient information to
anticipate results. Alternatives are tried successfully until a solution to a problem is
found. Sometimes, you use trial and error to solve problems in our everyday life.
Example -a new nurse is not aware of the different keys used to change the head end
of a patent’s bed up and down; she tries different alternatives before achieving her
task successfully.
Example – consider your dilemma if you have an allergy to unknown substance in
hand lotion but also have a problem with dry skin and wish to soften your hands. You
try one brand but develop a rash. You try another brand with the same. These trial
result in errors until you find a brand that works without causing a rash and you trial
is successful.
Although example shows, a trial and error process can be time consuming and may
even be detrimental. Trial an error may offer a practical means securing knowledge,
but it is fallible. This method is haphazard and the knowledge obtained is unrecorded
and hence, inaccessible in subsequent clinical situation.
2. Intuition and past experiences – Intuition is also known as information obtained
through sixth sense without conscious thinking but in this rationalizing the
information may not be obtained. If a particular course of action consistently resulted
in positive outcomes, the person’s past experience can determine how much risk he or
she will take in present circumstances.
3. Experimentation or scientific method – today’s society refers that only safe and
proven effective treatments can be given to those who are ill. Experimentation
involves testing a hypothesis or theory to enhance knowledge, understanding or
prediction. Scientist and healthcare researchers use a precise method to investigate
problems and arrive at solutions.
1. Define the problem- the most important part in problem solving is defining the
problem. How problems are perceived determined the solutions or identifies needed
changes. Defining of a problem should be a descriptive statement, not a judgement or
conclusion. If one begins the statement of a problem with judgement, the solution
may be equally judgmental.
2. Gather information – problem solving begins with collecting facts. This information
gathering initiates a search for an additional facts that provide solution of the problem.
A careful, systematic, complete search facilitates the accomplishment of goals and
evaluates the possible effects of the solution. It may be combination of facts and
feelings. The manager should obtain relevant, valid, accurate and detailed descriptions
from appropriate people or sources and put the information in writing.
This step encourages people to report facts. The nurse manager have to give equal
chance to everyone to provide information, facts, ideas, experience and feelings.
Although this may not always provide objective information. To reduces
misinformation, allow everyone to express their thoughts and valuable suggestion
regarding the problem. Lack of time may prevent gathering data.
3. Analyzing – the manager should analyze the information only when all of them are
sorted into some orderly management as;
o Categorizing information in order
o List information form most important to least important.
o Set information into a time sequence like What happened first? Next? What
came before? What were the circumstances?
o Set the information in terms of cause and effect.
o Consider how long has the situation has been going.
o Classify the information into categories:
Human factors such as personality, maturity, education, age,
relationships among people and problem outside the organization.
Technical factors as nursing skills or the type of unit.
Temporal factors as length of service, overtime, type of shift and
double shifts.
Policy factors such as organizational procedures or rules applying to
the problem, legal issues, ethical issues.
RESEARCH INPUT
Abstract: It has become important for nurses to implement self-leadership and exercise
critical thinking in problem-solving to address the health issues of patients. This has led to a
need for nursing education programs in which nursing students learn to embrace self-
leadership and self-evaluation approaches to develop their skills. Within 260 nursing
undergraduates with experience in simulation practice as study subjects, a self-reporting
survey was conducted on self-leadership, goal commitment, critical thinking, and problem-
solving skills. An analysis was conducted using the SPSS/WIN 21.0 program. t-test and
ANOVA were conducted to validate the difference between problem-solving abilities.
Multiple regression was conducted to examine the impact of these variables on problem-
solving skills. The variables of religion, satisfaction with major, goal commitment, and
critical thinking were found to have a significant impact on problem-solving abilities.
The results were as follows: critical thinking (β = 0.36, p < 0.05), goal commitment (β = 0.28,
p < 0.05), and explanatory power of 41%. To improve the nursing undergraduates’ problem-
solving abilities through simulation practice, there needs to be a method that supports them in
setting goals with self-leadership and enhance goal commitment. The method also needs to
support the development of their critical thinking and curiosity for questions deriving from
experiencing diverse programs in order to deliver effective outcomes.
The most common factors that researchers have identified as barriers in problem solving are:
1) Mental set – e.g. “ if your tool is a hammer, you’ll see every problem as a nail.
2) Lack of clarity in stating the problem- failure to recognize the problem.
3) Inadequate data and not getting the needed information
4) Scarce of information source
5) Lack of resources-men, money and material
6) Premature testing of alternative solutions or premature choices makes hasty choice.
7) Pressure or stress
8) Team attitudes like competency, interest, trust and doubts. Members afraid to be
judged based on their skills.
9) Limited time
10) Personality or attitude off manager to solve the problem
Understanding the barriers to problem solving can assist a person in becoming more
successful. However, it should be noted that overcoming these barriers will enhance your
ability to solve the problems but will not always guarantee success.
RESEARCH INPUT
Methodology: Both high (n = 96) and low (n = 89) trait worriers described a current problem
in their lives. They were then randomly assigned to contemplate their problem in a worrisome
(n = 60) or objective (n = 63) manner or to engage in a diaphragmatic breathing task (n = 62).
All participants subsequently generated solutions and then selected their most effective
solution. Next, they rated their confidence in the solution’s effectiveness, their likelihood to
implement the solution, and their current anxiety/worry. Experimenters uninformed of
condition also rated solution effectiveness.
Results: The worry induction led to lower reported confidence in solutions for high trait
worry participants, and lower experimenter-rated effectiveness of solutions for all
participants, relative to objective thinking. Further, state worry predicted less reported
intention to implement solutions, while controlling for trait worry. Finally, worrying about
the problem led to more elevated worry and anxiety after solving the problem compared to
the other two conditions.
Conclusions: Overall, the worry induction impaired problem solving on multiple levels, and
this was true for both high and low trait worriers.
Brainstorming
Spider diagram
Force-field analysis
Different views
SWOT analysis (S- strength, W- weaknesses, O- opportunities, T- threats)
Six thinking hats –( process, objects, positive, creative, feeling and negative)
Red hat- emotional thinking
Yellow hat- positive thinking
Black hat- critical thinking
White hat- purely facts
Green hat- creative thinking
Blue hat- the big picture. All the viewpoints.
Risk analysis
Fishbone / cause and effect diagram
Cost-benefit analysis – evaluating quantitatively whether to follow a course of action.
Add up the value of the benefits of a course of action and subtract the costs associated
with it.
Timelines
Flow charts
DECISION MAKING
Decision making is about deciding what action to take, it usually involves choices between
options. The object of problem solving is usually a solution, answer or conclusion. The
outcome of creative thinking is new ideas.
It is a critical step in the problem-solving process. Most of the time decision making is a
subset of a problem-solving nature, such decision about scheduling, choosing an equipment
or other matters that do not involve problem solving as a deliberate process.
Decision making is process of choosing a solution based on your judgement, situation, facts,
knowledge or a combination of available data. The goal is to avoid potential difficulties.
Identifying opportunity is an important part of decision-making process.
Process of evaluating and choosing among available alternatives and implementing solutions.
The term decision making is used inconsistently and often interchangeably with problem
solving. Although the two processes appear similar and may depend on one another, they are
not synonymous.
Decision making and problem solving can be found in human brains or technical brains i.e.
computers. Both skills require critical thinking, which is high-level cognitive process and
both can be improved with practice.
Making a judgement
Choosing an option
Making choices between alternative
LEVELS OF DECISIONS
1. Strategic decision – decision made by top executives that a crucial to operations for
long-range planning
• Are strategic because they define and focus on major, long term goals.
3. Operational decision – these are the routine decisions that relate to day-to-day events.
Middle and first line managers make most of the operational decisions.
Managers make decisions both as individual and in groups that occur in an organizational
context. The condition surrounding decision making can vary and change dramatically. It is
essentially for the manager to consider the total system, realizing that whatever solutions are
created will succeed only if they are compatible with other parts of the system. Within the
organization, decisions are made under conditions of certainty, risk or uncertainty.
An example of this could be setting a budget for a project. The manager has access to
the resources and data needed to make an accurate forecast of the budget and the final
cost of the project.
When the nurse manager knows all the possibilities or alternatives and the conditions
surrounding each alternative, a state of certainty is said to exist. Suppose a nurse
manager in a unit with acutely ill patients wants to decrease the number of
venipunctures a patient experienced when an IV started, as well as reduce the costs
resulting from failed venipuncture. 3 alternatives exist: -
1) Establishment of an IV team on all shifts to minimize attempts and reduce
costs.
2) Establish a reciprocal relationship with anesthesia department to start IV when
nurses experience difficulty.
3) Set a standard of wo insertion attempts per nurse per patient.
The manager knows the alternatives (IV team, anesthesia department and standards) and
the condition associated with each (reduced costs, assistance with starting IVs, minimum
attempts and some cost reduction).
Therefore a condition of strong certainty is said to exist and the decision can be made
with full knowledge of what the payoff probably will be.
o Decision making under risk – A condition in which the availability of the various
opportunities and associated with each of them the potential benefits and costs are
known with some estimated probability.
Importantly here is the ability to predict by the manager, the potential results of the
actions. Managers should skilfully use own individual qualities such as intuition, and
capitalize on the experience of the past. Risk condition is accompanied by the average
level of confusion and moderate risk of taking the wrong decision. Scientists link this
type of condition with gambling. In management, risky decision is being made
knowing the opponent cards, at least in a substantial part of it. On the other hand, it is
not known what effects can bring decision preferring either party.
An example of this could be investing in a new product line. The manager has access
to the resources and data needed to make an educated guess as to the success of the
product, but there is no guarantee of success.
o Decision making under uncertainty- A condition in which decision maker does not
know all the choices, as well as risks associated with each of them and possible
consequences.
In this condition most of today's serious decision are being made. The dynamics of
economic life determines the managers to decide without knowing all alternatives, as
well as knowledge of the risks associated with the known alternatives. Such situation
is associated with a very high probability of erroneous decision, which could trigger a
counterproductive effects. First of all, in order to reduce the risk: managers should
collect as much relevant information, and then try to make rational and logical choice.
Intuition, correct judgement and experience are in such conditions, the priority,
although you should not forget about other methods that may help to decide.
An example of this could be a decision to enter a new market. The manager has no
data or resources to accurately predict the success or failure of the venture, and must
make a decision based on their judgement.
Always consider the time element that will be involved in reaching the decision.
Some decisions must be made in seconds, whereas others may require weeks of
deliberation.
Use the full period of time you have available for the process. Do not rush yourself,
but at the same time, do not act slowly.
Always be clear about the situation. Gather as much information as possible and
continue to add to it, if the situation will allow.
Stay current with regards to the knowledge of nursing, patient care and the patient
care environment.
Using a step-by-step decision making process can help us to make more deliberate,
thoughtful decisions by organizing relevant information and defining alternatives. This
approach increases the chances that we will choose the most satisfying alternative possible.
1. Identify problem
2. Gather data
3. Analyze data
4. Established goals and outcomes
5. Choose alternatives
6. Implement chosen alternatives/ make decision
7. Evaluate the decision outcomes
1) Identify the problem:- before making a decision we must possess as complete and
accurate understanding of situation as is possible. The first step is very important, try
to clearly define the nature of the problem.
2) Gather data:- collect some pertinent information before moving to the next steps,
what information is needed, the best sources of information and how to get it. This
steps involves both internal and external “work”. Some information is internal i.e.
you’ll seek it through a process of self-assessment. Other information is external-
you’ll find it online, in books, from other people and from other sources.
Keep in mind, you can become bogged down by too much information and that might
only complicate the process.
3) Analyze the data:- through the process of analysis, we examine and study our data to
determine whether it is adequate. We develop assumption from data, make inferences
and draw conclusion. All of these intellectual activities are necessary parts of making
sound decisions and should not be rushed if the situation will allow time for serious
deliberation.
4) Establish goals and outcomes: - it involves recognizing the discrepancy between the
current situation and an ideal situation and establishing a goal or outcome that will
bring the situation as close too ideal as it is possible.
Goals may be both short and long term. This is a deliberate process by which we
mentally weigh or try to determine how well the approach will work. We will also
want to consider such things as how much time it will take, whether needed resources
are available or whether obstacles exist to implementing the action.
5) Choose alternatives:- alternatives are also known as strategies. It involves to
determine which course of action will be the best to solve the problem. Therefore a
person should develops as many advantages and disadvantages for each course of
action as possible. Then they must objectively and logically analyze the advantages
and disadvantages of each one against one another.
Hopefully, you’ve identified and clarified what decision needs to be made, gathered
all relevant information, and developed and considered the potential paths to take.
You should be prepared to choose form alternatives.
Sources for alternatives: -
a. Textbooks, libraries and informational resources – as a decision maker one
should think about referring, reviewing a textbook. This would definitely and
undoubtedly provide you direction that which approaches to use, why and
under which circumstances each should be considered. If one feels that he or
she needs a broader view the literature review should include several
textbooks.
b. Policy and procedure manuals – hospitals policy and procedure manuals are
also the best source that provide a particular facility that has developed for
working with risk management aspects of patient care.
c. Experienced colleagues – a third valuable resource can be found in our
experienced colleagues.
6) Implement chosen alternatives/ make decision:- Here is the part of the decision-
making process where you actually make the decision. The logical step is to take
action or implement the alternatives that we have chosen. In management role it is
possible that we will not be the person responsible for carrying out the action, it may
be implemented by the staff nurse or another health worker. However, the leader or
the decision maker will still be accountable for the outcome.
To ensure the desired outcomes it is important that the plan be skilfully
communicated to others and they are adequately trained to carry out the actions.
7) Evaluation of decision outcomes :- evaluation is the final step in the decision
making process. We will compare the actual outcomes to the goals or outcome criteria
that were developed originally. We will know that the decision-making process was
effective when the current situation matches the desired outcomes. In managerial role
we may also wish to evaluate other factors involved in implementing the decision
such as the use of time, energy, the impact on staff.
Take an honest look back at your decision. Did you solve the problem? Did you
answer the question? Did you meet your goals?
If so, take note of what worked for future reference. If not, learn from your mistakes
as you begin the decision-making process again.
Since decision making process is a thought process, it is both rational and intuitive.
Our intuition is that aspect of mind that tells us what is right or wrong. However we
should never make a mistake while making decision, totally guided by emotions or
intuitions and immediately do “what we fell right”.
Decision making can be grouped into 4 main styles. The four styles are directive style,
analytic style, conceptual style and behavioral style. Although no one fits completely into
just one style category the have characteristics that fit into one or two styles. Each style deals
with processing the information on which the decision is based differently.
Knowing your decision-making style can make you a better leader. While decision-making is
important for everyone, leaders or manager must be especially mindful of their approach, as
many of their choices affect others.
If you’re a leader (or hope to be one in the future), learning to adjust your style to each
situation is an excellent step toward making better decision.
o This method is fast, as directive decision-makers don’t usually seek extra data or
consider external input
o The process is low-effort, which reduces decision fatigue
o This method maintains momentum rather than miring the company in endless
discussion
o The decision-maker doesn’t seek feedback, so there are few overt conflicts to deal
with
o The simplicity of the decision makes it easy to evaluate after the fact (e.g., did sales
increase after this marketing campaign: yes/no)
o Accountability for the final decision is clear
o It’s time-consuming.
o It can be difficult to translate theory into practice.
o It can be hard to evaluate the results, as there are so many moving parts and impacts at
various levels.
RISKS IN DECISION MAKING
o Only risk-takers are truly free. All decision of consequences involve risk.
o No such thing as permanent security.
o It is natural to be afraid when you risk.
o Separation anxiety is normal when you are out of your comfort zone.
o It is a necessary to have a clear purpose and a goal.
o Do it for the right reasons, when clam, thoughtful and non-emotional.
o Look pros, cons, probabilities, consequences and worst case scenarios.
o When possible, take one risk at a time.
o Use imaging and visualization
o Have a plan, a timetable with setting SMART goals.
o Dismiss extremely remote or unrealistic possibilities that are highly/extremely
improvable, avoid catastrophes whenever possible.
o Recognize the tradeoffs.
Creative thinking
Self concept
Stress
Interpersonal conflict
Time available
Written guidelines
7. 7. Change your way of deciding and reevaluate your time and learning from
experience
9. 9. Be rational
10. 10. Educate people so they know how to make appropriate decision
11. Seeking support of top management for decision making at the lowest possible level
e.g. decentralization
12. Successful manager stay informed about decision being made at different levels of the
organization after appropriately delegating these responsibilities.
13. The managers should deal with these decisions requiring their level of expertise(non
routine decisions), support implementation of decision and credit the decision maker.
14. Delegation of decision making (routine decision making) to subordinates to gain their
trust, loyalty and to raise their self-esteem.
15. Successful manager who is skilled in both decision making and problem solving
serves as a motivator and role model for others.
Overconfidence – believing too much in our own ability to make good decisions.
Self-serving
Immediate gratification
Anchoring effects
Selective perception
Confirmation bias – using only facts that support your decision.
Framing
Availability
Representation
Randomness
Sunk costs
Participative decision making means a group of individuals allowed to make decision rather
than a single individual. Group decision making can be particularly effective if the decision
will have an effect of employees making decision. The acceptance and commitment to the
decision can be greatly enhanced when those to be affected by the decision participate in it.
o One should ascertain whether the group has adequate knowledge of the subject or
situation. Such knowledge can be used as strength in decision making process, if it’s
lack it may be the downfall.
o Adequate time for group decision making. Participative decision making is not
effective or appropriate for those problems which needs immediate attention or
solution.
o Sufficient maturity should be present among the participants to reverse the decision if
it found to be ineffective. A mature group is also composed of individuals who can
cooperate, tolerate conflicts, allow for individual differences, support diversity and
group process. The group should not be dominated by one or two individuals.
o Ascertain that the management will support the group’s decision.
1. The task force – a task force is frequently used to address a single problem or
concern. A relatively inexpensive technique, it begins with the manager appointing a
group of individuals to work on the specific problem. They collect information,
analyze it, outline alternatives, make a recommendation and send that
recommendation to the manager. They are then adjourned and do not reconvene
request to do so.
-may leave members dissatisfied because the group dissolve after making
recommendation.
2. Quality crises – it functions much like task forces, with the exception that the
membership is usually on a volunteer and membership may rotate. In some setting
quality, quality circles are ongoing groups of employees who are all parts of the same
department. Quality circles tend to bring together persons who are working in the
same area and have common concerns. They meet on regular basis to creatively
address day to day problems.
Disadvantages –
- Time consuming
- Because of voluntary membership, may not get best input.
- Productivity relies on the ability of the group to work together effectively.
3. Brain storming – it is a way to gather as many feasible alternatives as possible. It
involves a group members meet together and generate many diverse ideas about
nature, cause, solution to a problem without consideration of their relative values. A
premium is placed on generating lots of ideas as quickly as possible and on coming up
with unusual ideas.
Most importantly the members do not critique ideas as they are proposed. Evaluation
takes place after all the ideas have been generated. Members are encouraged to
improve on each other’s ideas. The sessions are very enjoyable but are often
unsuccessful because members inevitably begin to critique ideas, meetings shift to
ordinary interacting group format. In its classical forms, brainstorming is a fairly
expensive process. Criticism of this approach are the high cost factor, time consumed
and the superficiality of many solutions.
Advantages:- generates a larger number of creative approaches.
Disadvantages:-
- Focus is only on generating large number of solutions, quality may be lacking.
- Process can be stifled by premature critique of solution posed.
4. Nominal group technique – it involves seven to ten individuals selected by the
manager. The manager presents the problem to the group and each participant writes
down he or she sees as the best solution without discussing it with others. The leader
shares the ideas with the group and writes them on a chalk-board or flip chart. There
is no discussion until all ideas are written down. Then each solution is analyzed.
Participants are asked to rank the solutions privately and individually from most
acceptable. The solution that receives highest overall ranking is then presented as the
first alternative. This process allows for consideration of a number of approaches
without the member of the group being pressured toward a particular approach.
Advantages :-
Disadvantages :-
- Time consuming
- Requires advance planning
- Members may not realize much satisfaction in the process.
5. Delphi method :- it is similar to nominal group technique. The manager gather
information about problem and outlines the solutions. All possible solutions are
shared with the participants who then select the best alternative. However, the
membership of the group is anonymous, with only the manager knowing whom he or
she has sent the information or questionnaires. The fact that participants do not meet
together prevents on person from influencing the decision of another. Because the
participants are never identified by name, they are free to approach the problem and
suggest solutions objectively without fears of being repercussion.
Advantages :-
Disadvantages :-
Disadvantages – it requires considerable time and all persons involved must be present
for the discussion.
7. Majority rule :- another approaches to decision making involves majority rule, which
accepts as the numbering approach that which is favoured by the majority of the
participants. It is system of decision making by which we elect president and other
public officials.
Majority rule means that some person wins and other loose that there is no complete
agreement among those affected. On occasion in such situations, certain group
member will form coalitions to support their position and block the action of the
group. This can be damaging to the position of the manager.
The critical thinking seems abstract unless it can be related to practical experiences. One way
to develop this process is to consider a series of questions when examining a specific problem
or making a decision. The following questions are suggested:
CONCLUSION
Problem solving and decision making are important skills for life. There are processes and
techniques to improve decision-making and the quality of decisions.
Decision-making is more natural to certain personalities, so these people should focus more
on improving the quality of their decisions.
Problems are not always clearly defined. Problems have to be formulated in a way which
enables people to make decisions about them.
Decision makers must have vast amounts of information in order to make use of the rational
comprehensive decision-making
REFERENCES