Complexity Theory An Overview With Potential Appli
Complexity Theory An Overview With Potential Appli
Abstract: Systems theory has been challenged in the recent literature due to its perceived
disconnection from today’s research and practice demands. Moving away from the reductionist
frameworks and the complicated domain predominated by known unknowns and order, a call is
being made to the social sciences to begin adopting complexity theory and newer connectionist
methods that better address complexity and open social systems. Scholars and scholar-practitioners
will continue to find the need to apply complexity theory as wicked problems become more
prevalent in the social sciences. This paper differentiates between general systems theory (GST) and
complexity theory, as well as identifies advantages for the social sciences in incorporating
complexity theory as a formal theory. Complexity theory is expanded upon and identified as
providing a new perspective and a new method of theorizing that can be practiced by disciplines
within the social sciences. These additions could better position the social sciences to address the
complexity associated with advancing technology, globalization, intricate markets, cultural change,
and the myriad of challenges and opportunities to come.
1. Introduction
The implementation of new technological innovations in the workplace and globalization are
just two indicators of future, higher skilled workforce requirements [1] and herald the intensification
of complexity in the workplace due to an increasing rate of unpredictable change [2], information
overload, globalization, and geopolitical unrest. Organizations need to manage this growing
complexity with the human resources available to them, skilled or unskilled, through the adoption
and diffusion of complexity science. Becoming more prevalent across multiple disciplines as one
means of making sense and being able to manage such complexity, complexity science is often
recognized as the “new science” [3] (p. 94), in which organizations are viewed as complex systems
that cannot be observed using traditional linear methodologies.
deMattos, Miller, and Park [4] described three trends that are contributing to the growth of
complexity science. First, dramatic changes are taking place for both organizations and governments
in part due to “globalization, intensive local and global competition, process re-engineering,
workforce diversity, quality improvement, and continual innovation” [4] (p. 1554). Second, we are in
an information revolution; the productivity of information processes is increasing, and costs are
declining (e.g., information retrieval, processing, and storage). Third, organizations are dissolving at
alarming rates [4].
Criticized by some because many of the existing project management tools and methodologies
are reductionistic and more suited to single projects than multi-projects [5], a call for new techniques
and methodologies for multi-project management efforts has been made. Given that multi-projects
dominate project management, with some data estimating that multi-projects constitute as high as
90% of projects, Aritua et al. [5] have challenged the discipline of project management to draw on
research from complex, dynamical systems and from complexity theory to gain new insights into
developing new techniques and methodologies. Similarly, other disciplines have been called to take
the ecosystem approach, as in Gregory, Atkins, Burdon, and Elliott’s [6] study on marine
management. The ecosystem approach utilizes complex science by calling for a shift from
reductionistic research (e.g., single-species research), compartmentalized decision making, and
policy formulation to one that recognizes complex systems with multiple elements (e.g., ecological,
social, economic, and political) [6].
Traditional sciences have utilized a reductionistic framework or a realist philosophy [7], in
which an entity is reduced to its smaller parts. By understanding the workings of the smaller parts,
the whole can be understood more comprehensively [4]. Although this reductionistic framework has
served science well in the past, such as during the Industrial Revolution [4], it is inadequate to serve
science well today due to the complexities of the modern world (e.g., increasing wicked problems,
global warming, information overload, globalization, and geopolitical unrest). Complexity science
expands on the reductionistic framework by not only understanding the parts that contribute to the
whole but by understanding how each part interacts with all the other parts and emerges into a new
entity, thus having a more comprehensive and complete understanding of the whole. Individual
causal research in complex systems is near futile; a comprehensive approach is required to account
for the unpredictability found in complex systems [7]. New theoretical models that reflect “real-life
complexity” are being called for by researchers [8] (p. 162). To better understand such systems,
complexity science offers complex adaptive systems (CAS) as “a framework for understanding these
systems” [4] (p. 1550).
Although there is a semi-clear distinction between systems theory, complex adaptive systems,
and complexity theory, the literature within some of the human resource (HR) disciplines (human
relations; human resource development, HRD; and human resource management, HRM) fail to make
this distinction. Today, for example, HRD still identifies systems theory as one of its foundational
theories even after many disciplines have shifted to complexity theory via complex adaptive systems
due to the changing and complex environment in which they operate. Disciplines have been forced
to address open systems and more complex problems (e.g., wicked problems) as opposed to
employing the traditional reductionistic methods used last century. Comparably, highlighted within
HR and other social science literatures, systems theory has been identified as more of a myth than a
foundational theory, partly due to its disconnect between practice and theory and to its
overwhelming use of linear methods when examining social systems [9].
The current article identifies the differences between general systems theory (GST), complex
adaptive systems, and complexity theory. It begins with a short discussion differentiating between
system and systems, followed an explanation of what GST involves. Then, a clarification of open and
closed systems is presented along with a discussion identifying the basic principles of complex
adaptive systems (CAS) and complexity theory. The article then provides some current examples of
the use of complexity theory and concludes with new directions for disciplines in the social sciences,
recommending the inclusion of complexity theory in future research efforts. In the concluding
remarks, the authors argue for incorporating complexity theory along with more non-reductionistic
methods into the study of relationships and understanding in the social sciences in addition to the
traditional GST and reductionistic methods. Also, the current article expands upon the work
presented by Haslberger [8] in describing complexity theory as a new potential method for
explanation and theorizing. We propose the same in the current article—that complexity theory be
adopted as a new method of explanation and theorizing for the social sciences.
a “model of general nature, that is, a conceptual analog of certain rather universal traits of observed
entities.” Perhaps the most related definition of a system is that it represents a whole consisting of
several parts/members [12]. This definition hits on the distinction between a system and systems:
whereas the former represents the whole (the system), the latter makes up the whole (components,
systems, and subsystems). A system’s components are also dependent on other components [12].
When dealing with systems, researchers need to clearly identify which level they are analyzing.
Kast and Rosenzweig [10] (p. 455) stressed identifying both “the boundaries of the system under
consideration and the level of … analysis [systems].” These boundaries vary and are typically set by
the researcher or the theoretical system. Once the boundary and appropriate level of analysis (system,
systems, subsystems) have been identified, the system’s structure can be modeled, providing what
von Bertalanffy [11] termed an explanation in principle. This explanation in principle provides both a
level of explanation and prediction, as well as leads to the formation of systems thinking.
In viewing changes in a system or subsystems over time, dynamic systems theory differentiates
between three system states: asymptotically stable, neutrally stable, and unstable [11]. Stability refers
to how a system responds to perturbations. A system is identified as being asymptotically stable if it
returns to is original state after a disturbance and unstable if it changes states [11]. It is ideal to have
an asymptotically stable system when viewed by GST. When a system has been identified as unstable,
the system is controlled back to its asymptotically stable state: “a system which is not asymptotically
stable is made so by incorporating a controller” [11] (p. 418). Having a system that is asymptotically
stable or having the ability to place controls on a system to maintain stability, adds to a system’s
predictability. These controls can also act as buffers to external perturbations [19], further
manipulating the system, or at least a subsystem, to maintain a desired state. These controls counter,
in many cases, the self-organizing processes within the system.
Systems theory has been instrumental to the social sciences and has served as a foundation for
HR theory. However, systems theory has come under attack in recent years due to its inability to
address complexity and non-linear systems [9,20] and its mechanistic nature when viewing human
systems. To further develop the potential for expanding the use of complexity theory in HR and social
science contexts, the current article focuses on describing complexity theory and its components to
outline the differences between and overlaps of systems theory and complexity theory.
A list of various definitions for CAS from the literature is provided in Table 1.
Social systems that are diverse, non-linear, consisting of multiple interactive, interdependent, and
interconnected sub-elements. They are adaptive and self-organizing, tending toward ever-greater
[50] (p. 996)
complexity operating at the ‘edge of chaos’ and therefore in a constant state of innovation and
dynamic equilibrium.
[51] (p. 363) Agents whose interactions result in self-organization, emergence, and adaptation.
Self-organization implies that no system constituent (or anything outside the system) has a direct
or an exclusive control over its collective patterns or how these patterns change. It also means that
the interactions among the system’s constituents are not centrally controlled, but rather local; this
localness is related to physical or cognitive dimensions. The collective, ordered patterns that emerge
via self-organization in CAS are usually known as emergent properties, i.e., properties that arise or
characterize a system at a certain level as the result of interactions taking place at a lower level [21]
(p. Firm).
Different characteristics that make up CAS from the literature are provided in Table 2.
Complex Adaptive
Source Description
System Characteristics
The surroundings in which living beings exist and behave
[22] (pp. 733–735) Fitness Landscape …. changes continuously … determines the effectiveness
of the behavior of the acting agents.
Emergent properties… characterized by a specific
Adaptive Capability
configuration of activities…to meet external demands.
Involves cultural consensus and clarity, in the form of
Integration
collectively shared rituals and jargons.
Involves subcultures and islands of clarity, in the form of
Differentiation
different rituals and jargons.
Involves jargons and rituals loaded with ambiguity, in the
Fragmentation
form of irony, paradoxes, or contradictions.
The extent to which an activity system is decomposable
[23] (p. 216) Modularity
into separate identity-retaining subsystems of activities.
The extent to which an activity system exhibits certain
Concentration central activities that are interdependent with many
peripheral activities.
The extent to which a focal activity system exhibits
Openness coevolutionary interdependencies between its own
activities and those of external organizations.
Created by actors in an interactive relationship and
[26] (pp. 281–282) Schemas-Diversity provide a framework enabling agents to anticipate the
results of their actions.
Heterogeneous agents which inter-relate with each other
Interaction- and with their surroundings and are unlimited in their
Interdependence capabilities to adapt their behavior based on their
experience.
Individual components affect each other and influence
[5] (pp. 76–77) Inter-relationships actions. A system is complex if it consists of many varied
interrelated parts.
Open systems affect, and are affected by, external
Adaptability environmental systems. Open systems must be capable of
reacting to changes in external environmental systems.
Systems tend toward order or self-organization.
Self-Organization Individuals act in similar ways in proximity to and in
concert with each other.
Emergence The whole is greater than the sum of the parts.
Feedback Information is circulated, modified, and returned.
Systems 2019, 7, 4 7 of 23
Non-Linearity and
Refers to the outcomes of CAS, which differ from the
Sensitivity to Initial
outcomes of simple systems.
Conditions
Self-Organization Pattern and regularity emerge spontaneously in a system.
A complex system contains many constituents interacting
[52] (pp. 12–17) Non-linearity
non-linearly.
A complex system is an open system in which the
Open System
boundaries permit interaction with the environment.
A complex system contains feedback loops that can be
Feedback Loops amplifying (positive feedback) and balancing (negative
feedback).
A complex system possesses a structure spanning several
Scalable
scales (fractural structures) that are self-similar.
Emergence No Description
Natural Behavior
No Description
Elements
Exchange Energy No Description
Share Information No Description
Align Choices for
No Description
Interaction
A complex system is capable of co-evolution with
Coevolve Together
emergent behavior.
Given the various representations for the characteristics that make up CAS (see Table 2), CAS
display at least the following characteristics: path dependence, non-linearity, emergence, and
adaptiveness [48]. Figure 1 identifies the basic tenets for most CAS. Being sensitive to small changes
is elemental to CAS’ path-dependent characteristic. Path-dependent systems are “sensitive to their
initial conditions, so that the same force might affect seemingly similar organizations [systems]
differently based on their histories” [48] (p. 231). If small changes in a system can lead to big effects
and, within the same system, big changes can also have minimal effects, then these effects can be
difficult to predict [37]. This inability to predict future states of a system is indicative of a non-linear
system. In addition to the aforementioned information, as in Section 2.4, emergence, according to
Lindberg and Schneider [48], refers to a system’s interactions that lead to a change that could result
in an organization being different from other organizations. This emergence also makes CAS
irreducible; due to its emergent properties, higher-order states cannot be reduced to their original
lower-level states. Thus, a phase transition typically occurs, changing the initial lower-level states.
Having the ability to be adaptive, operating between chaos and order, is one of the unique
characteristics of CAS. By operating between chaos and order, CAS avoid the status quo while at the
same time avoiding complete chaos. This balance is self-organizing and allows CAS to learn and
evolve into new emergent states.
Source Context
[32,47,50] Change in organizations
[1] Colleges and universities
[31] Communities of practice
[54] Complexity in practice
[6] Ecosystem–grass management
[4,28] Emergency responders and trauma centers
[24,35] Entrepreneurship, corporate entrepreneurship
[7,55] Evaluation practice
[39] Industry clusters in China
[5] Information technology industry
[46] Mentoring relationships
[56] Multi-business organizations
[26,34] Organizational learning
[23] Organizational strategic renewal
[22,29] Organizations
[57] Policy implementation
[5] Project management
[51] Public management
[2,32,54,58] Strategic management and development
[30,41,59] Supply chain management and disk management
The following propositions relate to complexity theory: “Simple systems give rise to complex
behavior. Complex systems give rise to simple behavior. And most importantly, the laws of complexity
hold universally, caring not at all for the details of a system’s constituent atoms” [60] (p. 304).
Complexity theory differs in how it perceives the principle of system holism. Rather than viewing
the whole as the sum of its parts, complexity theory asserts the following: “The whole is different
from the sum of its parts and their interactions” [61] (p. 77). Through emergence, the whole cannot
be reduced to the original parts, the whole is considered a new entity or unit. The whole is
“qualitatively different from their parts …. They cannot be meaningfully compared–they are
different!” [61] (p. System holism).
Table 4 provides a list of definitions and descriptions found in the literature relating to
complexity theory/science.
Systems 2019, 7, 4 11 of 23
Complexity science has developed three schools of thought: reductionistic complexity science,
complexity thinking, and soft complexity science, also known as the metaphorical school [65,66]. The
reductionistic school reduces elements into lower-level components and develops rules of interaction
between the lower-level elements and the higher-level elements [65] as a means of explaining new
emergent properties; here is where physics addresses the theory of everything. Complexity thinking
focuses on what cannot be explained [65]. The epistemology is that knowledge concerning our
environment is always incomplete; complexity thinking focuses on our limits of this incomplete
knowledge [65]. The last school, the metaphorical school, believes that the “social world is
intrinsically different from the natural world” [66] (p. 20) and challenges the Newtonian worldview
[65] by viewing complexity through a connectionist perspective where causal connections cannot be
identified, hence, are too simplistic compared to the whole system when analyzed. Rather than
viewing the world as a mechanistic entity, the metaphorical school views the world as an organic
entity [65]. In the current article, the authors take the perspective provided by the metaphorical school
in which concepts such as “connectivity, edge-of-chaos, far-from-equilibrium, dissipative structures,
emergence, epi-static coupling, coevolving landscapes, etc.,” [66] (p. 20) have been identified in explaining
metaphorically, complex systems.
The basic tenets of complexity theory are non-linear dynamics, chaos theory, and
adaptation/evolution [15]; others include emergence, self-organization, feedback, and chaos [21].
Complexity theory views systems as being non-linear, thus future states are unpredictable. As a
system transitions from simple to complex, the predictive mechanisms become less reliable. Chaos is
deterministic and linear, with mathematical meaning [63], and has sensitivity to its initial conditions
[67]. Complexity theory applies mathematical modeling of linear and predictable states when
viewing chaos, whereas it employs CAS to view unpredictable, non-linear systems. Using
mathematical modeling, chaos identifies the global patterns from the components’ interactions in
self-organizing systems [21], while CAS identify the interactions from these components. A key
element of CAS involves emergence. Emergence occurs when the interactions from the system
components tend to lead to new states, contributing to the system’s unpredictability. The conditions
of feedback, evolution, and adaptation all refer to a system’s ability to learn and can be found in both
chaos and CAS.
Complexity theory addresses open systems compared to closed systems. This is a major
distinction of complexity theory compared to other theoretical systems approaches. This distinction
goes against the second law of thermodynamics and is where complexity theory operates. Nearly all
of the systems of interest in complexity theory are open systems [61] that include the components of
self-organization and emergence. Related to the second law of thermodynamics, rather than
irreversible processes causing the system to become self-destructive [11], the processes,
self-organization and emergence, evolve new system states that are sustainable.
In its most basic form, complexity theory involves the primary concepts of chaos and CAS, along
with the tenets of path dependence, system history, non-linearity, emergence, irreducibility,
adaptiveness, operating between order and chaos, and self-organization, as portrayed in Figure 2.
Chaos is supported by self-organization, adaptation/evolution, feedback, and deterministic systems,
and CAS are supported through self-organization, emergence, adaptation/evolution,
Systems 2019, 7, 4 13 of 23
feedback/history, and nondeterministic systems. For the current article, the authors identify
emergence to be primarily associated with CAS and identify complexity theory as being composed
of two concepts, chaos and CAS. The authors realize, and represent (see Figure 2), that there is some
overlap between the two systems and that emergence could be included in some chaotic states.
In relation to the purpose of the current research project, CAS are the model that is
recommended for addressing today’s complexity in the social sciences. By implementing CAS,
complexity theory could operate in parallel with systems theory. While GST can operate under the
principle of system holism from a reductionistic perspective, complexity theory could expand the
social sciences by providing a perspective counter to the principle of system holism that incorporates
a connectionist approach rather than reductionism. The following section discusses further the
differences between GST and complexity theory, including CAS.
2.5.4. Irreducibility
A final distinction between GST and complexity theory is irreducibility. Irreducibility indicates
that the “higher-level entity is not merely aggregated, it is holistic (i.e., possessing limited direct
relationship to its constituent parts)” [70] (p. 637). This is similar to the concepts of reversible and
irreversible processes. The former, reversibility, is a process in which the lower-level states (the parts)
aggregate into a higher-level state (sum of the parts) then back again to the same constituent parts,
and reversibility is synonymous with systems theory. Alternatively, irreversible processes,
sometimes referred to as non-decomposable elements [71], have the same ability to convert lower-level
states (the parts) into higher-level states. However, this higher-level state is different than the sum of
the parts, partially due to emergence and self-organization. This irreversible process cannot be
reduced back to its original components and is synonymous with complexity theory.
subset of systems theory, positioning GST as the grand theory and complexity theory, CAS, and
systems theory within its umbrella. However, later in the same research study, Yawson [9] identified
three interrelating elements to complexity theory that could not be accounted for by GST: non-linear
dynamics, chaos theory, and adaptation, providing some separation between GST and complexity
theory. Other literature has described complexity theory as a new science, indicating that complexity
theory was separate from other theories. This second portrayal identified GST and complexity theory
as two separate theories, with systems theory under GST and CAS residing under complexity theory.
Developed from scientific and mathematical fields, complexity science was influenced by the
“original systems sciences of cybernetics, information theory, and General Systems Theory” [73] (p.
7), while remaining a new science, separate from GST. For the current article, the authors adopted
Goldstein et al.’s [73] position that complexity theory is separate from GST with CAS and chaos
theory residing underneath complexity theory. The authors recognize that there is some overlap
between GST and CAS, as shown in Figure 3, however, still contend that complexity theory is
separate from GST and other theoretical system approaches (e.g., systems theory, cybernetics, and
theory of automata). For the social sciences, it is argued that future research should include
examinations of the CAS tenets (path dependency, history, non-linearity, emergence, irreducibility,
adaptability, balance between order and chaos, and self-organizing). The interactions within
organizations are complex and can be explained better through the lens of complexity theory and
CAS than by the other theoretical system approaches.
complex and chaotic states and systems theory associated with complicated and simple states. The
disorder represents the fuzzy border between the states, meaning that some complicated states could
have a touch of complexity up to a point. Beyond that point, the state experiences a phase transition.
This point in which a phase transition occurs differs with each system dependent upon the initial
laws of complexity and unique composition. Once a state experiences a phase transition, the new
state is irreducible and cannot be reduced to its initial composition.
Potential uses for this sensemaking framework (Cynefin framework) include contextualization
and alternative history exercises (see [79] for additional examples). Contextualization is a
brainstorming exercise in which the framework is used to draw multiple perspectives around a
specific issue or event [79]. This exercise offers different solutions to specific issues by discussing how
solutions would be portrayed in each of the four states (i.e., chaotic, complex, complicated, and
simple). A second example includes an alternative history exercise, which involves discussing the
history of a specific entity or event, identifying when and why within the framework critical turning
points occurred [79].
This sensemaking framework provides a visual representation of how different states can
occupy independent and interdependent states, depending on the context. In applying this
sensemaking framework to contextualize problems of social systems, a shift from its current state
within the complicated domain (systems theory) to the complex domain (complexity theory and
CAS) to better prepare scholars and scholar-practitioners to address complexity and wicked problems
will be necessary.
one point in time) [11]. Reductionistic methods involve linear models that come with specific
assumptions as identified by Jayanti:
Such assumptions include the premise that closed models are adequate for modeling
processes occurring in open systems, that models can be universally applied and do not
need to specify where and when they should be used, that a system is equal to the sum of
its parts, that time is reversible, that causality is linear, that future outcomes–like the future
itself–can be predicted, and that environments are relatively static and tend toward
equilibrium [80] (p. 103).
However, even with the successes that have been achieved in the fields of physics and biology
by using reductionistic methods, questions still remain [11]. Scientists have begun to understand that
the interactions within and among systems must also be observed and understood, resulting in too
many associations to be studied using simple causality methods. This problem was identified by von
Bertalanffy [11] (p. 411) as the problem of organized complexity: “There loomed the problem of
‘organized complexity,’ that is, of interrelations between many but not infinitely many components”.
Given today’s complexity, globalization, and interconnectedness, von Bertalanffy [11]
highlighted that reduction to simple particles using laws of physics is not practical. Rather, von
Bertalanffy [11] (p. 423) supplanted reductionism with “new categories of interaction, transaction,
organization, teleology, and so forth”, which also included developing newer techniques.
5. Conclusions
Systems theory has been identified as a foundational theory for some disciplines, providing a
uniform language for those disciplines [67]. However, this perspective has been challenged, and some
research has identified systems theory as being disconnected from research and practice: “Its
relevance and use in the practice… remains a myth” [9] (p. 70). These disciplines cannot remain
isolated in systems theory or systems thinking when much of the scientific community has already
begun transitioning to complexity theory. For example, Chandler, Rycroft-Malone, Hawkes, and
Noyes [85] (p. 462) highlighted complexity theory’s prevalence in the healthcare industry:
“Complexity theory has progressively entered the lexicon of healthcare sciences.” Foster [36] (p. 873)
indicated that “a new way of thinking about systems has come to prominence” in the field of
economics. Meadows [86] noted that trying to control complex systems would only lead to temporary
solutions, requiring complexity thinking.
Utilizing complexity theory in instances where GST does not work well, as identified in the
current article, better positions scholars and scholar-practitioners with the tools to address today’s
complex and wicked problems. This effort better prepares social scientists to explain observations of
interactions and relationships in today’s complex environment, providing them with the skills
necessary to complete in the global business realm [9]. Remaining competitive in the 21st century
requires a discipline to become innovative and adaptive as the “bar keeps rising” [73] (p. 1).
Within the literature presented, organizations can be reviewed to determine their functionality
by incorporating CAS [22,28,29,37,53,87]. Additionally, leadership (e.g., leader–follower, adaptive
leadership, and complexity leadership theory) has been associated with complexity theory and CAS
[28,45,70,88], along with higher education [1] and organizational learning [26,34], among others. Also,
complexity theory has already been applied to a variety of disciplines: “knowledge management,
strategy, management, training, cultural change…. leadership, customer relationship management,
and supply chain management” [79] (p. 467). Unfortunately, many disciplines within the social
sciences have yet to begin investigations through the lens of complexity theory. It will become critical
Systems 2019, 7, 4 20 of 23
for today’s leaders to begin thinking along the lines of complexity theory. Future scholars and
scholar-practitioners will need to think and act differently [87] when facing complexity. Adopting
complexity theory for the social sciences can aid the field in addressing tomorrow’s problems when
investigating social systems:
Complexity is poised to help current and future leaders make sense of advanced
technology, globalization, intricate markets, cultural change, and much more. In short, the
science of complexity can help all of us address the challenges and opportunities we face in
a new epoch of human history [87] (p. Understanding Complexity).
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, J.R.T. and R.M.B.; methodology, J.R.T. and R.M.B.; investigation,
J.R.T. and R.M.B; data curation, J.R.T. and R.M.B.; original draft preparation, J.R.T. and R.M.B.; and review and
editing of the final manuscript, J.R.T. and R.M.B.
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