Chapter 6
Chapter 6
Chapter 6
2
What is a Probability Distribution?
Experiment: Toss a
coin three times.
Observe the number of
heads. The possible
results are: zero
heads, one head, two
heads, and three
heads.
What is the probability
distribution for the
number of heads?
3
Probability Distribution of Number of
Heads Observed in 3 Tosses of a Coin
4
Characteristics of a Probability
Distribution
5
Random Variables
6
Types of Random Variables
7
Discrete Random Variables - Examples
8
Continuous Random Variables -
Examples
9
Features of a Discrete Distribution
1
0
The Mean of a Probability Distribution
MEAN
•The mean is a typical value used to represent the
central location of a probability distribution.
•The mean of a probability distribution is also
referred to as its expected value.
1
1
The Variance, and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution
1
2
Mean, Variance, and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution - Example
1
3
Mean of a Probability Distribution - Example
1
4
Variance and Standard
Deviation of a Probability Distribution - Example
1
5
Binomial Probability Distribution
1
6
Binomial Probability Formula
1
7
Binomial Probability - Example
1
9
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance
2
0
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance:
Example
2
1
Binomial Dist. – Mean and Variance:
Another Solution
2
2
Binomial Distribution - Table
2
3
Binomial Distribution - MegaStat
Five percent of the worm
gears produced by an
automatic,
high-speed
Carter-Bell milling
machine are
defective. What is the
probability that out of
six gears selected at
random none will be
defective? Exactly
one? Exactly two?
Exactly three?
Exactly four? Exactly
five? Exactly six out
of six?
2
4
Binomial – Shapes for Varying π
(n constant)
2
5
Binomial – Shapes for Varying n
(π constant)
2
6
Cumulative Binomial Probability
Distributions
2
7
Cumulative Binomial Probability
Distributions - Excel
2
8
Finite Population
2
9
Hypergeometric Distribution
3
0
Hypergeometric Distribution
3
2
Hypergeometric Distribution - Example
3
4
Hypergeometric Distribution - Excel
3
5
Poisson Probability Distribution
3
6
Poisson Probability Distribution
3
7
Poisson Probability Distribution
3
9
Poisson Probability Distribution - Table
Assume baggage is rarely lost by Northwest Airlines. Suppose a random
sample of 1,000 flights shows a total of 300 bags were lost. Thus, the
arithmetic mean number of lost bags per flight is 0.3 (300/1,000). If the
number of lost bags per flight follows a Poisson distribution with mean
= 0.3, find the probability of not losing any bags
4
0
End of Chapter 6
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1