Logic Critical Thinking
Logic Critical Thinking
The first two statements are the premises; the third is the conclusion.
In this argument the premises really do support the conclusion, and
so the argument is a good one.
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How to differentiate a conclusion from its premise/s?
One of the most important tasks in the analysis of arguments is being able
to distinguish premises from conclusion.
If what is thought to be a conclusion is really a premise, and vice versa, the
subsequent analysis cannot possibly be correct.
Arguments usually contain indicator words that provide clues in identifying the
premise/s and the conclusion.
Premise Indicators
Words like: Since/Because/As indicated by/ May be inferred from/ Owing
to/ in as much as/ In that/ For the reason that/ Given that/ Seeing that/ As/
For…etc.
Conclusion Indicators
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The conclusion of this argument is the first statement, and all of the
other statements are premises.
Ethnic conflicts are recently intensified. (P-1)
Boarder conflicts are escalating. (P-2)
International terrorist activities are increasing. (P-3)
Thus, the country should increase the quality and quantity of its military.
(C)
The argument illustrates the pattern found in most arguments that
lack indicator words:
the intended conclusion is stated first, and
the remaining statements are then offered in support of
this first statement.
However, when the argument is restructured according
to logical principles, the conclusion is always listed
after the premises.
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Sometimes, passages that contain arguments contain statements that
are neither premises nor conclusion.
If a statement has nothing to do with the conclusion or, for
example, simply makes a passing comment, it should not be
included within the context of the argument.
Example:
→ Socialized medicine is not recommended because it would result in a
reduction in the overall quality of medical care available to the average
citizen. In addition, it might very well bankrupt the federal treasury. This
is the whole case against socialized medicine in a nutshell.
In this argument
The first statement is the conclusion
The next two are the premises, and
The last statement makes only a passing comment about the
argument – neither a premise nor a conclusion.
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In relation to the concept of argument, inference and proposition
are the two common notions.
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Recognizing Arguments
Not all passages contain arguments. Because logic deals with
arguments, it is important to be able to distinguish passages that
contain arguments from those that do not.
A passage contains an argument if it purports(allow) to prove
something; if it does not do so, it does not contain an argument.
In short, two conditions must be fulfilled for a passage to purport/
to prove something:
1) At least one of the statements must claim to present reason or
evidence, i.e., the premise or premises
2) There must be a claim that something is followed from the
evidence. i.e., the conclusion
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Factual and inferential claim
It is not necessary that the premises present actual evidence or true reasons nor
that the premises actually support the conclusion.
But at least the premises must claim to
(a) present evidence or reasons, and there must be a claim that the evidence or reasons
(b)support or imply something.
Factual claim; the first condition stated in (a) expresses what is called
factual Claim, and deciding whether it is fulfilled usually presents few
problems.
Inferential claim; The second condition stated in (b) expresses in what is
called an inferential claim.
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II. Implicit/No indicator words
An implicit inferential claim exists if there is an inferential
relationship between the statements in a passage.
Example:
“The price reduction in calculators is the result of a technological
revolution. The calculator of the 1960s used integrated electronic
circuits that contained about a dozen transistors or similar components
on a single chip. Today, mass-produced chips, only a few millimeters
square, contain several thousand such components”.
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i. Simple non-inferential passages
Simple non-inferential passages are unproblematic passages
that lack a claim that anything is being proved.
Such passages contain statements that could be premises or
conclusions (or both).
but what is missing tis a claim hat any potential premise
supports a conclusion or that any potential conclusion is
supported by premises.
Passages of this sort include
warnings,
pieces of advice,
statements of belief or opinion,
loosely associated statements, and
reports. 19
(A) Warning: a warning is a form of expression that is intended to
put someone on guard against a dangerous or detrimental
situation.
Examples:
– Watch out that you don’t slip on the ice.
If no evidence is given to prove that such statements are true, then
there is no argument.
(B) Pieces of advice: are forms of expression, which contain
counseling or guidelines to someone to follow appropriate
procedures, actions, and choices.
Examples:
• Before accepting a job after class hours, I would suggest that you
give careful consideration to your course load. Will you have
sufficient time to prepare for classes and tests, and will the job
produce an excessive drain on your energies?
• I advice you to improve your behavior before you graduate.
As with warnings, if there is no evidence that is intended to prove
anything, then there is no argument. 20
(C) Statements of Belief and Opinion:- it is somebody’s beliefs,
thinking, opinions as well as judgments on different events, or
courses of action.
But these opinions or judgments might not be supported through
proofs or evidences rather than showing individual’s perceptions
on those events or courses of action. Thus, there is no argument.
Examples:
o In my opinion, abortion is a crime against humanity.
(D) Loosely associated statements: forms of expression accompanied
by various statements which are mainly concerned with the
same general theme,
however, they are not logically connected or they lack inferential
claim so that they can not be considered as arguments.
Examples:
– Not to honor men of worth will keep the people from contention; not to
value goods that are hard to come by will keep them from theft; not to
display what is desirable will keep them from being unsettled of mind.21
(E) Reports: are sets of statements, which are basically there to
convey or deliver information about different events or incidents.
Reporters or journalists are basically destined to deliver
information about different incidents rather than arguing on them.
Examples:
– A powerful car bomb blew up outside the regional telephone company
headquarters in Medellin, injuring 25 people and causing millions of
dollars of damage to nearby buildings, police said. A police statement
said the 198-pound bomb was packed into a milk churn hidden in the
back of a stolen car.
These statements could serve as the premises of an argument; but
because the author makes no claim that they support or imply
anything, there is no argument.
But there are cases, where reports can convey with argument.
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ii. Expository passages:
is a kind of discourse that begins with a topic sentence followed by
one or more sentences that develop the topic sentence.
If the objective is not to prove the topic sentence but only to expand
it or elaborate it, then there is no argument.
Examples:
– There are three familiar states of matter: solid, liquid, and gas. Solid objects
ordinarily maintain their shape and volume regardless of their location. A
liquid occupies a definite volume, but assumes the shape of the occupied
portion of its container. A gas maintains neither shape nor volume. It expands
to fill completely whatever container it is in.
In the passage the topic sentence is stated first, and the remaining
sentences merely develop and flesh out this topic sentence.
These passages are not arguments because they lack an inferential
claim.
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iii. Illustrations:
are forms of exemplifying or clarifying instances on
concepts, issues or different subject matters.
This is to say that when a statement about a certain issue is
accompanied by different instances to exemplify it, it is
considered as an illustration.
“Mammals are vertebrate animals that nourish their
young with milk. For example, cats, horses, goats, monkeys,
and humans are mammals”.
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Cont.
“Water is an excellent solvent. It dissolves many minerals that
do not readily dissolve in other liquids. For example, salts
do not dissolve in most common solvent such as gasoline,
kerosene, etc. But many salts dissolve readily in water”.
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iv. Conditional Statements
A sentence constructed through an ‘if … then…” statement is a
conditional statement.
The component statement following the ‘if’ is called an antecedent, and
the one following ‘then’ is called consequent.
Conditional statements do not usually contain argument; rather they
signify the causal connection between the antecedent and the consequent.
there is no claim that either the antecedent or the consequent presents
evidence.
Example:
• If you study hard, you will score a good grade.
or
• You will score a good grade if you study hard.
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However, it is not always the case that all conditional statements express
only causal connections.
There are cases where conditional statements are interpreted as arguments,
when they express the outcome of a reasoning process.
As such, they may be said to have a certain inferential content.
Example
• If both Saturn and Uranus have rings, then Saturn has rings.
• If iron is less dense than mercury, then it will float in mercury.
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The relation between conditional statements and arguments may
now be summarized as follows:
1. A single conditional statement is not an argument.
2. A conditional statement may serve as either the premise or the
conclusion (or both) of an argument.
3. The inferential content of a conditional statement may be re-
expressed to form an argument.
The first two rules are especially pertinent to the recognition
of arguments.
According to the first rule, if a passage consists of a
single conditional statement, it is not an argument.
But if it consists of a conditional statement together
with some other statement, then, by the second rule,
it may be an argument, depending on such factors as
the presence of indicator words and an inferential
relationship between the statements. 29
Sufficient and necessary conditions
Conditional statements are especially important in logic because they express
the relationship between necessary and sufficient conditions.
(1) Sufficient condition:-: A is said to be a sufficient condition for B
whenever the occurrence of A is all that is needed for the occurrence of B.
For example, being a dog is a sufficient condition for being an animal.
• The first statement says that being a dog is a sufficient condition for being an
animal and
• the second that being an animal is a necessary condition for being a dog.
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Summary on recognizing arguments
In deciding whether a passage contains an argument or
not, one should look for three things:
1. indicator words such as ‘‘therefore,’’ ‘‘since,’’
‘‘because,’’ and so on;
2. an inferential relationship between the statements;
and
3. typical kinds of non-arguments.
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Types of Argument:- Deduction and Induction
Based on the kind of connection existed between the
premises and the conclusion, arguments can broadly be
classified in to two; deductive and inductive.
1. Deductive arguments: are arguments, which
their premises guarantee the conclusion in the sense that if
we assume that the premises are true, the conclusion must
be true.
In other words, the connection between the premises and
the conclusion in any deductive argument is a matter of
necessity or certainty
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Cont.
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1. The occurrence of special indicator word
The existence of words such as necessarily, certainly, absolutely,
and definitely in arguments show that such arguments are
deductive.
the existence words such as likely, probably, unlikely, plausibly
in arguments shows that such arguments are inductive.
But, these deductive and inductive indicator words cannot always
show the distinction between the two argument forms so that it is
mandatory to appeal to other criteria.
2. The actual strength of the inferential link between premises and
conclusion argument is another criterion to distinguish deductive
from an inductive argument.
If the conclusion is strictly or logically followed from the
premises, the argument will be deductive.
but if the conclusion is probably followed from the premises, the
argument is inductive. 36
Consider the following example:
1. Mathematical argumentations
2. Arguments from definition, and
3. Syllogisms -Categorical Syllogisms
-Hypothetical syllogisms
-Disjunctive syllogisms
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1. Mathematical argumentations: is an argument in which the
conclusion depends on some purely arithmetic or geometric
computation or measurement.
All arguments in pure mathematics are deductive, we can usually
consider arguments that depend on mathematics to be deductive as
well.
Example:
A surveyor might measure a square piece of land and, after
determining that it is 100 feet on each side, conclude that it contains
10,000 square feet.
But this does not mean that statistical argument forms are deductive
since they are characterized by probabilistic or
sampling procedures to arrive at a conclusion.
Thus, such statistical arguments are usually best
interpreted as inductive.
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2. Arguments from definition: is an argument in which
the conclusion is claimed to depend merely upon the
definition of some word or phrase used in the premise or
conclusion.
Example:
God is omniscient, it follows that =He knows
everything.
Honesty= truth person
These argument is deductive because its conclusions
follow with necessity from the definitions of ‘‘omniscient.’’
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syllogism
3. Syllogism : is an argument consisting of exactly
two premises and one conclusion
A. Categorical syllogism: is a syllogism in which each
statement begins with one of the words ‘‘all,’’ ‘‘no,’’ or
‘‘some.’’
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1. Prediction: the premises deal with some known event in the present
or past, and the conclusion moves beyond this event to some event in
the relative future.
Example
It has been raining for the whole days of this week, this
shows that it will rain for the coming weak.
Nearly everyone realizes that the future cannot be known with
certainty; thus, whenever an argument makes a prediction about the
future, one is usually justified in considering the argument inductive.
2. Argument from analogy: is an argument that depends on the existence
of an analogy or similarity, between two things or states of affairs.
Because of the existence of this analogy, a certain condition that
affects the better-known thing or situation is concluded to affect the
similar, lesser-known thing or situation.
on the existence of a similarity or analogy, between the two
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3. Inductive generalization: is an argument that proceeds from the
knowledge of a selected sample to some claim about the whole
group.
Because the members of the sample have a certain characteristic, it
is argued that all the members of the group have that same
characteristic.
Example:
→There are 100 students who are taking the course introduction to
logic. Among these students 10 of them were selected at
random and found to be intelligent. Therefore, this shows that
all of these students are intelligent.
→One might argue that because three oranges selected from a
certain crate were especially tasty and juicy, all the oranges from
that crate are especially tasty and juicy.
The above examples illustrate the use of statistics in inductive
argumentation.
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4. Argument from authority: is an argument in which the conclusion rests
upon a statement made by some presumed authority or witness.
Example:
A lawyer might argue that Mack committed the murder because an
eyewitness testified to that effect under oath.
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Validity and Truth
In addition to illustrating the basic idea of validity, these
above examples suggest an important point about validity
and truth.
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Valid Invalid
False All wines are soft drinks. All wines are whiskeys.
p Sprite is a wine. Guder is a whiskey.
True Therefore, Sprite is a Therefore, Guder is a wine.
C soft drink.
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The relationship between the validity of a deductive argument and the
truth or falsity of its premises and conclusion, as illustrated in Table is
summarized as follows:
Example:
All Mammals are animals.
All cows are Mammals.
Therefore, all cows are animals. 54
II. Some valid arguments have false premises and false conclusion:-
Example :
All Sharks are birds.
All birds are politicians.
Therefore, all Sharks are Politicians.
Although the premises of the above argument are in fact false, the
argument is valid.
III. Some invalid arguments have true premises and true Conclusion:-
Example:-
All birds are animals.
All grizzly bears are animals.
Therefore, all grizzly bears are birds.
The above argument is invalid because the conclusion does not follow
the premises with strict necessity. 55
IV. Some invalid arguments contain all true premises have false
conclusion:-
Example:
All banks are financial institutions.
Ethiopian Insurance is a financial institution.
Therefore, Ethiopian Insurance is a bank.
The premises of the above argument are true; however, the conclusion is
false. Such an argument cannot be valid because it is impossible for the
premises of a valid argument to be true and its conclusion to be false.
V. Some valid arguments have false premises and true conclusion.
Example
All Asians are Africans.
All Ethiopians are Asians.
Therefore, all Ethiopians are Africans.
The conclusion of this argument is true;
Moreover, it may be validly inferred from the two premises, both of which
are plainly false. 56
VI. Some invalid arguments also have false premises and true Conclusion:-
Example:
All Mammals have wings.
All Whales have wings.
Therefore, all whales are mammals.
VII. Some invalid arguments contain all false propositions - false premises
and false conclusion:-
Example:
All Americans are Europeans.
All Ethiopians are Europeans.
Therefore, all Ethiopians are Americans.
In conclusion, as it has been underlined before, the above examples
clearly witness that
there is no direct link between validity and truth
the truth or falsity of the proposition or statement of an argument can
never by itself guarantee the validity or invalidity of that argument. 57
Validity and Soundness
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On the other hand, a deductive unsound argument falls
into one of the following three categories:
Valid but at least one false premise.
Invalid but all its premises are true.
Invalid and at least one false premise.
Example:
All Animals are mammals.
All birds are animals.
Therefore, all birds are mammals.
Though the above argument is valid (because if we
assume that the premises are true, the conclusion would be
necessary true),
it is unsound because the argument involves
plainly false premises. 60
2.Evaluating Inductive Arguments
Strength and Weakness
An inductive argument, as defined earlier, is the one in
which its premises are claimed to support the conclusion in
such a way that
if they are assumed to be true, then based on this assumption it
is only probable that the conclusion is true.
If the premises do in fact support the conclusion in this way,
such an inductive argument can be considered as strong.
Strong inductive argument: is an inductive argument such that
it is improbable that the premises be true and the conclusion
false.
In such arguments, the conclusion follows probably from the
premises.
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Weak inductive argument: is an inductive argument such that
the conclusion does not follow probably from the premises, even
though it is claimed to.
It is not likely that if its premises are true, then its conclusion is true.
The procedure for testing the strength of inductive arguments runs
parallel to the procedure for deduction.
First we assume the premises are true, and
then we determine whether, based on that assumption, the conclusion
is probably true.
Example:
All dinosaur bones discovered to this day have been at least 50
million years old. Therefore, probably the next dinosaur bone to be
found will be at least 50 million years old.
In this argument the premise is actually true, so it is easy to assume
that it is true.
Based on that assumption, the conclusion is probably true, so the
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argument is strong.
Here is another example:
All meteorites/rocks found to this day have contained gold.
Therefore, probably the next meteorite to be found will contain gold.
The premise of this argument is actually false. Few, if any, meteorites
contain any gold.
But if we assume the premise is true, then based on that assumption,
the conclusion would probably be true. Thus, the argument is strong.
The next example is an argument from analogy:
When a lighted match is slowly dunked into water, the flame is
snuffed out. But gasoline is a liquid, just like water. Therefore, when
a lighted match is slowly dunked into gasoline, the flame will be
snuffed out.
In this argument the premises are actually true and the conclusion
is probably false.
Thus, if we assume the premises are true, then, based on that
assumption, it is not probable that the conclusion is true. Thus, the
argument is weak. 63
To sum, the following combinations so as to reveal the indirect
relationship between strength or weakness and truth or falsity.
I. A strong argument with true premises and a probably true conclusion
Example:
All previous American presidents were men. Therefore; probably the
next American president will be man.
II. A weak inductive argument with true premises and a probably true
conclusion.
Example:
A few American presidents were men. Therefore, probably the next
American president will be a man.
III. A weak inductive argument with true premise and a probably false
conclusion.
Example:
A few American presidents were federalists. Therefore, probably the
next American president will be a federalist.
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IV. A strong inductive argument with false premises and a
probably true conclusion.
Example:
All Previous American presidents were television
debates. Therefore, probably the next American
president will be a television debater.
V. A weak inductive argument with false premise and probably
true conclusion.
Example:
A few American presidents were libertarians.
Therefore, probably the next American president will be a
television debater.
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Cont.
VI. A strong inductive argument with false premise and
a probably false conclusion.
Example:-
All previous American presidents were women. Therefore,
probably the next American president will be a woman.
VII. A weak inductive argument with false promise and
probably false conclusion.
Example:-
A few American presidents were Libertarians. Therefore,
probably the next American president will be a Libertarian.
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The relationship between the strength of an inductive argument and
the truth or falsity of its premises and conclusion, can be illustrated
as follows:
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Unlike the validity and invalidity of deductive arguments, the
strength and weakness of inductive arguments admit of
degrees.
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Cont.
→This barrel contains 100 apples.
Eighty apples selected at random were found to be ripe.
Therefore, probably all 100 apples are ripe.
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Strength and Cogency
Cogent argument is an inductive argument
that is strong and has all true premises;
if either condition is missing, the argument is uncogent.
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Argument forms: Proving invalidity
In the previous section, we have seen that
validity is determined by the truth of a deductive argument’s
inferential claim.
If the inferential claim is true, then the conclusion follows with
strict necessity from the premises, and the argument is valid.
For such an argument, it is impossible for the premises to be true
and the conclusion false.
This section will explore that
the truth of a deductive argument’s inferential claim (that is, the
correctness of the argument’s reasoning) is determined by the form
of the argument.
In other words, validity is determined by form.
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Consider the following argument:
Argument
All oaks are trees.
All trees are plants.
Therefore, all oaks are plants.
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