Medium Questions

1 Sofia has a bag containing 8 blue beads and 7 red beads only. She takes one bead out of the bag at
random and replaces it. She does this 90 times.

Find the number of times she expects to take a red bead.

(2 marks)

3
2 One of the teachers at a school is chosen at random. The probability that this teacher is female is
5

There are 36 male teachers at the school.

Work out the total number of teachers at the school.

(3 marks)

3 Rhiana plays a game.

The probability that she will lose the game is 0.32

The probability that she will draw the game is 0.05

Rhiana is going to play the game 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times Rhiana will win the game.

(3 marks)

4 The table shows the probabilities that a biased dice will land on 2, on 3, on 4, on 5 and on 6

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 Number on dice 1 2 3 4 5 6

Probability 0.17 0.18 0.09 0.15 0.1

Neymar rolls the biased dice 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the total number of times the dice will land on 1 or on 3.

(3 marks)

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Hard Questions
1 (a) A bag contains 7 red discs, 5 green discs and 2 pink discs.

Helen takes one disc at random, records the colour and replaces it in the bag.
She does this 140 times.

Find how many times she expects to take a green disc.

(2 marks)

(b) Helen adds 9 green discs and some pink discs to the discs already in the bag.
2
The probability of taking a green disc is now .
7

Find the number of pink discs that Helen added to the bag.

(2 marks)

2 There are only blue counters, green counters, red counters and yellow counters in a bag.

Olga is going to take at random a counter from the bag.

The table shows the probability that Olga will take a blue counter and the probability that she will take a
yellow counter.

Colour blue green red yellow

Probability 0.4 0.15

The number of red counters in the bag is 4 times the number of green counters in the bag.

Complete the table.

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3 (a) There are some counters in a bag. The counters are red or white or blue or yellow.

Bob is going to take at random a counter from the bag.

The table shows each of the probabilities that the counter will be blue or will be yellow.

Colour red white blue yellow

Probability 0.45 0.25

There are 18 blue counters in the bag.

The probability that the counter Bob takes will be red is twice the probability that the counter will be
white.

Work out the number of red counters in the bag.

(4 marks)

(b) A marble is going to be taken at random from a box of marbles. The probability that the marble will be
silver is 0.5

There must be an even number of marbles in the box.

Explain why.

(1 mark)

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4 (a) Four friends each throw a biased coin a number of times.
The table shows the number of heads and the number of tails each friend got.

Ben Helen Paul Sharif

heads 34 66 80 120

tails 8 12 40 40

The coin is to be thrown one more time.

Which of the four friends' results will give the best estimate for the probability that the coin will land
heads? Justify your answer.

(1 mark)

(b) Paul says,

"With this coin you are twice as likely to get heads as to get tails."

Is Paul correct?
Justify your answer.

(2 marks)

(c) The coin is to be thrown twice.

Use all the results in the table to work out an estimate for the probability that the coin will land heads
both times.

(2 marks)

5 Becky has a biased 6-sided dice.

The table gives information about the probability that, when the dice is thrown, it will land on each
number.

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 Number 1 2 3 4 5 6

Probability 2x 0.18 2x 3x 0.26 x

Becky is going to throw the dice 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times that the dice will land on an even number.

(4 marks)

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Medium Questions
1 (a) A bag contains blue, red, yellow and green balls only. A ball is taken from the bag at random.
The table shows some information about the probabilities.

Colour Blue Red Yellow Green

Probability 0.15 0.2 0.43

Complete the table.

(2 marks)

(b) Abdul takes a ball at random and replaces it in the bag. He does this 200 times.

Find how many times he expects to take a red ball.

(1 mark)

2 A group of 200 people were asked which city they would like to visit next. The table shows the results.

City London Paris New York Tokyo

Number of people 50 48 56 46

A person from the group is chosen at random.

Write down the probability that this person would like to visit either Paris or Tokyo next.

(2 marks)

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3 (a) There are only red counters, blue counters, white counters and black counters in a bag.

The table shows the probability that a counter taken at random from the bag will be red or blue.

Colour red blue white black

Probability 0.2 0.5

The number of white counters in the bag is the same as the number of black counters in the bag.

Tania takes at random a counter from the bag.

Work out the probability that Tania takes a white counter.

(2 marks)

(b) There are 240 counters in the bag.

Work out the number of red counters in the bag.

(2 marks)

4 Tanya plants some seeds. When a seed produces flowers, the probability that the flowers are red is 0.6 and
the probability that the flowers are yellow is 0.3.

Tanya has a seed that produces flowers.

Find the probability that the flowers are not red and not yellow.

(1 mark)

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5 Suleika has six cards numbered 1 to 6.

She takes one card at random, records the number and replaces the card.

i) Write down the probability that the number is 5 or 6.

[1]

ii) Suleika does this 300 times. Find how many times she expects the number 5 or 6.

[1]

(2 marks)

The diagram shows 5 cards.

Donald chooses a card at random.

i) Write down the probability that the number of dots on this card is an even number.

[1]

ii) Write down the probability that the number of dots on this card is a prime number.

[1]

(2 marks)

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7 (a) Here is a four sided spinner. The spinner is biased.

The table shows the probabilities that the spinner will land on 1 or on 3

Number 1 2 3 4

Probability 0.2 0.1

The probability that the spinner will land on 2 is the same as the probability that the spinner will land on 4

Work out the probability that the spinner will land on 4.

(3 marks)

(b) Shunya is going to spin the spinner 200 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times the spinner will land on 3.

(2 marks)

8 Carol spins a spinner 80 times.

The table shows information about her results.

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 Outcome Frequency

J 39

K 25

L 16

Dan spins this spinner 300 times.

Work out an estimate for the number of times that Dan will get an L.

(3 marks)

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Hard Questions
1 Bill has some counters in a bag.

3 of the counters are red. 7 of the counters are blue. The rest of the counters are yellow.

Bill takes at random a counter from the bag.

2
The probability that he takes a yellow counter is
7

How many yellow counters are in the bag before Bill takes a counter?

(2 marks)

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2 (a) Karl wants to raise money for charity. He designs a game for people to play.

Karl uses a fair 10-sided dice for the game. The dice is numbered from 1 to 10

Each person will roll the dice once. A person wins the game if the dice lands on a multiple of 4

Ali plays the game once.

Work out the probability that Ali will win the game.

(2 marks)

(b) Each person pays 30p to play the game once. The prize for a win is £1

Karl thinks that the game will be played 100 times.

Work out an estimate for how much money Karl will raise for charity.

(3 marks)

3 There are only blue cubes, yellow cubes and green cubes in a bag.

There are

twice as many blue cubes as yellow cubes

and four times as many green cubes as blue cubes.

Hannah takes at random a cube from the bag.

Work out the probability that Hannah takes a yellow cube.

(3 marks)

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4 (a) There are only blue counters, yellow counters, green counters and red counters in a bag.
A counter is taken at random from the bag.

The table shows the probabilities of getting a blue counter or a yellow counter or a green counter.

Colour blue yellow green red

Probability 0.2 0.35 0.4

Work out the probability of getting a red counter.

(1 mark)

(b) What is the least possible number of counters in the bag?

You must give a reason for your answer.

(2 marks)

5 There are only red counters, blue counters and purple counters in a bag.
The ratio of the number of red counters to the number of blue counters is 3 : 17

Sam takes at random a counter from the bag.

The probability that the counter is purple is 0.2

Work out the probability that Sam takes a red counter.

(3 marks)

6 There are 5 girls, 6 boys and some adults in a room.

Jenny selects at random one of these people.

1
The probability that Jenny selects a girl is
3

Work out the probability that Jenny selects an adult.

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7 (a) There are 54 fish in a tank. Some of the fish are white and the rest of the fish are red.

Jeevan takes at random a fish from the tank.

4
The probability that he takes a white fish is
9

Work out the number of white fish originally in the tank.

(2 marks)

(b) Jeevan puts the fish he took out, back into the tank. He puts some more white fish into the tank. Jeevan
takes at random a fish from the tank.
1
The probability that he takes a white fish is now
2

Work out the number of white fish Jeevan put into the tank.

(2 marks)

8 There are 90 counters in a bag. Each counter in the bag is either red or blue so that

the number of red counters : the number of blue counters = 2 : 13

Li is going to put some more red counters in the bag so that

1
the probability of taking at random a red counter from the bag is
3

Work out the number of red counters that Li is going to put in the bag.

(4 marks)

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Medium Questions
1 A group of 200 people were asked which city they would like to visit next. The table shows the results.

City London Paris New York Tokyo

Number of people 50 48 56 46

Two people are chosen at random from the group of 200.

Find the probability that one person would like to visit London next and the other person would like to visit
New York next.
Give your answer as a percentage.

............................................ %

(3 marks)

2 A box contains 7 black pens and 8 orange pens. Two pens are chosen at random from this box without
replacement. Calculate the probability that at least one orange pen is chosen.

(3 marks)

3 A box contains 15 red pencils, 8 yellow pencils and 2 green pencils.

Two pencils are picked at random without replacement.
Find the probability that at least one pencil is red.

(3 marks)

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4 The speed, v km/h, of each of 200 cars passing a building is measured.
The table shows the results.

Speed (v km/h) 0 < v ≤ 20 20 < v ≤ 40 40 < v ≤ 45 45 < v ≤ 50 50 < v ≤ 60 60 < v ≤ 80

Frequency 16 34 62 58 26 4

Two of the 200 cars are chosen at random.

Find the probability that they both have a speed greater than 50 km/h.

(2 marks)

5 Ravi has a bag which contains 10 red balls and 8 blue balls.
Ravi takes two balls at random from his bag, without replacement.
Find the probability that one ball is red and one ball is blue.

(3 marks)

6 A box contains 20 packets of potato chips. 6 packets contain barbecue flavoured chips.
10 packets contain salt flavoured chips. 4 packets contain chicken flavoured chips.
Maria takes two packets at random without replacement.

9
Show that the probability that she takes two packets of salt flavoured chips is
38
.

(2 marks)

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Hard Questions
1 Sonia has a bag containing 20 sweets. In the bag, there are 5 red, 6 green and 9 yellow sweets.
Sonia chooses two sweets at random, without replacement, from the bag.

3
i) Show that the probability that she chooses two green sweets is .
38

[2]

ii) Calculate the probability that the sweets she chooses are not both the same colour.

[4]

(6 marks)

2 The heights, h metres, of the 120 boys in an athletics club are recorded.
The table shows information about the heights of the boys.

Height 1.3 < h ≤ 1.4 1.4 < h ≤ 1.5 1.5 < h ≤ 1.6 1.6 < h ≤ 1.7 1.7 < h ≤ 1.8 1.8 < h ≤ 1.9

(h
metres)

Frequency 7 18 30 24 27 14

Three boys are chosen at random from the club.

Calculate the probability that one of the boys has a height greater than 1.8 m and the other two boys each
have a height of 1.4 m or less.

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 (4 marks)

3 200 students estimate the total area, A m2 , of the windows in the classroom.
The table shows their results.

Area (A m2) 20 < A ≤ 60 60 < A ≤ 100 100 < A ≤ 150 150 < A ≤ 250

Frequency 32 64 80 24

Two students are chosen at random from those students that estimated the area of the windows to be
more than 100 m2.
Find the probability that one of the two students estimates the area to be greater than 150 m2 and the
other student estimates the area to be 150 m2 or less.

(3 marks)

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4 (a) ℰ= {students in a school}
F = {students who play football}
B = {students who play baseball}

There are 240 students in the school.

• 120 students play football

• 40 students play baseball
• 90 students play football but not baseball.

Complete the Venn diagram to show this information.

(2 marks)

(b) Two students who play baseball are chosen at random.

Find the probability that they both also play football.

(3 marks)

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5 Talika has a bag which contains 10 red balls and 8 blue balls. Talika takes three balls at random from her
bag, without replacement.
Calculate the probability that the three balls are the same colour.

(4 marks)

The Venn diagram above shows information about the number of students who study Music (M), Drama
(D) and Geography (G).

Two students are chosen at random from those who study Drama.
Calculate the probability that they both also study Music.

(3 marks)

7 A box contains 20 packets of potato chips. 6 packets contain barbecue flavoured chips.
10 packets contain salt flavoured chips.
4 packets contain chicken flavoured chips.
Maria takes two packets at random without replacement.

Find the probability that she takes two packets of different flavoured chips.

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Very Hard Questions
1 (a) This year, 40 students have each travelled by one or more of plane ( P ), train (T ) or boat (B ).
7 have travelled only by plane.
11 have travelled only by train.
9 have travelled only by boat.

n P∩T
( ) =8 n B∩T =3 n B∩P =6
( ) ( )

Complete the Venn diagram.

(3 marks)

(b) Two students are chosen at random.

Calculate the probability that they both have travelled only by plane.

(2 marks)

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(c) Two students are chosen at random from those who have travelled by train.
Calculate the probability that they both have also travelled by plane.

(2 marks)

2 A box contains 20 packets of potato chips.

6 packets contain barbecue flavoured chips.
10 packets contain salt flavoured chips.
4 packets contain chicken flavoured chips.

Maria takes three packets at random, without replacement, from the 20 packets.

Find the probability that she takes at least two packets of chicken flavoured chips.

(3 marks)

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3 (a) The diagram shows two sets of cards.

i) Jojo chooses two cards at random from Set A without replacement.

Find the probability that the two cards have the same number.

[3]

ii) Jojo replaces the two cards. Kylie then chooses one card at random from Set A and one card at random
from Set B.
Find the probability that the two cards have the same number.

[3]

iii) Who is the most likely to choose two cards that have the same number? Show all your working.

[1]

(7 marks)

(b)

Lena chooses three cards at random from Set C without replacement. Find the probability that the third
card chosen is numbered 4.

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Medium Questions
1 1 2 3 4 5

The diagram shows five cards.

Two of the cards are taken at random, without replacement.

Find the probability that both cards show an even number.

(2 marks)

Morgan picks two of these letters, at random, without replacement.

Find the probability that he picks

i) the letter Y first,

[1]

ii) the letter B then the letter Y.

[2]

(3 marks)

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3 A bag contains 4 red marbles and 2 yellow marbles.
Behnaz picks two marbles at random without replacement.

Find the probability that

i) the marbles are both red,

[2]

ii) the marbles are not both red.

[1]

(3 marks)

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Hard Questions
1

The diagram shows six discs. Each disc has a colour and a number.

Two of the six discs are picked at random without replacement. Find the probability
that

i) both discs have the number 3,

[2]

ii) both discs have the same colour.

[3]

(5 marks)

Morgan picks two of these letters, at random, without replacement.

Find the probability that he picks two letters that are the same.

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 (3 marks)

3 A bag contains 5 blue marbles and 2 green marbles.

Bryn picks one marble at random without replacement.
If this marble is not green, he picks another marble at random without replacement.
He continues until he picks a green marble.

Find the probability that he picks a green marble on his first, second or third attempt.

(4 marks)

4 Esme has a bag with 5 green counters and 4 red counters.

She takes three counters at random from the bag without replacement.
Work out the probability that the three counters are all the same colour.

(4 marks)

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5 (a)

Bag A contains 3 black balls and 2 white balls.

Bag B contains 1 black ball and 3 white balls.
A ball is taken at random from each bag.

i) Show that a black ball is more likely to be taken from bag A than from bag B.

[1]

ii) Find the probability that the two balls have different colours.

[3]

(4 marks)

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(b) The balls are returned to their original bags.
Three balls are taken at random from bag A, without replacement.

i) Find the probability that they are all black.

[2]

ii) Find the probability that they are all white.

[1]

(3 marks)

(c) The balls are returned to their original bags.

A ball is taken at random from bag A and its colour is recorded. This ball is then placed in
bag B.
A ball is then taken at random from bag B.
Find the probability that the ball taken from bag B has a different colour to the ball taken
from bag A.

(3 marks)

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Very Hard Questions
1

Morgan picks three of these letters, at random, without replacement.

Find the probability that

i) all three letters are the same,

[2]

ii) exactly two of the three letters are the same,

[5]

iii) all three letters are different.

[2]

(9 marks)

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2 Suleika has six cards numbered 1 to 6.

Suleika takes two cards at random, without replacement.

i) Find the probability that the sum of the numbers on the two cards is 5.

[3]

ii) Find the probability that at least one of the numbers on the cards is a square number.

[3]

(6 marks)

The diagram shows 5 cards.

Donald chooses two of the five cards at random, without replacement.

He works out the total number of dots on these two cards.

i) Find the probability that the total number of dots is 5.

[3]

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4 (a) Angelo has a bag containing 3 white counters and x black counters.
He takes two counters at random from the bag, without replacement.
Complete the following statement.

The probability that Angelo takes two black counters is

x
× ............
x + 3 ............

(2 marks)

7
(b) The probability that Angelo takes two black counters is .
15

i) Show that 4x 2 − 25x − 21 = 0.

[4]

ii) Solve by factorisation 4x 2 − 25x − 21 = 0.

x = .................... or x = ................. [3]

iii) Write down the number of black counters in the bag.

[1]

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Medium Questions
3
1 (a) On any Saturday, the probability that Arun plays football is
4
. On any Saturday, the
2
probability that Bob plays football is
5
.

Complete the tree diagram.

(2 marks)

(b) Calculate the probability that, one Saturday, Arun and Bob both play football.

(2 marks)

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(c) Calculate the probability that, one Saturday, either Arun plays football or Bob plays
football, but not both.

(3 marks)

2 A soccer team plays two matches.

The tree diagram shows the probability of the team winning or losing the matches.

Find the probability that the soccer team wins at least one of the two matches.

(3 marks)

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3 (a) ℰ= {students in a school}
F = {students who play football}
B = {students who play baseball}

There are 240 students in the school.

• 120 students play football

• 40 students play baseball
• 90 students play football but not baseball.

Complete the Venn diagram to show this information.

(2 marks)

(b) A student in the school is chosen at random.

Find the probability that this student plays baseball but not football.

(1 mark)

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4 The Venn diagram below shows information about the number of gardeners who grow
melons ( M ), potatoes (P ) and carrots (C ).

A gardener is chosen at random from the gardeners who grow melons.

Find the probability that this gardener does not grow carrots.

(2 marks)

5 At a fitness centre, the number of members using the exercise machines (E), the

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swimming pool (S) and the tennis courts (T) is shown on the Venn diagram.

A member using the swimming pool is chosen at random. Find the probability that this
member also uses the tennis courts and the exercise machines.

(2 marks)

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Hard Questions
1 (a) Tanya plants some seeds.
The probability that a seed will produce flowers is 0.8.
When a seed produces flowers, the probability that the flowers are red is 0.6 and the
probability that the flowers are yellow is 0.3.

Complete the tree diagram.

(2 marks)

(b) Find the probability that a seed chosen at random produces red flowers.

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 (2 marks)

(c) Tanya chooses a seed at random.

Find the probability that this seed does not produce red flowers and does not produce
yellow flowers.

(3 marks)

(d) Two of the seeds are chosen at random.

Find the probability that one produces flowers and one does not produce flowers.

(3 marks)

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2 (a) 40 children were asked if they have a computer or a phone or both.
The Venn diagram shows the results.

A child is chosen at random from the children who have a computer.

Write down the probability that this child also has a phone.

(1 mark)

(b) Complete the Venn diagram.

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3 (a) The Venn diagram shows information about the number of elements in sets A , B and ℰ
.

n A∪B
( ) = 23 Find the value of x .
x = ................................................

(3 marks)

(b) An element is chosen at random from ℰ .

Find the probability that this element is in ( A∪B ) '.

(2 marks)

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4 (a) Items made at a factory have to pass two checks.

90% pass the first check.

The items that fail are scrapped. 99% of the items that pass the first check pass the
second check.
The items that fail are scrapped.

Complete the tree diagram.

(2 marks)

(b) An item is chosen at random before the checks.

Work out the probability that the item is scrapped.

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Very Hard Questions
1 (a) Harris is taking a driving test.
The probability that he passes the driving test at the first attempt is 0.6.
If he fails, the probability that he passes at any further attempt is 0.75.

Calculate the probability that Harris passes the driving test at the second attempt.

(2 marks)

(b) Calculate the probability that Harris takes no more than three attempts to pass the
driving test.

(2 marks)

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2 (a) The probability that Andrei cycles to school is r .

Write down, in terms of r , the probability that Andrei does not cycle to school.

(1 mark)

(b) The probability that Benoit does not cycle to school is 1 . 3 − r . The probability that both
Andrei and Benoit do not cycle to school is 0 .4 .
i) Complete the equation in terms of r .

( ......................... × ......................... = 0 . 4
) ( )

[1]

ii) Show that this equation simplifies to 10r 2 − 23r + 9 = 0.

[3]

iii) Solve by factorisation 10r 2 − 23r + 9 = 0 .

r = ................... or r = ................... [3]

iv) Find the probability that Benoit does not cycle to school.

[1]

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3 (a) Anna plays a game with an ordinary, fair dice.

If she rolls 1 she wins. If she rolls 2 or 3 she loses. If she rolls 4, 5 or 6 she rolls again.

When she has to roll again,

if she rolls an odd number she wins if she rolls an even number she loses.

Complete the tree diagram with the four missing probabilities.

(2 marks)

(b) Is Anna more likely to win or to lose?

You must work out the probability that she wins.

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4 (a) On Friday, Greg takes part in a long jump competition. He has to jump at least 7.5 metres
to qualify for the final on Saturday.

He has up to three jumps to qualify.

If he jumps at least 7.5 metres he does not jump again on Friday.

Each time Greg jumps, the probability he jumps at least 7.5 metres is 0.8 Assume each
jump is independent. Complete the tree diagram.

First jump Second jump Third jump

(2 marks)

(b) Work out the probability that he does not need the third jump to qualify.

(2 marks)

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IGCSE Cambridge (CIE) Maths 1 hour 15 questions

Calculator Questions

Probability Diagrams
(Tree & Venn
Diagrams)
Two-Way Tables / Probabilities from Venn Diagrams / Probability Tree Diagrams /
Combined Probabilities

Medium (6 questions) /25 Scan here to return to the course

or visit savemyexams.com
Hard (5 questions) /23

Very Hard (4 questions) /19

Total Marks /67

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Medium Questions
1
1 (a) On any day the probability that it rains is .
3

3
When it rains the probability that Amira goes fishing is .
5
3
When it does not rain the probability that Amira goes fishing is .
4

In a period of 60 days on how many days is it expected to rain?

(1 mark)

(b) Complete the tree diagram.

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 (2 marks)

(c) Find the probability that on any day Amira goes fishing.

(3 marks)

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2 (a) A bag contains 15 red beads and 10 yellow beads.
Ariana picks a bead at random, records its colour and replaces it in the bag.
She then picks another bead at random.

Find the probability that she picks two red beads.

(2 marks)

(b) Find the probability that she does not pick two red beads.

(1 mark)

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3 (a) ℰ = {odd numbers less than 30}
A = {3, 9, 15, 21, 27}
B = {5, 15, 25}
Complete the Venn diagram to represent this information.

(4 marks)

(b) A number is chosen at random from the universal set, ℰ .

What is the probability that the number is in the set A ∪ B?

(2 marks)

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4 (a) Here is a Venn diagram.

Write down the numbers that are in set

i) A ∪B
[1]

ii) A ∩B
[1]

(2 marks)

(b) One of the numbers in the diagram is chosen at random.

'
Find the probability that the number is in set A .

(2 marks)

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5 (a) The numbers from 1 to 14 are shown in the Venn diagram.

i) List the members of the set A ∩B

[1]

ii) List the members of the set B ʹ

[1]

(2 marks)

(b) A number is picked at random from the numbers in the Venn diagram.

Find the probability that this number is in set A but is not in set B .

(2 marks)

6 A and B are two events.

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Some probabilities are shown on the Venn diagram.

Work out P ( '∪ B .

A )

(2 marks)

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Hard Questions
1 (a) There are 32 students in a class.

5 do not study any languages. 15 study German (G). 18 study Spanish (S).

Complete the Venn diagram to show this information.

(2 marks)

(b) A student is chosen at random.

Find the probability that the student studies Spanish but not German.

(1 mark)

(c) A student who studies German is chosen at random.

Find the probability that this student also studies Spanish.

(1 mark)

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 2
2 (a) On any Saturday, the probability that Bob plays football is
5
. Calculate the probability
that Bob plays football for 2 of the next 3 Saturdays.

(3 marks)

3
(b) On any Saturday, the probability that Arun plays football is
4
. When Arun plays football,
1
the probability that he scores the winning goal is
7
.
Calculate the probability that Arun scores the winning goal one Saturday.

(2 marks)

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3 (a) Machine A and machine B make bottles.

The probability that a bottle made by machine A is faulty is 0.02 The probability that a
bottle made by machine B is faulty is 0.05

Complete the probability tree diagram.

(2 marks)

(b) Shazia takes at random one bottle made by machine A and one bottle made by machine
B.

Work out the probability that at least one of these bottles is faulty.

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4 (a) A darts team is going to play a match on Saturday and on Sunday. The probability that
the team will win on Saturday is 0.45

If they win on Saturday, the probability that they will win on Sunday is 0.67 If they do not
win on Saturday, the probability that they will win on Sunday is 0.35

Complete the probability tree diagram.

(2 marks)

(b) Find the probability that the team will win exactly one of the two matches.

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5 (a) Two ordinary fair dice are rolled.

Complete the tree diagram.

(1 mark)

(b) Work out the probability that both dice land on a number less than 3.

(1 mark)

(c) Work out the probability that exactly one of the dice lands on a number less than 3.

(2 marks)

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Very Hard Questions
1

The diagram shows six discs. Each disc has a colour and a number.

Two of the six discs are picked at random with replacement.

Find the probability that both discs have the same colour.

(3 marks)

9
2 The probability that the school bus is late is .
10
15
If the school bus is late, the probability that Seb travels on the bus is .
16
3
If the school bus is on time, the probability that Seb travels on the bus is .
4

Find the probability that Seb travels on the bus.

(3 marks)

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 5
3 (a) The probability that it will rain tomorrow is .
8
1
If it rains, the probability that Rafael walks to school is .
6
7
If it does not rain, the probability that Rafael walks to school is .
10

Complete the tree diagram.

(3 marks)

(b) Calculate the probability that it will rain tomorrow and Rafael walks to school.

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 (2 marks)

(c) Calculate the probability that Rafael does not walk to school.

(3 marks)

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4 (a) Box A and box B each contain blue and green pens only.
Raphael picks a pen at random from box A and Paulo picks a pen at random from box B.
2
The probability that Raphael picks a blue pen is . The probability that both Raphael
3
8
and Paulo pick a blue pen is .
15

Find the probability that Paulo picks a blue pen.

(2 marks)

(b) Find the probability that both Raphael and Paulo pick a green pen.

(3 marks)

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