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Pronóstico Con Tendencia

The document presents a forecasting analysis of loans from 1994 to 2001, including data on actual loans and predicted values. It provides regression statistics such as r², mean squared error (MSE), slope, and intercept for the trend analysis. The forecasted values for future periods are also indicated, showing an upward trend in loan amounts.

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luis
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13 views1 page

Pronóstico Con Tendencia

The document presents a forecasting analysis of loans from 1994 to 2001, including data on actual loans and predicted values. It provides regression statistics such as r², mean squared error (MSE), slope, and intercept for the trend analysis. The forecasted values for future periods are also indicated, showing an upward trend in loan amounts.

Uploaded by

luis
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLS, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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A B C D E F G H I J K L M N O P

1 Forecasting with Trend Loans


2
3 Data Forecast Forecast for selected t Regression Statistics
4 Period t Zt t Z-hat t Z-hat r2 0.9853
5 1994 1 833 9 1679.61 25 3426.65 MSE 1246.329
6 1995 2 936 10 1788.8 11 1897.99
7 1996 3 1006 11 1897.99 5 1242.85 Slope 109.1905
8 1997 4 1120 12 2007.18 Intercept 696.8929
9 1998 5 1212 13 2116.37
10 1999 6 1301 14 2225.56
11 2000 7 1490 15 2334.75
12 2001 8 1608 16 2443.94
13 17 2553.13
14 18 2662.32
15 19 2771.51
16 20 2880.7
17
2100
18
19 Data
20 2000 Forecast
21
22
23 1900
24
25 1800
Zt

26
27
28 1700
29
30
1600
31
32
33 1500
34 8.5 9 9.5 10 10.5 11 11.5 12 12.5
35 t

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