Inference From Sample Hard Answer and Explanation
Inference From Sample Hard Answer and Explanation
ID: 85939da5
In a study of cell phone use, 799 randomly selected US teens were asked how
often they talked on a cell phone and about their texting behavior. The data are
summarized in the table above. Based on the data from the study, an estimate of
the percent of US teens who are heavy texters is 30% and the associated margin
of error is 3%. Which of the following is a correct statement based on the given
margin of error?
A. Approximately 3% of the teens in the study who are classified as heavy texters are not really heavy texters.
B. It is not possible that the percent of all US teens who are heavy texters is less than 27%.
D. It is doubtful that the percent of all US teens who are heavy texters is 35%.
Rationale
Choice D is correct. The given margin of error of 3% indicates that the actual percent of all US teens who are
heavy texters is likely within 3% of the estimate of 30%, or between 27% and 33%. Therefore, it is unlikely, or
doubtful, that the percent of all US teens who are heavy texters would be 35%.
Choice A is incorrect. The margin of error doesn’t provide any information about the accuracy of reporting in the
study. Choice B is incorrect. Based on the estimate and given margin of error, it is unlikely that the percent of all
US teens who are heavy texters would be less than 27%, but it is possible. Choice C is incorrect. While the percent
of all US teens who are heavy texters is likely between 27% and 33%, any value within this interval is equally
likely. We can’t be certain that the value is exactly 33%.
ID: c7e73ece
Views on Nuclear Energy
Use
Response Frequency
Strongly
56
favor
Somewhat
214
favor
Somewhat
104
oppose
Strongly
37
oppose
A researcher interviewed 411 randomly selected US residents and asked about their views on the use of nuclear energy.
The table above summarizes the responses of the interviewees. If the population of the United States was 300 million
when the survey was given, based on the sample data for the 411 US residents, what is the best estimate, in millions, of
the difference between the number of US residents who somewhat favor or strongly favor the use of nuclear energy and
the number of those who somewhat oppose or strongly oppose it? (Round your answer to the nearest whole number.)
Rationale
The correct answer is 94. Of those interviewed, “strongly favor” or “somewhat favor” the use of
nuclear energy, and interviewees “somewhat oppose” or “strongly oppose” the use of nuclear
energy. The difference between the sizes of the two surveyed groups is . The proportion of this
difference among the entire group of interviewees is . Because the sample of interviewees was selected at
random from US residents, it is reasonable to assume that the proportion of this difference is the same among all
US residents as in the sample. Therefore, the best estimate, in millions, of the difference between the number of
US residents who somewhat favor or strongly favor the use of nuclear energy and the number of those who
ID: 308084c5
A 52% 4.2%
B 48% 1.6%
The results of two random samples of votes for a proposition are shown above.
The samples were selected from the same population, and the margins of error
were calculated using the same method. Which of the following is the most
appropriate reason that the margin of error for sample A is greater than the
margin of error for sample B?
Rationale
Choice D is correct. Sample size is an appropriate reason for the margin of error to change. In general, a smaller
sample size increases the margin of error because the sample may be less representative of the whole
population.
Choice A is incorrect. The margin of error will depend on the size of the sample of recorded votes, not the
number of votes that could not be recorded. In any case, the smaller number of votes that could not be recorded
for sample A would tend to decrease, not increase, the comparative size of the margin of error. Choice B is
incorrect. Since the percent in favor for sample A is the same distance from 50% as the percent in favor for
sample B, the percent of favorable responses doesn’t affect the comparative size of the margin of error for the
two samples. Choice C is incorrect. If sample A had a larger margin of error than sample B, then sample A would
tend to be less representative of the population. Therefore, sample A is not likely to have a larger sample size.
ID: 9ba3e283
A. 16,200
B. 23,400
C. 30,600
D. 46,800
Rationale
Choice C is correct. It is given that 34.6% of 26 students in Mr. Camp’s class reported that they had at least two
siblings. Since 34.6% of 26 is 8.996, there must have been 9 students in the class who reported having at least two
siblings and 17 students who reported that they had fewer than two siblings. It is also given that the average
eighth-grade class size in the state is 26 and that Mr. Camp’s class is representative of all eighth-grade classes in
the state. This means that in each eighth-grade class in the state there are about 17 students who have fewer
than two siblings. Therefore, the best estimate of the number of eighth-grade students in the state who have
fewer than two siblings is 17 × (number of eighth-grade classes in the state), or .
Choice A is incorrect because 16,200 is the best estimate for the number of eighth-grade students in the state
who have at least, not fewer than, two siblings. Choice B is incorrect because 23,400 is half of the estimated total
number of eighth-grade students in the state; however, since the students in Mr. Camp’s class are representative
of students in the eighth-grade classes in the state and more than half of the students in Mr. Camp’s class have
fewer than two siblings, more than half of the students in each eighth-grade class in the state have fewer than
two siblings, too. Choice D is incorrect because 46,800 is the estimated total number of eighth-grade students in
the state.
ID: 916ffe9b
Poll Results
Angel Cruz
Terry Smith
The table shows the results of a poll. A total of voters selected at random were asked which candidate they would
vote for in the upcoming election. According to the poll, if people vote in the election, by how many votes would
Angel Cruz be expected to win?
A.
B.
C.
D.
Rationale
Choice B is correct. It's given that 483 out of 803 voters responded that they would vote for Angel Cruz. Therefore,
483
the proportion of voters from the poll who responded they would vote for Angel Cruz is 803 . It’s also given that
there are a total of 6,424 voters in the election. Therefore, the total number of people who would be expected to
483
vote for Angel Cruz is 6,424 803 , or 3,864. Since 3,864 of the 6,424 total voters would be expected to vote for Angel
Cruz, it follows that 6,424 - 3,864, or 2,560 voters would be expected not to vote for Angel Cruz. The difference in
the number of votes for and against Angel Cruz is 3,864 - 2,560, or 1,304 votes. Therefore, if 6,424 people vote in
the election, Angel Cruz would be expected to win by 1,304 votes.
Choice A is incorrect. This is the difference in the number of voters from the poll who responded that they would
vote for and against Angel Cruz.
Choice C is incorrect. This is the total number of people who would be expected to vote for Angel Cruz.
Choice D is incorrect. This is the difference between the total number of people who vote in the election and the
number of voters from the poll.