APIEMS2015 Submission 199
APIEMS2015 Submission 199
Ho Thanh Phong
Department of Industrial & Systems Engineering
International University – Vietnam National University, Ho Chi Minh city, Vietnam
Tel: (+84) 903718904, Email: [email protected]
Abstract. With the tradition of agriculture, Vietnam has long been regarded the land of many special tropical
fruits. However, the supply chain for such fruits are now facing with various problems which lead to
considerable diminishing in the profit. In this paper, taking the milk-apple in Vietnam as a case study, the fruit
is now facing with the problems of big fluctuate demand, storing method and ineffectively working supply
chain network. Many techniques such as: demand analysis and forecasting, products design, supply chain
network design, facilities planning, and so on will be used to solve the current difficulties. After the study, it is
realized that the local authority policy should take into consideration for the profit of the proposed
improvements in the paper and conduct to implement it. However, due to lacking of practical and limitation of
time, the marketing research and some other aspects are not covered and need to be considered in further
study.
†: Corresponding Author
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warehouse system for storing the fruit in the area. In many and Peter Meindl (2007), in their work ‘Supply Chain
cases, if the harvesting day is coming and the customer Management, Strategy, Planning and Operation’, indicated
demand fluctuates, the farmers cannot adapt the situation. that, facility location decisions have a long-term impact on
As a result, the dealer has to buy the fruit from the farmers a supply chain’s performance due to the reason that it
with a low price. would be expensive to shut down a facility or move it to the
The contribution of this paper includes the demand another location. A good location decision will help a
analysis and forecasting to solve the mentioned current supply chain working stably. Their model also help
problem of demand. Moreover, the contribution also identifying plant and warehouse locations between different
consists of the designing the Vietnam milk-apple supply locations which can minimize the total fixed and variable
chain network, which will be beneficial for operating the costs. Furthermore, M. Daskin, L. Snyder, R. Berger (2003)
network of facilities and distribution options. Then, the at the department of Industrial & Management Sciences at
product design and the inventory policy for the proposed University of Northwestern has their work ‘Facility
products of the fruit are also concerned. Location in Supply Chain Design’. The paper has shown
about the importance of facility location in supply chain
2. LITERATURE REVIEW design. They have indicated that a poorly placed plants and
warehouses can result in excessive costs. They began by
With the information from the official website of the reviewing classical models including the traditional fixed
People’s Committee of the Tien Giang province in Vietnam, charge facility location problem and then expanding the
Vietnam milk-apple is long time well-known as the theory of facility location decision to additional features
exclusive product of the Mekong Delta - Vietnam. The fruit such as vehicle routing, inventory management and
is popular and favorable for big fruit, beautiful skin and reliability.
special sweet. For recent years, the fruit is highly evaluated The role of Planning and Forecasting is to forecasting
by not only inland customer but international customers the demand and planning the materials to adapt the
also. However, due to the specification, the fruit cannot be forecasted demand. According to Sunil Chopra and his
stored for a long time more than 2 weeks to serve for partner (2007), demand forecast forms the basis of all
exporting and there is no solution for extending the storing supply chain planning. It means that, the supply chain
time of the fruit up to now. In 2010, the Department of managers need to understand and design with the most
Science and Technology published the report of ‘Extending appropriate forecasting method to manage their supply
and developing Vietnam milk-apple’, the report pointed out chain effectively. Planning – capacity, production,
the importance of storing the fruit and growing the fruit inventory and pricing – is necessary for the supply chain
with the compliance to GlobalGAP and VietGAP. The after demand being forecasted.
report also suggested to establish an official organization Russell and Taylor (2011) have stated “New products
which can function a warehouse to develop post-harvesting and services are the lifeblood of an organization” in their
technology to storing the fruit. In the same year, 2010, with work “Operations Management: Creating Value along the
the collaborative of the Center of Biotechnology and Bio- Supply Chain”. There is a big impact of product design on
engineering, Vietnam South Fruit Institute, Sub-institute of influencing the market of a business and that is the reason
Agriculture and Post-harvesting Technology published a why need to be managed effectively. They have also
handbook of ‘Processing and Storing Vietnam milk-apple’. mentioned about technology decision. Technology is
The handbook has mentioned about the process of another step that influence the cost, speed, quality, and
extending the fruit life and storing condition as well as a flexibility of operations. The capacity of the firm and later
proposed layout of a temporary warehouse which can store interaction was also decided by technology. A technologist
the fruit. However, the fruit is just be able to be kept in or a decision maker have to consider both aspect and
maximum time for 2 weeks and no further research has choose the most appropriate and most efficient choice.
been indicated. In a book of Tompkins and Associates (2008),
Decisions considering the location and capacity “Facilities planning”, facilities planning plays an
allocation of facilities characterize a crucial field of tactical importance role of not only a science but also a strategy. In
planning for supply chain management. An optimization of production, facilities planning related to the defining of
the supply network using a mixed integer linear how the manufacturing facility best supports production.
programming (MILP) model is proposed by Wouda in 2004. They also indicated that facilities planning was a wide
The objective of the study is to evaluating these strategies concept that related to facilities system, facilities layout and
through classification of the optimal number of plants, material handling system. 30 percent of the operation could
locations, and allocations of the product portfolios, while be reduced with a good facilities planning.
minimizing the sum of total cost. Moreover, Sunil Chopra
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Capacity Demand
Figure 1: Demand & capacity of Vietnam milk-apple in year 2012, 2013 and 2014.
3. DEMAND FORECASTING & CAPACITY Suppliers
ESTIMATION 1
4 Warehouse
2 3 Hub Candidates
3 Factory Distribution
5000 4085 Candidates Candidates Centers
1
Quantity (ton)
4000 3
3075 2992 3011
3000 1 1 1
4
1625 1800
2000 1130 5 2
1000
6 2 2 2
0
12 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
3
Month 8
Demand 3 3 3
9
Monthly forecasting demand of 4
Vietnam milk-apple in year 2015 10
11
Figure 2: Forecasted demand of Vietnam milk-apple
in year 2015 12
According to the statistics of department of
Figure 3: General framework of the milk-apple supply
Agriculture and Rural Development of Tien Giang province
chain network
- Vietnam, the recorded data of demand and capacity of the
Vietnam milk-apple in year 2012, 2013 and 2014 are shown while the farmer cannot adjust their harvesting time and the
in the figure 1. current fresh milk-apple is just could be stored in maximum
From the graph in figure 1, we can observed that, the 2 weeks.
peak of the demand is often in December (beginning of the
season), February (Lunar New Year month) and June (end 4. MILK-APPLE SUPPLY CHAIN NETWORK
of the season) while the productivity seem to be high in the
duration from January to March. That problem is the root As mentioned, the current supply chain network is
cause which leads to the big variation in the fruit price operating ineffectively. The purpose now is to design a
recent years. supply chain network which find the locations of the
A forecasting using Winter’s model is done to facilities and minimize the facility allocation cost and
estimate the fruit demand in year 2015. With the level, shipment costs subject to a requirement that all customer
trend and seasonality of demand, the Winter model is demands be met.
known to be the most accurate forecasting method with the The supply chain network could be separated in to 5
lowest MAD and the most appropriate method (S. Chopra main units. The units consist of: suppliers unit,
and P. Meindl, 2007). Applying α = 0.05, β = 0.1 and γ = procurement hubs unit, manufacturing plants unit,
0.1, the monthly forecasting result and the total forecasting warehouses unit and distribution centers unit. The functions
demand 17 717 tons of year 2015 is obtained. The goal now of each unit are connected and correlated base on the
is to supply the product as the monthly forecasted demand concept of the supply chain. Figure 3 shows the flow of
shown in figure 2. However, the goal seem to be impossible materials and goods, through a distribution network to
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location. With the policy of the local authority in the next + ∑ ∑ 𝑐𝑝𝑖 𝑥𝑝𝑖 + ∑ ∑ 𝑐𝑖𝑒 𝑥𝑖𝑒 + ∑ ∑ 𝑐𝑒𝑗 𝑥𝑒𝑗
ten year, the plant is required to be built with the capacity 𝑝=1 𝑖=1 𝑖=1 𝑒=1 𝑒=1 𝑗=1
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quantity of goods from procurement hub p to plant i. The Lastly, the constraint (9) means that each of the
sixth term minimizes sum of the total cost of transporting a procurement hub, plant and warehouse is either open or
specific quantity of goods from plant i to warehouse e. closed.
Lastly, the seventh term minimizes sum of the total cost of Table 1 represents the obtained optimal solution of 3
transporting a specific quantity of goods from warehouse e procurement hubs, 1 plant and 1 finished product
to distribution center j. The total cost of the supply chain warehouse.
will be minimized by the objective function subject to Table 1: Obtained optimal solution of unit location.
following constraints:
𝑑 Capacity
Unit Location
Allocation
∑ 𝑥ℎ𝑝 ≤ 𝑆ℎ for h = 1, . . , l (1)
𝑝=1
Vinh Kim commune 10,000
𝑑 𝑛 (10.355111, 106.246814) tons/year
∑ 𝑥ℎ𝑝 − ∑ 𝑥𝑝𝑖 ≥ 0 for p = 1, . . , d (2) Procurement Long Hung commune 10,000
𝑝=1 𝑖=1
Hub (10.363086, 106.261678) tons/year
𝑛 Song Thuan commune 10,000
∑ 𝑥𝑝𝑖 ≤ 𝑍𝑝 𝑦𝑝 for p = 1, . . , d (3) (10.33349, 106.2689) tons/year
𝑖=1 Song Thuan commune 30,000
Plant
𝑛 𝑡 (10.333612, 106.273146) tons/year
∑ 𝑥𝑝𝑖 − ∑ 𝑥𝑖𝑒 ≥ 0 for i = 1, . . , n (4) Finished Product Song Thuan commune 30,000
𝑖=1 𝑒=1 Warehouse (10.333612, 106.273146) tons/year
𝑡
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beautiful in skin outside but good of quality inside can be layout is proposed to be 900 m2 in total area after
utilized for processing. The farmers’ fruit selling price is no considering the material flow inside. The group layout is
more affected by the dealers. proposed for the plant by its advantages of combining the
benefit of both the product layout and process layout.
5.2 Facilities Planning The layout of the material warehouse and the finished
product warehouse is also concerned. The operation of the
With the planned product and planned quantity as warehouses, the necessary space for each area are identified
well as the requiring capacity of each unit, the planning for to obtained the best layout.
the facilities of each unit in the designed supply chain
network is concerned.
6. INVENTORY POLICY
We have a total of three procurement hub located at
the three center location of the all growing areas, which is
Inventory management has the function to keep
regarded as the ‘temporary warehouse’ and have the
enough inventory to adapt customer demand as they need.
function to purchase, collect and concentrate the fresh fruits
Changing inventory policies could result in considerable
from local farmers to transport to the plant.
altering the supply chain’s efficiency and responsiveness (S.
The internal are of the hub contains of three main
Chopra and P. Meindl, 2007). This section will consider the
areas: staging area, inspection area and distribution
inventory policy for the five products of the proposed plant
processing area. The staging area has the function as a
as the forecasted demand of year 2015.
buffer area to arrange materials (baskets of fruits) in order
waiting for the inspection. There are 3 lanes with the size
6.1 Choosing inventory replenishment policy
1m width and 5m length. So the total area for the staging
area is suggested for about 15 m2. In the inspection area,
The replenishment policy of the inventory includes
inspectors will check the quality of the materials at the
the determination of reordering time and reordering
inspection area. The total area of the inspection area is
quantity. Such determination will define the cycle inventory,
proposed to be 9 m2. The passed material from inspection
the safety inventory and cycle service level (CSL) also. In
area are put into big basket and waiting for putting on the
this case, there are two main types of policy are considered:
rack to wait for shipping in the distributive processing area.
Continuous Review Policy: In this type, the
Figure 4 shows the proposed general layout of each hub.
inventory is recorded continuously. The lot size Q is
ordered whenever the on hand inventory decreases to a pre-
Moving Flow of Suppliers
defined level, which is called the re-order point (ROP).
Toilet Moving Flow of Goods Periodic Review Policy: With this type, the
inventory stock status is checked regularly in periods. After
Distributive Processing Area Inspection Area determining the inventory in stock, the order will be placed
to increase the inventory stock to a specify level.
The Continuous Review policy seem to be applicable
in this case study due to the fact that our products are
perishable item.
FIFO
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Table 2: Forecasted demand and planning supply of fresh The re-order point is the level of the inventory at
milk-apple product. which an order is taken to replenish the inventory stock:
ROP = DL + ss = 61 + 284 = 345 tons
Demand Supply
Month
(ton) (ton) Moreover, we have the cycle inventory:
12 4085 1500
𝑄 98
1 3075 1500 Cycle inventory = = = 49 tons
2 2
2 2992 1500
Then, the warehouse required to holds an average
3 1625 1500 inventory of:
4 1130 1130 Average inventory = cycle inventory + safety
5 1800 1500 inventory = 49 + 284 = 333 tons
6 3011 1500
Each of the milk-apple freezing product spends:
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