Probability
Probability
Probability
2m
(ii) A student argues that there are 11 possible outcomes 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11 and 12.
1
Therefore, each of them has a probability . Do you agree with this argument? Justify your
11
answer.
Sol. ä The two dice are thrown together.
∴ Following are the possible outcomes:
(1, 1); (1, 2); (1, 3); (1, 4); (1, 5); (1, 6).
(2, 1); (2, 2); (2, 3); (2, 4); (2, 5); (2, 6).
(3, 1); (3, 2); (3, 3); (3, 4); (3, 5); (3, 6).
(4, 1); (4, 2); (4, 3); (4, 4); (4, 5); (4, 6).
(5, 1); (5, 2); (5, 3); (5, 4); (5, 5); (5, 6).
(6, 1); (6, 2); (6, 3); (6, 4); (6, 5); (6, 6).
⇒ Number of all possible outcomes is 6 × 6 = 36.
(i) Let the required probability be P(E).
(a) ä The sum on two dice is 3 for: (1, 2) and (2, 1)
∴ Favourable outcomes = 2
2
⇒ P(E) =
36
(b) ä The sum on two dice is 4 for: (1, 3), (2, 2) and (3, 1).
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 3
3
⇒ P(2) =
36
(c) ä The sum on two dice is 5 for:
(1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2) and (4, 1)
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 4
4
⇒ P(E) =
36
(d) The sum on two dice is 6 for:
(1, 5), (2, 4), (3, 3), (4, 2) and (5, 1)
∴ Number favourable outcomes = 5
5
⇒ P(E) =
36
(e) The sum on two dice is 7 for:
(1, 6), (2, 5), (3, 4), (4, 3), (5, 2) and (6, 1)
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 6
6
⇒ P(E) =
36
(f) The sum on two dice is 9 for:
(3, 6), (4, 5), (5, 4) and (6, 3)
∴ Number of favourable outcome = 4
4
⇒ P(E) =
36
(g) The sum on two dice is 10 for:
(4, 6), (5, 5), (6, 4)
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 3
3
⇒ P(E) =
36
(h) The sum on two dice is 11 for:
(5, 6) and (6, 5)
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 2
2
⇒ P(E) =
36
Thus, the complete table is as under:
Event:
‘Sum on 2 dice’ 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 2 3 4 5 6 5 4 3 2 1
Probability
36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36 36
(ii) No. The number of all possible outcomes is 36 and not 11.
∴ The argument is not correct.
Q. 23. A game consists of tossing a one rupee coin 3 times and noting its outcome each time. Hanif wins
if all the tosses give the same result i.e., three heads or three tails, and loses otherwise. Calculate
the probability that Hanif will lose the game.
Sol. Let T denotes the tail and H denotes the head.
∴ All the possible outcomes are:
H H H, H H T, H T T, T T T, T T H, T H T, T T H, H T H
∴ Number of all possible outcomes = 8
Let the event that Hanif will lose the game be denoted by E.
∴ Favourable events are:
H H T, H T H, T H H, T H T , T T H, H T T
⇒ Number of favourable outcomes = 3
6 3
∴ P (E) = = .
8 4
Q. 24. A die is thrown twice. What is the probability that
(i) 5 will not come up either time? (ii) 5 will come up at least once?
[Hint: Throwing a die twice and throwing two dice simultaneously are treated as the same
experiment.]
Sol. Since, throwing a die twice or throwing two dice simultaneously is the same.
∴ All possible outcomes are:
(1, 1); (1, 2); (1, 3); (1, 4); (1, 5); (1, 6)
(2, 1); (2, 2); (2, 3); (2, 4); (2, 5); (2, 6)
(3, 1); (3, 2); (3, 3); (3, 4); (3, 5); (3, 6)
(4, 1); (4, 2); (4, 3); (4, 4); (4, 5); (4, 6)
(5, 1); (5, 2); (5, 3); (5, 4); (5, 5); (5, 6)
(6, 1); (6, 2); (6, 3); (6, 4); (6, 5); (6, 6)
∴ All possible outcomes = 36
(i) Let E be the event that 5 does not come up either time, then
The favourable outcomes are [36 − (5 + 6)] = 25
25
⇒ P(E) =
36
(ii) Let N be the event that 5 will come up at least once, then Number of favourable
outcomes = 5 + 6 = 11
11
∴ P(N) = .
36
Q. 25. Which of the following arguments are correct and which are not correct? Give reasons for your
answer.
(i) If two coins are tossed simultaneously there are three possible outcomes—two heads, two tails
1
or one of each. Therefore, for each of these outcomes, the probability is .
3
(ii) If a die is thrown, there are two possible outcomes—an odd number or an even number.
1
Therefore, the probability of getting an odd number is .
2
Sol. (i) Not correct.
Because, the situation ‘one of each’ can result in two ways HT and TH.
1
∴ The probability = .
4
(ii) Correct.
Because the two outcomes are possible.
NCERT TEXTBOOK QUESTIONS SOLVED
EXERCISE 15.2
Q. 1. Two customers Shyam and Ekta are visiting a particular shop in the same week (Tuesday to
Saturday). Each is equally likely to visit the shop on any day as on another day. What is the
probability that both will visit the shop on (i) the same day? (ii) consecutive days? (iii) different
days?
Sol. Here, the number of all the possible outcomes
= 5 × 5 = 25
(i) For both customers visiting same day:
Number of favourable outcomes = 5
[ä (Tue., Tue.), (Wed., Wed.), (Thu., Thu.), (Fri., Fri.), (Sat., Sat.)]
5 1
∴ Required probability = =
25 5
(ii) For both the customers visiting on consecutive days:
Number of outcomes are:
(Tue., Wed.), (Wed., Thu.), (Thu., Fri.), (Fri., Sat.), (Sat., Fri.), (Wed., Tue.),
(Thu., Wed.), (Fri., Thu.)
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 8
8
⇒ Required probability =
25
(iii) For both the customers visiting on different days:
1
We have probability for both visiting same day =
5
∴ Probability for both visiting on different days
= 1 − [Probability for both visiting on the same day]
= 1−
1
=
5−1 LM OP
=
4
5 5 NQ 5
4
⇒ The required probability = .
5
Q. 2. A die is numbered in such a way that its faces show the numbers 1, 2, 2, 3, 3, 6. It is thrown two
times and the total score in two throws is noted. Complete the following table which gives a few
values of the total score on the two throws:
Number in first throw
+ 1 2 2 3 3 6
Number in second throw
1 2 3 3 4 4 7
2 3 4 4 5 5 8
3 5 9
6 7 8 8 9 9 12
What is the probability that the total score is
(i) even? (ii) 6? (iii) at least 6?
Sol. The completed table is as under:
1 2 3 4 5 6
1 2 3 3 4 4 7
2 3 4 4 5 5 8
3 3 4 4 5 5 8
4 4 5 5 6 6 9
5 4 5 5 6 6 9
6 7 8 8 9 9 12
∴ Number of all possible outcomes = 36
(i) For total score being even:
Favourable outcomes = 18
[ä The even outcomes are: 2, 4, 4, 4, 4, 8, 4, 4, 8, 4, 6, 6, 4, 6, 6, 8, 8]
18 1
∴ The required probability = =
36 2
(ii) For the score being 6:
In list of score, we have four 6′ s.
∴ Favourable outcomes = 4
4 1
∴ Required probability = =
36 9
(iii) For the score being at least 6:
The favourable scores are:
7, 8, 8, 6, 6, 9, 6, 6, 9, 7, 8, 8, 9, 9 and 12
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 15
15 5
⇒ Required probability = = .
36 12
Q. 3. A bag contains 5 red balls and some blue balls. If the probability of drawing a blue ball is double
that of a red ball, determine the number of blue balls in the bag.
Sol. Let the number of blue balls in the bag be x.
∴ Total number of balls = x + 5
Number of possible outcomes = (x + 5).
For a blue ball favourable outcomes = x
∴ Probability of drawing a blue ball
x
=
x+5
Similarly, probability of drawing a red ball
5
=
x+5
Now, we have
x
= 2
5 LM OP
x+5 x+5 N Q
x 10
⇒ = ⇒ x = 10
x+5 x+5
Thus the required number of blue balls = 10.
Q. 4. A box contains 12 balls out of which x are black. If one ball is drawn at random from the box,
what is the probability that it will be a black ball?
If 6 more black balls are put in the box, the probability of drawing a black ball is now double of
what it was before. Find x.
Sol. ä The total number of balls in the box = 12
∴ Number of possible outcomes = 12
Case-I: For drawing a black ball
Number of favourable outcomes = x
x
∴ Probability of getting a black ball =
12
Case-II: When 6 more black balls are added
Now, the total number of balls
= 12 + 6
= 18
⇒ Number of possible outcomes = 18
Since, the number of black balls now
= (x + 6).
⇒ Number of favourable outcomes = (x + 6)
x+6
∴ Required probability =
18
Applying the given condition:
x+6 FG IJ
x
ä
18
= 2
H K
12
∴ 12 (x + 6) = 36x ⇒ 12x + 72 = 36x
⇒ 36x − 12x = 72 ⇒ 24x = 72
72
⇒ x = = 3
24
Thus, the required value of x is 3.
Q. 5. A jar contains 24 marbles, some are green and others are blue. If a marble is drawn at random
2
from the jar, the probability that it is green is . Find the number of blue balls in the jar.
3
Sol. ä There are 24 marbles in the jar.
∴ Number of possible outcomes = 24.
Let there are x blue marbles in the jar.
∴ Number of green marbles = 24 − x
⇒ Favourable outcomes = (24 − x)
∴ Required probability for drawing a green marble
24 − x
=
24
Now, according to the condition, we have:
24 − x 2
=
24 3
⇒ 3 (24 − x) = 2 × 24
⇒ 72 − 3x = 48
⇒ 3x = 72 − 48
⇒ 3x = 24
24
⇒ x = = 8
3
Thus, the required number of blue balls is 8.
MORE QUESTIONS SOLVED
I. VERY SHORT ANSWER TYPE QUESTIONS
Q. 1. A letter is chosen at random from English alphabet. Find the probability that the letter chosen
precedes ‘g’.
Sol. Total number of letters in English alphabet is 26.
∴ Total number of possible outcomes = 26
ä Letters preceding ‘g’ are:
a, b, c, d, e and f
∴ Favourable outcomes = 6
6 3
⇒ Required probability = = .
26 13
Q. 2. A letter of English alphabet is chosen at random. Determine the probability that the letter is a
consonant. [NCERT Exemplar]
Sol. There are 26 letters in English alphabets.
⇒ Possible outcomes = 26
Q There are 5 vowels (a, e, i, o, u) and remaining are consonants.
∴ Number of consonants = 26 – 5 = 21
⇒ Favourable outcomes = 21
21
∴ P(consonants) =
26
Q. 3. A bag contains 9 black and 12 white balls. One ball is drawn at random. What is the probability
that the ball drawn is black?
Sol. Total number of balls = 9 + 12 = 21
⇒ Number of possible outcomes = 21
Number of black balls = 9
⇒ Number of favourable outcomes = 9
9 3
∴ Required probability = = .
21 7
Q. 4. Find the probability that a number selected from the numbers 1 to 25 which is not a prime number
when each of the given number is equally likely to be selected.
Sol. Total number of given numbers = 25
Since the numbers 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19 and 23 are prime number.
There are 9 numbers.
∴ Number of numbers that are not prime = 25 − 9 = 16
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 16
16
⇒ Required probability = .
25
Q. 15. Cards bearing numbers 3 to 20 are placed in a bag and mixed thoroughly. A card is taken out
from the bag at random. What is the probability that the number on the card taken out is an even
number? (CBSE 2008 C)
Sol. Total number of cards (3 to 20) = 18
∴ Number of possible outcomes = 18
Since cards having even numbers (4, 6, 8, 10, 12, 14, 16, 18 and 20) are 9,
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 9
9 1
∴ P(E) = or .
18 2
Q. 16. Two friends were born in the year 2000. What is the probability that they have the same birthday ?
(AI CBSE 2008 C)
Sol. Since the year 2000 was a leap year,
∴ Total number of days in the year = 366
ä They have the same birthday.
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 1
1
⇒ P(E) = .
366
Q. 17. A box contains cards marked with numbers 5 to 20. A card is drawn from the bag at random. Find
the probability of getting a number which is a perfact square. (AI CBSE 2008 C)
Sol. ä Total number of cards = 16
∴ Possible outcomes are 16.
Since the numbers 9 and 16 are perfect numbers,
⇒ Number of favourable outcomes = 2
2 1
∴ P (E) = or .
16 8
3 1
⇒ Required Probability = or
36 12
TEST YOUR SKILLS
1. Cards bearing numbers 1, 3, 5, ..., 35 are kept in a bag. A card is drawn at random from
the bag. Find the probability of getting a card bearing:
(i) a prime number less than 15.
(ii) a number divisible by 3 and 5.
2. Red kings, queens and jacks are removed from a deck of 52 playing cards and then well-
shuffled. A card is drawn from the remaining cards. Find the probability of getting (i) King
(ii) a red card (iii) a spade.
3. One card is drawn from a well-shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting:
(i) A king of red suit. (ii) A queen of black suit.
(iii) A jack hearts. (iv) A red face card.
4. A bag contains 5 red balls and some blue balls. If the probability of drawing a blue ball
from the bag is thrice that of a red ball, find the number of blue balls in the bag.
Hint: Let number of blue balls = x
∴ Total number of balls = (5 + x)
x È 5 ˘
P(blue = 3 × P(red ball) = 3Í
⇒
ball)
x+5 Î x + 5 ˙˚
5. In a throw of a coin, find the probability of getting a head.
6. Two coins are tossed together find the probability of getting:
(i) at least one tail.
(ii) one head
7. An unbiased die is thrown once, find the probability of getting:
(i) a number greater than 4.
(ii) a multiple of 3.
8. Two dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting different numbers
on both the dice. [NCERT Exemplar]
Hint: P(different numbers on both dice) = 1 – P(same number on both dice)
9. Two dice are thrown at the same time. Find the probability of getting same number on
both the dice.
10. A pair of dice is thrown once. Find the probability of getting an odd number on each die.
11. A lot consists of 48 mobile phones of which 42 are good, 3 have only minor defects and
3 have major defects. Varnika will buy a phone if it is good but the trader will only buy
a mobile if it has no major defect. One phone is selected at random from the lot. What
is the probability that it is:
(i) acceptable to Varnika?
(ii) acceptable to the trader? [NCERT Exemplar]
12. Find the probability that a number selected at random from the numbers 1, 2, 3, ..., 35 is a:
(i) prime number
(ii) multiple of 7
(iii) a prime number less than 15.
13. A bag contains 5 red marbles, 8 white marbles and 4 green marbles. What is the probability
that if one marble is taken out of the bag at random it will not be a green marble?
14. One card is drawn from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. Find the probability of getting:
(i) the queen of diamond
(ii) an ace of hearts
(iii) a spade.
Hint: (i) There is only one queen of diamond.
(ii) There is only one ace of hearts.
(iii) There are 13 spade cards.
15. Find the probability of getting 53 Sundays in a leap year. (CBSE 2012)
Hint: Number of days in a normal year = 365
Number of days in a leap year = 366
Number of weeks, in a normal year = 52, means 52 Sundays
[366 – (52 × 7)] = 2 extra days in a leap year.
These two extra days may have sample-space as:
(Monday – Tuesday), (Tuesday – Wednesday), (Wednesday – Thursday), (Thursday –
Friday), (Friday – Saturday), (Saturday – Sunday), (Sunday – Monday).
i.e. out of 7 sample spaces, only two are favourable.
2
⇒P (53 Sundays in a leap year) =
7
16. One letter is chosen at random amongst letters of the word Mathematics. Find the
probability that the letter chosen is a:
(i) vowel (ii) consonant
17. Two coins are tossed simultaneously. Find the probability of getting:
(i) two Heads (ii) at least one Head
(iii) no Head.
Hint: In a throw of two coins simultaneously the four possible outcomes are
HH, HT, TH, TT
18. A die is thrown once. What is the probability of getting a number greater than 4?
19. What is the probability that a number selected at random from the numbers 3, 4, 5, ..., 9
is a multiple of 4?
20. From a well suffled pack of playing cards, black jacks, black kings and black aces are
removed. A card is then drawn from the pack. Find the probability of getting:
(i) a red card (ii) not a diamond card.
21. A bag contains cards which are numbered from 2 to 90. A card is drawn at random from
the bag. Find the probability that it bears.
(i) a two-digit number (ii) a number which is a perfect square.
22. Cards numbered 1 to 30 are put in a bag. A card is drawn at random from this bag. Find
the probability that the number on the drawn card is :
(i) not divisible by 3. (ii) a prime number greater than 7.
(iii) not a perfect square number. [AI CBSE (Foreign) 2014]
Hint: Total possible outcomes = 30
(i) Numbers not divisible by 3 [1 to 30] are :
1, 2, 4, 5, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 20, 22, 23, 25, 26, 28, 29,
∴ Number of favourable outcomes = 20
20 2
⇒ Required Probability = =
30 3
(ii) Prime numbers greater than 7 are : 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29
6 1
∴ Required probability = =
30 5
(iii) Perfect squares are 1, 4, 9, 16, 25 ⇒ Total No. = 5
30 − 5 25 5
∴ Required pribability = = =
30 30 6
23. Two different dice are tossed together. Find the probability :
(i) That the numbers on either die is even.
(ii) That the sum of numbers appearing on the two dice is 5. [AI CBSE 2014]
Hint: Total possible outcomes = 36
(i) Numbers of favourable outcomes = 9
[ Q (2, 2), (2, 4), (2, 6), (4, 2), (4, 4) (4, 6) (6, 2), (6, 4) and (6, 6) are desired outcomes.
9 1
Required Probability = =
36 4
(ii) Desired (favourable) outcomes are : (1, 4), (2, 3), (3, 2), (4, 1)
4 1
Required Probability = =
36 9
24. Red queens and black jacks are removed from a pack of 52 playing cards. A card is drawn
at random from the remaining cards, after reshuffling them. Find the probability that the
card drawn is :
(i) a king (ii) of red colour
(iii) a face-card (iv) a queen [AI CBSE 2014]
Hint: A pack of playing cards consists of 52 cards. 2 red queens and 2 black jacks are removed.
Therefore, remaining number of cards = 52 - 4 = 48.
4 1
(i) Numbers of kings = 4 ⇒ Required P = =
48 12
24 1
(ii) Remaining red cards = 26 – 2 = 24 ⇒ Required P = =
48 2
8 1
(iii) Remaining face-cards = 12 – 4 = 8 ⇒ Required P = =
48 6
2 1
(iv) Remaining queens = 4 – 2 = 2 ⇒ Required P = =
48 24
25. Rahim tosses two different coins simultaneously. Find the probability of getting at least
one tail. [CBSE (Delhi) 2014]
Hint: Total outcomes = 4 (HH, HT, TH, TT)
Fovourable outcomes = 3 (HT, TH, TT)
⇒ Required P = 3 4
26. A bag contains cards numbered from 1 to 49. A card is drawn from the bag at random, after
mixing the cards thoroughly. Find the probability that the number on the drawn card is :
(i) an odd number (ii) a multiple of 5
(iii) a perfect square (iv) an even prime number [CBSE (Delhi) 2014]
Hint: Possible outcomes = 49
(i) Odd numbers are : 1, 3, 5, 7, 9, 11, 13, 15, 17, 19, 21,
⇒ Favourable outcomes = 25
23, 25, 27, 29, 31, 33, 35, 37, 39, 41, 43, 45, 57, 49
⇒ Required P = 25 49
(ii) Multiples of 5 are = 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, 30, 35, 40, 45 ⇒ P = 9 49
(iii) Perfect squares are : 1, 4, 9, 16, 25, 36, 49 ⇒ P = 7 49 = 1 7
1
(iv) Even Primes are : only 2. ⇒ P =
49
ANSWERS
Test Your Skills
1 10 1 1 1 3
1. (i) 1 , (ii) 2. (i) 1 , (ii) , (iii) 13 3. (i) , (ii) , (iii) , (iv)
3 9 23 23 46 26 26 52 26
3
4. 15 5.
1
6. (i) , (ii) 1
2 4 2
1 1 5 1
7. (i) , (ii) 8. 9.
3 3 6 6
1 7 15 11 1 6
10. 11. (i) , (ii) 12. (i) , (ii) , (iii)
4 8 16 35 7 35
13 1 1 1 2
13. 14. (i) , (ii) , (iii) 15.
17 52 52 4 7
4 7 1 3 1
16. (i) , (ii) 17. (i) , (ii) , (iii) 18. 1
11 11 4 4 4 3
13 33 81 8
19. 2 20. (i) , (ii) 21. (i) , (ii)
7 23 46 89 89