Lecture 4
Lecture 4
Lecture 4
2
Overview
➢ Know the important bond features and bond types
➢ Understand bond values and why they fluctuate
➢ Understand bond ratings and what they mean
➢ Know how bond prices are quoted
➢ Understand the impact of inflation on interest rates
➢ Understand the term structure of interest rates and the
determinants of bond yields
3
What is a bond?
➢ A bond is any debt instrument that promises an income
stream to the holder and the repayment of the face value
(principal) at maturity
• Examples: Corporate bonds, Treasury bonds
4
What is a bond?
5
LO1
Bond: important parameters
➢ Par value (face value)
➢ Coupon rate
➢ Coupon payment
➢ Maturity date
➢ Yield or Yield to maturity
6
Zero Coupon Bonds
➢ A zero-coupon bond is a bond issued at a discount that
matures at par or face value
Note: For zero-coupon bonds assume annual compounding unless otherwise stated
7
Bond Valuation: Semi-Annual Coupons
➢ So far, we have assumed that all bonds pay annual
coupons
• This is true for many Eurobonds; not true for most
domestic bond issues which pay semi-annual
coupons
• The standard North American method of expressing
bond coupons & yields is as a stated rate per year,
compounded semi-annually
➢ We adjust the bond valuation formula for semi-annual
coupons
• Size of the coupon payment → Divide by 2
• Number of periods → Multiply by 2
• Yield-to-maturity → Divide by 2
8
Bond Yields
➢ Yield-to-maturity (YTM) – the discount rate used to
value bonds
• The yield earned by a bond investor who:
• Purchases the bond at the current market price
• Held the bond to maturity
• Reinvested all of the coupons at the YTM
• Represents the bond’s Expected Rate of Return
C 1 F
B = 1 − +
r ( 1 + r)n ( 1 + r)n
NOTE: YTM is that discount rate that causes the sum of the present value
of promised cash flows to equal the current bond price.
9
Example:
For example, suppose you want to value a
10-year, $1,000 Government of Canada bond
with a 5% coupon, paid twice a year, given a
YTM of 6%.
1 1 F F
B = C − n
+ = C Ar +
n
r r( 1 + r) ( 1 + r)n
( 1 + r)n
➢ Problem: can’t
solve for YTM C 1 F
B= 1 − +
algebraically; r ( 1 + r)n ( 1 + r)n
therefore, must either 30 1 1000
1030 = 1 − 40
+
use a financial r ( 1 + r) ( 1 + r)40
calculator or trial and
error.
11
YTM Calculation Continued
➢ Solving for YTM on the Calculator
➢ Remember to clear the memory first (in the BAII Plus: 2ndFV Mode)
➢ (YTM and IRR are the same thing)
Solving for YTM
30 PMT
1000 FV
40 n
-1030 PV
Comp I/Y => 2.87%x 2 = 5.74% YTM
Note: When solving for YTM with a semi-annual pay coupon, the yield
obtained must be multiplied by two to obtain the annual YTM
12
LO2 Valuing a Discount Bond with Annual
Coupons
➢ Consider a bond with a coupon rate of 10% and coupons
paid annually. The par value is $1000 and the bond has 5
years to maturity. The yield to maturity is 11%. What is
the value of the bond?
13
Valuing a Premium Bond with Annual
Coupons
➢ Suppose you are looking at a bond that has a 10%
annual coupon and a face value of $1000. There are 20
years to maturity and the yield to maturity is 8%.
➢ What is the price of this bond?
14
Bond Prices:
Relationship Between Coupon & Yield
• If YTM = coupon rate, then par value = bond price
– Selling at a par
• If YTM > coupon rate, then par value > bond price
– Selling at a discount, called a discount bond
• If YTM < coupon rate, then par value < bond price
– Selling at a premium, called a premium bond
15
Factors Affecting Bond Prices
• Yield-to-maturity (interest rate risk)
• Bond prices decrease when the YTM increases
• Bond prices increase when the YTM decreases
17
Differences Between Debt and Equity
➢ Equity
• Ownership interest
• Common shareholders vote for the board of
directors and other issues
• Dividends are not considered a cost of doing
business and are not tax deductible
• Dividends are not a liability of the firm and
shareholders have no legal recourse if dividends are
not paid
• An all equity firm can not go bankrupt
18
LO1
The Bond Indenture
19
Corporate Long-Term Debt: Corporate
Bonds
➢ Issuer: Corporation
➢ Default: If firm does not pay debt, firm defaults and
creditors take control. Default creates additional risk for
corporate bondholders versus government bondholders.
➢ Control Rights: Creditors do not usually have voting power
or other ownership rights.
➢ Loan contract: Since they don’t have control, creditors
protect themselves using loan contracts.
➢ Tax Treatment: Interest on debt is fully tax-deductible.
20
Some Special Features of Corporate Bonds
• Covenants: Various clauses that protect bondholders by limiting
management actions when firm is near defaults.
• Senior vs Subordinated bond: Seniority gives bondholder “first
rights” in case of default.
• Security: Gives bondholder collateral in event of default.
• A debenture is an unsecured bond
• Call Provisions: Allows bond issuer to buy back bond at pre-
specified price (and sometimes time)
• Most callable bonds have a deferred call and a declining call premium.
• Sinking fund provision: Provision to pay off a loan over its life
rather than all at maturity. Implemented in two ways:
1. Call x% at par per year for sinking fund purposes (randomly chosen)
2. Buy bonds on the open market.
21
Other Bond Features
➢ Convertible bonds: Bondholders have a right to convert the bond
into shares of common stock, at a fixed price.
➢ Income bonds: Pay interest only when the issuer can afford to do
so (when earnings are high enough).
➢ Real return bonds: Principal and interests are indexed and
protected against inflation.
➢ Floating-rate bonds: The coupon rate is adjusted based on a
short-term rate (e.g., LIBOR)
➢ Retractable bonds: Allows investors to sell back bond at pre-
specified price (and sometimes time)
• Protect investors from the rising interest rates or increase in the default risk
22
LO3 Bond Characteristics and Required
Returns
➢ The coupon rate depends on the risk characteristics of
the bond when issued
➢ Which bonds will have the higher coupon, all else
equal?
• Secured debt versus a debenture
• Subordinated debenture versus senior debt
• A bond with a sinking fund versus one without
• A callable bond versus a non-callable bond
23
Default Risk and Ratings
• Rating companies
– Moody’s Investor Service
– Standard & Poor’s
– DBRS
– Fitch
• Rating Categories
– Investment grade
– Speculative grade
24
Bond Ratings – Investment Quality
➢ High Grade
• DBRS’s AAA – capacity to pay is exceptionally
strong
• DBRS’s AA – capacity to pay is very strong
➢ Medium Grade
• DBRS’s A – capacity to pay is strong, but more
susceptible to changes in circumstances
• DBRS’s BBB – capacity to pay is adequate, adverse
conditions will have more impact on the firm’s ability
to pay
25
Bond Ratings - Speculative
➢ Low Grade
• DBRS’s BB, B, CCC, CC
• Considered speculative with respect to capacity to
pay.
➢ Very Low Grade
• DBRS’s C – bonds are in immediate danger of default
• DBRS’s D – in default, with principal and/or interest in
arrears
26
Bond Ratings
LO1
Stripped or Zero-Coupon Bonds
𝐅
Bond Value =
(𝟏 + 𝐫)𝐭
28
LO1
Floating Rate Bonds
➢ Coupon rate floats depending on some index
value
➢ There is less price risk with floating rate bonds
• The coupon floats, so it is less likely to differ
substantially from the yield-to-maturity
➢ Coupons may have a “collar” – the rate cannot
go above a specified “ceiling” or below a
specified “floor”
29
LO1
Other Bond Types
➢ Catastrophe bonds
➢ Income bonds
➢ Convertible bonds
➢ Put bond (retractable bond)
➢ There are many other types of provisions that
can be added to a bond and many bonds have
several provisions – it is important to recognize
how these provisions affect required returns
30
Bond Market
➢ Bonds are mostly traded over the counter (OTC)
➢ Bonds ETFs
➢ Purchasing directly from treasury, e.g., TreasuryDirect in US
➢ Canada Saving Bonds:
https://www.csb.gc.ca/products/?page_moved=1
Determinants of Market Interest Rates
rd r* + IP + DRP + LP + MRP
where rd = Market interest rate
r* = Real risk-free rate
IP = Inflation premium
DRP = Default risk premium
LP = Liquidity premium
MRP = Maturity risk premium
32
LO5
The Fisher Effect
➢ The Fisher Effect defines the relationship
between real rates, nominal rates and inflation
➢ Exact relationship is (1 + R) = (1 + r)(1 + h),
where:
• R = nominal rate
• r = real rate
• h = expected inflation rate
➢ Approximation of the above relationship is:
• R=r+h
33
The Inflation Premium (IP)
➢ Extra points over r* to compensate bondholders for losing
the purchasing power of money due to inflation
➢ IP = Average expected inflation rate over the life of the
security.
➢ Relation between nominal (rRF) and real rate (r*)
rRF = (1 + r*)(1 + IP) – 1
= r* + IP + (r* x IP)
≈ r* + IP (because r* x IP is small).
➢ rRF = rT-bill = Rate on short- or long-term government bonds
34
LO5
Example – Fisher Effect
35
The Default Risk Premium (DRP)
➢ The component of the nominal interest rate that
compensates bondholders for taking the default risk
➢ Default risk = the chance that interest or principal will not
be paid on the due date and in the promised amount.
➢ The greater the default risk, the higher the bond's DRP.
36
Credit rating
37
The Liquidity Premium (LP)
38
The Maturity Risk Premium (MRP)
39
Bankruptcy and Reorganization
➢ A business is declared insolvent when it cannot meet its financial
obligations.
➢ Two options to deal with insolvency:
• dissolve through liquidation (bankruptcy)
• reorganize and stay alive
40
Reorganization
➢ If a company can't meet its obligations, it files under
Canada Revenue Agency, which stops creditors from
foreclosing, taking assets, and shutting down the
business.
41
LO6
Term Structure of Interest Rates
➢ Term structure is the relationship between time to
maturity and yields, all else equal
1-43
43
Yield Curve Canada
Source: https://www.marketwatch.com/investing/bond/tmbmkca-05y?countrycode=bx
44
Summary
➢ You should know:
• How to price a bond or find the yield
• Bond prices move inversely with interest rates
• Bonds have a variety of features that are spelled out
in the indenture
• Bonds are rated based on their default risk
• Fisher effect links interest rates and inflation
• Term structure of interest rates shows the
relationship between interest rates and maturity
45