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Financial Modelling CIA 3

The document outlines the merger assumptions and financial details for Finolex Cables Ltd. and Crompton Greaves Ltd., including transaction inputs, share prices, and financial reporting units. It provides a comprehensive analysis of the purchase price allocation, goodwill, balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow projections for the merged entities. Additionally, it includes various financial metrics and assumptions related to revenue growth, debt amortization, and interest rates.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
16 views45 pages

Financial Modelling CIA 3

The document outlines the merger assumptions and financial details for Finolex Cables Ltd. and Crompton Greaves Ltd., including transaction inputs, share prices, and financial reporting units. It provides a comprehensive analysis of the purchase price allocation, goodwill, balance sheet, income statement, and cash flow projections for the merged entities. Additionally, it includes various financial metrics and assumptions related to revenue growth, debt amortization, and interest rates.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as XLSX, PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Name Register Number

Raghav Toshniwal 2223031


Rohit Ramesh 2223033
Diksha Sonthalia 2223054
Harsha Pakkki 2223028

Company Alloted Crompton Greaves Ltd. & Finolex Cables ltd.

Submitted to Dr.Kingston Antonysamy


FINOLEX CABLES LTD.
CROMPTON GREAVES LTD.
N GREAVES LTD.
Merger Assumptions for Finolex Cables & Crompton Greaves

Assumptions

Transaction Inputs Scenarios


Acquirer Name Finolex Cables Scenario #
Target Name Crompton Greaves
Acquirer Share Price 961.00 Synergies
Target Share Price 282 Revenue enhancement
Transaction Close Date 9/30/2023 COGS savings
Financial Reporting Units Rs. 000s Marketing savings
Currency Indian Rupees General & Admin savings

Restructuring Charges 10,000 Synergies in Year 1 (full yr.)


Equity Issuance Fees 0.03 Synergies in Year 2
Debt Issuance Fees 0.03 Synergies in Years 3+
Other Closing Costs 4000
Financing
Replace Target Debt Yes Debt Tranche
Replace Acquirer Debt No Senior Debt A
Senior Debt B
Acquirer FD Shares Outstanding 5,000 Subordinated Debt
Target FD Share Outstanding 1000 Interest Rate
Shares Issued 100 Senior Debt A
Pro Forma Shares Outstanding 5,100 Senior Debt B
Subordinated Debt
Share Issuance Discount 0.01
Share Issuance Price ₹ 951.39
Transaction
Takeover Premium
Purchase Price Cash Consideration
Target Share Price ₹ 282.00
Takeover Premium 15.0%
Offer Price ₹ 324.30
Sources & Uses of Cash
Acquirer Share Price ₹ 961.00 Sources of Cash
Share Exchange Ratio 0.34 Cash
Stock Issued
Target Shares Outstanding 1,000 Debt Issued
Offer Price ₹ 324.30
Purchase Price 324,300
Target Debt 304
Target Cash 11,200
Enterprise Value 313,404 Total Sources

Goodwill and Purchase Price Allocation


Fair Market Value Book Value Fair Value Adjustment
Inventory & Other Current Assets 779 900 121
Target PP&E 22,000 40,000 18,000
Identifiable Intangibles
Net Identifiable Assets 22,779 40,900 18,121

Closing Balance Sheet

Pro Forma Consolidated Balance Sheet


Step # 1 2 3
Acquirer Target Fair Value
9/30/2023 9/30/2023
Assets
Cash 69,201 56,298 14,074
Accounts Receivable 3,647 419 105
Inventory 5,415 622 156
Current Assets 78,263 57,339 14,335
Property & Equipment 113,302 76,661 19,165
Goodwill 2,707 619 155
Total Assets 116,009 134,619 19,320

Liabilities
Short Term Debt 45,157 50,000
Accounts Payable 3,077 118
Current Liabilities 48,234 50,118
Long Term Debt 8,398 82,914
Total Liabilities 56,632 133,032
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 235 127
Retained Earnings 59,142 1,461
Shareholder's Equity 59,377 1,588
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 116,008 134,620
Check -1 0.156

Accretion/Dilution Analysis

2023
Earnings Per Share
Acquirer Net Earnings
Target Net Earnings
Pro Forma Net Earnings

Acquirer Shares O/S


Target Share O/S
Pro Forma Shares O/S

Acquirer EPS
Target EPS
Pro Forma EPS

Accretion/Dilution
LIVE --> 2 1 2 3 4

nue enhancement 6,000 5500 6,000 6,000 6,500


875 875 875 875 875
eting savings 1,250 1250 1,250 1,250 1,250
ral & Admin savings 1,000 1000 1,000 1,000 1,000
-
gies in Year 1 (full yr.) 0.30 0.3 0 0 0
gies in Year 2 0.65 0.65 1 1 1
gies in Years 3+ 1.00 1 1 1 1
-
-

100,000 0 100,000 100,000 100,000


0.00 0 - 50,000 50,000
rdinated Debt 0.00 0 - - 25,000

0.06 0.055 0 0 0
0.06 0.0575 0 0 0
rdinated Debt 0.08 0.0825 0 0 0

-
-
over Premium 0.15 0.15 0 0 0
Consideration 0.20 0 0 0 1

ces & Uses of Cash


ces of Cash Uses of Cash
(20,053) Cash Consideration
259,440 Stock Consideration
100,000 Target Debt - Replace
Acquirer Debt - Replace
Debt Financing Fees
Equity Financing Fees
Other Closing Costs
339,387 Total Uses

Purchase Price Allocation


Total Purchase Price
Net Book Value of Assets
Excess Purchase Price
Write-off Existing Goodwill
Fair Value Adjustments
Excess Purchase Price After Adjustments
Goodwill

4 5 6 7 8 9
Target PF Purchase Financing Financing Financing Total Adj.
Transactions (Equity+Debt) Fees Re finance

70,372 (64,860) 100,000 (14,783) (304) 90,425


524 - - 524
778 - - 778
71,674 - 91,727
72,976 - 72,976
325 301,702 302,027
73,301 466,731
-
-
-
118 118
118
82,914 100,000 (304) 182,610
182,728
-
127 (127) 259,440 259,440
1,461 (1,461) (14,783) (14,783)
244,657
427,385
2024 2025 2026 2027 2028

32,900 44,136 58,175 77,542 101,212


(3,370) (2,143) (317) 1,832 4,467
51 16,448 34,824 56,828 81,501

5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000 5,000


1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000 1,000
5,100 5,100 5,100 5,100 5,100

6.58 8.83 11.64 15.51 20.24


-3.37 -2.14 -0.32 1.83 4.47
0.01 3.23 6.83 11.14 15.98

-100% -63% -41% -28% -21%


5

6,500
875
1,250
1,000

0
1
1

100,000
50,000
25,000

0
0
0

0
1

64,860
259,440
304
-
3,000
7,783
4,000
339,387

324,300
4,477
319,823

18,121
301,702
301,702

10
Consol
9/30/2023
-
159,626
4,171
6,193
169,990
186,278
304,734
661,002

3,195
3,195
191,008
194,203

259,675
44,359
304,034
498,236
Forecast
Pro Forma Model CLOSE 2023 2024
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok
End of Period 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024
Days in Period 273 92 365
Fraction of Year 0.750 0.250 1.000

Assumptions

Debt Amortization Schedule Check


Senior Debt A 100% 0% 25% 25%
Senior Debt B 100% 0% 0% 20%
Subordinated Debt 100% 0% 0% 0%

Revenue Growth (% Change)


Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue)
Marketing, Advertising & Promotion (% of Revenue)

Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 20.0% 20.0%


Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 30.0% 30.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 18 18
Inventory (Days) 80 90
Accounts Payable (Days) 37 37

Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - -


Dividends Paid - -

Income Statement

Revenue 18,550 98,260


Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 8,347 43,669
Gross Profit 10,202 54,590
Expenses
Marketing, Advertising & Promotion 927 4,448
General & Administrative 189 534
Depreciation & Amortization 9,314 36,430
Interest 3,620 13,106
Total Expenses 14,051 54,518
Earnings Before Tax (3,849) 72

Taxes (1,155) 22
Net Earnings (2,694) 51

Balance Sheet

Assets
Cash 159,626 160,697 172,772
Accounts Receivable 4,171 3,629 4,846
Inventory 6,193 7,259 10,768
Current Assets 169,990 171,585 188,385
Property & Equipment 186,278 182,152 166,471
Goodwill 304,734 304,734 304,734
Total Assets 661,002 658,471 659,591
-
Liabilities -
Short Term Debt - - -
Accounts Payable 3,195 3,357 4,427
Current Liabilities 3,195 3,357 4,427
Long Term Debt 191,008 187,800 77,190
Total Liabilities 194,203 357,132 358,201
Shareholder's Equity -
Equity Capital 259,675 259,675 259,675
Retained Earnings 44,359 41,664 41,715
Shareholder's Equity 304,034 301,339 301,390
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 498,236 658,471 659,591

Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow


Net Earnings (2,694) 51
Plus: Depreciation & Amortization 9,314 36,430
Less: Changes in Working Capital (362) (3,656)
Cash from Operations 6,258 32,825

Investing Cash Flow


Investments in Property & Equipment (5,188) (20,750)
Investments in Businesses
Cash from Investing (5,188) (20,750)

Financing Cash Flow


Issuance (repayment) of debt - -
Issuance (repayment) of equity
Payment of Dividends - -
Cash from Financing - -

Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 1,070 12,075


Opening Cash Balance 159,626 160,697
Closing Cash Balance 159,626 160,697 172,772

Supporting Schedules

Working Capital Schedule


Accounts Receivable 4,171 3,629 4,846
Inventory 6,193 7,259 10,768
Accounts Payable 3,195 3,357 4,427
Net Working Capital (NWC) 7,169 7,531 11,187
Change in NWC 362 3,656

Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 186,278 182,152
Plus Capex 5,188 20,750
Less Depreciation 9,314 36,430
PPE Closing 186,278 182,152 166,471

Debt Schedule
Senior Debt A
Opening Balance 100,000 75,000
Addition (Repayment) (25,000) (25,000)
Closing Balance 100,000 75,000 50,000

Senior Debt B
Opening Balance 60,209 60,209
Addition (Repayment) - (12,042)
Closing Balance - 60,209 48,167

Target Debt
Opening Balance 132,610 22,000

Closing Balance 132,610 132,610 22,000

Acquirer Debt
Opening Balance 55,190 55,190
Addition (Repayment) - -
Closing Balance 55,190 55,190 55,190

Total Debt
Opening Balance 187,800 77,190
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance 287,800 187,800 77,190

Interest Schedule
Interest Rates
Senior Debt A 5.5% 5.5%
Senior Debt B 5.8% 5.8%
Subordinated Debt 8.3% 8.3%
Target Debt 132610 22000
Acquirer Debt 10.0% 10.0%

Interest Expense (opening balance)


Senior Debt A 1,375 4,125
Senior Debt B 866 3,462
Acquirer Debt 1,380 5,519
Total 3,620 13,106

DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 12%
Perpetual Growth Rate 4%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 8.0x
Current Price $961.00
Shares Outstanding 5,100

Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028 12/31/2028

EBIT (228) 13,178 34,535 58,719 87,686 122,241


Less: Cash Taxes (57) 3,295 8,634 14,680 21,922 30,560
NOPAT (171) 9,884 25,901 44,040 65,765 91,681
Plus: D&A 9,314 36,430 33,294 30,785 28,778 27,173
EBITDA 9,085 49,609 67,829 89,505 116,465 149,414
Less: Capex 5,188 20,750 20,750 20,750 20,750 20,750
Less: Changes in NWC 362 3,656 4,811 4,812 5,817 7,854
Unlevered FCF 3,593 21,908 33,635 49,263 67,976 90,249 931,718

Transaction FCFF - 3,593 21,908 33,635 49,263 67,976 90,249 931,718

IRR FCFF

Intrinsic Value Market Value


Enterprise Value 687,795 Market Cap na
Plus: Cash 159,626 Plus: Debt
Less: Debt 191,008 Less: Cash
Equity Value 656,413 Enterprise Value

Equity Value/Share 128.71 Equity Value/Share

Merger Integration
Revenue
Acquirer - 38,395 16,638 86,516
Target 1,912 9,943
Synergies 1,800
Total 18,550 98,260

Cost of Goods Sold


Acquirer 7,487 38,932
Target 860 4,475
Synergies 263
Total 8,347 43,669

Finance Cost
Acquirer 832 4,326
Target 96 497
Synergies (375)
Total 927 4,448

Other Cost
Acquirer 0 0
Target 189 834
Synergies (300)
Total 189 534
Forecast Period
2025 2026 2027 2028
ok ok ok ok
12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028
365 366 365 365
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000

25% 25% 0% 0%
20% 20% 20% 20%
0% 0% 0% 100%

20.0% 20.0% 20.0% 20.0%


30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
18 18 18 18
100 100 100 100
37 37 37 37

- - - -
- 500 500 500

129,298 169,017 217,922 281,498


55,744 72,602 92,001 119,339
73,554 96,414 125,920 162,159

5,457 6,901 9,346 12,525


267 9 110 221
33,294 30,785 28,778 27,173
11,039 8,971 6,504 5,811
50,057 46,666 44,738 45,730
23,497 49,748 81,183 116,430

7,049 14,924 24,355 34,929


16,448 34,824 56,828 81,501

196,953 240,500 299,039 378,609


6,376 8,312 10,747 13,882
15,272 19,837 25,206 32,696
218,601 268,649 334,992 425,186
153,927 143,892 135,863 129,441
304,734 304,734 304,734 304,734
677,262 717,275 775,589 859,361

- - - -
5,651 7,340 9,326 12,097
5,651 7,340 9,326 12,097
171,139 122,632 216,914 172,388
359,424 365,114 367,100 369,871

259,675 259,675 259,675 259,675


58,163 92,486 148,814 229,815
317,838 352,161 408,489 489,490
677,262 717,275 775,589 859,361

16,448 34,824 56,828 81,501


33,294 30,785 28,778 27,173
(4,811) (4,812) (5,817) (7,854)
44,931 60,798 79,789 100,819

(20,750) (20,750) (20,750) (20,750)

(20,750) (20,750) (20,750) (20,750)

- 4,000 - -

- (500) (500) (500)


- 3,500 (500) (500)

24,181 43,548 58,539 79,569


172,772 196,953 240,500 299,039
196,953 240,500 299,039 378,609

6,376 8,312 10,747 13,882


15,272 19,837 25,206 32,696
5,651 7,340 9,326 12,097
15,998 20,809 26,627 34,480
4,811 4,812 5,817 7,854

166,471 153,927 143,892 135,863


20,750 20,750 20,750 20,750
33,294 30,785 28,778 27,173
153,927 143,892 135,863 129,441

50,000 25,000 - -
(25,000) (25,000) - -
25,000 - - -

48,167 36,125 24,084 12,042


(12,042) (12,042) (12,042) (12,042)
36,125 24,084 12,042 -

115,949 63,442 165,724 121,198

115,949 63,442 165,724 121,198

55,190 55,190 51,190 51,190


- (4,000) - -
55,190 51,190 51,190 51,190

171,139 118,632 216,914 172,388


4,000
171,139 122,632 216,914 172,388

5.5% 5.5% 5.5% 5.5%


5.8% 5.8% 5.8% 5.8%
8.3% 8.3% 8.3% 8.3%
115949 63442 165724 121,198
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%

2,750 1,375 - -
2,770 2,077 1,385 692
5,519 5,519 5,119 5,119
11,039 8,971 6,504 5,811
Terminal Value
EV/EBITDA 931,718
112,471 146,212 190,076 247,099
12,927 16,804 21,846 28,400
3,900 6,000 6,000 6,000
129,298 169,017 217,922 281,498

49,487 64,333 81,733 106,252


5,688 7,394 9,394 12,212
569 875 875 875
55,744 72,602 92,001 119,339

5,624 7,311 9,504 12,355


646 840 1,092 1,420
(813) (1,250) (1,250) (1,250)
5,457 6,901 9,346 12,525

0 0 0 0
917 1,009 1,110 1,221
(650) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
267 9 110 221
Historical Results Forecast Period
Finolex Cables Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025
Days in Period 366 365 365 365 366 365
Fraction of Year - - - - -

Assumptions

LIVE SCENARIO 1

SCENARIO 1
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0% 44.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Interest Expense (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - -
Payment of Dividends - - 200

SCENARIO 2
Revenue Growth (% Change) 0.25 0.25 0.25
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 0.45 0.45 0.44
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 0.06 0.06 0.06
Interest (% of Debt) 0.12 0.12 0.12
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 0.15 0.15 0.15
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) 0 0 0
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) 0 0 0
Payment of Dividends 0 0 150

LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0% 44.0%
Finance Cost 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Other Cost 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Interest (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - -
Payment of Dividends - - 200

All figures in Rs. Crores unless stated


Income Statement

Revenue 38,785 45,996 51,193 66,551 86,516 112,471


Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) (17,793) (21,677) (25,124) 29,948 38,932 49,487
Gross Profit 20,992 24,319 26,069 36,603 47,584 62,984
Expenses
Finance Cost 1691 2229 2399 3,328 4,326 5,624
Other Cost 9898 10993 11201 0 0 0
EBITDA 9403 11097 12469 33275 43258 57360

Depreciation & Amortization 938 1012 1025 1,076 1,130 1,187


EBIT 8465 10085 11444 32199 42128 56174

Interest Expense 106 108 98 1,003 1,003 1,003


Earnings Before Tax (EBT) 8,359 9,977 11,346 31,196 41,125 55,170

Current Taxes 1672 1995 2269 6239 8225 11034


Net Earnings 6,687 7,982 9,077 24,957 32,900 44,136

All figures in Rs. Crores unless stated


Balance Sheet

Assets
Cash 41,816 44,530 29,803 69,201 105,085 151,294
Accounts Receivable 1046 1648 1932 3,647 4,728 6,163
Inventory 5,845 7,671 9,050 5,415 7,021 8,948
Current Assets 48,707 53,849 40,785 78,263 116,833 166,405
Property & Equipment 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 546 90,279
Goodwill 100 120 144 173 207 249
Total Assets 108,807 123,969 125,929 153,436 117,586 256,933

Liabilities
Short Term Debt 51,406 32,922 53,000 60,209 22,000 115,949
Accounts Payable 7399 8563 8761 4,102 5,319 6,779
Current Liabilities 58,805 41,485 61,761 64,311 27,319 122,728
Long Term Debt 2467 9841 10033 10,033 10,033 10,033
Total Liabilities 61,272 51,326 71,794 74,344 37,352 132,761
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 216 235 235 235 235 235
Retained Earnings 47319 72407 53899 78,856 80,000 123,936
Shareholder's Equity 47,535 72,642 54,134 79,091 80,235 124,171
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 108,807 123,968 125,928 153,435 117,587 256,932

Check -0 -1 -1 -0 1 -1

Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow


Net Earnings 6687 7982 9077 24957 32900 44136
Depreciation & Amortization 938 1012 1025 1,076 1,130 1,187
Changes in Working Capital - 1,264 1,465 2,738 1,470 1,902
Cash from Operations 7,625 7,730 8,637 23,294 32,560 43,420

Investing Cash Flow


Investments in Property & Equipment (40,140) (45,193) (53,247) (63,896) (76,676) (92,011)
Sale of Current Assets 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 95,000
Cash from Investing 39,860 34,807 26,753 16,104 3,324 2,989

Financing Cash Flow


Issuance (repayment) of debt 0 7374 192 0 0 0
Payment of Dividends -6244 -8811 -7519 - - (200)
Cash from Financing (6,244) (1,437) (7,327) - - (200)

Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 41,241 41,100 28,063 39,398 35,884 46,209
Opening Cash Balance 575 3430 1740 29,803 69,201 105,085
Closing Cash Balance 41,816 44,530 29,803 69,201 105,085 151,294

Supporting Schedules

Working Capital Schedule


Accounts Receivable 1,046 1,648 1,932 3,647 4,728 6,163
Inventory 5,845 7,671 9,050 5,415 7,021 8,948
Accounts Payable 7,399 8,563 8,761 4,102 5,319 6,779
Net Working Capital (NWC) (508) 756 2,221 4,959 6,430 8,332
Change in NWC 1,264 1,465 2,738 1,470 1,902

Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 18,922 23,795 30,728 10,027 75,000 546
Plus Capex 40,140 45,193 53,247 63,896 76,676 92,011
Less Depreciation (938) (1,012) (1,025) (1,076) (1,130) (1,187)
PPE Closing 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 546 90,279

Debt & Interest Schedule


Debt Opening 2,467 2,467 9,841 10,033 10,033 10,033
Issuance (repayment) - 7,374 192 - - -
Debt Closing 2,467 9,841 10,033 10,033 10,033 10,033
Interest Expense (106) (108) (98) 1,003 1,003 1,003

DCF Model

Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 15.0% from
Perpetual Growth Rate 4% assumptions
EV/EBITDA Multiple 9.2x
Current Price ₹ 900.00
Shares Outstanding 5,000

Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2027
Year Fraction 0.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 -

EBIT 32,199 42,128 56,174 73,322 97,531


Less: Cash Taxes 6,239 8,225 11,034 14,544 19,386
NOPAT 25,960 33,903 45,140 58,778 78,146
Plus: D&A 1,076 1,130 1,187 1,246 1,308
EBITDA 33,275 43,258 57,360 74,568 98,839
Less: Capex 10,000 12,000 14,500 15,500 16,000
Less: Changes in NWC 2,738 1,470 1,902 2,500 3,166
Unlevered FCF 14,298 21,563 29,924 42,025 60,288 41,400,000

Transaction FCFF - 3,574 21,563 29,924 42,025 60,288 -

IRR FCFF (4,500,000) 3,574 21,563 29,924 42,025 60,288 -

Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value Rate of Return


Enterprise Value 4,455,884 4,500,000 IRR
Plus: Cash 69,201 69,201
Less: Debt 25,085 25,085
Equity Value 4,500,000 4,455,884

Equity Value/Share 900.00 900.00


Forecast Period Stub
2026 2027 2028 Historical Forecast
ok ok ok
12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028 9/30/2023 12/31/2022
365 365 366 273 (273)
- - - 0.750 (0.750)

30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%


44.0% 43.0% 43.0% 45.0% 45.0%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50
(4,000) - - -
- - - - -
- - 200 - -

0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25


0.44 0.43 0.43 0.45 0.45
0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50
-4000 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0
0 0 150 0 0
30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
44.0% 43.0% 43.0% 45.0% 45.0%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50
(4,000) - - - -
- - - - -
- - 200 - -

146,212 190,076 247,099 49,913 (49,913)


64,333 81,733 106,252 22,461 (22,461)
81,879 108,343 140,846 27,452 (27,452)

7,311 9,504 12,355 2,496 (2,496)


0 0 0 0 (0)
74568 98839 128491 24957 -24957

1,246 1,308 1,374 1,442 1,514


73322 97531 127118 23514 -26471

603 603 603 752 (752)


72,719 96,928 126,514 22,762 (25,718)

14544 19386 25303 4552 -5144


58,175 77,542 101,212 18,717 (18,717)
221,803 304,991 424,232 58,251 69,201
8,012 10,415 13,503 3,657 3,647
11,633 14,779 19,160 5,430 5,415
241,447 330,186 456,895 67,338 78,263
18,888 112,299 45,322 1,158 13,302
299 358 430 516 619
260,634 442,843 502,647 115,077 38,359

63,442 165,724 121,198 45,157 15,052


8,813 11,196 14,515 3,077 1,026
72,255 176,920 135,713 48,234 16,078
6,033 6,033 6,033 10,033 10,033
78,288 182,953 141,746 55,758 18,586

235 235 235 235 235


182,111 259,654 360,665 59,142 19,714
182,346 259,889 360,900 59,318 19,773
260,634 442,842 502,647 115,076 38,359

-0 -1 -1 -0 -0

58175 77542 101212 18717 -18717


1,246 1,308 1,374 1,442 1,514
2,500 3,166 4,150 3,789 2,026
56,921 75,684 98,435 16,371 (19,229)

(110,413) (132,496) (158,995) (47,922) (15,974)


120,000 140,000 180,000 60,000 20,000
9,587 7,504 21,005 12,078 4,026
4000 0 0 0 0
- - (200) - -
4,000 - (200) - -

70,508 83,189 119,241 28,449 (15,204)


151,294 221,803 304,991 29,803 58,251
221,803 304,991 424,232 58,251 43,048

8,012 10,415 13,503 3,657 3,647


11,633 14,779 19,160 5,430 5,415
8,813 11,196 14,515 3,077 1,026
10,832 13,998 18,148 6,010 8,036
2,500 3,166 4,150 3,789 2,026

90,279 18,888 112,299 45,322 1,158


110,413 132,496 158,995 47,922 15,974
(1,246) (1,308) (1,374) (1,442) (1,514)
18,888 112,299 45,322 1,158 13,302

10,033 6,033 6,033 10,033 10,033


(4,000) - - - -
6,033 6,033 6,033 10,033 10,033
603 603 603 752 (752)
Terminal Value
EV/EBITDA 41,400,000

-61%
Historical Results Forecast Period
Crompton Greaves Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024
Days in Period 366 365 365 365 366
Fraction of Year - - - -

Assumptions

LIVE SCENARIO 1

SCENARIO 1
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0%
Interest Expense (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - -
Payment of Dividends - -

SCENARIO 2
Revenue Growth (% Change) 0.25 0.25
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 0.45 0.45
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 0.06 0.06
Interest (% of Debt) 0.12 0.12
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 0.15 0.15
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) 0 0
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) 0 0
Payment of Dividends 0 0

LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0%
Finance Cost 5.0% 5.0%
Other Cost 10.00% 10.00%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0%
Interest (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - -
Payment of Dividends - -

All figures in Rs. Crores unless stated


Income Statement

Revenue 4,825.58 5,453.10 5,883.72 7,649 9,943


Cost of Goods Sold (COGS) 3,306.84 3,611.11 4,237.31 3,442 4,475
Gross Profit 1,519 1,842 1,646 4,207 5,469
Expenses
Finance Cost 42.91 35.31 102.69 382 497
Other Cost 478.24 559.95 688.95 758 834
EBITDA 998 1247 855 3067 4138

Depreciation & Amortization 29.69 42.29 54.23 57 60


EBIT 968 1204 801 3010 4078

Interest Expense 34.15 50.53 70.42 8,291 8,291


Earnings Before Tax (EBT) 934 1,154 730 (5,282) (4,213)

Current Taxes 188.05 156.27 156.54 -1056 -843


Net Earnings 746 998 574 (4,225) (3,370)

All figures in Rs. Crores unless stated


Balance Sheet

Assets
Cash 41,210 48,154 44,933 56,298 56,143
Accounts Receivable 452.36 512.53 529.8 419 543
Inventory 517.77 511.35 618.75 622 807
Current Assets 42,181 49,178 46,081 57,339 57,493
Property & Equipment 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 1,616
Goodwill 779.41 779.41 779.41 935 1122
Total Assets 102,960 119,957 131,861 133,275 60,231

Liabilities
Short Term Debt 180 1555.25 325 60,209 22,000
Accounts Payable 791.05 860.35 894.25 472 611
Current Liabilities 971 2,416 1,219 60,681 22,611
Long Term Debt 58,225 67102 82914 66,625 32,000
Total Liabilities 59,196 69,518 84,133 127,306 54,611
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 125.54 126.68 127.22 127 127
Retained Earnings 43638 50313 47600 5,842 5,493
Shareholder's Equity 43,764 50,440 47,727 5,969 5,620
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 102,960 119,957 131,860 133,275 60,231

Check -0 0 -0 -0 0

Cash Flow Statement

Operating Cash Flow


Net Earnings 746 998 574 -4225 -3370
Depreciation & Amortization 30 42 54 57 60
Changes in Working Capital - - - 570 169
Cash from Operations 775 1,040 628 (4,738) (3,480)

Investing Cash Flow


Investments in Property & Equipment (40,140) (45,193) (53,247) (63,896) (76,676)
Sale of Current Assets 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000 80,000
Cash from Investing 39,860 34,807 26,753 16,104 3,324

Financing Cash Flow


Issuance (repayment) of debt 0 8877 15812 0 0
Cash from Financing - 8,877 15,812 - -

Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 40,635 44,724 43,193 11,365 (155)


Opening Cash Balance 575 3430 1740 44,933 56,298
Closing Cash Balance 41,210 48,154 44,933 56,298 56,143

Supporting Schedules

Working Capital Schedule


Accounts Receivable 452.36 512.53 530 419 543
Inventory 518 511 619 622 807
Accounts Payable 791 860 894 472 611
Net Working Capital (NWC) 570 739
Change in NWC 570 169

Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 19,830 24,765 31,699 11,047 75,000
Plus Capex 40,140 45,193 53,247 63,896 76,676
Less Depreciation (30) (42) (54) (57) (60)
PPE Closing 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 1,616

Debt & Interest Schedule


Debt Opening 58,225 58,225 67,102 82,914 82,914
Issuance (repayment) - 8,877 15,812 - -
Debt Closing 58,225 67,102 82,914 82,914 82,914
Interest Expense (34) (51) (70) 8,291 8,291

DCF Model

Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 7.6%
Perpetual Growth Rate 4%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 9.2x
Current Price ₹ 282.00
Shares Outstanding 1,000

Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2027
Year Fraction 0.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 -

EBIT 4,225 3,370 2,143 317 1,832


Less: Cash Taxes (1,056) (843) (536) (79) (458)
NOPAT 3,169 2,528 1,607 237 1,374
Plus: D&A 57 60 63 66 69
EBITDA 4,282 3,430 2,206 382 1,901
Less: Capex 500 750 700 - 500
Less: Changes in NWC 570 169 219 287 364
Unlevered FCF 2,156 1,669 751 16 579 2,594,400

Transaction FCFF - 539 1,669 751 16 579 -

IRR FCFF (282,000) 539 1,669 751 16 579 -

Intrinsic Value Enterprise Value Rate of Return


Enterprise Value 307,379 282,000 IRR
Plus: Cash 56,298 56,298
Less: Debt 81,677 81,677
Equity Value 282,000 307,379

Equity Value/Share 282.00 282.00


Forecast Period Stub
2025 2026 2027 2028 Historical Forecast
ok ok ok ok
12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028 9/30/2023 12/31/2022
365 365 365 366 273 (273)
- - - - 0.750 (0.750)

30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%


44.0% 44.0% 43.0% 43.0% 45.0% 45.0%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
20 20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50 50
- (4,000) - - -
- - - - - -
200 - - 200 - -

0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25 0.25


0.44 0.44 0.43 0.43 0.45 0.45
0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06 0.06
0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12 0.12
0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15 0.15
20 20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50 50
0 -4000 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 0
150 0 0 150 0 0
30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
44.0% 44.0% 43.0% 43.0% 45.0% 45.0%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
20 20 20 20 20 20
66 66 66 66 66 66
50 50 50 50 50 50
- (4,000) - - - -
- - - - - -
200 - - 200 - -

12,927 16,804 21,846 28,400 5,737 1,912


5,688 7,394 9,394 12,212 2,581 860
7,239 9,411 12,452 16,188 3,155 1,052

646 840 1,092 1,420 287 96


917 1,009 1,110 1,221 568 189
5676 7562 10250 13547 2,300 767

63 66 69 73 43 14
5613 7496 10181 13475 2,257 752

8,291 7,891 7,891 7,891 6,219 2,073


(2,679) (396) 2,290 5,583 (3,961) (1,320)

-536 -79 458 1117 -792 -264


(2,143) (317) 1,832 4,467 (3,169) (1,056)
56,833 69,882 78,924 103,991 53,193 56,298
708 921 1,197 1,552 420 419
1,028 1,337 1,699 2,202 624 622
58,570 72,140 81,819 107,745 54,238 57,339
90,332 20,015 112,411 46,511 1,369 14,591
1303 1564 1876 2252 2702 3242
150,205 93,718 196,107 156,507 99,956 33,319

115,949 63,442 165,724 121,198 45,157 15,052


779 1,013 1,287 1,668 354 118
116,728 64,455 167,011 122,866 45,510 15,170
30,000 26,103 24,104 24,183 82,914 66,625
146,728 90,558 191,115 147,049 95,479 31,826

127 127 127 127 127 127


3,350 3,033 4,865 9,331 4,382 1,461
3,477 3,161 4,992 9,458 4,477 1,492
150,205 93,719 196,107 156,508 99,956 33,319

0 0 0 0 -0 -0

-2143 -317 1832 4467 -3169 -1056


63 66 69 73 43 14
219 287 364 477 691 233
(2,299) (538) 1,537 4,062 (3,817) (1,275)

(92,011) (110,413) (132,496) (158,995) (47,922) (15,974)


95,000 120,000 140,000 180,000 60,000 20,000
2,989 9,587 7,504 21,005 12,078 4,026

0 4000 0 0 0 0
- 4,000 - - - -

690 13,049 9,041 25,068 8,261 2,751


56,143 56,833 69,882 78,924 44,933 53,193
56,833 69,882 78,924 103,991 53,193 55,944

708 921 1197 1552 420 419


1028 1337 1699 2202 624 622
779 1013 1287 1668 354 118
958 1,245 1,609 2,086 691 924
219 287 364 477 691 233

1,616 90,332 20,015 112,411 46,511 1,369


92,011 110,413 132,496 158,995 47,922 15,974
(63) (66) (69) (73) (43) (14)
90,332 20,015 112,411 46,511 1,369 14,591

82,914 82,914 78,914 78,914 82,914 82,914


- (4,000) - - - -
82,914 78,914 78,914 78,914 82,914 82,914
8,291 7,891 7,891 7,891 6,219 (6,219)
Terminal Value
EV/EBITDA 2,594,400

-76%

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