Financial Modelling CIA 3
Financial Modelling CIA 3
Assumptions
Liabilities
Short Term Debt 45,157 50,000
Accounts Payable 3,077 118
Current Liabilities 48,234 50,118
Long Term Debt 8,398 82,914
Total Liabilities 56,632 133,032
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 235 127
Retained Earnings 59,142 1,461
Shareholder's Equity 59,377 1,588
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 116,008 134,620
Check -1 0.156
Accretion/Dilution Analysis
2023
Earnings Per Share
Acquirer Net Earnings
Target Net Earnings
Pro Forma Net Earnings
Acquirer EPS
Target EPS
Pro Forma EPS
Accretion/Dilution
LIVE --> 2 1 2 3 4
0.06 0.055 0 0 0
0.06 0.0575 0 0 0
rdinated Debt 0.08 0.0825 0 0 0
-
-
over Premium 0.15 0.15 0 0 0
Consideration 0.20 0 0 0 1
4 5 6 7 8 9
Target PF Purchase Financing Financing Financing Total Adj.
Transactions (Equity+Debt) Fees Re finance
6,500
875
1,250
1,000
0
1
1
100,000
50,000
25,000
0
0
0
0
1
64,860
259,440
304
-
3,000
7,783
4,000
339,387
324,300
4,477
319,823
18,121
301,702
301,702
10
Consol
9/30/2023
-
159,626
4,171
6,193
169,990
186,278
304,734
661,002
3,195
3,195
191,008
194,203
259,675
44,359
304,034
498,236
Forecast
Pro Forma Model CLOSE 2023 2024
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok
End of Period 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024
Days in Period 273 92 365
Fraction of Year 0.750 0.250 1.000
Assumptions
Income Statement
Taxes (1,155) 22
Net Earnings (2,694) 51
Balance Sheet
Assets
Cash 159,626 160,697 172,772
Accounts Receivable 4,171 3,629 4,846
Inventory 6,193 7,259 10,768
Current Assets 169,990 171,585 188,385
Property & Equipment 186,278 182,152 166,471
Goodwill 304,734 304,734 304,734
Total Assets 661,002 658,471 659,591
-
Liabilities -
Short Term Debt - - -
Accounts Payable 3,195 3,357 4,427
Current Liabilities 3,195 3,357 4,427
Long Term Debt 191,008 187,800 77,190
Total Liabilities 194,203 357,132 358,201
Shareholder's Equity -
Equity Capital 259,675 259,675 259,675
Retained Earnings 44,359 41,664 41,715
Shareholder's Equity 304,034 301,339 301,390
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 498,236 658,471 659,591
Supporting Schedules
Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 186,278 182,152
Plus Capex 5,188 20,750
Less Depreciation 9,314 36,430
PPE Closing 186,278 182,152 166,471
Debt Schedule
Senior Debt A
Opening Balance 100,000 75,000
Addition (Repayment) (25,000) (25,000)
Closing Balance 100,000 75,000 50,000
Senior Debt B
Opening Balance 60,209 60,209
Addition (Repayment) - (12,042)
Closing Balance - 60,209 48,167
Target Debt
Opening Balance 132,610 22,000
Acquirer Debt
Opening Balance 55,190 55,190
Addition (Repayment) - -
Closing Balance 55,190 55,190 55,190
Total Debt
Opening Balance 187,800 77,190
Addition (Repayment)
Closing Balance 287,800 187,800 77,190
Interest Schedule
Interest Rates
Senior Debt A 5.5% 5.5%
Senior Debt B 5.8% 5.8%
Subordinated Debt 8.3% 8.3%
Target Debt 132610 22000
Acquirer Debt 10.0% 10.0%
DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 12%
Perpetual Growth Rate 4%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 8.0x
Current Price $961.00
Shares Outstanding 5,100
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028 12/31/2028
IRR FCFF
Merger Integration
Revenue
Acquirer - 38,395 16,638 86,516
Target 1,912 9,943
Synergies 1,800
Total 18,550 98,260
Finance Cost
Acquirer 832 4,326
Target 96 497
Synergies (375)
Total 927 4,448
Other Cost
Acquirer 0 0
Target 189 834
Synergies (300)
Total 189 534
Forecast Period
2025 2026 2027 2028
ok ok ok ok
12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2028
365 366 365 365
1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
25% 25% 0% 0%
20% 20% 20% 20%
0% 0% 0% 100%
- - - -
- 500 500 500
- - - -
5,651 7,340 9,326 12,097
5,651 7,340 9,326 12,097
171,139 122,632 216,914 172,388
359,424 365,114 367,100 369,871
- 4,000 - -
50,000 25,000 - -
(25,000) (25,000) - -
25,000 - - -
2,750 1,375 - -
2,770 2,077 1,385 692
5,519 5,519 5,119 5,119
11,039 8,971 6,504 5,811
Terminal Value
EV/EBITDA 931,718
112,471 146,212 190,076 247,099
12,927 16,804 21,846 28,400
3,900 6,000 6,000 6,000
129,298 169,017 217,922 281,498
0 0 0 0
917 1,009 1,110 1,221
(650) (1,000) (1,000) (1,000)
267 9 110 221
Historical Results Forecast Period
Finolex Cables Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025
Days in Period 366 365 365 365 366 365
Fraction of Year - - - - -
Assumptions
LIVE SCENARIO 1
SCENARIO 1
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0% 44.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Interest Expense (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - -
Payment of Dividends - - 200
SCENARIO 2
Revenue Growth (% Change) 0.25 0.25 0.25
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 0.45 0.45 0.44
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 0.06 0.06 0.06
Interest (% of Debt) 0.12 0.12 0.12
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 0.15 0.15 0.15
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) 0 0 0
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) 0 0 0
Payment of Dividends 0 0 150
LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0% 44.0%
Finance Cost 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Other Cost 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0% 5.0%
Interest (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - - -
Payment of Dividends - - 200
Assets
Cash 41,816 44,530 29,803 69,201 105,085 151,294
Accounts Receivable 1046 1648 1932 3,647 4,728 6,163
Inventory 5,845 7,671 9,050 5,415 7,021 8,948
Current Assets 48,707 53,849 40,785 78,263 116,833 166,405
Property & Equipment 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 546 90,279
Goodwill 100 120 144 173 207 249
Total Assets 108,807 123,969 125,929 153,436 117,586 256,933
Liabilities
Short Term Debt 51,406 32,922 53,000 60,209 22,000 115,949
Accounts Payable 7399 8563 8761 4,102 5,319 6,779
Current Liabilities 58,805 41,485 61,761 64,311 27,319 122,728
Long Term Debt 2467 9841 10033 10,033 10,033 10,033
Total Liabilities 61,272 51,326 71,794 74,344 37,352 132,761
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 216 235 235 235 235 235
Retained Earnings 47319 72407 53899 78,856 80,000 123,936
Shareholder's Equity 47,535 72,642 54,134 79,091 80,235 124,171
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 108,807 123,968 125,928 153,435 117,587 256,932
Check -0 -1 -1 -0 1 -1
Net Increase (decrease) in Cash 41,241 41,100 28,063 39,398 35,884 46,209
Opening Cash Balance 575 3430 1740 29,803 69,201 105,085
Closing Cash Balance 41,816 44,530 29,803 69,201 105,085 151,294
Supporting Schedules
Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 18,922 23,795 30,728 10,027 75,000 546
Plus Capex 40,140 45,193 53,247 63,896 76,676 92,011
Less Depreciation (938) (1,012) (1,025) (1,076) (1,130) (1,187)
PPE Closing 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 546 90,279
DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 15.0% from
Perpetual Growth Rate 4% assumptions
EV/EBITDA Multiple 9.2x
Current Price ₹ 900.00
Shares Outstanding 5,000
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2027
Year Fraction 0.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 -
-0 -1 -1 -0 -0
-61%
Historical Results Forecast Period
Crompton Greaves Model 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024
Balance Sheet Check ok ok ok ok ok
End of Period 12/31/2020 12/31/2021 12/31/2022 12/31/2023 12/31/2024
Days in Period 366 365 365 365 366
Fraction of Year - - - -
Assumptions
LIVE SCENARIO 1
SCENARIO 1
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0%
Interest Expense (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - -
Payment of Dividends - -
SCENARIO 2
Revenue Growth (% Change) 0.25 0.25
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 0.45 0.45
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 0.06 0.06
Interest (% of Debt) 0.12 0.12
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 0.15 0.15
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) 0 0
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) 0 0
Payment of Dividends 0 0
LIVE SCENARIO
Revenue Growth (% Change) 30.0% 30.0%
Cost of Goods Sold (% of Revenue) 45.0% 45.0%
Finance Cost 5.0% 5.0%
Other Cost 10.00% 10.00%
Depreciation & Amortization (% of PP&E) 5.0% 5.0%
Interest (% of Debt) 10.0% 10.0%
Tax Rate (% of Earnings Before Tax) 18.0% 18.0%
Accounts Receivable (Days) 20 20
Inventory (Days) 66 66
Accounts Payable (Days) 50 50
Debt Issuance (Repayment) ($000's) - -
Equity Issued (Repaid) ($000's) - -
Payment of Dividends - -
Assets
Cash 41,210 48,154 44,933 56,298 56,143
Accounts Receivable 452.36 512.53 529.8 419 543
Inventory 517.77 511.35 618.75 622 807
Current Assets 42,181 49,178 46,081 57,339 57,493
Property & Equipment 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 1,616
Goodwill 779.41 779.41 779.41 935 1122
Total Assets 102,960 119,957 131,861 133,275 60,231
Liabilities
Short Term Debt 180 1555.25 325 60,209 22,000
Accounts Payable 791.05 860.35 894.25 472 611
Current Liabilities 971 2,416 1,219 60,681 22,611
Long Term Debt 58,225 67102 82914 66,625 32,000
Total Liabilities 59,196 69,518 84,133 127,306 54,611
Shareholder's Equity
Equity Capital 125.54 126.68 127.22 127 127
Retained Earnings 43638 50313 47600 5,842 5,493
Shareholder's Equity 43,764 50,440 47,727 5,969 5,620
Total Liabilities & Shareholder's Equity 102,960 119,957 131,860 133,275 60,231
Check -0 0 -0 -0 0
Supporting Schedules
Depreciation Schedule
PPE Opening 19,830 24,765 31,699 11,047 75,000
Plus Capex 40,140 45,193 53,247 63,896 76,676
Less Depreciation (30) (42) (54) (57) (60)
PPE Closing 60,000 70,000 85,000 75,000 1,616
DCF Model
Assumptions
Tax Rate 25%
Discount Rate 7.6%
Perpetual Growth Rate 4%
EV/EBITDA Multiple 9.2x
Current Price ₹ 282.00
Shares Outstanding 1,000
Discounted Cash Flow Entry 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 Exit
Date 9/30/2023 12/31/2023 12/31/2024 12/31/2025 12/31/2026 12/31/2027 12/31/2027
Year Fraction 0.25 1.00 1.00 1.00 1.00 -
63 66 69 73 43 14
5613 7496 10181 13475 2,257 752
0 0 0 0 -0 -0
0 4000 0 0 0 0
- 4,000 - - - -
-76%