Review On Normal Dist., Bivariate Dist
Review On Normal Dist., Bivariate Dist
ributions?
stics that are easy to spot in graphs:
the same.
ean—half the values fall below the mean and h
values: the mean and the standard deviation.
the standard deviation is the scale parameter.
ng:
mples.
ow the mean.
w the mean.
elow the mean.
rs or extreme values that don’t follow this patter
dom samples within the population.
tions,
a large enough sample.
ong
e.
the mean isn’t known.
an use parametric tests with small samples.
n.
Normal Distribution: Definition and Properti
A normal distribution is symmetrically shape
Key properties of normal distributions:
The mean, median, and mode are identical.
NORM.INV:
Returns a normally distributed value give
Syntax: NORM.INV(probability,
mean, st probability: Desired
probability.
mean: Mean of the distribution.
standard_dev: Standard deviation.
Example: NORM.INV(0.95, 90, 10)
calcu
an.
width.
SE for PDF.
turns the CDF value of 0.841 (area to the left of
tion in Excel
distributed with a mean of 90
to find probabilities related to these scores.
tile.
l inferences.
ly!
Formula of the normal curve
Once you have the mean and standard
you can fit a normal curve to your data usin
Mean 1150
SD 150
'PROB'
0.003
0.0025
0.002
0.0015
Pr
0.001
0.0005
x Values
(PDF):
n (CDF):
Prob(CDF)
1.2
1
0.8
0.6
0.4
0.2
0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200
sity of the random variable X taking on the value x.
equal to x,
than or equal to 5.
Mean 72.0000 70
Stdev 2.6 2.6
67.0000 2.41% 7.89%
67.5000 3.43% 9.66%
68.0000 4.70% 11.41%
68.0000 4.70% 11.41%
68.5000 6.20% 12.99%
69.0000 7.89% 14.25%
69.0000 7.89% 14.25%
69.5000 9.66% 15.06%
70.0000 11.41% 15.34%
70.0000 11.41% 15.34%
70.5000 12.99% 15.06%
71.0000 14.25% 14.25%
71.0000 14.25% 14.25%
71.5000 15.06% 12.99%
72.0000 15.34% 11.41%
72.0000 15.34% 11.41%
72.5000 15.06% 9.66%
73.0000 14.25% 7.89%
73.0000 14.25% 7.89%
73.5000 12.99% 6.20%
74.0000 11.41% 4.70%
74.0000 11.41% 4.70%
74.5000 9.66% 3.43%
75.0000 7.89% 2.41%
75.0000 7.89% 2.41%
75.5000 6.20% 1.64%
76.0000 4.70% 1.07%
76.0000 4.70% 1.07%
76.5000 3.43% 0.67%
77.0000 2.41% 0.41%
77.0000 2.41% 0.41%
72
0.5 Diagrammtitel
0.000% Datenreihen1 Datenreihen2
90.00%
0.000%
80.00%
0.000% 70.00%
0.000% 60.00%
0.000% 50.00%
0.000% 40.00%
0.000% 30.00%
0.000%
20.00%
10.00%
0.027% 0.00%
0.027% -10.00%
66 68 70 72
0.886%
10.798%
10.798%
48.394%
79.788%
79.788%
48.394%
10.798%
10.798%
0.886%
0.027%
0.027%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
0.000%
74
2.6 Datenreihen
0.41% 18.00%
0.67%
16.00%
1.07%
1.07% 14.00%
1.64% 12.00%
2.41%
10.00%
2.41%
3.43% 8.00%
4.70% 6.00%
4.70%
4.00%
6.20%
7.89% 2.00%
0.00%
66 68 70
7.89%
9.66%
11.41%
11.41%
12.99%
14.25%
14.25%
15.06%
15.34%
15.34%
15.06%
14.25%
14.25%
12.99%
11.41%
11.41%
9.66%
7.89%
7.89%
l
Datenreihen3
747 67
8
Diagrammtitel
n1Datenreihen2Datenreihen3
72747678
A test is normally distributed with a m
Mean 70
Stdev 8
=NORM
P(X<=127) 91.9243%
8.0757% =1-E25
Aliter
1.4 0.9192 0.080756659
value
Mean 63.5
STDEV 2.5
x 68.5
Z value 2
An automobile manufacturer
introd A person who plans to
purchase on and found out
that the standard de Assume
that in-city mileage is app
Given
Mean 27 StdeV
(a)
X 20
P(X<20) 0.009815329
(b) x 25
x 29
Prob ( 25<X<29) 0.495
ean of 70 and a standard deviation of 8.
the 85 percentile?
the 22 percentile?
78.291 78.29
63.822 63.82
.DIST(D22,D20,D21,TRUE)
s are normally distributed with a population mean
of
5
lect a large random sample of adult women to p
, for an adult woman who has a height of 68.5in
0.25249 =NORM.DIST(E61,$D$56,$G$56,TRUE)
0.74751 =NORM.DIST(E62,$D$56,$G$56,TRUE)
=G62-G61
=63.5 inches and
d Z-Distribution Formula: It is
possible z=(X–μ) / σ
tain values
ata sets.
sets1.
tion that’s
where the curve is centered.
2
fX
A B C D E
1 Value at Risk - single security
2
3 Portfolio value $ 1,000,000
4 Expected volatility 30.50%
5 Time (days) 21
6 Confidence level 0.99
7 Stress event 2.33
8
9 VaR $ 204,825
The standard normal distribution, also known
Z-Scores:
When you standardize any normal distribution
A z-score tells you how many standard deviati
Positive z-scores indicate that a value is greate
while negative z-scores indicate values below t
/ calculates z-score
Z. =(x-mean)/standard_deviation /
Excel Method
=STANDARDIZE(x, mean, standard_deviation) /
Mean 1150
SD 150
Converting
Z Score to
x ValueZ Score Prob
500 -4.333333333 0.003%
550 -4.000000000 0.013%
600 -3.666666667 0.048%
650 -3.333333333 0.154%
700 -3.000000000 0.443%
750 -2.666666667 1.140%
800 -2.333333333 2.622%
850 -2.000000000 5.399%
900 -1.666666667 9.948%
950 -1.333333333 16.401%
1000 -1.000000000 24.197%
1050 -0.666666667 31.945%
1100 -0.333333333 37.738%
1150 0.000000000 39.894%
1200 0.333333333 37.738%
1250 0.666666667 31.945%
1300 1.000000000 24.197%
1350 1.333333333 16.401%
1400 1.666666667 9.948%
1450 2.000000000 5.399%
1500 2.333333333 2.622%
1550 2.666666667 1.140%
1600 3.000000000 0.443%
1650 3.333333333 0.154%
1700 3.666666667 0.048%
1750 4.000000000 0.013%
1800 4.333333333 0.003%
as the z-distribution, is a special type of normal distri
is 0.
, its values are converted into z-scores. ons away from the m
he mean.
to:
urring.
tandard deviations.
d normal distribution)
th a bell-shaped curve.
/ calculates z-score
0.4
0.35
0.3
0.25
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400
bution with specific properties:
on is 1.
160018002000
mean 0
Sigma 1
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1
x
2345
The bivariate normal distribution is a spe
where you only have two variables (X and
Y). but capturing the potential correlation
betw
Properties:
Bivariate Normal
Parameters: Distribution
Defined by: 2D
Mean vector (μ) with two elements: μ₁ fo
Covariance matrix (Σ) with two dimensio
Probability density function (PDF): De
Applications:
endency.
orrelation coefficient:
Mean Stdev
Asset A 10% 15%
Asset B 8% 20%
Correl 0.5
X for A 10% 0 0.5
X FOR B 8% 0 0.5
25.00%
et B.
e normal distribution.
same time?
will not?
5%
0%
sset A and Asset B ρ ): 0.51
will not?
μ1 0.00
𝝈1
μ2 0.00
𝝈2
1
1
⍴ 0.75
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
-3.0 -2.5
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000000 0.000000000014
0.000000000017 0.000000001163
0.000000001163 0.000000056015
0.000000046025 0.000001524150
0.000001028992 0.000023419756
0.000012991486 0.000203221030
0.000092626930 0.000995833345
0.000372947277 0.002755728354
0.000847987278 0.004306434737
0.001088837218 0.003800415316
0.000789529392 0.001893982553
0.000323299753 0.000533031179
BIVARIATE Distribu
0.12
0.1
0.08
0.06
0.04
0.02
0
-3 -2.5 -2 -1.5 -1 -0.5 0 0.5 1
0-0.020.02-0.040.04-0.060.06-0.0
-2.0 -1.5
0.000000000008 0.000000000443
0.000000000843 0.000000031633
0.000000049433 0.000001274897
0.000001637001 0.000029016529
0.000030613377 0.000372947277
0.000323299753 0.002706955686
0.001928107450 0.011095492292
0.006493649116 0.025682880467
0.012350317647 0.033571644035
0.013264752835 0.024781820860
0.008045479288 0.010330599895
0.002755728354 0.002431921737
0.000533031179 0.000323299753
tion
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
1.5 2 -3.0
2.5
3
8 0.08-0.1 0.1-0.12
𝝈1
μ2 0
𝝈2
1
1
⍴ -0.9
-3.0
-2.5
-2.0
-1.5
-1.0
-0.5
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
-3.0 -2.5
0.000000004811 0.000000005057
0.000000449284 0.000000740744
0.000011256572 0.000029106226
0.000075657400 0.000306805887
0.000136413258 0.000867563702
0.000065981418 0.000658110698
0.000008561436 0.000133923386
0.000000298010 0.000007310949
0.000000002783 0.000000107066
0.000000000007 0.000000000421
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
BIVARIATE Distribu
0.07
0.06
0.05
0.04
0.03
0.02
0.01
-2.0 -
0-0.010.01-0.020.02-0.030.03-0.040
0.000000003225 0.000000001247
0.000000740744 0.000000449284
0.000045647649 0.000043421387
0.000754620713 0.001125761817
0.003346562373 0.007829774122
0.003981337716 0.014608709213
0.001270629706 0.007311969107
0.000108784967 0.000981785793
0.000002498496 0.000035363809
0.000000015394 0.000000341713
0.000000000025 0.000000000886
0.000000000000 0.000000000001
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
ution
3.0
2.0
1.0
0.0
-1.0
-2.0
1 -3.0
1.5
2.5
2
3
-1.0
.04-0.05 0.05-0.06 0.06-0.07 -0.5 0.0
0.000000000293 0.000000000042 0.000000000004
0.000000165282 0.000000036879 0.000000004991
0.000025051961 0.000008766627 0.000001860699
0.001018631416 0.000559036774 0.000186087177
0.011110978369 0.009563307708 0.004992484401
0.032512280266 0.043886987872 0.035931626631
0.025521279878 0.054028549925 0.069374031330
0.005374243782 0.017843117726 0.035931626631
0.000303593289 0.001580804132 0.004992484401
0.000004600731 0.000037570353 0.000186087177
0.000000018703 0.000000239537 0.000001860699
0.000000000020 0.000000000410 0.000000004991
0.000000000000 0.000000000000 0.000000000004
0.5 1.0 1.5
0.000000000000 0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000410 0.000000000020 0.000000000001
0.000000239537 0.000000018703 0.000000000886
0.000037570353 0.000004600731 0.000000341713
0.001580804132 0.000303593289 0.000035363809
0.017843117726 0.005374243782 0.000981785793
0.054028549925 0.025521279878 0.007311969107
0.043886987872 0.032512280266 0.014608709213
0.009563307708 0.011110978369 0.007829774122
0.000559036774 0.001018631416 0.001125761817
0.000008766627 0.000025051961 0.000043421387
0.000000036879 0.000000165282 0.000000449284
0.000000000042 0.000000000293 0.000000001247
2.0 2.5
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000000 0.000000000000
0.000000000025 0.000000000000
0.000000015394 0.000000000421
0.000002498496 0.000000107066
0.000108784967 0.000007310949
0.001270629706 0.000133923386
0.003981337716 0.000658110698
0.003346562373 0.000867563702
0.000754620713 0.000306805887
0.000045647649 0.000029106226
0.000000740744 0.000000740744
0.000000003225 0.000000005057
3.0
0.000000000000
0.000000000000
0.000000000000
0.000000000007
0.000000002783
0.000000298010
0.000008561436
0.000065981418
0.000136413258
0.000075657400
0.000011256572
0.000000449284
0.000000004811