Lect #1
Lect #1
Peter Lund
Sami Jouttijärvi
Sannamari Pilpola
Course Outline
• Mission: To understand the role of new energy technologies
in future energy systems and how these can be integrated in
large-scale into existing energy systems.
• Energy drivers
• New energy technologies and their characteristics
• New energy technologies in the energy system
1. Climate change
2. Technology
3. Globalization
1 2) Hydrocarbons now
>90% of all energy
4
3) Oil 1/3
2
4) 200+ yrs of reserves
PHYS-E0483 # 1 Peter Lund 2018
Energy revolution
• Fossil fuels 2016 >80%; year 2100 22%
http://www.shell.com/global/future-energy/
scenarios/new-lens-scenarios.html
MIT Technology
Management 2017
PHYS-E0483 # 1 Peter Lund 2018
Variable renewable generation
ID U
IL
No RE
Much RE
Source: Fraunhofer
Institute, Germany
Effects of ’fuel-less’ power on the electricity
market
Marginal cost principle: start
with cheapest, end with most
expensive power production
forms
35
• Price = decreases average
30 Dem
and electricity price
25
decrease
20 • Redistribution= consumer
Price
PHYS-E0483 # 1
Peter Lund 2018
PHYS-E0483 # 1 Peter Lund 2018
U.S. Renewable Electricity Futures
Study (RE Futures)
• Renewable electricity is
more than adequate to
supply 80% of U.S.
electricity in 2050;
• Multiple combinations of
renewable technologies
possible.
7
8
9
PHYS-E0483_#2 Peter Lund 2018