PROJECT
PROJECT
Internship Report is Submitted Towards Partial Fulfillment for The Requirement for The Degree
of Master of Business Administration (MBA)
SUBMITTED BY
PRITIPADMA MISHRA
REGISTRATION NO: 2306287130
ROLL NO: 23MB129
Submitted to
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Certificate of Originality
This is to certify that the project titled “INTRINSIC VALUE OF STOCKS” in ODISHA
CAPITAL MARKET ENTERPROSES LTD.(OCMEL)is an original work of the student and is
being submitted in partial fulfilment for the award of Master’s Degree in Business
Administration of GITA Autonomous College, affiliated to Biju Patnaik University of
Technology (BPUT), Rourkela. This report has not been submitted earlier to this University or
to any other University/ Institution for the fulfilment of the requirement of a course of study.
Place: Place:
Date: Date:
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CERTIFICATE OF GUIDE/SUPERVISOR
This is to certify that the dissertation entitled “Intrinsic value of stocks” by Sonalisa Sahoo for
the partial fulfilment of “Master in Business Administration (MBA)” is a record of Bonafide
original research work carried out by him/her, under my supervision and guidance. The
dissertation has reached the standard of fulfilling the partial requirement of the Master of
Business Administration in Management (MBA) of GITA Autonomous College
The dissertation hasn’t been submitted to any other University/Institution for the award of any
degree or diploma so far as my knowledge is concerned.
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Declaration
I, Sonalisa Sahoo, student of MBA (GITA Autonomous College), do hereby declare that I have completed the
project study entitled “Intrinsic value of stocks” under the guidance of Shaswati Sahu in the field of
HR/Marketing/Finance/Operation/ IT.
The project work done by me is genuine and authentic and is not submitted to any other institution for the award
of any degree or publication.
Date – 04/11/2024
Place -Bhubaneswar Sonalisa Sahoo
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
First and foremost, I am very thankful to the lord almighty for having best owned upon his grace,
without which I would not have got strength to complete my project. This summer internship gave
me a very good opportunity for learning new things, with timely and successful completion of
project. These all have been made possible by the effort of many individuals and therefore it is
necessary for me to express my sincere to each one of them.
First, I would like to thank Mr. Thomas Mathew, MD of Bhubaneswar stock exchange for allowing
us to conduct our summer internship project in the organization.
I take this opportunity to express my deep sense of gratitude to my company guide, Mr. Bipin
BDutta, Assistant manager, Bhubaneswar stock exchange, for his wonderful guidance on the topic
of the project undertaken by me and also for him immense support by giving enough clarifications to
my doubt whenever it was required, throughout the journey of my internship. Without his direction,
it would have been impossible for me to proceed and give my best. He has significantly contributed
in making concepts related to my work simple to understand. Every time he kept motivating me to
come up with something new in my study.
I am also very much thankful to my faculty guide MS. Shaswati Sahu, for suggesting me to
undertake internship in Bhubaneswar Stock Exchange. She has constantly motivated me to deliver
my best and also gave right information in the quickest possible time. I am thankful to her for
inspiring me to do case study or research work which made me enthusiastic for my work.
At last, I would like to thank my seniors and family members, who gave me nice support in making
this project successful.
I take immense pleasure to thank all inspiring spirits behind the success of the project
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CHAPTER-I INTRODUCTION
1.1. Backdrop
1.2. Objective of the study
1.3. Method Adopted
1.4. Outline of the study
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CHAPTER-I
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Long-Term Focus: Intrinsic value is often a guiding principle for long-term investors,
who prioritize fundamental analysis over short-term market fluctuations.
Sustainable Investing: The growing emphasis on ESG (Environmental, Social,
Governance) factors has added another layer to intrinsic value assessments, as investors
consider a company's ethical practices and sustainability efforts alongside traditional
financial metrics.
Conclusion
The backdrop of intrinsic value encompasses a rich tapestry of historical developments,
theoretical advancements, and evolving market dynamics. Understanding these elements helps
investors navigate the complexities of stock valuation and make informed decisions.
INTRODUCTION
he intrinsic value of a stocks is an estimate of its true, inherent worth, independent of its
current market price. It is a fundamental concept in value investing and is used to determine
whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued by the market
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS
Intrinsic value is typically calculated using fundamental analysis, which involves examining a
company’s financial statements, business model, market position, and other qualitative and
quantitative factors.
One common Methods for estimating intrinsic value is the discounted cash flow model. this
approach involves projecting the company’s future cash flow and then discounting them back to
their present value using a discount rate.
QUALITATIVE FACTORS
Intrinsic value also Take into account qualitative factors such as the company’s management quality,
brand strength, competitive advantage, and industry position. these factors can be harder to quantify
but are crucial for a comprehensive valuation.
DYNAMIC NATURE
Intrinsic value is not static; it can change over time as new information becomes available, a
company’s performance change, or broader economic condition evolve.
OBJECTIVE OF STUDY
To determine a stocks true or fair value based on fundamental analysis rather than its current
market price.
To identify investment opportunities
To reduce risk
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To support long term strategies
To gain market insights
To valuation for investment decision
To the study of long-term wealth building
To risk mitigation
Study of market independence
Research methodology
Researching the intrinsic value of stocks typically involves a mix of quantitative and qualitative
methodologies. Here are some common approaches:
1. Fundamental Analysis
Financial Statement Analysis: Examine balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow
statements to assess a company's financial health.
Valuation Ratios: Use ratios such as Price-to-Earnings (P/E), Price-to-Book (P/B), and
Dividend Discount Model (DDM) to gauge relative value.
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: Project future cash flows and discount them back to
present value using an appropriate discount rate.
2. Comparative Analysis
Peer Comparison: Compare financial metrics with similar companies in the same industry to
determine relative valuation.
Benchmarking: Use industry averages as a benchmark to assess performance and valuation.
3. Qualitative Analysis
Management Evaluation: Assess the quality and track record of the company's leadership.
Competitive Positioning: Analyze the company’s market position, competitive advantages,
and potential risks.
Industry Trends: Investigate broader economic and industry trends that could impact the
company’s performance.
News and Reports: Review news articles, analyst reports, and investor sentiments to
understand market perceptions and potential biases.
Social Media Analysis: Utilize sentiment analysis tools to gauge public perception and
trends from social media platforms.
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Regression Analysis: Analyze relationships between stock prices and economic indicators or
other variables.
Time Series Analysis: Study historical stock price data to identify patterns and forecast
future movements.
6. Risk Assessment
Beta Analysis: Measure the stock's volatility compared to the overall market.
Scenario and Sensitivity Analysis: Evaluate how changes in key assumptions (e.g., growth
rates, discount rates) impact intrinsic value.
7. Longitudinal Studies
Conduct studies over time to observe how intrinsic value assessments change with market
conditions, company performance, and economic cycles.
Data Sources
Financial Databases: Use sources like Bloomberg, Reuters, or Yahoo Finance for financial
data.
Company Reports: Analyz annual reports (10-K) and quarterly reports (10-Q).
Market Research: Leverage industry reports and market analysis studies.
Conclusion
Combining these methodologies provides a comprehensive view of a stock's intrinsic value, allowing
for informed investment decisions. It's also important to remain adaptable and update analyses as
new information becomes available.
Types
Researching the intrinsic value of stocks involves several methodologies, each suited to different
types of analysis. Here are some common approaches:
1. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method estimates the intrinsic value based on
projected future cash flows, discounted back to their present value. It requires assumptions
about future growth rates, discount rates, and cash flow patterns.
2. Comparable Company Analysis (Comps): This approach involves evaluating similar
companies to derive valuation multiples (like P/E or EV/EBITDA) and applying these to the
target company's financial metrics.
3. Precedent Transactions Analysis: This method looks at past transactions involving similar
companies to determine a valuation benchmark, considering the premiums paid in
acquisitions.
4. Asset-based Valuation: This technique assesses a company's intrinsic value based on its net
asset value, calculating the value of its assets minus liabilities.
5. Earnings Power Value (EPV): This approach estimates a company's value based on its
sustainable earnings and assumes no growth, focusing on its current profitability.
6. Market Sentiment Analysis: Incorporating qualitative aspects like market trends, investor
sentiment, and macroeconomic factors can also help gauge intrinsic value.
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7. Dividend Discount Model (DDM): Particularly relevant for dividend-paying stocks, this
model calculates the present value of expected future dividends.
8. Scenario Analysis: This involves creating different scenarios based on varying assumptions
(like economic conditions or company performance) to assess how these Impact intrinsic
value.
Combining these methodologies can provide a more comprehensive view of a stock's intrinsic value,
balancing quantitative analysis with qualitative insights.
Intrinsic value is the anticipated or calculated value of a company stock, currency or product
determined through fundamental analysis. it Include tangible and intangible factors. intrinsic value is
also called the real value and may or may not be the same as the current market value. It is also
referred to as the price a rational investor is willing to pay for an investment, given its level of risk
BASIC FORMULA
The fundamental or the intrinsic value of a business or any investment asset is generally considered
as the present value of all future cash flows discounted at an appropriate discount rate.
The, the most “standard” approach is similar to the net present value formula:
Method of Valuation
Precedent Transactions
DCF analysis
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Method 1: Comparable Analysis
These transactions are put to use to assess the value of the company.
DCF also is known as the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method is the
most used approach to arrive at the intrinsic value. In this method, the
analyst forecasts the future cash flow of the business and discount it to
present value by using the firm’s Weighted Average Cost of capital
(WACC).
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Let us now see an example to understand how fair value is determined
with the help of the DCF method.
Assume you are evaluating a company that has the following cash flow.
Cash flow for the first five years starting 2019 – Rs 100
Discount rate – 10%
Terminal Growth rate – 5%
The present estimation of the cash flow generated in 2019 –
= CF / (1+r) ^n
= 100/ (1+10%) ^1
= {100*(1+5%)}/ (10%-5%)
= Rs 2100
The present worth of the terminal value is calculated using the method
shown above.
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Thus, the fair value of the company is Rs 1683 (addition of the present
value of all future cash flows).
CHAPTER-II
Literature review
Several notable economists and financial experts have contributed their opinions on the concept of
intrinsic value of stocks, each offering unique perspectives based on their theories and research. Here
1. Benjamin Graham
Perspective: Often regarded as the "father of value investing," Benjamin Graham’s work laid
the foundation for understanding intrinsic value. His seminal book, "Security Analysis"
(1934), co-authored with David Dodd, introduced the concept of intrinsic value as a measure
of a stock’s true worth based on fundamental analysis. Graham emphasized buying stocks at
a discount to their intrinsic value to provide a margin of safety.
Key Contribution: Graham’s approach focused on fundamental valuation methods such as
discounted cash flow (DCF) and earnings multiples, advocating for a conservative approach
to investing based on thorough analysis.
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2. David Dodd
Perspective: Co-authoring with Benjamin Graham, David Dodd’s work also significantly
influenced the concept of intrinsic value. Their joint work, "Security Analysis," provided a
systematic approach to evaluating stocks based on intrinsic value, using financial metrics and
conservative assumptions.
Key Contribution: Dodd’s contributions emphasized the importance of rigorous financial
analysis and valuation techniques in assessing a stock’s intrinsic worth.
3. Eugene Fama
Perspective: Known for developing the Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH), Eugene Fama’s
work suggests that stock prices always reflect all available information, making it difficult to
consistently identify stocks trading below their intrinsic value. According to EMH, market
prices should equal intrinsic values, so the concept of consistently finding undervalued stocks
may be problematic.
Key Contribution: Fama’s work challenges the practical application of intrinsic value
estimation by suggesting that markets are efficient and prices are already aligned with
intrinsic values.
4. Robert Shiller
5.AswathDamodar
Perspective: Often referred to as the “Dean of Valuation,” Aswath Damodaran is a leading expert on
valuation. His books, such as "Valuation: Measuring and Managing the Value of Companies"
(1996), provide comprehensive methodologies for estimating intrinsic value using models like DCF,
relative valuation, and real options.
Perspective: In his book "The Theory of Investment Value" (1938), Williams introduced the
Dividend Discount Model (DDM), which focuses on valuing a stock based on the present
value of expected future dividends.
Key Contribution: Williams’ work laid the groundwork for dividend-based valuation
methods, providing an alternative approach to estimating intrinsic value that remains relevant
for dividend-paying stocks.
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7. Michael Jense
Perspective: Michael Jensen’s work on agency theory and corporate governance has
implications for intrinsic value by highlighting how managerial behaviour and agency costs
can affect a company’s performance and, consequently, its intrinsic value.
Key Contribution: Jensen’s research emphasizes the importance of corporate governance in
ensuring that managerial decisions align with shareholder interests, indirectly affecting the
intrinsic value of stocks.
8. Jeremy Siegel
Perspective: In his book "Stocks for the Long Run" (1994), Jeremy Siegel provides evidence
supporting the long-term investment in stocks based on their historical performance and
fundamental value. He argues that over the long term, stock prices tend to align with their
intrinsic values.
Key Contribution: Siegel’s work supports the idea that intrinsic value is a meaningful
concept for long-term investors, despite short-term market fluctuations.
These economists and experts offer a range of perspectives on the intrinsic value of stocks, from
foundational theories and practical methodologies to critiques and behavioral insights. Their
contributions collectively provide a comprehensive view of how intrinsic value is assessed and its
relevance to investment decisions.
Intrinsic value is different from the current market price of an asset. however, comparing it to
that current price can give investors an idea of whether the asset is undervalued or
overvalued.
Intrinsic value refers to a fundamental, objective value contained in an object, asset, or
financial contract.
It is the anticipated or calculated value of a company, stocks, currency or product determined
through fundamental analysis
CHAPTER- III
Qualitative study
A qualitative study of the intrinsic value of stocks involves assessing various non-numeric
factors that influence a company's worth beyond its financial metrics. Here’s an outline of how
you might approach this:
1. Understanding Intrinsic Value
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Importance: Helps investors make informed decisions by evaluating whether a stock is
undervalued or overvalued.
2. Key Qualitative Factors
Management Quality
o Leadership experience and track record.
o Corporate governance practices.
o Transparency and communication with shareholders.
Business Model
o Clarity and sustainability of the business model.
o Competitive advantages (e.g., brand strength, patents).
o Revenue generation methods and diversification.
Industry Position
o Market share and competitive landscape.
o Industry growth prospects and trends.
o Regulatory environment and potential challenges.
Company Culture
o Employee satisfaction and retention rates.
o Innovation and adaptability to change.
o Ethical practices and corporate social responsibility.
3. Data Collection Methods
Interviews
o Conduct interviews with company management, employees, and industry experts.
Surveys
o Gather insights from investors and analysts regarding their perceptions of the
company.
Case Studies
o Analyze successful companies in the same industry to identify best practices.
Media Analysis
o Review news articles, press releases, and social media for public sentiment.
4. Analysis Techniques
Thematic Analysis
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o Identify common themes from qualitative data collected through interviews and
surveys.
SWOT Analysis
o Assess the company's strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, and threats based on
qualitative findings.
Narrative Analysis
o Examine the company’s story, including its history and future vision, to
understand its potential.
5. Combining Qualitative and Quantitative Data
Integrate qualitative insights with quantitative financial analysis (e.g., earnings reports,
P/E ratios) to arrive at a more holistic view of intrinsic value.
6. Conclusion
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You can determine whether a stock is undervalued in a few ways. One method is to look at a
company's price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, which is its stock price divided by its earnings per
share. A company may be undervalued if its P/E ratio is below that of its competitors or the
overall market.4
What's the Difference Between Market Value and Intrinsic Value?
Market value is the current stock price of company. It's based on supply and demand and can
fluctuate due to many factors such as opinions and feelings. Intrinsic value is a company's true
value. It can be thought of as the actual worth of a company when taking the value of its assets
and liabilities into consideration.
It Provide banks with the advantage of liquidity, in addition to the profits from
realized capital gains when these are sold.
1. POTENTIOAL FOR HIGH RETURNS: Historically, the stocks market has provided higher returns
compared to other asset classes such as bonds or savings accounts.
2. DIVERSIFICATION: Investing in a range of securities help spread portfolio, you can mitigate
the impact of poor performance of a single security.
3. LIQUIDITY: Stocks and other securities are generally easy to buy and sell, providing flexibility
and liquidity to investors.
5. RAX BENEFIT: Certain investments come with tax advantages, such as tax-deferred growth in
retirement accounts.
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PROTECTION OF INVESTORS:
The SEC’s missions is to protect investors maintain fair, orderly, and efficient
markets and facilitate capital formation. Protecting investors in the securities
market is essential to maintain trust and integrity.
REGULATORY OVERSIGHT
AGENCIES: Bodies like the SEC in the U.S., FCA in the UK, and similar
agencies globally oversee market activities, enforce regulation, and take
action against violations.
COMPLIANCE: Ensuring that firms comply with legal and regulatory
requirements to protect investors’ interests.
MARKET SURVEILLANCE:
INVESTOR EDUCATION:
CYBERSUCURITIES:
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ENSURING FAIR, TRANSPARENT AND EFFICIENT MARKET AND
Systematic risk refers to the risk inherent in the whole market or part of the
market.
Reducing systematic risk in the securities market involves strategies that
investors and portfolio managers can use to protect against market-wide risk.
Systematic risk, also known as market risk, affect the entire market and
cannot be eliminated through diversification.
Owning different securities or owning stocks in different sectors can reduce
systematic risk.
1.2
Investing in securities market always have risk it is totally up to an Investor to which they are
willing to take risk. Here are some key Risk.
KEY RISK
Market risk or systematic Risk: it means that an Investors may experience losses due to
factors affecting the overall performance of financial markets and general economy of
the country.
Inflation Risk: inflation risk is also called as purchasing power risk. It is defined as the
chance that the cash flows from an investment would lose their value in future because
of a decline in its purchasing power due to inflation.
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Business Risk: it refers to the risk that a business of a company might be affected or
may stop its operation due to any unfavourable operational, market or financial
situation.
Volatility Risk: Volatility risk arises as the companies’ stock prices may fluctuate over
time.
Currency Risk: It refers to the potential risk of loss from fluctuating foreign exchange
rates that an investor may face when he has invested in foreign currency or made
foreign-currency-traded investment.
1.3
Yes, taking on higher risk can potentially lead to higher returns, a concept central to the risk-
return trade off in finance. This trade off means that to achieve higher returns, investors
generally must be willing to accepts a higher level of risk.
1. STOCKS VS. BONDS: Stocks generally offer higher potential returns compared to bonds
but come with greater risk. Bonds, on the other hand, provide more stable and predictable
returns but usually lower than stocks.
2. Diversification: By diversification a portfolio – spreading investments across various asset
classes, industries, and geographic regions- investment can manage and mitigate some risk
while still seeking higher returns.
3. RISK TOLERANCE: individual risk tolerance plays a crucial role in investment decisions.
Investors with higher risk tolerance may invest more in equities or high- yield bonds,
while conservative investors might prefer bonds or blue-chip stock.
4. MARKET VOLATILITY: The securities market is inherently volatile, and higher
potential returns come with the possibility of significant losses, especially in the short term.
5. INVESTORS HORIZON: The length of time an investor plans to hold their investments
can affect the risk-return balance. Longer investment horizons typically allow more time to
ride out market fluctuation, potentially leading to higher returns.
Managing a portfolio in the securities market involves balancing risk and return.
Portfolio management is the art of selecting and overseeing a group of investments that meet
the long-term financial objectives and risk tolerance of a client, a company, or an institution.
Investors can preserve their capita by diversifying holdings over different asset classes and
choosing assets that are non-correlating.
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Managing a portfolio in the securities market involves a balancing act between risk and return.
1. Risk and Return Relationship: Generally, higher potential returns come with higher risk.
This is a fundamental principle in investing: if you're aiming for greater rewards, you often
need to be prepared for the possibility of greater losses. For instance, stocks typically offer
higher returns than bonds, but they also come with higher volatility and risk.
2. Diversification: One key strategy to manage risk is diversification—spreading investments
across various asset classes, sectors, and geographic regions. Diversification helps reduce the
impact of any single investment's poor performance on the overall portfolio.
3. Risk Tolerance: Each investor has a different level of risk tolerance, which can depend on
factors like their financial goals, investment horizon, and personal comfort with market
fluctuations. Understanding and aligning your portfolio with your risk tolerance is crucial for
effective management.
4. Volatility: This is a measure of how much the price of an investment varies over time.
Investments with high volatility can offer higher returns but also pose greater risk. Managing
volatility involves strategies like choosing a mix of high and low volatility assets.
5. Regular Review and Adjustment: Market conditions change, and so might your personal
circumstances and investment goals. Regularly reviewing and adjusting your portfolio helps
ensure it remains aligned with your objectives and risk tolerance.
6. Risk Management Tools: Investors use various tools and strategies to manage risk,
including stop-loss orders, hedging with options, and setting up asset allocation plans.
Balancing risk and return is an ongoing process that requires attention, analysis, and sometimes
adjustment, but it's essential for achieving long-term investment success.
The risk of securities or a portfolio refers to the potential for loss or variability in returns associated
with investing. It can manifest in various forms:
1. Market Risk: The risk that the entire market or a segment of it will decline, affecting the
value of your securities. This includes:
o Equity Risk: The risk of stock prices declining.
o Interest Rate Risk: The risk that changes in interest rates will affect the value of bonds and
other fixed-income securities.
o Currency Risk: The risk that fluctuations in exchange rates will affect investments in foreign
assets.
2. Credit Risk: The risk that a borrower or issuer of a security will default on their obligations,
causing losses for investors. This is especially relevant for bonds and other debt instruments.
3. Liquidity Risk: The risk that you may not be able to sell an investment quickly enough to
avoid or minimize a loss. This is more common in less frequently traded securities or assets.
4. Inflation Risk: The risk that inflation will erode the purchasing power of your returns. This
affects fixed-income securities and cash investments.
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5. Specific Risk (or Idiosyncratic Risk): The risk associated with a particular company or
industry. This includes factors like management decisions, competitive pressures, or
regulatory changes.
6. Systemic Risk: The risk that the failure of one financial institution or sector could trigger a
broader financial crisis.
When managing a portfolio, diversifying investments across different asset classes and sectors can
help mitigate some of these risks. Additionally, understanding the risk profile of each security and
how it fits into the overall portfolio is crucial for effective risk management.
The relationship between risk and return in the securities market is fundamental to investing and is
often summarized by the principle that higher risk is associated with the potential for higher returns.
Here’s a breakdown of how this relationship works:
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oIn modern portfolio theory, the efficient frontier represents the set of optimal
portfolios that offer the highest expected return for a given level of risk. Investors can
choose a portfolio along the efficient frontier based on their risk tolerance.
7. Risk Tolerance:
o Individual investors have different levels of risk tolerance, which affects their
investment choices. Risk tolerance is influenced by factors such as investment goals,
time horizon, and financial situation.
Understanding the risk-return relationship helps investors make informed decisions about where to
allocate their resources, balancing their desire for higher returns with their ability to handle potential
losses.
1. Risk Reduction: Diversification helps spread investment risk across various asset classes,
sectors, and geographic regions. By not putting all your eggs in one basket, you reduce the
impact of poor performance in any single investment. For instance, if one sector or stock
underperforms, other investments in your portfolio may still perform well, balancing out
potential losses.
2. Smoother Returns: Different assets and sectors tend to perform differently at various times.
Diversification can lead to more stable and predictable returns over time, as the volatility of
individual investments is smoothed out by the overall performance of the diversified
portfolio.
3. Mitigating Market Risks: Markets can be unpredictable. Diversification allows you to
mitigate the impact of market downturns or economic disruptions on your portfolio. For
example, if the stock market is struggling, bonds or real estate might be performing better,
providing a cushion against losses.
4. Capitalizing on Different Opportunities: A diversified portfolio gives you exposure to
various investment opportunities. Different sectors and asset classes can perform well under
different economic conditions. For instance, technology stocks might do well during periods
of innovation, while utilities might be more stable during economic downturns.
5. Improving Long-Term Performance: Historically, diversified portfolios have shown better
long-term performance compared to concentrated ones. This is because the diversified
approach balances out high-risk, high-reward investments with more stable, lower-risk ones.
6. Reducing Specific Risk: By investing in a range of securities, industries, or countries, you
reduce the specific risk associated with any single entity. For example, investing in multiple
companies within the same industry can still expose you to industry-wide risks, but adding
investments from other sectors reduces this exposure.
7. Adapting to Changing Conditions: Diversification allows your portfolio to adapt to
changing economic and market conditions. As different sectors or asset classes respond
differently to these conditions, a diversified portfolio can benefit from various trends and
cycles.
In essence, diversification is a strategy to manage risk while aiming to achieve more consistent and
potentially higher returns over the long term. It’s a fundamental principle in investment management
and is widely recommended by financial advisors.
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NON-DIVERSIFIABLE AND DIVERSIFIABLE RISK AND THE FACTORS GIVING
RISE TO IT.
In the context of finance and investing, the concepts of non-diversifiable and diversifiable risk are
crucial to understanding how risk affects securities and investment portfolios. Here's a breakdown of
these concepts and the factors that contribute to them:
Definition: Non-diversifiable risk, also known as systematic risk, is the risk inherent to the entire
market or a particular segment of the market. This type of risk cannot be eliminated through
diversification, as it affects all securities to some extent.
1. Economic Factors:
o Interest Rates: Changes in interest rates can impact borrowing costs, consumer spending,
and corporate profits.
o Inflation: Rising inflation can erode purchasing power and affect the profitability of
companies.
o Economic Recessions: Economic downturns can lead to widespread declines in market
values and investor sentiment.
3. Market-wide Events:
o Global Events: Geopolitical events, natural disasters, or pandemics can have broad market
impacts.
o Market Sentiment: Overall investor sentiment and behaviour can influence market
movements.
Definition: Diversifiable risk, also known as unsystematic risk, is specific to an individual security
or a small group of securities. This risk can be reduced or eliminated through diversification within a
portfolio.
1. Company-Specific Factors:
o Management Decisions: Decisions made by a company's management can affect its
performance and stock price.
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o Product Demand: Changes in consumer preferences or product demand can impact a
company's earnings.
2. Industry-Specific Factors:
o Competitive Position: A company's competitive position within its industry can affect its
performance relative to its peers.
o Regulatory Changes: Changes in regulations specific to an industry can impact companies
within that sector.
3. Operational Risk:
o Operational Failures: Issues such as production problems or supply chain disruptions can
affect a company’s performance.
4. Financial Risk:
o Leverage: Companies with high levels of debt may face higher financial risk compared to
those with lower levels of debt.
Importance of Diversification
Reducing Risk: By holding a diversified portfolio, investors can mitigate unsystematic risk, as the
performance of individual securities will have a lesser impact on the overall portfolio.
Maximizing Returns: Diversification can help smooth out returns over time, as different securities
may react differently to various risk factors.
Summary
Non-diversifiable (Systematic) Risk: Affects the entire market or a broad sector; cannot be
eliminated through diversification. Examples include economic conditions and political events.
Diversifiable (Unsystematic) Risk: Specific to individual securities or industries; can be mitigated
through diversification. Examples include company-specific issues and industry trends.
Understanding these types of risk helps investors make informed decisions about how to construct
and manage their investment portfolios.
CHAPTER-IV
The intrinsic value of a stock refers to its true, inherent worth based on fundamental analysis, rather
than its current market price. It's an estimate of what the stock should be worth based on various
financial metrics and projections.
To determine the intrinsic value, investors typically consider factors such as:
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1. Earnings: Historical and projected earnings can give insight into a company's profitability.
2. Revenue Growth: How fast the company’s revenue is growing can indicate future potential.
3. Dividends: If the company pays dividends, the dividend yield and growth are important.
4. Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis: This method estimates the value of a stock by
calculating the present value of expected future cash flows, adjusted for risk.
5. Book Value: This is the value of a company's assets minus its liabilities.
6. Comparable Company Analysis: Comparing the company’s valuation multiples (like P/E
ratio) to those of similar companies.
The intrinsic value is often used to make investment decisions. If the intrinsic value is higher than the
current market price, the stock might be considered undervalued; if it’s lower, it might be
overvalued.
The intrinsic value of a stock is its perceived true value based on fundamental analysis, rather than its
current market price. Here’s a deeper dive into how to determine it and its significance:
Key Concepts
Future Cash Flows: Estimate the company's free cash flows for a specific period (usually 5-
10 years).
Discount Rate: Use the company's weighted average cost of capital (WACC) as the discount
rate.
Present Value: Discount the future cash flows back to their present value.
Terminal Value: Calculate the value of cash flows beyond the forecast period using a growth
model, and discount it back.
Total Intrinsic Value: Sum the present values of cash flows and the terminal value.
Identify peer companies and evaluate their valuation multiples (like P/E or EV/EBITDA).
Apply these multiples to the target company’s metrics to estimate intrinsic value.
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Factors to Consider
Market Conditions: Economic factors can influence stock prices and intrinsic value.
Management Quality: Strong leadership can significantly impact a company's future
performance.
Industry Trends: Changes in the industry can affect growth rates and cash flow potential.
Risk Factors: Assess potential risks, including competitive threats and regulatory changes.
Definition: Intrinsic value refers to the perceived or calculated true value of a stock, based on
various fundamental factors rather than its current market price.
Importance: It helps investors make informed decisions about buying or selling stocks by
identifying whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
Steps:
o Project Future Cash Flows: Estimate free cash flows for a forecast period (typically
5-10 years).
o Determine Discount Rate: Use the company's weighted average cost of capital
(WACC).
o Calculate Present Value: Discount the projected cash flows back to their present
value.
o Estimate Terminal Value: Calculate the value of cash flows beyond the forecast
period using a growth model.
o Sum Up: Add the present values of the cash flows and the terminal value.
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Financial Statements: Gather income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements.
Key Ratios: Analyze financial ratios like P/E ratio, return on equity (ROE), and debt-to-
equity ratio.
Growth Rates: Estimate future growth rates based on historical performance and industry
trends.
4. Qualitative Factors
Management Quality: Evaluate the effectiveness and track record of the company’s
leadership.
Market Position: Assess competitive advantages (e.g., brand strength, market share).
Industry Trends: Analyze market conditions, industry growth prospects, and potential
disruptions.
Scenario Analysis: Consider best-case, worst-case, and base-case scenarios to account for
uncertainty.
Sensitivity Analysis: Test how changes in key assumptions (growth rate, discount rate)
impact intrinsic value.
Comparison with Market Price: After calculating intrinsic value, compare it to the current
market price.
o If intrinsic value > market price: Potentially undervalued.
o If intrinsic value < market price: Potentially overvalued.
Margin of Safety: Consider investing only when there’s a significant difference between
intrinsic value and market price to reduce risk.
Market Changes: Keep track of changes in market conditions, industry dynamics, and
company performance.
Reassess Assumptions: Regularly update your analysis based on new data and changing
circumstances.
CHAPTER-V
5.2.1 Key Takeaways
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* Models utilize factors such as dividend streams, discounted cash flows, and
residual income.
* Each model relies crucially on good assumptions. If the assumptions used are
inaccurate or erroneous, then the values estimated by the model will deviate from
the true intrinsic value.
It is difficult to say exactly what processes the market goes through in pricing the
shares.
CHAPTER-VI
CASE STUDY
1. First select 10 listed companies, 5 from Large Cap, 3 from Mid-Cap and 2 from Small-Cap
companies. OR you may take 5 companies, 3 from Large Cap, 1 from Mid Cap and 1 Small-Cap
companies as per suitability.
Large cap companies Mid cap companies Small cap companies
TCS SUZLON Energy Hindustan motors
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Reliance industries Indian Renewable energy Ksolves India
HUL Kalyan Jewellers
LARSEN &TOUBRO
SBI
2. Ascertain the current status of those 10/5 companies in the following manner:
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interest 2,55,254.83 1,87,262.56 1,54,749.70 1,54,440.03 1,59,238.77
(a)
2022
stocks P/E P/B Debt to Market Dividend ROE Face
ratio ratio equity cap % value
2023
stocks P/E ratio P/B ratio Debt to Market ROE % Dividend Face
equity cap value
Coca cola 23.76 9.27 1.622 21.210 T 39.87% 0.46 1.48
Asian 64.48 19.0 0.0 3.265 T 25.68 5.1500 1.00
paints
TCS 27.84 12.86 0.0 13.7347 T 50.9% 9.0000 1.00
HUL 59.45 11.67 0.0 6.265 T 96% 18.00 1.00
SBI 8.40 1.75 1.455 5.735 15.5% 11.300 1.00
2024
Stocks P/E ratio P/B ratio Debt to Market ROE% Dividend Face
equity cap value
Coca cola 26.1 10.57 1.75 23.541 T 38.49% 0.49 5,466.36
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Asian 54.6 14.21 0.06 2,81,716 31.4% 28.15 1.00
paints
TCS 30.34 14.24 0.09 14.411 T 50.94% 10.0 1.59
HUL 58.05 11.59 0.0 5,96,091 16.05% 12.0 1.00
SBI 10.54 1.637 1.429 86.12 20.32% 13.70 1.00
Above Companies stocks and their fundamental analysis give us the certain information about the
Companies growth. It identify undervalued companies with strong growth potential by assessing
factor like market share and sales growth investors can find opportunities for long term.
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35
Asian paints price line chart
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TCS(Tata consultancy service)
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HUL(Hindustan Unilever limited)
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SBI
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CHAPTER-VII
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o If the intrinsic value is greater than the market price, the stock may be
undervalued.
o If the intrinsic value is less than the market price, the stock may be
overvalued.
Margin of Safety: Consider the margin of safety; it’s prudent to invest only when the
intrinsic value significantly exceeds the market price to account for uncertainties.
Regular Reassessment: Revisit your calculations periodically, as market conditions
and company fundamentals can change.
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CHAPTER-VIII
REFERENCES
www.rediffmail.com
www.moneycontrol.com
www.finology.com
www.investing.com
https://www.sebi.gov.in
www.google.com
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