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The document outlines a minor project on 'Weather Analysis and Forecast' submitted for a Bachelor of Computer Application degree at Chaudhary Charan Singh University. It includes acknowledgments, a certificate of completion, lists of figures, tables, and abbreviations, as well as chapters on Python, machine learning, and various libraries used in data analysis. The project emphasizes the importance of machine learning techniques and Python's role in data science.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
19 views43 pages

Group

The document outlines a minor project on 'Weather Analysis and Forecast' submitted for a Bachelor of Computer Application degree at Chaudhary Charan Singh University. It includes acknowledgments, a certificate of completion, lists of figures, tables, and abbreviations, as well as chapters on Python, machine learning, and various libraries used in data analysis. The project emphasizes the importance of machine learning techniques and Python's role in data science.

Uploaded by

Aniket .
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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You are on page 1/ 43

A

Minor Project

On
WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECAST

Submitted in partial fulfilment of the requirements


for the award of the degree of

Bachelor of Computer Application


To

CHAUDHARY CHARAN SINGH UNIVERSITY, MEERUT

GUIDE : MR. PRATEEK GUPTA SUBMITTED BY:


Akshay Goswami - 220934106029
Ayush Goswami - 220934106099
Rajdeep singh - 220934106327
BCA - V

1
Acknowledgement

We are profoundly thankful to everyone who contributed to the successful


completion of my summer training project.

Firstly, we would like to extend my deepest gratitude to Mr. Prateek Gupta,


whose invaluable guidance and insights were essential throughout the training.
His expertise and patience were crucial in helping me navigate the complexities
of advanced data science and machine learning.

We also wish to sincerely thank ITS Mohan Nagar for collaborating with Shape
My Skills Pvt. Ltd. to provide this exceptional learning opportunity. Special
appreciation goes to our course coordinator, Mr. Neeraj sir, for his dedicated
efforts and support during the training. Furthermore, I am deeply grateful to
Head of the Department, for his encouragement and for
providing the necessary resources and environment to facilitate this learning
experience.

Finally, I acknowledge the unwavering support of my family and friends, who


have been my pillars of strength and encouragement throughout this journey.

Thank you all for making this experience valuable and memorable.

Sincerely,

Akshay,
Ayush,
Rajdeep
Certificate

This is to certify that Akshay, Ayush, Rajdeep has successfully completed the project titled
"WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECAST" as part of the Machine Learning and Data
Science summer training program organized by ITS Mohan Nagar in collaboration with
ShapeMySkills Pvt. Ltd.

This project was conducted under the esteemed guidance of Mr. Prateek Gupta, whose
expertise and mentorship were instrumental in its successful completion. The project
exemplifies a thorough understanding of machine learning and data science techniques,
highlighting the skills acquired during the training program.

We commend Monisha for her dedication, hard work, and enthusiasm throughout the project
duration.

Coordinator: Mr. Neeraj Jain

Date: 3.september,2024
Signature:

3
List of Figures

S No. Name Page


1 Figure 1: Figure represents the Boxplot for SATISFACTION LEVEL 23
2 Figure 2: Figure represents the Boxplot for LAST EVALUATION 25

3 Figure 3: Figure represents the Boxplot for NUMBER PROJECTS 26

4 Figure 4: Figure represents the Boxplot for AVERAGE MONTHLY HOURS 27

5 Figure 5: Figure represents the Boxplot for TIME SPEND COMPANY 27

6 Figure 6: Figure represents the Boxplot for WORK ACCIDENT 28

7 Figure 7: Figure represents the RESETTING INDEX 29

8 Figure 8: Figure represents the PAIR PLOT 30

9 Figure 9: Figure represents the CORRELATION HEATMAP 30

10 Figure 10: Figure represents the SCATTER PLOT 31

11 Figure 11: Figure represents the REGRESSION PLOT 31

12 Figure 12: Figure represents the BAR PLOT 32

13 Figure 13: Figure represents the HISTOGRAM 32

14 Figure 14: Figure represents the LINE PLOT 33

15 Figure 15: Figure represents the COUNTER PLOT 33

16 Figure 16: Figure 16 represents the decision tree 36

17 Figure 17: Figure 17 represents the heatmap for truth and predicted values 39

4
List of Tables

S No. Name Page

1 Table 1: Temperature throughout time 18

2 Table 2: Monthly Temperatures throughout history 20

3 Table 3: Seasonal Analysis 34

4 Table 4: Forecasting 41

5
List of Abbreviations

S No. Name Page


1 OOP: Object Oriented Programming 8

2 I/O: Input/Output 9

3 ML: Machine Learning 9

4 AI: Artificial Intelligence 11

5 NumPy: Numerical Python 12

6 Pandas: Panel Data 13

7 CSV: Comma-Separated Value 15

8 SQL: Structured Query Language 17

9 JSON: JavaScript Object Notation 18

10 3D: 3 Dimensional 19

11 SciPy: Scientific Python 22

12 AUC-ROC: Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve 23

13 KNN: K-Nearest Neighbor 24

6
INDEX
S No. Title Page

1 Chapter 1 8
Introduction to Python and Machine Learning

2 Chapter 2 9
Introduction to Python
Libraries

3 Chapter 3 10
Introduction to Machine Learning Algorithm

4 Chapter 4 11
Python and Machine Learning Code

5 Chapter 5 42
Conclusion and Result

6 Chapter 6 42
Future Scope

7
CHAPTER 1
Introduction to Python and Machine Learning

Introduction to python :
Python is a general-purpose, dynamically typed, high-level, compiled and interpreted,
garbage-collected, and purely object-oriented programming language that supports procedural,
object-oriented, and functional programming.
It was Created by Guido van Rossum and first released in 1991, Python emphasizes code
readability and allows programmers to express concepts in fewer lines of code compared to
languages like C++ or Java.

Why learn Python?

o Easy to use and Learn: Python has a simple and easy-to-understand syntax, unlike
traditional languages like C, C++, Java, etc., making it easy for beginners to learn.
o Interpreted Language: Python does not require compilation, allowing rapid
development and testing. It uses Interpreter instead of Compiler.
o Object-Oriented Language: It supports object oriented programming
i.e(inheritance,encapsulation,polymorphism,abstraction) making writing reusable and
modular code easy.
o Extensive Libraries : Python has a rich ecosystem of libraries and frameworks, such as
NumPy, Pandas, and Matplotlib, which simplify tasks like data manipulation and
visualization.

Python Popular Frameworks and Libraries

o Mathematics - NumPy, Pandas, etc.


o REST framework: a toolkit for building RESTful APIs
o MachineLearning – Numpy, Seaborn, Matplotlib etc.

Where is Python used?

o Data Science: Python is important in this field because it is easy to use and has powerful tools for
data analysis and visualization like NumPy, Pandas, and Matplotlib.

o Machine Learning: Python is widely used for machine learning due to its simplicity,
ease of use, and availability of powerful machine learning libraries.
Introduction to Machine Learning

Machine learning (ML) is a subfield of artificial intelligence (AI) that involves the development
of algorithms and statistical models enabling computers to perform tasks without explicit
instructions. Instead, these systems learn patterns and make decisions based on data. Machine
learning is transforming various industries by automating complex processes, providing insights
from large datasets, and creating new opportunities for innovation.

Definition and Scope

Machine learning leverages computational methods to improve performance on a given task over
time with experience. This process involves:

1. Data Collection: Gathering large and diverse datasets.


2. Data Preprocessing: Cleaning and formatting data to be suitable for analysis.
3. Model Selection: Choosing an appropriate algorithm or model based on the task.
4. Training: Feeding the data into the model to learn patterns.
5. Evaluation: Assessing the model's performance using metrics and validation techniques.
6. Deployment: Implementing the model in real-world applications.
7. Maintenance: Continuously updating and refining the model as new data becomes
available.

Types of Machine Learning

Machine learning techniques can be broadly categorized into three types:

1. Supervised Learning: The model is trained on a labeled dataset, meaning that each
training example is paired with an output label. Common algorithms include:
o Linear Regression
o Decision Trees
o Support Vector Machines (SVM)
o Neural Networks
2. Unsupervised Learning: The model is provided with unlabeled data and must find
inherent patterns or groupings. Common algorithms include:
o Clustering (e.g., K-Means, Hierarchical Clustering)
o Association Rules (e.g., Apriori, Eclat)
o Principal Component Analysis (PCA)
3. Reinforcement Learning: The model learns by interacting with an environment,
receiving rewards or penalties based on its actions, and aims to maximize cumulative
rewards. Key concepts include:
o Markov Decision Processes (MDP)
o Q-Learning
o Deep Q-Networks (DQN)

9
CHAPTER 2
Libraries of Python

Numpy
Introduction
NumPy, short for Numerical Python, is a fundamental package for scientific computing with
Python. It provides support for arrays, matrices, and many mathematical functions to operate
on these data structures.
Some of the most popular libraries:

1. NumPy
NumPy, originally stands for Numerical Python, is a core package for numerical
computing in Python. It supports massive, multidimensional arrays and matrices, as
well as a set of mathematical functions for effectively manipulating these arrays.

Features of NumPy:
● NumPy includes an extremely efficient multi-dimensional array object called
numpy.ndarray, which can store and manage big datasets rapidly.
● NumPy includes a large number of numerical computing tools and methods
that can operate on these arrays.
● NumPy has routines for manipulating arrays such as reshaping (reshape()),
stacking (stack(), hstack(), vstack()), splitting (split()), indexing (indexing and
slicing), and sorting.

​ Advantages of NumPy

1. Performance

​ Speed: Faster than Python lists due to optimized C code.


​ Vectorization: Allows element-wise operations without loops.
​ 10
2. Memory Efficiency
Contiguous Allocation: Enhances cache efficiency.
Homogeneous Types: Consistent memory usage.

11
2. Pandas
Pandas is a flexible and advanced Python toolkit for data manipulation and analysis. It
includes high-level data structures like Data Frame and Series, which make it easier to
work with organized data.

Key Features of Pandas:

​ Data Frame: A two-dimensional labelled data structure containing columns of various

categories. It looks like a spreadsheet or a SQL table and is ideal for working with
tabular data.

​ Series: A one-dimensional labelled array that can carry data of any type (integer, float,

text, etc.). Series function similarly to columns in a Data Frame or named arrays.

​ Pandas can read and write data from a variety of file formats, including CSV, Excel,

SQL databases, and JSON.

​ Pandas includes sophisticated indexing techniques (loc and iloc) for picking subsets

of data. This includes selecting rows and columns based on labels (loc) or integer
positions (iloc), giving users easy access to data.

​ Advantages of Pandas

1. Data Manipulation and Analysis

​ DataFrames: Efficiently handle tabular data with labeled axes (rows and columns).
​ Series: Simplify manipulation of one-dimensional labeled arrays.

2. Data Cleaning

​ Handling Missing Data: Functions for detecting, filling, and removing missing values.
​ Data Transformation: Easy methods for merging, reshaping, and transforming
datasets.

3. Data Selection 12
Indexing and Slicing: Powerful, flexible, and intuitive data selection capabilities.
​ Label-based and Position-based Indexing: Access data using labels or positions.

13
3. Matplotlib
Matplotlib is a robust Python package that allows you to create static, animated, and
interactive visualizations. It is commonly used for data visualization jobs and offers a
versatile framework for creating plots and figures in a variety of formats.

Key Features of Matplotlib:


● Matplotlib provides a wide range of graphs, including line plots, scatter plots,
bar plots, histogram plots, pie charts, 3D plots, and more.
● Matplotlib works seamlessly with Pandas and NumPy, enabling direct plotting
from Data Frame and Series objects.
● Matplotlib works well with Seaborn, a statistical data visualization toolkit in
Python. Seaborn expands Matplotlib's capabilities by providing higher-level
functions for statistical plots such as violin plots, box plots, and regression
plots.

​ Advantages of Matplotlib

1. Versatility

​ Wide Range of Plots: Supports various types of plots such as line, bar, scatter,
histogram, pie, and more.
​ Customizable: Highly customizable plots, allowing for detailed adjustments to suit
specific needs.

2. Integration

​ Seamless with NumPy and Pandas: Easily integrates with NumPy and Pandas for
plotting data from arrays and DataFrames.
​ Compatible with Other Libraries: Works well with other libraries like SciPy and
scikit-learn for enhanced functionality.

3. Publication Quality

​ High-Quality Output: Produces high-quality figures suitable for publication.


​ Multiple Formats: Exports plots in various formats including PNG, PDF, SVG, and
EPS.
14
4. Seaborn
Seaborn is a Python data visualization package built on Matplotlib. It provides a high-
level interface for constructing visually appealing and useful statistical graphs.

Key Features of Seaborn:

● Seaborn provides a straightforward and intuitive API for constructing


complicated statistical graphs, using less lines of code than Matplotlib.
● Seaborn includes built-in color palettes to improve visualizations. It
provides both qualitative (categorical data), sequential (numeric data), and
divergent (data with a crucial midpoint) color schemes.
● Seaborn works perfectly with Pandas Data Frames, allowing for direct
visualization of data
contained in Data Frame objects.

​ Advantages of Seaborn

1. High-Level Interface

​ Ease of Use: Simplifies complex visualizations with fewer lines of code.


​ Intuitive API: Provides a user-friendly syntax for creating informative and attractive
statistical graphics.

2. Statistical Visualization

​ Built-in Support: Directly integrates with Pandas DataFrames and handles statistical
aggregations and visualizations effortlessly.
​ Advanced Plotting Functions: Includes specialized plots like categorical plots,
distribution plots, and regression plots.

15
Chapter 3
Introduction to Machine Learning Algorithm

Introduction to Categorial
A categorical variable, also known as a discrete variable, is a type of variable that can take on
one of a limited, fixed number of possible values, representing distinct categories or classes.
Examples include:
Binary categories: Yes/No, True/False, 0/1
Multiclass categories: Red/Green/Blue, Dog/Cat/Horse, Low/Medium/High

Goal:
The primary objective of categorical machine learning algorithms is to predict the category or
class of new instances based on learned patterns from a labelled dataset. This process is
known as classification.

Key Characteristics of Categorical Data

​ Categorical data has discrete values.

​ Non-ordinal vs. ordinal: Some categorical data is non-ordinal (e.g., fruit types), whilst

others are ordinal (e.g., rating scales such as "low," "medium," and "high").

​ Encoding Required: Many machine learning techniques require categorical data to be

translated into numerical format before they can be used.

Types of Algorithms
Categorical algorithms are built specifically for processing and analysing categorical data,
which is made up of variables that indicate discrete categories or groups. Several types of
categorical algorithms have been created to handle the specific issues caused by categorical
data, ensuring that machine learning models execute accurately and efficiently.

16
​ Logistic Regression

● Logistic regression is often utilized in binary classification situations.


It calculates the likelihood that a given input belongs to a particular category.
● It represents the relationship between a binary dependent variable and one
or more independent variables.
● Uses a logistic function (sigmoid function) to convert the relationship to a
probability value between 0 and 1.
● Assumes that the independent variables have a linear connection with
the dependent variable's log chances.
● Accuracy, precision, recall, F1-score, and area under the ROC curve
(AUC- ROC) are common metrics used for evaluation.

​ Decision Tree

● Decision trees are hierarchical, tree-like structures that make


judgments depending on input features.
● Recursively divides the data into subsets based on the values of the input
features.
● Each node represents a feature, whereas each branch denotes a decision rule or
conclusion.
● Terminal nodes (leaves) indicate the ultimate conclusion or
classification. Suitable for both classification and regression workloads.
● The visual, tree-like form makes it easy to learn and interpret.
● Overfitting is common, especially with complicated trees, but it can
be minimized using strategies such as pruning.

​ Random Forest
● Random forest is an ensemble learning method that uses several decision trees
to increase forecast accuracy and robustness.
● During training, a large number of decision trees are constructed and the
findings are combined to provide a more accurate and reliable forecast.
● During tree creation, a random subset of characteristics is selected for splitting
at each node, increasing tree variety.
● Averaging the outcomes of numerous trees reduces the risk of overfitting,
which is common with individual decision trees.
● Generally, achieves good accuracy and robust performance on a variety of
datasets.

​ K- Nearest Neighbor

● KNN is an instance-based learning algorithm that makes predictions based on


the similarity of fresh data points to the training set.
● Unlike many other algorithms, KNN does not require a formal training phase.
It saves the complete training dataset and uses it in the prediction phase.
● The "K" in KNN denotes the number of nearest neighbors to consider when
making a forecast. The choice of K influences the algorithm's performance.
● KNN, or classification, determines the class label by a majority vote of the K
nearest neighbors.
● The value of K is critical; too little K can lead to overfitting, while too much K
can lead to underfitting. Cross-validation is commonly used to select an
optimal K.

​ Gaussian Naive Bayes


● Gaussian Naive Bayes is a probabilistic classifier based on Bayes' Theorem
that assumes feature independence.
● Calculates the likelihood of each class based on the feature distribution, and
then assigns the data point to the class with the highest probability.
● For each new data point, it calculates the likelihood of belonging to each class
using the Gaussian distribution parameters and chooses the class with the
highest posterior probability.
● Gaussian Naive Bayes is prized for its simplicity and efficiency, especially
when the feature independence criterion is roughly met and the features have a
Gaussian distribution.

18
Chapter 4
Python and Machine Learning Code

Libraries

Pandas: It provides data structures like Data Frames and Series to handle and analyse data
efficiently. NumPy is a library for numerical computing in Python. Seaborn is a statistical
data visualization library. Matplotlib is a plotting library for Plotting graphs, histograms,
scatter plots, and customizing visualizations.

​ Dataset Read

​ Gathering some Basic Information


Woah... what is this now??? on the first look, this gives a feel that e've done something wr

21
Apr, May, Jun, July and Aug are the hottest months. One could group them together as "Su
But, since this is not how seasons work. We have four main seasons in India and this is ho
Summer(Also called, "Pre Monsoon Season") : March, April and May. Autumn(Also called
"Post Monsoon Season) : October and November.
We also will stick to these seasons for our analysis.Woah... what is this now??? on the first
Insights:
May 1921 has been the hottest month in india in the history. What could be the reason ?
Dec, Jan and Feb are the coldest months. One could group them together as "Winter".
Apr, May, Jun, July and Aug are the hottest months. One could group them together as "Su
But, since this is not how seasons work. We have four main seasons in India and this is ho
Winter : December, January and February.

22
13

23
24
Figure 2: Figure represents the Boxplot for LAST EVALUATION

25
Figure 3: Figure represents the Boxplot for NUMBER PROJECTS

Figure 4: Figure represents the Boxplot for AVERAGE MONTHLY HOURS

26
Removing outliers using the Interquartile Range (IQR) method is a common technique to clean
data by identifying and excluding extreme values that may distort analysis.

27
Figure 6: Figure represents the Boxplot for WORK ACCIDENT

Removing outliers using the Interquartile Range (IQR) method is a common technique to clean
data by identifying and excluding extreme values that may distort analysis.

28
RESETING INDEX AFTER REMOVING OUTLIERS

Figure 7: Figure represents the RESETTING INDEX

Outliers are data points that deviate significantly from the rest of the dataset. They can arise
due to measurement errors, data entry errors, or inherent variability in the data. Outliers can
skew the analysis results, leading to inaccurate conclusions. Therefore, it is essential to
identify and handle outliers before performing statistical analysis.

Identifying Outliers

One of the most common methods for identifying outliers is the Interquartile Range (IQR)
method. The IQR is a measure of statistical dispersion, which is the range within which the
central 50% of the values lie. It is calculated as the difference between the third quartile (Q3)
and the first quartile (Q1):

To identify outliers, the IQR method uses the following steps:

1. Calculate Q1 (the 25th percentile): The value below which 25% of the data points
fall.
2. Calculate Q3 (the 75th percentile): The value below which 75% of the data points
fall.
3. Calculate the IQR: The difference between Q3 and Q1.
4. Determine the lower bound: Q1−1.5×IQR
5. Determine the upper bound: Q3+1.5×IQR

29
Dataset Trend Visualization PAIRPLOT

Figure 8: Figure represents the PAIR PLOT

Pair plots are particularly useful in the context of outlier detection and data preprocessing.
They provide a clear visual representation of how each variable interacts with others, making
it easier to spot anomalies that do not follow the general pattern of the data.

CORRELATION HEATMAP
Figure 9: Figure represents the CORRELATION HEATMAP

The image shows a correlation heatmap generated using the sns.heatmap() function from the
Seaborn library. Correlation heatmaps are useful for visualizing the strength and direction of
relationships between pairs of variables in a dataset.

30
SCATTER PLOT
Figure 10: Figure represents the SCATTER PLOT

The image shows a scatter plot generated using the sns.scatterplot() function from the
Seaborn library. Scatter plots are useful for visualizing the relationship between two
continuous variables. They help identify trends, patterns, and potential outliers in the data.

REGRESSION PLOT
Figure 11: Figure represents the REGRESSION PLOT

A regression plot is a graphical representation of the relationship between two or more


variables, typically used to show how a dependent variable changes as an independent
variable changes. Here’s a step-by-step explanation of how to create a regression plot.

31
BAR PLOT
Figure 12: Figure represents the BAR PLOT

A bar plot (or bar chart) is a graphical display of data using bars of different heights. It is
commonly used to compare quantities across different categories. Here’s an explanation of
how to create and interpret a bar plot.

HISTOGRAM
Figure 13: Figure represents the HISTOGRAM

A histogram is a type of bar chart that represents the distribution of a dataset. It is used to
show the frequency (or count) of data points that fall within specified ranges (bins). Here’s a
step-by-step explanation of how to create and interpret a histogram.

32
LINE PLOT
Figure 14: Figure represents the LINE PLOT

A line plot (or line chart) is a type of chart used to display information as a series of data
points called 'markers' connected by straight line segments. It is commonly used to visualize
trends over time. Here’s a step-by-step explanation of how to create and interpret a line plot.

COUNTER PLOT

Figure 15: Figure represents the COUNTER PLOT

A counter plot, often referred to as a count plot, is used to visualize the count of observations in
each category of a categorical variable. It is particularly useful for understanding the distribution of
categorical data and comparing the frequencies of different categories.

33
Test and Train Splitting

The x and y variables are separated into independent and dependent values using `iloc`.
Columns from index 0 to 8 (excluding 8) are assigned to x, while the last column, which
represents the weather type, is assigned to y as the dependent variable.

LOGISTIC REGRESSION

The x and y variables are further divided into `x_train`, `y_train`, `x_test`, and `y_test`. The
`x_train` and `y_train` subsets are used for training the model, while `x_test` and `y_test` are
used for evaluating the model. The test size is set to 0.4, meaning 40% of the dataset will be
used for testing. The random state is set to 42 to ensure reproducibility by controlling the
selection of training rows.
34
ACCURACY AND PRECISION

DECISION TREE

`DecisionTreeClassifier` is imported from `sklearn` and assigned to the variable `treemodel`,


with a maximum depth of 2. The model is then trained using `x_train` and `y_train`.

35
Figure 16: represents the decision tree

The max depth with value 2 graph is plotted using decision tree model. A tree plot visually
represents the structure of a decision tree, illustrating how decisions are made based on
feature values. It shows the tree's nodes, branches, and leaves, detailing the splits and
outcomes at each node.

ACCURACY AND PREDICTION

36
RANDOM FOREST

The following libraries are imported: `roc_curve`, `auc`, `classification_report`,


`GridSearchCV`, and `RandomForestClassifier`. The `time` library is also imported. A
`RandomForestClassifier` model.

Parameters like `max_depth`, `bootstrap`, `max_features`, and `criterion` are set to optimize
the accuracy of the dataset. The best parameters are determined using `GridSearchCV`. The
`cv_rf` (a `GridSearchCV` instance) is used to fit the model on `x_train` and `y_train`.

37
The Best parameters are return to improve the accuracy. entropy for criterion, log2 for
max_feature and 5 as max depth is chosen.

The values of `x_test` are used to generate predictions, and these predictions are compared with
`y_test` to calculate the accuracy

K - Nearest Neighbor

The `KNeighborsClassifier` is imported and instantiated with `n_neighbors` set to 3, assigning


it to the variable `knn`.
38
The `confusion_matrix` library is imported, and a confusion matrix is generated using
`y_test` and `y_prediction` to identify and analyse the errors in the model's predictions

The values of `y_test` and `y_prediction` are compared to determine the model's accuracy.

Gaussian Naive Bayes

The `GaussianNB` library is imported from `sklearn`, and the model is fitted using `x_train`
and `y_train`.

The predicted value of x_test is assigned to a variable named as pred.

39
Figure 16: represents the heatmap for truth and predicted values

A heatmap for true and predicted values visualizes the performance of a classification model
by showing how often each combination of actual and predicted classes occurs. It helps in
understanding the distribution of prediction errors and correct classifications.

Using the `GaussianNB` model, the predicted values (`y_pred`) are compared with the
actual values (`y_test`).

40
Data Comparison

A table summarizing the different algorithms and their corresponding accuracies.

Table 4: Table 4 represents the tabular form of all the algorithms and their accuracies

41
Chapter 5: Conclusion and Results

In conclusion, the evaluation of various models on the WEATHER ANALYSIS AND


FORECAST dataset revealed that the Random Forest algorithm is the most effective,
followed closely by Decision Tree and KNN. Logistic Regression, while less accurate than
the tree-based models, still provides a solid performance. On the other hand, Gaussian Naive
Bayes was the least effective, indicating its limitations with this specific dataset.

For the weather analytics job prediction task, the overall accuracy across all algorithms was
47%, suggesting a need for further model improvement and optimization. These findings can
guide future efforts in both weather prediction and weather analytics tasks, with an emphasis
on enhancing model performance and accuracy.

Chapter 6: Future Scope of WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECAST


The future scope of WEATHER ANALYSIS AND FORECAST using various machine
learning algorithms is both vast and promising. Enhanced data collection methods, such as
integrating advanced weather systems and utilizing real-time data sources, will provide
comprehensive datasets that capture detailed aspects of employee performance, engagement,
training, and career progression. The implementation of advanced machine learning
algorithms, including deep learning, ensemble learning, and reinforcement learning, along
with improved feature engineering, will significantly enhance model accuracy. Developing
features that better capture the nuances of weather data, such as temporal aspects, employee
sentiment analysis, and external economic factors, will further refine predictive capabilities.

42

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