Scribd
Upload
10 views2 pages

Homework Assignment 01

This document is a homework assignment for MATH 215 at Özyeğin University, detailing various mathematical problems related to probability and statistics. It includes tasks on seating arrangements, teacher appointments to schools, flu infection probabilities based on vaccination status, exam completion times, and circuit behavior with switches and bulbs. The assignment must be submitted by March 23rd, 2025, through the LMS page.

Uploaded by

muzafferdizdak
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
10 views2 pages

Homework Assignment 01

This document is a homework assignment for MATH 215 at Özyeğin University, detailing various mathematical problems related to probability and statistics. It includes tasks on seating arrangements, teacher appointments to schools, flu infection probabilities based on vaccination status, exam completion times, and circuit behavior with switches and bulbs. The assignment must be submitted by March 23rd, 2025, through the LMS page.

Uploaded by

muzafferdizdak
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
You are on page 1/ 2

MATH 215 - Homework Assignment 01

Özyeğin University
Lect. İsmail Başoğlu, Ph.D.

Prepare a “*.docx” or a “*.pdf” file containing your clear and detailed solutions to all questions. The deadline is
March 23rd, 2025, 23:59. Only submissions made through the corresponding submission link provided in LMS page will
be graded.

1. There are seven empty chairs in a row and Ahmet, Berna, Ceyhun, and Derya will be seated to four of them,
randomly.

(a) (4p) In how many different layouts these individuals can be seated?
(b) (8p) How many different layouts are possible if Ceyhun wants to have at least one individual next to him?
(c) (8p) What is the probability that Ahmet and Berna to sit next to each other?

2. Four teachers will be appointed to six schools. Each teacher is equally likely to be appointed to any of the schools,
independent of each other:

(a) (5p) What is the probability that each teacher will be appointed to a different school.
(b) (5p) What is the probability that all four teachers will be appointed to the same school?
(c) (5p) What is the probability that teachers will be distributed among exactly two of these schools?
(d) (5p) What is the probability that teachers will be distributed among exactly three of these schools?

3. A medical research team models the probability of a flu infection based on past vaccination records.

• If an individual is not vaccinated, then the infection probability is estimated as 0.20.


• If an individual is vaccinated with a single dose, then the infection probability is estimated as 0.10.
• If an individual is vaccinated with two doses, then the infection probability reduces to 0.01.

According to health ministry records, 45% of the population has been vaccinated with two doses of flu shot and
35% of the population has been vaccinated with a single dose. We assume that the remaining members of the
population have not been vaccinated at all.

(a) (5p) What is the probability of a randomly selected individual from this population to get infected with flu?
(b) (15p) If we observe that an individual in this population is infected with flu, then what is the probability
that this individual has been vaccinated with at least one dose?

4. It is known that it takes at least 60 and at most 120 minutes for participants to complete a certain exam. We also
know that 75% of the participants can complete the exam in less than 90 minutes. Let X denote the time that
it takes a random participant to complete the exam and assume that X has a linear probability density function
f (x) = ax + b between 60 and 120 minutes, where a, b ∈ R are unknown constants.

(a) (12p) What is the average completion time (in minutes) of the exam?
(b) (8p) Suppose that a participant is observed to be in the exam room after 90 minutes. What is the probability
that s/he will complete her/his exam in the following 10 minutes?

1
5. Consider the following circuit on which we have a battery, three enumerated switches, and three bulbs. Whenever
a switch is open, it creates a break over the circuit and the current can not flow through. For a bulb to light up,
there should be no breaks in its circuit.

Based on a long-term observation, it is found out that switch A remains closed in 75% of the time, switch B
remains closed in 60% of the time, switch C remains closed in 40% of the time, and switches behave randomly
and mutually independent. Let X denote the number of bulbs that are lit at a random moment in the future.

(a) (4p) Calculate P {X = 3}.


(b) (4p) Write down the probability mass function p (x) of X.
(c) (4p) Draw the cumulative distribution function F (x) of X.
(d) (4p) Calculate the average number of bulbs that remain lit over the long-term.
(e) (4p) Calculate the variance of the number of bulbs that remain lit over the long term.

You might also like