Flooding and Early Childhood Development
Flooding and Early Childhood Development
Figure 1: Absolute population exposure to risk of 15 cm or more of flood inundation at the country level (millions).
South and Southeast Asia is one of the most flood-vulnerable regions in the world. Image Source: World Bank 2020.3
1. Rentschler, J., Salhab, M., & Jafino, B. A. (2022, June 28). Flood exposure and poverty in 188 countries. Nature News.
https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-30727-4
2. Tellman, B., Sullivan, J.A., Kuhn, C. et al. Satellite imaging reveals increased proportion of population exposed to floods. Nature 596,
80–86 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-021-03695-w
3. Rentschler, Jun; Salhab, Melda. 2020. People in Harm's Way: Flood Exposure and Poverty in 189 Countries. Policy Research Working
Paper; No. 9447. © World Bank, Washington, DC. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34655 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.World Bank, Washington,
DC. http://hdl.handle.net/10986/34655 License: CC BY 3.0 IGO.
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Top 10 Countries Vulnerable to Floods
China 329.3m (22.9%)
India 225.3m (16%)
Indonesia 76.0m (27.1%)
Pakistan 71.8m (31.1)
Bangladesh 51.9m (31.6%)
Vietnam 45.5m (45.8%)
Nigeria 38.8m (18%)
Philippines 29.1m (27.7%)
Egypt 28.9m (30.1%)
Japan 27.4m (21.8%)
Figure 2: Top 10 countries with the number of people exposed to significant flood risk (as a share of total flood
population). As can be seen from the chart, most of these countries are in Asia. Image Source: World Bank 2020.3
In a joint scoping study4 by ARNEC and partners across the region, extreme flooding emerged as the
biggest concern of survey and focus group respondents. Similarly, the ISEAS 2023 climate survey5
identified flooding as a top concern among its citizens in Southeast Asia.
Some people are disproportionately affected by floods. Children, elderly people, people with
disabilities and people living in poor communities often suffer the most. Children, with their special
physiological, psychological and social needs, are particularly vulnerable during and after flooding
events.6 With more than 400 million children living in areas with extremely high flood risk in the
Asia-Pacific region,3 protecting children from flood events and its consequences is a vital priority for
early childhood development.
Figure 3: Floods in Kampung Melayu, Jakarta, Indonesia in January 2014. Floods are a recurring
threat to the city due to both land subsidence and sea level rise. Image Source: Shutterstock
4. Most vulnerable to most valuable: A scoping study to put young children at the heart of Climate Actions and Environmental
Protection. ARNEC. (2022, December).
https://arnec.net/resources/arnec-resources/most-vulnerable-most-valuable-scoping-study-put-young-children-heart-0
5. Seah, S., Martinus, M., Huda, M. S., Ludher, E. K., & Jiahui, Q. (2023, September 21). The Southeast Asia Climate Outlook: 2023 Survey
Report. ISEAS - Yusof Ishak Institute.
https://www.iseas.edu.sg/articles-commentaries/southeast-asia-climate-outlook/southeast-asia-climate-outlook-2023-survey-report/
6. UNICEF, 2015, Unless We Act Now: The Impact of climate change on Children. ISBN: 978-92-806-4826-3
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Flooding is closely linked to climate change
Many factors contribute to flooding. Weather such as heavy or prolonged rains, storm surge or
sudden snowmelt can directly trigger flood events. However, human-driven elements, including
how we manage our waterways (via dams, levees and reservoirs) and the alterations we make to
land can also have a significant role. Increased urbanization, for example, adds pavement and other
impermeable surfaces, alters natural drainage systems, and often leads to more homes being built
on floodplains. Furthermore, under-maintained infrastructure within cities can increase the risk of
urban flooding.
Increasingly, flooding is being linked to climate change. Climate change can alter meteorological
factors, such as precipitation patterns and temperature, therefore increasing the likelihood of flood
events. Warmer oceans evaporate more water, and warmer air can hold more water vapor: With
every 1 degree Celsius of warming, there is a 7% increase in water vapor. In addition, rising sea levels
due to warming waters and glacier melting increases the vulnerability of coastal areas to flooding.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) noted in its special report on climate
extreme events and disasters that climate change “has detectably influenced” several of the
water-related variables that contribute to floods, such as rainfall and snowmelt.7 Asia and the Pacific
region suffer from the highest increase in extreme precipitation, which leads to flash floods and
river flooding.
Human-caused floods
Figure 4: Six main types of floods. Of these, river floods pose the biggest future risk and could displace almost 96
million children over the next 30 years. Image source: Adobe Stock
7. Seneviratne, S.I., N. Nicholls, D. Easterling, C.M. Goodess, S. Kanae, J. Kossin, Y. Luo, J. Marengo, K. McInnes, M. Rahimi,
M. Reichstein, A. Sorteberg, C. Vera, and X. Zhang, 2012: Changes in climate extremes and their impacts on the natural physical
environment. In: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation [Field, C.B., V. Barros, T.F.
Stocker, D. Qin, D.J. Dokken, K.L. Ebi, M.D. Mastrandrea, K.J. Mach, G.-K. Plattner, S.K. Allen, M. Tignor, and P.M. Midgley (eds.)]. A Special
Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Cambridge University Press, Cambridge,
UK, and New York, NY, USA, pp. 109-230. ipcc.ch/site/assets/uploads/2018/03/SREX-Chap3_FINAL-1.pdf
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Impacts of Flooding
In this section, we describe how flooding affects
the lives of young children through the five
components of the nurturing care framework.
8. Thurston, A. M., Stöckl, H., & Ranganathan, M. (2021). Natural hazards, disasters and violence against women and girls: a global
mixed-methods systematic review. BMJ global health, 6(4), e004377. https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjgh-2020-004377
9. Stoklosa, H., Burns, C. J., Karan, A., Lyman, M., Morley, N., Tadee, R., & Goodwin, E. (2021). Mitigating trafficking of Migrants and children
through disaster risk reduction: Insights from the Thailand Flood. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 60, 102268.
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102268
10. Biswas, A., Rahman, A., Mashreky, S., Rahman, F., & Dalal, K. (2010). Unintentional injuries and parental violence against children during
flood: a study in rural Bangladesh. Rural and remote health, 10(1), 1199.
11. Cerna-Turoff, I., Fischer, H. T., Mansourian, H., & Mayhew, S. (2021). The pathways between natural disasters and violence against
children: a systematic review. BMC public health, 21(1), 1249. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-021-11252-3
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A study12 conducted in the Jagatsinghpur district of Odisha, India, one year after the heavy floods
in 2008, found that among repeatedly flooded communities, cases of severe wasting in children
aged 6-59 months were 3.37 times more prevalent than for children in non-flooded communities
and nearly twice more prevalent relative to those flooded only once. Particularly striking was the
difference among children under 1 year of age during previous floods in 2006, who exhibited the
largest difference in wasting prevalence compared to their non-flooded counterparts.
12. Rodriguez-Llanes JM, Ranjan-Dash S, Mukhopadhyay A, Guha-Sapir D. Flood-Exposure is Associated with Higher Prevalence of Child
Undernutrition in Rural Eastern India. Int J Environ Res Public Health. 2016;13(2):210. Published 2016 Feb 6. doi:10.3390/ijerph13020210
13. Collins TW, Jimenez AM, Grineski SE. Hispanic health disparities after a flood disaster: results of a population-based survey of
individuals experiencing home site damage in El Paso (Texas, USA). J Immigr Minor Health. 2013;15(2):415-426.
doi:10.1007/s10903-012-9626-2
14. Timothy J. Wade, Sukhminder K. Sandhu, Deborah Levy, Sherline Lee, Mark W. LeChevallier, Louis Katz, John M. Colford, Did a Severe
Flood in the Midwest Cause an Increase in the Incidence of Gastrointestinal Symptoms?, American Journal of Epidemiology, Volume 159,
Issue 4, 15 February 2004, Pages 398–405, https://doi.org/10.1093/aje/kwh050
15. Kousky C, Impacts of natural disasters on children. Future Child. 2016; 26: 73-92
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How Floods Affect Birth Outcomes
Floods can have a significant impact on birth outcomes, posing risks to both
pregnant women and newborns. These impacts can be both direct and indirect and
vary depending on the severity of the flood and the quality of health care
infrastructure in the affected area. Floods can interrupt access to pre- and
post-natal care, medical supplies, clean water and sanitation, resulting in unsafe
labor and delivery conditions. Moreover, disruptions to the food supply can lead to
malnutrition, which increases the risk of adverse birth outcomes, such as stillbirth
and low birthweight.
A 2024 study revealed that floods have heightened the risk of pregnancy loss in 33
developing countries. It is estimated that between 2010 and 2020, approximately
107,888 excess pregnancy losses occurred across these countries each year due
to floods.15
Figure 6: Depok, Indonesia - July 16, 2022: Rescue officers on Figure 7: Bajali, India, June 16, 2022. National Disaster Response
patrol to evacuate flood victims at Villa Pamulang, Pondok Force personnel rescue residents from flood-affected areas, at
Petir Subdistrict. Image Source: Shutterstock a village in Bajali district of Assam. Image Source: Shutterstock
16. He, C., Zhu, Y., Zhou, L. et al. Flood exposure and pregnancy loss in 33 developing countries. Nat Commun 15, 20 (2024).
https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-023-44508-0
17. Hrabok, M., Delorme, A., & Agyapong, V. I. O. (2020). Threats to mental health and well-being associated with climate change. Journal
of Anxiety Disorders, 76, 102295. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.janxdis.2020.102295
18. Dooley, B., & Bassett, L. (n.d.). Childcare in Humanitarian Crises. Humanitarian Collaborative.
https://www.unicef.org/media/120366/file/ Childcare in Humanitarian Crisis.pdf
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Reduced Opportunities for Early Learning
Flood events can affect a child’s learning and education in different ways.
Poorer households are less resilient to financial hardships when climate
shocks hit, which can increase the risk of interrupted education. Reduced
household income (e.g., due to crop failures) has a direct impact on the
amount of time children spend in school. Hunger can also affect a child’s
ability to concentrate. Families without savings or access to affordable
credit spend less on their children’s education during periods of crisis,
for example, on school fees, learning materials or transportation. Families
are also more likely to temporarily withdraw children from school, with
less learning time available at home, leading to significant interruptions in
education and loss of opportunities in early learning. Disruption in
education along with displacement can result in long-lasting mental and
cognitive effects.19
In Vietnam, children in households that are affected by flooding do significantly less well in
mathematics and vocabulary tests, are less likely to complete grades, and less likely to be
enrolled in school.20
Figure 8 : June 2022, Heavy rains in Bangladesh have caused floods and landslides that left entire communities
devastated. In in Kurigram district, the situation has been exacerbated after major rivers broke their banks, leaving
low-lying areas of the district completely under water. Due to the floods, 200,000 people in nine regions of Kurigram
district were made homeless. Photo credit: Plan International
19. UNICEF, 2021: The Climate Crisis is a Child Rights Crisis: Introducing the Children’s Climate Risk Index.
20. Young Lives Policy Brief 54 (September 2022): Protecting the Most Vulnerable People in Vietnam from Climate Shocks
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IMPACTS OF FLOODING ON EARLY CHILDHOOD DEVELOPMENT
OR EARL TE NUTR
YF UA
OPPORTUNIT
ORTUNIT
IT I
ADEQ
YL
ON
EARNIN
Y FOR EARLY
PP
G
Increase in water borne and O
infectious diseases Child labour, trafficking
D HEALT ND SEC
OO Components YA
Lack or no access to of Nurturing
UR
T
Breakdown in social,
H
G
SAFE
Care
IT Y
healthcare political, institutional and
communication systems
Skilled health professionals IVE CARE
NS
displaced or killed G IV Damage to property, roads
RESPO
Figure 9: An infographic that summarizes how floods can impact early childhood development, as laid out through
the five components of the nurturing care framework. This infographic as well as other resources are available for
use by ARNEC members. Image Source: Vital Strategies and ARNEC
Acknowlegements
Authors: Lynn Tang, Yue Zhang (Vital Strategies), Peck Gee Chua (ARNEC)
Advisors: Dan Kass, Sumi Mehta (Vital Strategies), Rowan Ainslie (Save the Children), Evelyn Santiago, Neelima Chopra (ARNEC), Nicole
Rodgers (Plan International), Kristy Kyungah Bang and Catherine Wilczek (UNESCO), Nusrat Jahan, Pratibha Pandey (Childfund), Syifa
Andina (Plan International and HI-ECD, Indonesia)
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Focus:
The After-Effects of Floods in Pakistan
It was the middle of the night when 4-year-old Naila woke up screaming
to the sound of gunshots. The shots had been fired to alert the village
that the nearby dam had broken, unleashing floods that would ultimately
destroy her home and her school. Together with other villagers, in a state
of chaos and panic, Naila’s family was forced to evacuate to the nearby
city of Ghotki. This unexpected event was extremely traumatizing for
young Naila, who had trouble sleeping for several nights afterward. Naila
is not alone: Other parents reported that their children displayed signs of
distress including unusual clinginess, disrupted sleep and appetite,
reduced interest, and mood swings.
Talk about the issue among your family, community, peers and networks.
The more people know about the impact of flooding on children, the more
we can work together to drive change. A simple way of doing this is by
forwarding this factsheet or sharing our social media material with your
contacts.
Be alert to mold after a flood. Moisture on walls, floors, furniture, curtains and
other household items and surfaces can lead to mold growth. Exposure to
mold can lead to allergies and other respiratory conditions. Thoroughly clean
and dry all affected surfaces and discard items that cannot be cleaned or that
are made of absorbent materials. These include stuffed toys, paper, carpets
and clothes.
Improve your knowledge about water, sanitation and hygiene during and
after a flood. Floodwater may contain high levels of raw sewage or other
hazardous substances. Early symptoms from exposure to contaminated
floodwater may include upset stomach, intestinal problems, headache and
other flu-like discomfort. Do not allow children to play in floodwater. Wash
hands frequently with soap, especially before drinking and eating. Know where
you can get clean and safe drinking water after a flood and take precautions
that may be needed, such as boiling water before drinking it.
Observe signs of mental and emotional distress in your child and provide
emotional support by proactively engaging with your children through talking,
singing and playing. Seek professional help if necessary.
21. 4 ways parents can protect their mental well-being during a crisis. UNICEF South Asia. (2023, July 11).
https://www.unicef.org/rosa/stories/4-ways-parents-can-protect-their-mental-well-being-during-crisis
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Early childhood development advocates, such as parent advocacy groups,
youth activists, managers in early childhood development settings, civil
society and local governments can:
Work to ensure that young children’s rights are considered during climate
and environmental negotiations. This is in line with the U.N. Convention on the
Rights of the Child’s adoption of General Comment 26 affirming children’s
rights to a clean, healthy and sustainable environment. Climate and action
plans should include children’s priorities at all levels, local and national.
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