Module Sap
Module Sap
Probability
Lesson 1: Binomial
Probability Distribution
Objectives:
At the end of the lesson the students should be able to:
Lesson Proper:
In a binomial experiment, p denotes the probability of
success and q denotes the probability of failure in a single
trial. The probability distribution of a binomial experiment is
the binomial probability distribution. The probability that
there will be exactly x success in n trials can be computed
using the binomial probability distribution formula:
P(X) = ( ncx ) (px) (qn-x) where: n = number of repeated trials.
x = number of success among n trials.
p = is the probability of success in each trial
q = is the probability of failure (1- p)
Example1: When an unbiased coin is tossed seven times,
what is the probability of obtaining exact 4 heads?
Solution:
1
The probability of getting tails in a single toss of coins is 2 or
50%
1 1
p=2;p= 2
; n=7 , n=4
Given:
1
n=5 p= 2
1 1
x=3 p=1- 2= 2
Solution:
P(x) = ( ncx ) (px) (qn-x)
1 1
P (x=3) = 5c3 ( 3 )3 ( 2 ¿2
1 1
= 10 ( 8 ¿ ( 4 )
5
P(x = 3) = 16 or 0.3125 or 31. 25%
Given:
n = 14 q = 55%
x=5
p = 45%
q = 100% - 45%
Solution:
P(X) = ( ncx ) (px) (qn-x)
Analysis:
Statistics are the sets of mathematical equations that we
used to analyze the things.
Seatwork#1
1. What is statistics?
2. What is the use of statistics in real life situation?
3. What is the importance of statistics?
Quiz #1
Directions: Give at least 3 importance of studying statistics.
Lesson 2: Measure of Central
Tendency: Mean of Group and
Ungrouped Data
Objectives:
At the end of class discussion the students should be able
to:
Lesson Proper:
Arithmetic mean/ Mean – the most popular measure of
position also known as the average of a set of data. It is the
sum of all items or terms divided by the total number of items
or terms.
N = number of data
Formula for grouped data:
M = ∑N
fX
Example:
10-12 4 11 44
13-15 12 14 168
16-18 20 17 340
19-21 14 20 280
n = 50 = 832
x = ∑N =
x 832
50 = 16.64
Example:
Compute the mean of the scores of the students in a
Mathematics IV test.
Class Frequency X fX
46-50 1 48 48
41-45 5 43 215
36-40 11 38 418
31-35 12 33 396
26-30 11 28 308
21-25 5 23 115
16-20 2 18 36
11-15 1 13 13
f = 48 fx = 1549
1,549
Mean = 48 =32.27
Analysis:
The mean is the average of the numbers. It is easy to
calculate: add up all the numbers, then divide by how many
numbers there are. In other words it is the sum divided by the
count.
Seatwork#2
1. What is mean?
2. What is the purpose of mean?
3. What is the difference of grouped to ungrouped data?
Quiz#2
Find the mean of the following data.
1. A booklet has 12 pages with the following numbers of
words: 271, 354, 296, 301, 333, 326, 285, 298, 327, 316, 287
and 314. What is the mean number of words per page?
Score Frequency
46-50 2
41-45 9
36-40 13
31-35 11
26-30 10
21-25 5
Age Frequency
21-25 8
26-30 18
31-35 11
36-40 16
41-45 12
46-50 10
51-55 2
56-60 2
61-65 1
Lesson 3: Measures of Central
Tendency: Median of Group
and Ungrouped Data
Objectives:
At the end of class discussion the students will be able to:
Lesson Proper:
The median denoted Md, is the middle value of the
sample when the data are ranked in order according to size.
Formula: Md = [ ]
n+ 1
2 Where: n = number of cases
Md = location of the median
Median for Odd Sample:
The median is the middle number when the data are
arranged in order.
5, 6, 6, 7, 7, 8, 9, 9, 10, 10
15, 14, 12, 19, 13, 14, 15, 18, 13, 19.
Median of Grouped Data
In computing for the median of grouped data, the
following formula is used:
Median = lbmc + [ ]
∑ f −cf
2
fmc
i
48
−19
Median = 30.5 + ⌊
2
12
⌋ (5)
Median = 32.58
Example 2:
i=5 ∑ f =50
50
Median = 2
=25 lbmc = 20.5
∑ f =50
cf = 13
fmc = 16
50
−13
Median = 20.5 + ⌊
2
16
⌋ (5)
Median = 24.25
Seatwork#3
Compute the following.
1. The random savings of 2nd year high school students reveal
the following current balances in their bank accounts:
340, 350, 450, 500, 360, 760, 800, 740
Lesson Proper:
Formula for the Mean of the Probability Distribution
μ = ∑ X ∙ P(X)
Where:
X1, X2, X3 …, Xn are the values of the random variable X;
and
Example 1:
Consider rolling a die. What is the average number of
spots that would appear? The following activity will help you
answer this question.
1 3
3 6 6
1 4
4 6 6
1 5
5 6 6
1 6
6 6 6
1 2
2 6 6
1 3
3 6 6
1 4
4 6 6
1 5
5 6 6
1 6
6 6 6
21
∑ X∙ P(X) = 6
=3.5
Example 2:
Example 3:
Quiz#3
A. Complete the table below and find the mean of the
following probability distribution.
1.
X P(X) X∙ P(X)
1
7
1
1
7
6
3
7
11
1
7
16
1
7
21
2.
X P(X) X∙ P(X)
3
10
1
1
10
2
2
10
3
2
10
4
2
10
5
3.
X P(X) X∙ P(X)
3 0.15
6 0.35
8 0.40
10 0.10
B. Do the following.
4. Find the mean of the probability distribution of the random
variable X, which can take only the values 1, 2, and 3, given
10 1 12
that P(1) = 33 , P(2) = 3 , and P(3) = 33 .
Lesson Proper:
Steps in Finding the Variance and Standard
Deviation
1. Find the mean of the probability distribution.
Example 1:
2
1 10
3
2 10
2
3 10
2
4 10
Solution:
Steps Solution
Number of Probability X• P(X)
1. Find the mean Cars Sold X P(X)
of the probability
distribution using
2
the formula 0 10
0
μ=∑ X 2 2
• P(X) 1 10 10
3 6
2 10 10
2 6
3 10 10
2 8
4 10 10
22
μ=∑ X • P ( X )= =2.2
10
2 2
1 10 10
1-2.2= -1.2
3 6
2 10 10
2-2.2= -0.2
2 6
3 10 10
3-2.2= 0.8
2 8
4 10 10
4-2.2= 1.8
1 -1.2 1.44
3 6
10 10
2 -0.2 0.04
2 6
10 10
3 0.8 0.64
2 8
10 10
4 1.8 3.24
4. Multiply X P(X) X•P(X) X- μ (X- μ)2 (X- μ)2•P(X)
the results
1 1
obtained in 10 10
Step 3 by the 0 -2.2 4.84 0.484
2 2
corresponding 10 10
probability 1 -1.2 1.44 0.288
3 6
10 10
2 -0.2 0.04 0.012
2 6
10 10
3 0.8 0.64 0.128
2 8
10 10
4 1.8 3.24 0.648
5. Get the X P(X) X•P(X) X- μ (X- μ)2 (X- μ)2•P(X)
sum of the
results
obtained in
Step 4. The
1 1
result is the 0 10 10
value of the -2.2 4.84 0.484
variance.
So, the 2 2
formula for 1 10 10
the variance -1.2 1.44 0.288
is:
σ 2=∑ ¿¿ )2•P(
3 6
X) 2 10 10
-0.2 0.04 0.012
2 6
3 10 10
0.8 0.64 0.128
2 8
4 10 10
1.8 3.24 0.648
Where:
X = value of the random variable
P(X) = probability of the random variable X
μ=¿ mean of the probability distribution
Lesson 6: Understanding the
Normal Curve Distribution
Objectives:
At the end of class discussion the students should be able
to:
Lesson Proper:
Four-Step Process in finding the Areas Under the Normal
Curve Given a z- Value
Step1. Express the given z-value into a three-digit from.
Step2. Using the z-table, find the first two digits on the left
column.