Module_MacroEconomics
Module_MacroEconomics
DEPARTMENT OF ACCOUNTING
AND FINANCE
CHAPTER-ONE
►The reason for their argument was that supply will create its own demand or price set by the private sector
alone will automatically correct/equilibrate any imbalance or disequilibria created in the economy in both the
short run and the long run without government intervention. This law is called the “Says law”.
B. The Neo classical school of thought (1870 - 1936)
The idea of the neoclassical school of thought was not different from the classical school. The only
difference between the two schools of thought is the contribution that is made by Marshall on
‘absolute and comparative advantage’ of nations in international trade.
►New Keynesian economists believe that market-clearing models cannot explain short-run
economic fluctuations, and so they advocate models with "sticky" wages and prices. New Keynesian
economists, however, believe that market-clearing models cannot explain short-run economic
fluctuations, and so they advocate models with "sticky" wages and prices.
The single most important measure of overall economic performance is Gross Domestic Product
(GDP). In other words GDP is the value of all final goods and services produced in the economy in a
given time period by using the resources supplied by either the citizens or foreigners.
Real GDP provides a better measure of economic well-being than nominal GDP.
Gross National Product (GNP) - is the value of all final goods and services produced by domestically owned
factors of production within a given period.
Subtraction of capital depreciation (the amount of the economy's stock of plants, equipment, and residential
structures that wear out during the year) from GNP gives net national product (NNP) of a country, i.e.
In the national income accounts, depreciation is called the consumption of fixed capital and it
National income measures how much everyone in the economy has earned.
NXs are the value of goods and services exported to other countries minus the value of goods &
services imported to the domestic country.
ii. In a closed economy
A closed economy’s GDP has three components only: Consumption (C), Investment (I) and Government
purchases (G).
Y=C +I +G.........................................(2)
Fix the Basket-identifies a market basket of goods and services the typical consumer buys,
Find the Prices: Find the prices of each of the goods and services in the basket for each point in time,
Compute the Basket’s Cost-Use the data on prices to calculate the cost of the basket of goods and services at
different times
Choose a Base Year and Compute the Index-Designate one year as the base year, making it the benchmark
against which other years are compared then Compute the index by dividing the price of the basket in one year
by the price in the base year and multiplying by 100. Finally
compute the inflation rate- the percentage change in the price index from the preceding period.
The GDP deflator reflects the prices of all goods and services produced domestically and compare the price of
currently produced goods and services to the price of the same goods and services in the base year. Whereas
the consumer price index reflects the prices of all goods and services bought by consumers and compares the
price of a fixed basket of goods and services to the price of the basket in the base year.
Food 10 $10
Doctor 2 $50
Gasoline 50 $2
Gasoline 50 $2 $4
Calculating Inflation
We use price indices to measure inflation like Consumer Price Index (CPI), Producer Price Index (PPI), Gross
Domestic Product deflator (GDP deflator).
Some of the causes of Inflationare Demand-Pull Inflation-Increases when the demand increases Example:
Good economic conditions cause demand to increase and Cost-Push Inflation-The increase in costs can push
the prices up.
Y=C +I +G.........................................(2)
Consumption
The level of consumption depends directly on the level of disposable income. Thus, consumption is a function
of disposable income and the relationship between consumption & disposable income is called consumption
function. As a result, the consumption function can be expressed as:
C=c(Y−T )...............................................(3)
MPC is the amount by which consumption changes when disposable income changes by one unit. The
MPC is always between zero and one (1), that means an extra unit of income increases consumption by
less than one unit because of saving.
Investment
Investment consists of goods bought for future use. Investment is divided in to three: business fixed
environment, residential fixed environment and inventory environment
The quantity of investment goods demanded depends on the interest rate, which measures the cost of funds
used to finance investment. For an investment project to be profitable, its return must exceed its cost (the
payment for borrowed funds). If the interest rate rises, fewer investment projects are profitable and the
quantity of investment goods demanded falls & vice versa
Government purchases consist of the goods and services bought by federal, state & local governments. This
category includes the purchases of military equipment, library books and the services of government
employees; construction of schools, roads& other public works; hiring of teachers etc.
depends on the real interest rate, i.e. I =I (r ) ; and government purchases & taxes are exogenous
Here the supply of output is fixed since it is assumed that the supplies of labor and capital and the technology
are fixed.
Y =C +I +G. . .. .. . .. .. .(8 )
Form equation (2), the NI accounts for a closed economy is
ButC=c (Y −T ) , I =I (r ) ,G= G and T=T . So the NI accounts identity can be rewritten as:
The term Y −C−G is the output that remains after the demands of consumers and government have been
satisfied .Because of this is it is called national saving (or saving).This national saving can be divided in to
two: saving of the private sector & saving of the government ,i.e.
Y −T −C is disposable income minus consumption & represents private saving. T −G Which is government
revenue minus government spending represents public saving. Therefore, national saving is the sum of private
& public saving. As a result,
If the marginal propensity to consume is 0.6, what will be the government expenditure multiplier? And
interpret it.
ΔY 1
= =2 .5
Solution: ΔG 1−0 . 6
This implies when government purchases increases by $1, equilibrium income rises by $2.50.
b. Tax multiplier
►Tax multiplier is the amount by which income changes when taxes change by one unit. A decrease in taxes
of ∆T immediately raises disposable income(Y T) by ∆ T and therefore, increases consumption by MPC× ∆ T.
► So the overall effect of a decrease in taxes on income is
First Change in Consumption = MPC × ∆T
Second Change in Consumption = MPC2 × ∆T
Third Change in Consumption = MPC3 × ∆T
________________________________________________________
From this
If the marginal propensity to consume is 0.6, by how much income will increase when taxes reduced by $100?
ΔY 0. 6
= =1 . 5
ΔT 1−0 .6
ΔY
ΔY = . ΔT
ΔT
ΔY =(1. 5)( $ 100 )
Solution: ΔY =$ 150
This implies when taxes are reduced by $100, equilibrium income rises by $150.
Introduction
The key macroeconomic difference between open and closed economies is that, in an open economy, a
country's spending in any given year need not equal its output of goods and services.
π
δ
Given that δ is equal to the marginal propensity to save δ , that is, the fraction of any increase in
δ
Divide both sides of equation (7) by Δ
δ
Equation (8) can be transformed into difference form to yield:
δ
From equation (9) it is possible to derive various multipliers.
i. The Government Expenditure Multiplier
The first multiplier of interest is the government expenditure multiplier, which shows the increase
in national income resulting from a given increase in government expenditure. This is given by:
δ
The above equation says that an increase in government expenditure will have an expansionary effect on
national income, the size of which depends upon the marginal propensity to save and the marginal
propensity to import.
ii. Export Multiplier
d ( CA )=dX−dM a−m
[ 1
s+m
( dC a + dI + dG+ dX−dM a ) ]
m
d ( CA )=dX−dM a−
s+m
( dC a+dI+dG+dX −dM a ) . . .. .. . .. .. .(12)
From equation (12) above, the effects of an increase in government expenditure on the current account balance
is derived and given by:
d (CA ) −m
= <0
dG s+ m
The other multiplier of interest is the effect of an increase in exports on the current account balance.
This is given by the expression:
d (CA ) m s
=1− = >0
dX s +m s+ m
s
Since s +m is less than unity, an increase in exports leads to an improvement in the current account
balance that is less than the original increase in exports.
But ( Y −C−G ) which is the national saving S is the sum of private saving( Y −T −C ) and public saving,
( T −G ) .Therefore,
S=I +NX ........................................................(9)
By subtracting I from both sides of equation-9 the national income accounts identity can be written as
S−I =NX ......................................................(10)
The national income accounts identity shows that net capital outflow always equals the trade balance. That is,
Re al exchange rate=
( $ )(
Y 120 $ 10 , 000
American car )
Y 2 , 400 ,000 /Japanese car
=0 . 5 Japanese car/ American car
At these prices and this exchange rate, someone can obtain one-half of a Japanese car per American car.
Generally, the relationship between the real and nominal exchange rates can be expressed as:
ε =e×
( PP )
¿
Keynes made the consumption function central to his theory of economic fluctuations, and it has played a key
role in macroeconomic analysis ever since. Let's consider what Keynes thought about the consumption
function, and then see what puzzles arose when his ideas were confronted with the data.
The economist Irving Fisher developed the model with which economists analyze how rational, forward-
looking consumers make Intertemporal choices— that is, choices involving different periods of time.
The Inter-temporal Budget Constraint
The reason people consume less than they desire is that their consumption is constrained by their income.
When they are deciding how much to consume today versus how much to save for the future, they face an
Intertemporal budget constraint, which measures the total resources available for consumption today and
in the future.
Modigliani emphasized that income varies systematically over people's lives and that saving allows
low. This interpretation of consumer behavior formed the basis for his life-cycle hypothesis.
= PK (i - Δ PK /PK + δ )
For example, consider the cost of capital to a car-rental company. The company buys cars at $10,000
each and rents them out to other business. The company faces an interest rate i of 10% per year, so the
interest cost iPK is $1,000 per year for each car the company owns. Car prices are rising at 6% per year,
so, excluding wear and tear, the firm gets a capital gain Δ PK of $600 per year. Cars depreciate at 20%
per year, so the loss due to wear and tear δ PK is $2,000 per year. Therefore, the company's cost of
capital is
Cost of Capital = $1,000 - $600 + $2,000 =$2,400
The cost to the car-rental company of keeping a car in its capital stock is $2400 per year.
In this case, Δ PK /PK equals the overall rate of inflation π . Because i - π equals the real interest rate r, we can
write the cost of capital as
= R/P - (PK/P)(r + δ )
Since the real rental price in equilibrium equals the MPK, we can write the profit rate as
where In is the function showing how much net investment responds to the incentive to invest.
We can now derive the I function. Total spending on business fixed I is the sum of net I and the replacement of
depreciated capital. The I function is
I = In (MPK-(PK/P)(r + δ )) + δ K.
Business fixed I depends on the MPK, the cost of capital, and the amount of depreciation.
This model shows why I depends on the i rate. An increase in the real i rate raises the cost of capital.
. Eventually, as the capital stock adjusts, the MP K approaches the cost of capital. When the capital stock
reaches a steady-state level, we can write
MPK = (PK/P)(r + δ )
Thus, in the long run, the MPK equals the real cost of capital. .
I. Say “True” if the idea is Correct and “False” if the idea is Incorrect
1. Microeconomics concerned with the demand for or supply of a specific commodity.
2. Macroeconomics concerned with both explanation and policy prescriptions.
3. The classical school of thought is coined by Alfred Marshall and advocated by Adam Smith.
4. For Adam Smith and his followers any government policy is ineffective to correct economic disorder or
disequilibrium.
5. The new classical macroeconomics remained influential in the 1980s.
6. Real GDP is the value of goods and services measured using a constant set of prices (or base-year
prices).
7. GNP= GDP + Factor Payments from Abroad Factor Payments to Abroad.
8. Demand-Pull Inflation-Increases when the demand increases.
9. Labor force is defined as the sum of the employed and unemployed persons.
10. MPC is the amount by which consumption changes when disposable income changes by one unit.
11. If government purchases (G) equal with tax (T), the government has a balanced budget.
12. Planned expenditure is the amount households, firms, and the government would like to spend on
goods and services.
13. The national income accounts identity shows that net capital outflow always equals the trade balance.
14. Nominal exchange rate is the relative price of currencies of two countries.
15. The real exchange rate is sometimes called the terms of trade.
16. Intertemporal budget constraint, measures the total resources available for consumption today and in
the future.
17. Life-cycle hypothesis of consumption was first provided by Franco Modigliani.
III. MATCH COLUMN ‘’B’’ WITH COLUMN ‘’A’’ WITH THE CORRECT ANSWER
A B
_____1- Trade balance A) Macroeconomic concept
_____2 Economic growth B) Rise in out put
_____3- The Neo classical school of thought C) 1870 - 1936
_____4- The Keynesian macroeconomics D ) 1936-1975
_____5- Cause of Great depression E) Excessive production of coffee and wheat
_____6- Robert Lucas and Robert Barro F) New Keynesians
_____7- NNP G) GNP Depreciation
_____8- Nx H) Net Exports
_____9- Closed economy Account I) GDP=C+G+I
_____10- Output gap J) Potential Output-Actual output.
_____11- trade balance K) net export of goods and services
_____12- Terms of trade L) Real exchange rate
_____13- the Life-Cycle Hypothesis M) Franco Modigliani
_____14- Permanent-Income Hypothesis N) Milton Friedman
_____15- Investment O) Most volatile component of GDP
_____16- Profit Rate P) Revenue-Cost
_____17- GDP in a closed economy Q) C+I+G
_____18- Prices of shares and securities fall down R) Depression
_____19- Monetary disequilibrium S) One cause of Business cycle
_____20- Fiscal Policy T) Policy concerned about taxation
IV. ANSWER THE FOLLWING QUESTIONS CAREFULLY AND CORRECTLY
1. The amount of consumption in Tigray in 2019 was 2 billion Birr while the amount of Investment
flow was 5 billion Birr and government expenditure was estimated to be 1 billion Birr. The same
year Tigray imports 1billion worth of goods and exports about 500million Birr. Tigray has also
paid a net payment of 500 million Birr to the foreigners but received a net payment of 800million
Birr from abroad. Calculate
C) NNP of Tigray in the same year? (Hint: - use the amount of depreciation as a proportionate of
the GDP). ______________________________________________________
D) What will be the amount of GDP if Tigray has to follow a closed economy?
______________________________________________________
2. Let’s assume a country has earned total revenue of 20Billion Birr from taxes in 2018. The citizens
of the country have earned about 5 Billion Birr as salaries and wages where as the business
corporation after-tax income amounted 15 Billion Birr. In the same year, the amount of interest
income from the financial institutions was 7 Billion Birr.
a) What is the amount of basket costs in the base year and today?
___________________________________________________
b) Calculate the consumer price index and interpret it.
_____________________________________________
4. Ethiopia’s economy can produce 900 Billion Birr if conducive economic policy has followed but
the economy of Ethiopia actually produces about 7 Billion Birr. Calculate the output gap?
5. Assume that the labor force of a country is 50 million. 75% of the labor force is employed. What
will be the unemployment rate of the country?
______________________________________________
7. If the marginal propensity to consume is 0.5, by how much income will increase when taxes
reduced by Birr 10000.00?
____________________________________________
8. Given the data below (2018 )
_____4- Which school of macroeconomic thought has exited from 1870 - 1936?
_____6- Which one is missed from the national income accounts of a closed economy?
_____7- A number that represents all prices for a given period of time –say a year is called_______________.
B) Price Index B) Consumer Price Index C) Inflation rate D) Basket Cost E) GDP Deflator
_____8- Which one is one of the types of investment?
_____9- Which one is the amount households, firms, and the government spends on goods and services, and
it equals with the economy's gross domestic product (GDP)?
B) Actual Expenditure
C) Government purchase
D) Planned Expenditure
E) All of the above
Franco Modigliani.
_____10- The investment tax credit is a tax provision that encourages the
accumulation of capital.