Lab9
Lab9
1. Mean response on a survey. This exercise will demonstrate the relationship between
sample size, the standard deviation, and the margin of error when estimating a population
mean with 95% confidence.
Juan makes a measurement on a survey and records the results in his database. The
standard deviation of the response has been mathematically transformed to have σ = 10.
The measurement is repeated three times. Juan calculates based on these three
measurements.
a. What is the standard error of Juan’s mean response? That is, if Juan kept on
making 3 measurements and averaging them, what would be the standard
deviation of all his ’s. (Recall the square root law: . Also recall that
SExbar is the σ of the sampling distribution of .)
c. How many times must Juan repeat the measurement to reduce the SE of to 5?
(Hint: Solve the SE formula for n.)
d. The idea of a 95% confidence interval is that the interval captures the true value
of the parameter in 95% of all samples: 95% hits and 5% misses. Because means
tend to be Normally distributed (central limit theorem), we can say that margin of
error m with 95% confidence is about equal to 2 standard errors (recall the 68–
95–99.7 rule). In other words, m ≈ 2 (σ /√n) for 95% confidence. Solve this
equation for n (If you need help, ask me!*) and then determine how large a
sample is needed to reduce the margin of error to plus or minus 5 units?
2. Comparing risk-taking behavior in boys and girls. This exercise will identify the
factors you need to test a difference in means.
*
OK…you twisted my arm:
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we need to study?
You may use a software utility (e.g., WinPepi or OpenEpi.com) or formula for
c. Suppose it is twice as easy to study girls as boys. How many subjects do you
need to study with a 2:1 sampling ratio? What was the influence of using this
sample ratio (as opposed to having an equal number of boys and girls)? [Use a
software utility for computations.]
d. Return to the conditions established in part (b) of this exercises (Δ = 10, power =
0.90, σ = 15) except now use an alpha of 0.05 (two-sided) . What was the
influence of increasing alpha?
e. Return to the conditions specified in part (b), except now look for a difference of
5. What was the influence of decreasing “the difference worth detecting”?
the margin of error involves the sample proportion . Therefore we need an educated
guess for p before determining an appropriate sample size. Let’s call this “educated guess
p*.
a. We want to estimate a proportion with margin of error of plus or minus 5%. How
large a sample is needed? We have no idea of what to expect for p. When no
information is available, use p* = 0.5 to ensure adequate precision. Use a
software utility (e.g., OpenEpi.com or WinPepi) for computations.
b. Now we want a margin of error of plus or minus 2%. How large a sample is
needed? What was the “cost” of decreasing the margin of error?
c. Now want a margin of error of 1%. What was the effect on the required sample
size?
d. Now we are will to accept 90% confidence. What is the effect on the required
sample size?
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