Dissertation Model
Dissertation Model
-0.150000
SS MS F Significance F
0.011563 0.005781 1.996431 0.154057
0.083981 0.002896
0.095544
Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
8 08 09 09 10 10 11 11 12 12 13 13 14 14 15 15
20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Time Error term Adjusted Temperature SUMMARY OUTPUT
2008 Q1 -0.0636614935 -0.66
2008 Q2 0.0025632832 -0.14 Regression Statistics
2008 Q3 0.0883897767 -0.26 Multiple R 0.361309
2008 Q4 0.0078506841 0.43 R Square 0.130544
2009 Q1 -0.0352540696 1.33 Adjusted R 0.101562
2009 Q2 0.1410067751 0.42 Standard E 0.049335
2009 Q3 -0.1030367496 0.7 Observatio 32
2009 Q4 0.0198708931 -0.24
2010 Q1 0.0414627488 -0.5 ANOVA
2010 Q2 -0.0416834707 0.77 df SS
2010 Q3 -0.0159002124 -0.35 Regression 1 0.010963
2010 Q4 -0.0573029952 -0.03 Residual 30 0.073018
2011 Q1 -0.0209320569 0.57 Total 31 0.083981
2011 Q2 -0.0245392655 1.22
2011 Q3 0.0181449564 -0.14 Coefficients
Standard Error
2011 Q4 -0.0438622736 0.13 Intercept 0.00726 0.009368
2012 Q1 0.0175946168 -0.16 Adjusted T -0.039988 0.018842
2012 Q2 -0.0392148499 0.15
2012 Q3 0.003500677 0.2
2012 Q4 0.042782411 -0.38
2013 Q1 -0.026525629 0.57
2013 Q2 0.031656049 0.22
2013 Q3 0.04295908 0.23
2013 Q4 -0.0024116296 0.03
2014 Q1 0.0804051282 -0.4
2014 Q2 -0.0197159972 0.42
2014 Q3 -0.0365224573 0.54
2014 Q4 0.0622039353 0.18
2015 Q1 -0.0204672449 0.52
2015 Q2 0.0145903666 0.01
2015 Q3 0.0298429295 -0.11
2015 Q4 -0.0937939157 0.54
Adjusted Temperature
1.5
0.5
MS F Significance F
0.010963 0
4.50434 0.042177
1 Q 3 Q Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3 Q1 Q3
0.002434 08 08 09 09 010 010 011 011 012 012 013 013 014 014 015 015
20 20 20 20 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
-0.5
1.5
1
MS F Significance F
0.5
0.035704 22.18646 5.274E-05
0.001609
0
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35
Time
t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
2.832452 0.008176 0.007013 0.043266 0.007013 0.043266
-4.710251 5.274E-05 -0.06407 -0.025315 -0.06407 -0.025315
PORT_NEW TEMP_ADJ EWE
Mean 0 Mean 0.181562 Mean 0.5625
Standard Error 0.009201 Standard Error 0.083134 Standard Error 0.134235
Median 7.583E-05 Median 0.165 Median 0
Mode #N/A Mode -0.14 Mode 0
Standard Deviation 0.052049 Standard Deviation 0.470279 Standard Deviation 0.75935
Sample Variance 0.002709 Sample Variance 0.221162 Sample Variance 0.576613
Kurtosis 0.720701 Kurtosis 0.146549 Kurtosis -0.540981
Skewness 0.445849 Skewness 0.50331 Skewness 0.954073
Range 0.244044 Range 1.99 Range 2
Minimum -0.103037 Minimum -0.66 Minimum 0
Maximum 0.141007 Maximum 1.33 Maximum 2
Sum 0 Sum 5.81 Sum 18
Count 32 Count 32 Count 32
TEMP_ADJ
Mean 0.181562
Standard Error 0.083134
Median 0.165
Mode -0.14
Standard Deviation 0.470279
Sample Variance 0.221162
Kurtosis 0.146549
Skewness 0.50331
Range 1.99
Minimum -0.66
Maximum 1.33
Sum 5.81
Count 32
EWE
Mean 0.5625
Standard Error 0.134235
Median 0
Mode 0
Standard Deviation 0.75935
Sample Variance 0.576613
Kurtosis -0.540981
Skewness 0.954073
Range 2
Minimum 0
Maximum 2
Sum 18
Count 32
Error term Adjusted Temperature Frequency of extreme weather conditions
-0.0636614935 -0.66 0 -0.361309
0.0025632832 -0.140000000000001 0 -0.652026
0.0883897767 -0.259999999999998 0
0.0078506841 0.43 1
-0.0352540696 1.33 1
0.1410067751 0.420000000000002 0
-0.1030367496 0.699999999999999 2
0.0198708931 -0.240000000000002 0
0.0414627488 -0.5 0
-0.0416834707 0.77 1
-0.0159002124 -0.350000000000001 0
-0.0573029952 -0.0300000000000011 1
-0.0209320569 0.57 0
-0.0245392655 1.22 0
0.0181449564 -0.140000000000001 0
-0.0438622736 0.130000000000003 2
0.0175946168 -0.16 0
-0.0392148499 0.149999999999999 1
0.003500677 0.200000000000003 0
0.042782411 -0.380000000000003 0
-0.026525629 0.57 2
0.031656049 0.219999999999999 0
0.04295908 0.23 0
-0.0024116296 0.0300000000000011 1
0.0804051282 -0.399999999999999 0
-0.0197159972 0.419999999999998 2
-0.0365224573 0.539999999999999 1
0.0622039353 0.18 0
-0.0204672449 0.52 1
0.0145903666 0.00999999999999801 0
0.0298429295 -0.109999999999999 0
-0.0937939157 0.539999999999999 2
SUMMARY OUTPUT
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.6550489279
R Square 0.429089098
Adjusted R Square 0.3897159323
Standard Error 0.0406608029
Observations 32
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 0.036035374682 0.018018 10.89801 0.00029528465
Residual 29 0.047945725869 0.001653
Total 31 0.08398110055
F Significance F
8.459229 0.006776
ANOVA 0.004
df SS MS F Significance F 0.002
Regression 2 0.036035 0.018018 10.89801 0.000295
0
Residual 29-0.08
0.047946 -0.06
0.001653 -0.04 -0.02 0 0.02 0.04
Total 31 0.083981
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.025283 0.009002 2.80861 0.008812 0.006872 0.043693 0.006872 0.043693
Adjusted T -0.007877 0.017582 -0.447979 0.657497 -0.043837 0.028084 -0.043837 0.028084
Frequency -0.042405 0.010889 -3.894213 0.000533 -0.064675 -0.020134 -0.064675 -0.020134
RESIDUAL OUTPUT
Observation
Predicted Error term
Residuals Residual^2
1 0.030481 -0.094143 0.008863
2 0.026385 -0.023822 0.000567
3 0.027331 0.061059 0.003728
4 -0.020509 0.02836 0.000804
5 -0.027598 -0.007656 5.862E-05
6 0.021974 0.119032 0.014169
7 -0.06504 -0.037997 0.001444
8 0.027173 -0.007302 5.332E-05
9 0.029221 0.012242 0.00015
10 -0.023187 -0.018497 0.000342
11 0.028039 -0.04394 0.001931
12 -0.016886 -0.040417 0.001634
13 0.020793 -0.041725 0.001741
14 0.015673 -0.040212 0.001617
15 0.026385 -0.00824 6.79E-05
16 -0.06055 0.016688 0.000278
17 0.026543 -0.008948 8.007E-05
18 -0.018303 -0.020911 0.000437
19 0.023707 -0.020207 0.000408
20 0.028276 0.014507 0.00021
21 -0.064016 0.03749 0.001406
22 0.02355 0.008106 6.571E-05
23 0.023471 0.019488 0.00038
24 -0.017358 0.014947 0.000223
25 0.028433 0.051972 0.002701
26 -0.062835 0.043119 0.001859
27 -0.021375 -0.015147 0.000229
28 0.023865 0.038339 0.00147
29 -0.021218 0.00075 5.632E-07
30 0.025204 -0.010614 0.000113
31 0.026149 0.003694 1.364E-05
32 -0.06378 -0.030014 0.000901
Residual^2Adjusted TFrequency of extremeSUMMARY OUTPUT
0.008863 -0.66 0
0.000567 -0.14 0 Regression Statistics
0.003728 -0.26 0 Multiple R 0.172229
0.000804 0.43 1 R Square 0.029663
5.862E-05 1.33 1 Adjusted R-0.037257
0.014169 0.42 0 Standard E 0.00291
0.001444 0.7 2 Observatio 32
5.332E-05 -0.24 0
0.00015 -0.5 0 ANOVA
0.000342 0.77 1 df SS MS F Significance F
0.001931 -0.35 0 Regression 2 7.507E-06 3.753E-06 0.443261 0.646216
0.001634 -0.03 1 Residual 29 0.000246 8.467E-06
0.001741 0.57 0 Total 31 0.000253
0.001617 1.22 0
6.79E-05 -0.14 0 Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%
0.000278 0.13 2 Intercept 0.001862 0.000644 2.890593 0.007211 0.000545
8.007E-05 -0.16 0 Adjusted T -0.000169 0.001258 -0.134631 0.893834 -0.002743
0.000437 0.15 1 Frequency -0.000592 0.000779 -0.759896 0.45345 -0.002186
0.000408 0.2 0
0.00021 -0.38 0
0.001406 0.57 2
6.571E-05 0.22 0
0.00038 0.23 0
0.000223 0.03 1
0.002701 -0.4 0
0.001859 0.42 2
0.000229 0.54 1
0.00147 0.18 0
5.632E-07 0.52 1
0.000113 0.01 0
1.364E-05 -0.11 0
0.000901 0.54 2
Significance F
-----> INSIGNIFICANT
0.2
0.15
0.1
0.05
0
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32
-0.05
-0.1
-0.15
Regression Statistics
Multiple R 0.655049
R Square 0.429089
Adjusted R 0.389716
Standard E 0.040661
Observatio 32
ANOVA
df SS MS F Significance F
Regression 2 0.036035 0.018018 10.89801 0.000295
Residual 29 0.047946 0.001653
Total 31 0.083981
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%Upper 95.0%
Intercept 0.025283 0.009002 2.80861 0.008812 0.006872 0.043693 0.006872 0.043693
Adjusted T -0.007877 0.017582 -0.447979 0.657497 -0.043837 0.028084 -0.043837 0.028084
Frequency -0.042405 0.010889 -3.894213 0.000533 -0.064675 -0.020134 -0.064675 -0.020134
Error termAdjusted TFrequency Predicted^Predicted^3 Predicted Error term SUMMARY OUTPUT
-0.063661 -0.66 0 0.000929 2.832012E-05 0.030481
0.002563 -0.14 0 0.000696 1.836915E-05 0.026385 Regression Statistics
0.08839 -0.26 0 0.000747 2.041479E-05 0.027331 Multiple R
0.007851 0.43 1 0.000421 -8.62625E-06 -0.020509 R Square
-0.035254 1.33 1 0.000762 -2.10194E-05 -0.027598 Adjusted R
0.141007 0.42 0 0.000483 1.061099E-05 0.021974 Standard E
-0.103037 0.7 2 0.00423 -0.000275133 -0.06504 Observatio
0.019871 -0.24 0 0.000738 2.006381E-05 0.027173
0.041463 -0.5 0 0.000854 2.495064E-05 0.029221 ANOVA
-0.041683 0.77 1 0.000538 -1.24659E-05 -0.023187
-0.0159 -0.35 0 0.000786 2.204489E-05 0.028039 Regression
-0.057303 -0.03 1 0.000285 -4.81448E-06 -0.016886 Residual
-0.020932 0.57 0 0.000432 8.989823E-06 0.020793 Total
-0.024539 1.22 0 0.000246 3.850128E-06 0.015673
0.018145 -0.14 0 0.000696 1.836915E-05 0.026385 Coefficients
-0.043862 0.13 2 0.003666 -0.000221999 -0.06055 Intercept
0.017595 -0.16 0 0.000705 1.870013E-05 0.026543 Adjusted T
-0.039215 0.15 1 0.000335 -6.13188E-06 -0.018303 Frequency
0.003501 0.2 0 0.000562 1.33244E-05 0.023707 Predicted^
0.042782 -0.38 0 0.0008 2.260693E-05 0.028276 Predicted^
-0.026526 0.57 2 0.004098 -0.000262342 -0.064016
0.031656 0.22 0 0.000555 1.306055E-05 0.02355
0.042959 0.23 0 0.000551 1.292993E-05 0.023471
-0.002412 0.03 1 0.000301 -5.23014E-06 -0.017358
0.080405 -0.4 0 0.000808 2.298689E-05 0.028433
-0.019716 0.42 2 0.003948 -0.000248083 -0.062835
-0.036522 0.54 1 0.000457 -9.76637E-06 -0.021375
0.062204 0.18 0 0.00057 1.359178E-05 0.023865
-0.020467 0.52 1 0.00045 -9.55202E-06 -0.021218
0.01459 0.01 0 0.000635 1.601039E-05 0.025204
0.029843 -0.11 0 0.000684 1.788003E-05 0.026149
-0.093794 0.54 2 0.004068 -0.000259447 -0.06378
SUMMARY OUTPUT
df SS MS F Significance F
4 0.036756 0.009189 5.253741 0.002912
27 0.047225 0.001749
31 0.083981
Coefficients
Standard Error t Stat P-value Lower 95%Upper 95%Lower 95.0%
Upper 95.0%
0.046211 0.052349 0.882747 0.385165 -0.0612 0.153622 -0.0612 0.153622
-0.014407 0.02794 -0.515624 0.610314 -0.071736 0.042922 -0.071736 0.042922
-0.061769 0.033892 -1.82251 0.079471 -0.13131 0.007772 -0.13131 0.007772
-19.37099 54.90824 -0.352788 0.726986 -132.0334 93.29143 -132.0334 93.29143
-407.6895 919.6592 -0.443305 0.661077 -2294.674 1479.295 -2294.674 1479.295