Capability Indices For Digitized Industries A Review and Outlook of Machine Learning Applications For Predictive Process Control
Capability Indices For Digitized Industries A Review and Outlook of Machine Learning Applications For Predictive Process Control
Review
Capability Indices for Digitized Industries: A Review and
Outlook of Machine Learning Applications for Predictive
Process Control
Jan Mayer * and Roland Jochem
Faculty of Mechanical Engineering and Transport Systems, Technische Universität Berlin, Pascsalstr. 8-9,
10587 Berlin, Germany; [email protected]
* Correspondence: [email protected]
Abstract: Leveraging machine learning applications for predictive process control signifies a decisive
advancement in manufacturing quality management, transitioning from traditional descriptive to
predictive capability indices. This review highlights the growing importance of predictive process
control, essential for quality assurance and the dynamic adaptability of production lines, which is
paramount in satisfying stringent quality standards and evolving consumer demands. The investiga-
tion into the integration of comprehensive sensor networks and sophisticated algorithmic analytics
enriches continuous improvement strategies, markedly enhancing the accuracy and efficiency of
production quality monitoring and control mechanisms. By moving beyond the limits of statistical
process control to predictive methods enabled by machine learning algorithms, the study presents
a transformative leap in manufacturing processes. The presented findings illustrate the critical role of
predictive algorithms in navigating the complexities of process variability, thereby ensuring consistent
adherence to established quality specifications. This approach not only facilitates immediate and
accurate product quality categorization, increasing overall operational efficiency, but also equips
manufacturers to swiftly respond to the variable nature of manufacturing requirements. Furthermore,
this research delves into the multifaceted impacts of predictive process control on the manufacturing
ecosystem. The ability to predict process quality decrease before it occurs, the optimization of resource
allocation, and the anticipation of production bottlenecks before they impact output are among the
notable benefits of this technological evolution. These developments to predictive process control
Citation: Mayer, J.; Jochem, R.
is instrumental in propelling the manufacturing industry toward a more agile, sustainable, and
Capability Indices for Digitized
Industries: A Review and Outlook of
customer-centric future. This shift not only complements the industry’s drive toward comprehensive
Machine Learning Applications for digitization but also promises significant strides in achieving superior process improvements and
Predictive Process Control. Processes maintaining a competitive edge on the global market.
2024, 12, 1730. https://doi.org/
10.3390/pr12081730 Keywords: predictive process control; statistical process control; machine learning; process
management; quality management
Academic Editor: Jie Zhang
2. Background
The implementation of process quality key figures is being contradicted by these
advancements. Thus, the deployment of SPC, especially in the early stages of machine op-
eration subsequent to the conclusion of the design phase, to configure machine parameters,
represents a substantial instrument. This facilitates the continuous monitoring of quality
requirements after the start of serial production (SOP). After this indicated time step, only
statistically significant statements regarding the past can be made due to the descriptive
characteristics and the utilization of randomized samples [7].
Figure 1 illustrates the chronological arrangement of the SPC and the impact associated
with a decreasing number of acceptable parts, which directly influences the PCI and process
quality, respectively. During the start-up phase, the process quality gradually improves to
reach the desired tolerance level. At this juncture, series production begins, along with the
collection of samples for the SPC. During the second iteration of the SPC, the backlog of
acceptable parts falls within a range that causes the PCI to drop below the desired tolerance
level. This realization prompts physical intervention in the process, resulting in an increase
in the number of acceptable parts and, consequently, the process quality. However, it
is evident that due to the retrospective observation period, the SPC leads to a reactive
decision-making process, thus resulting in the production of avoidable missing parts.
This avoidability is primarily attributed to the utilization of industrial ML-applications,
which facilitate the advancement of decision support through the utilization of sensor
Processes 2024, 12, 1730 3 of 20
data. However, it enables targeted statements to be made regarding future product and
process quality. For instance, predictive algorithms are employed to make forecasts about
production processes or to classify products into different quality groups. As a result,
sustainable support processes are established to ensure compliance with the required
quality criteria [8,9].
Physical
SOP process
intervention
Quality confirm
Process
quality
products
Tolerance
level
Conception
Observation Observation
Phase period period
Since the primary purpose of SPC is to provide statistically significant evidence of the
entire production process based on an inherent quality criterion, specific characteristics
related to the process are defined to calculate the quality of the process. The quality criterion
is associated with individual tolerance limits, namely the upper tolerance limit (UTL) and
the lower tolerance limit (LTL), which determine whether the manufactured workpiece
should be classified as rework or scrap if it exceeds or falls short of these limits [10]. To avoid
the cost-intensive measure of 100% quality control in series production, descriptive indices
such as process potential (C p ) and process performance (C pk ) are computed based on
random samples drawn to assess the quality characteristic of the products produced. This
allows for statistically significant conclusions to be drawn regarding compliance with
the tolerance limits for the entire population. Moreover, by using different sample sizes,
adjusted assessments of the influences of factors such as human, material, method, and
environment on the process can be made [11]. When a sample size of 50 is used for the
calculation, the defined metrics are machine capability (Cmk ) and machine potential (Cm ),
which assumes a less powerful statement about the capability. Herein, only 1 M (Machine) is
under control, whereas a higher sample size assumes more influence (5 M) is under control
(in addition to Machine: Man, Method, Material, and Milieu). In each case, the potential is
interpreted by comparing the tolerance limits to the spread. The capability indices further
relate the scatter width to statistical position parameters, enabling the determination of
both the process variation and the quantity of defective parts produced [2].
According to Dietrich and Conrad [12], the distinctive characteristic of the determined
indicator resides in both the temporal sampling of the sample and its size. Figure 2
presents a temporal relationship between the indicators and the level of confidence in
their enablement.
Processes 2024, 12, 1730 4 of 20
Man
Method
Material
Machine
Machine Milieu
50 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5
n ≥ 50 n ≥ 90 n ≥ 125
Figure 2. Classification and characterization of capability indices, following Dietrich and Conrad [12].
For the determination of the capability indices, only single measured quality attributes
are utilized. Similarly, ML algorithms are designed with a single dependent variable,
which enables the transformation of previous descriptive capability indices into predictive
capability indices. Supervised algorithms, which leverage historical data to adapt to the
past behavior of dependent variables, can optimize learning behavior by expanding the
descriptive variables with sensor values. However, autoregressive models also allow for
univariate predictions. Unsupervised algorithms, predominantly used for pattern recogni-
tion, enable classifications based on defined clusters. Nonetheless, these classifications do
not establish a concrete affiliation and may indicate other dependencies within a cluster [13].
This interpretive limitation restricts the application of PPC. Given the diverse outcomes
of ML algorithms and the multilevel execution of SPC, supervised prediction algorithms
serve as the foundation for addressing the challenge of PPC.
In the context of digitized industries, various forecasting methods have been devel-
oped and applied to enhance process control and quality management. Table 1 provides an
overview of some of these existing forecasting methods, along with their descriptions and
relevant citations:
can exhibit high model quality and accuracy in numerical, binary, and multiclass prediction
of the C pk value, and whether modern prediction algorithms such as reinforcement learning
and LSTM provide advantages over alternative methods.
The configuration of user variables and the nature of user input are critical factors
that shape the effectiveness of ML systems, especially in process qualification assessment.
These factors necessitate flexible evaluation criteria that can adapt to different user-defined
settings for learning and prediction intervals, as well as to the complexities introduced by
handling multiple classes for predictions within each category of the qualification process.
Accordingly, the third research question (RQ3) examines how the user interface design of
ML systems can accommodate the diverse requirements introduced by varying user inputs,
such as changes in learning and prediction timeframes, classifications within multi-class
prediction scenarios, and the adjustment of intervention thresholds. This exploration is
vital to ensure that ML models remain robust and accurate when faced with the dynamic
conditions posed by end-user interactions and their individual needs during the process
qualification assessments.
Conclusively, the objective of this study is to examine the capabilities of ML methods
for interactive prediction systems in process quality assessment and compare them to
interpretable models. In addition, it seeks to assess the accuracy of predictive algorithms
for C pk value prediction and compare contemporary prediction algorithms with alternative
methods. Finally, it aims to investigate the alterations in evaluation criteria for ML models
in response to changes in learning and prediction horizons, multi-class prediction per class,
and intervention boundaries.
3. Methodology
Reviewing literature systematically, according to Okoli and Schabram [20], is used as
a methodology for the successive development of relevant information (Figure 4). For this
purpose, the authors define a workflow that explicitly refers to SLA in information sys-
tems research.
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Identification
Detailed Scope: “Machine Learning”, “Prediction”, “Forecast”
Application Area: “Production”, “Manufacturing”
The pre-selected online libraries, namely Google Scholar, Web of Science, and Scopus,
encompass the majority of the literature that is generally accessible, as stated by [21].
However, it cannot be disregarded that relevant literature may have been published beyond
the confines of the selected libraries. Nevertheless, the proportion of literature that is not
typically found in the selected online libraries is relatively small. To ensure that no relevant
works have been overlooked, a reverse search was conducted by examining the references of
the filtered works. This process involves reviewing the cited references within each selected
paper to identify any additional relevant studies that may not have appeared in the initial
search, thereby enhancing the comprehensiveness and accuracy of the literature review.
The search itself is conducted based on various combinations of terms, which are
within the context of PPC. However, prior to this, Vom Brocke et al. [22] highlighted the
impact of selecting predefined search terms on the outcomes. In order to ensure a more
unbiased search, blocks are categorized using keywords and all combinations from these
blocks are inputted as search patterns. This methodology serves to minimize the error
rate in terms of identifying relevant work. For this particular study, the search terms are
divided into three combination blocks. Each block is assigned to a category that holds
significance for the process index. The first block focuses on fundamental topics, such as
“Process Control” and “Quality Control”. This is followed by a secondary determination of
the specific focus of the research. Given the distinct characteristics, two blocks are utilized
for this purpose—one describing the application and the other categorizing the type, thus
thematically classifying the application. The first subordinate block employs the terms
“machine learning”, “prediction”, and “forecast”. The final block completes the search with
the terms “production” and “manufacturing”. Consequently, a total of twelve different
combinations are generated. The search encompasses publications from the past ten years.
The quantitative outcome of the literature search reveals a total of 1398 papers retrieved.
Processes 2024, 12, 1730 8 of 20
4. Results
Due to the research work already carried out on the use of ML in the context of
product and process quality, a broad body of knowledge can be drawn upon. The objective
of the SLA is the elaboration of relevant literature to describe the current findings of PPC.
Furthermore, research gaps related to the dependencies (Figure 2) of PPC are subsequently
identified. Specifically, categories are defined to describe the industrial application of
the research. These target the production engineering background, the applied statistical
methodology, the experimental setup, and the data used.
To emphasize the current relevance and significance of the research endeavor, it
is worth noting that Figure 5 provides a comprehensive illustration of the quantity of
pertinent publications that have emerged in recent years. This visual representation clearly
demonstrates the substantial concentration of scholarly works focusing on the same subject
matter since 2018, which in turn underscores the unwavering commitment and fervor
exhibited by the research community in their pursuit of various inquiries pertaining to PPC.
It is of particular interest to note that a substantial proportion, specifically approximately
65%, of the articles identified in the SLA were disseminated during this specific timeframe,
thereby affirming the heightened level of scholarly discourse.
4.1. Industries
Cheng et al. [23] delved into the Catalytic Reforming Processes, which play a pivotal
role in the production of high-octane fuels, thus making a significant stride towards ad-
dressing the conundrum of energy sustainability. Schäfer et al. [24] shed light on the Print-
ing/Painting industry, ambitiously seeking avenues to enhance efficiency and sustainability.
Equally significant is the examination of Casting processes by Mishra and Rane [14], a pro-
cess of paramount importance in ensuring the manufacturing of high-quality components
across various sectors.
In the field of injection molding, which is a crucial component of plastics manufacturing,
significant advancements have been made by researchers such as Ke and Huang [25]. Their
work focuses on enhancing efficiency and promoting sustainability within plastic production
processes. Additionally, the transformative potential of additive manufacturing, particularly in
sectors such as aerospace and healthcare, has been widely explored. Key contributions in this
area have been made by Ismail et al. [26], Krauß et al. [27], and Zhang et al. [28], whose research
is instrumental in advancing the capabilities and applications of 3D printing technologies.
The complex and diverse field of general manufacturing has been thoroughly analyzed by
scholars such as Viharos and Jakab [29], Teinemaa et al. [30], Abbasi [31], and Nalbach et al. [32].
Their research provides valuable insights into a wide range of manufacturing techniques
and technologies, offering significant contributions that impact various industrial sectors.
The semiconductor manufacturing industry, which is critical to the electronics sector, has
also seen groundbreaking advancements through the work of Schrunner et al. [33].
Processes 2024, 12, 1730 9 of 20
4.2. Data
In the context of PPC, the comparison of datasets from diverse case studies is essential
for understanding the robustness and generalizability of findings. These studies have
been conducted by various researchers and teams, each bringing unique expertise and
perspectives to the analysis. Notably, approximately 19% of the analyzed datasets are
synthetic. Synthetic data hold particular value in scenarios where real-world data are
limited or when specific conditions must be replicated for analysis, offering a flexible and
controlled alternative for testing and validation purposes (Figure 7). The data utilized
in these studies originate from a range of sources, including real-world observations,
controlled experiments, surveys, and synthesized datasets differing in their size (Figure 8).
The choice of data type depends on research goals and data accessibility. These datasets
have varying sample sizes, based on the research domain and methodology. One challenge
for researchers is ensuring the integrity, dependability, and representativeness of the data.
Data collection, validation, and preprocessing are rigorously emphasized. Additionally,
ethical, privacy, and legal concerns require careful management and safeguarding of
sensitive data. In the context of PPC, the data from case studies are invaluable for scientific
breakthroughs and knowledge in various fields. These data facilitate replication and
validation of research, highlighting the importance of transparency and responsibility
in science.
4.4. Methodologies
In the field of SPC, researchers from diverse backgrounds have applied ML prin-
ciples to address both classification and regression challenges, employing a variety of
predictive algorithms (Figure 9). For instance, some researchers, such as Afrasiab and
Khodaygan [37], have utilized the Monte Carlo method specifically for regression tasks,
contributing significantly to predictive modeling and forecasting within SPC. Others,
such as Li et al. [38], have tackled regression problems using ensemble learning tech-
niques, including methods such as Linear Regression, Support Vector Machines (SVM),
Random Forests, and Gradient Boosting, to derive comprehensive insights. Additionally,
some studies, exemplified by Abbasi [31], focus exclusively on regression by employing
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs), a versatile tool in ML. In contrast, Pheng et al. [46]
leveraged LSTM networks, which are particularly well-suited for forecasting tasks.
Moreover, Li et al. [47] combined Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) with SVMs
to address regression problems, aiming to enhance predictive accuracy by integrating
the strengths of these algorithms. Further diversifying the approaches, researchers
such as Jeereddy et al. [41] employed a range of algorithms, including XGBoost and
LSTM, to tackle regression challenges across different application domains. These efforts
contribute to the broader advancement of predictive analytics and the refinement of
forecasting models. Finally, Li et al. [47] continued to explore regression methodologies,
seeking to deepen the understanding of predictive capabilities within their specific fields
of study, thereby advancing the field of SPC.
Various studies have explored control chart patterns [23,39,45,49], Hotellings T^2 [42], and
abnormal wave profiles [50] to detect deviations and anomalies. These investigations
provide insights into the detection and mitigation of process variations. Furthermore,
researchers have undertaken significant effort of predictive process modeling. Mishra
and Rane [14] investigated the probability of achieving a global benchmark quality level,
while Abbasi [31] delved into the prediction of PCI for distributions. Similarly, the study
by Kabasakal et al. [51] focused on binary predictions for fault detection, highlighting the
importance of reliable modelling structures in quality management. Multiclass and multi-
label classification have also been explored in quality control and process monitoring in
their study. In addition, Demircioglu Diren et al. [42] investigated different types of faults
and critical events, respectively, while Pheng et al. [46] explored multiclass classification
models to enhance process monitoring.
Figure 10. Categories and frequency of dependent variables in the observed literature.
It is important to note that the performance of these models often depends on various
factors, including the quality of data preprocessing, feature engineering, and the suitability
of the chosen algorithms for the specific problem at hand. Overall, this dataset provides
valuable insights into the application of data analytics and ML techniques in industrial
settings, showcasing the potential for improved process control, quality monitoring, and
predictive maintenance.
5. Analysis of Results
Due to the extensive investigation of ML algorithms, the existing body of knowledge
can be leveraged for the practical implementation of PPC in industrial settings. However, it
is worth noting that only a limited number of scrutinized algorithms have been employed
for the prediction of Cpk value. Consequently, a combination of interpretable (descriptive)
and advanced (black-box) models is utilized for the purpose of process quality prediction.
Moreover, no experiments have been identified that integrate quality criteria with rein-
forcement learning. As a result, there is room for expanding the scope of this study due to
the scarcity of independent variables and the absence of xAI methods. By examining the
derivations of the SLA and the localization of application areas in PPC, it becomes possible
to identify the pertinent research gaps that exist in the related domains.
These algorithms are designed to facilitate accurate, timely, and efficient decision
making by predicting future behavior and events in a given system, thereby enhancing the
overall performance of process control systems. As industrial processes become increas-
ingly complex and interconnected, the need for dynamic and adaptive control strategies
has never been greater [65]. Consequently, a burgeoning body of research has emerged,
seeking to explore and quantify the advantages offered by modern predictive algorithms in
comparison to traditional control methodologies. The efficacy of these algorithms hinges
upon their ability to construct accurate and reliable predictive models, which can be de-
rived from historical and real-time data, enabling process engineers to implement proactive
adjustments in response to anticipated changes in process conditions [66]. By doing so,
these algorithms can effectively mitigate undesirable fluctuations, reduce the incidence of
disturbances, and optimize operational efficiency.
Central to the success of modern predictive algorithms is their inherent adaptability,
which arises from their ability to learn and evolve in response to changes in process
dynamics, system characteristics, and environmental conditions [67]. Hence, this flexibility
allows these algorithms to be applied across a wide range of processes. Furthermore,
the availability of high-performance computing resources and the proliferation of low-cost,
high-quality sensors have facilitated the generation and processing of massive volumes of
data, thereby enhancing the accuracy and precision of predictive models.
Despite these promising advancements, it is crucial to recognize that the efficacy of
predictive algorithms is contingent upon various factors, including the quality of the input
data, the appropriateness of the selected modeling technique, and the ability to account
for uncertainties and non-linearities in the system. As such, the accurate quantification
of the advantages offered by these algorithms necessitates a comprehensive evaluation
of their performance across a diverse array of process control applications, in order to
establish their relative superiority over traditional control methodologies [68]. Moreover,
it is imperative to consider the potential limitations and challenges associated with the
implementation of predictive algorithms, including the need for robust data preprocess-
ing techniques, the management of computational complexity, and the establishment
of effective feedback mechanisms to ensure the stability and robustness of the control
system [52].
In light of these considerations, it is crucial to systematically investigate the extent
to which modern predictive algorithms enhance process control. Such an investigation is
essential to fully understand the potential of these algorithms across various industrial
applications and to identify opportunities for future research and development in PPC.
By exploring these avenues, industries can effectively harness the power of AI and ML
technologies to drive substantial improvements in the efficiency, safety, and sustainability
of industrial processes, thereby fostering innovation and progress across a broad spectrum
of scientific and engineering domains.
6. Conclusions
This study provides a comprehensive investigation into the application of ML in PPC,
emphasizing its practical implementation across various industrial scenarios. The anal-
ysis reveals the significant potential of ML to enhance accuracy and decision-making
processes in manufacturing. By examining a diverse range of case studies and appli-
cations, the research illustrates the versatility of ML in addressing complex industrial
challenges and optimizing operational strategies [20]. The findings highlight how ML
models, such as supervised learning and neural networks, have been particularly effec-
tive in overcoming the reactive characteristics of traditional SPC, enabling more precise
predictions and informed decision making [14,15]. These models have demonstrated
their capability in synthesizing large volumes of data to predict potential issues before
they occur, thus improving both the efficiency and reliability of manufacturing pro-
cesses [22,59]. For instance, ANNs have shown significant promise in estimating process
capability for non-normal processes, contributing to more accurate and reliable quality
control measures [31]. Additionally, ensemble learning techniques have been effective
in improving the quality control of multistage manufacturing systems by leveraging
data-driven insights for real-time process adjustments [32,73]. Moreover, the integration
of ML into PPC not only enhances predictive accuracy but also facilitates the development
of adaptive control mechanisms that respond dynamically to changes in the manufac-
turing environment. This proactive approach enables manufacturers to anticipate and
mitigate operational challenges, ensuring a more resilient and responsive production pro-
cess [8,27]. Thus, PPC underscores the transformative potential of ML in revolutionizing
manufacturing paradigms by augmenting analytical capabilities and providing real-time
process control. These advancements have contributed to sustained improvements in
process quality and efficiency, marking a significant step forward in the field of industrial
manufacturing [14,28].
However, it is crucial to recognize various limitations inherent in this study. Firstly,
the research may not encompass all possible confounding variables, a restriction that could
incorporate hidden biases and subsequently distort the accuracy of the results. These
variables could arise from overlooked factors during the analysis, such as disparities in
equipment, operator expertise, or prevailing environmental conditions. Addressing these
potential biases requires a more comprehensive approach, integrating a diverse range
of variables to better understand the intricate relationships between ML techniques and
advancements in process quality.
Another significant limitation is the potential absence of reproducibility in the study,
which can have an impact on the level of certainty regarding the resulting outcomes.
The lack of independent replications has the potential to undermine the strength and
generalizability of the results across different industries and settings. This suggests that
the benefits of ML techniques may be specific to certain contexts or that the methods
applied may not be universally applicable across diverse manufacturing environments. It
Processes 2024, 12, 1730 17 of 20
Author Contributions: Conceptualization, J.M. and R.J.; methodology, J.M.; validation, J.M. and R.J.;
formal analysis, J.M.; investigation, J.M.; resources, J.M.; data curation, J.M.; writing—original draft
preparation, J.M.; writing—review and editing, R.J.; visualization, J.M.; supervision, R.J. All authors
have read and agreed to the published version of the manuscript.
Funding: This research received no external funding.
Data Availability Statement: The original contributions presented in the study are included in the
article, further inquiries can be directed to the corresponding author.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare that they have no known competing financial interests or
personal relationships that could have appeared to influence the work reported in this paper.
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