Leslie Matrices

Leslie Matrix:Square matrix that models population

changes over time, specifically birth rates
& survival rates

splits population into even

groups
·

# of
groups:# of
rows & columns in Leslie Matrix
from I
survival rates:proportion people who move
·
of

the next
group
to

less than 1

expected to be as
age
birth rates:proportion newborns from each
of
coming
group
can I
be,

I
Standard Form Example from

j I
b, b2 ...
bx Px I 2 3

Ie
birth rates

I
S, 0...0 0 to 10 0.0 2.3
0 0 6
O s,...
288
L =

: ...:O

O 00 San S,
b birth
=

rates
-
Scenario:

s Survival rates 1=babies

group
=

keep adding rows & columns

group
2 children
:
...

&follow formatif Li
group 3: adults
same

there are more

age groups for I child in
ey. every group
·

1:birth 2, 0.8 babies

·
row rates are born/
row 2:survival from
rate 1 2 added to I
group
-

3:survival from 2-3 60% babies - children

eg.
·row rate
·

of

etc 90% of childen->advits

Life Cycle Transition
Diagrams
·example,
8
from 0.8
2 3
-

I I
e
to00023 - 0
*

300.9 0
3
i

=birth rates. 2:survival rates

·example:from 3

11 GDet =
1.5

to0.4
7

4).
5
1 2
=

0.20 0 -

ol Si

App lication
· recursion:So:initial State Matrix, n+1=1 xSn
I rule:Sn= L xSo
So:initial State matrix, column
usually a matrix

Sn+=Next State Matrix

L =

Leslie matrix
a number
=

time
of
periods
·example:

Sa
7003585818: Tse]
=
 Term
Longlike Behaviour
just transition matrices applications can reach a
*

steady state, leslie matrices applications can also

reach
long-term
stabilisation: growth rate

long-term growth rate:

every
time period, each

the same
row
grows by
proportion
by guessing & different in'values,
calculated
checking
confirming
ru
if the
growth is
rate the same for every

example:
·

==
025].
[ so=[] 0 0.50

I I ↑ 1
34781 41441
:
S25 7298
/ S26 - 8695
3063 3649
41441
rate: - 1. 19
I
growth
now 34781 *
8695
2 rate: - Y 1.19
growth
:Dw 1248
3649
3 - 1.19
row
growth rate: 3063 =

:long term
growth rate= 1.19