Practice Problem - PM
Practice Problem - PM
Practice Problem
Mrityunjay Pandey
INDEX
Module-1 Overview of Project Management
1.1 Concepts and attributes of Project, Project lifecycle and stake holders
1.2 Project Organization, WBS, Scope and priorities, Project Identification,
1.3 Market feasibility with Moving Average
1.4 Exponential smoothing methods
1.5 Techno-economic feasibility
1.6 Government policy to location, legal aspects
1.7 Preparation of DPR
Module-2 Project Planning:
2.1 Time and cost estimates with AON and AOA conventions,
2.2 Budget estimates
2.3 Network analysis
2.4 Float analysis
2.5 Crashing concepts
Module-3 Project scheduling and Risk Management:
3.1 Gantt chart
3.2 Splitting and multitasking
3.4 Risks in time estimates
Module-4 Project Organization:
4.1 Role and responsibilities of Project Manager
4.2 Team development model
4.3 sources of conflicts
4.4 conflict resolution
Module-5 Earned value analysis:
5.1 ‘S’ curve,
5.2 Cost and schedule performance indices using network
5.3 Revised estimates of cost and time
Module-6 Financial analysis:
6.1 Profitability analysis
6.2 Using NPV, IRR, Payback and discounted Payback period, PI.
6.3 Preparation of projected statements of Income-expenditure
6.4 Balance-sheet
Module-7 Computer applications and Software’s for Project Management
Module-8 Project Management Cases
∑|𝑬|
MSE (mean square error) = 𝒏
∑𝑨𝑷𝑬
MAPE (Mean absolute percentage error) = 𝒏
Question-1. The demand of a product for past 12 months was observd as follows.
Months 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Demand 280 288 266 295 302 310 303 328 309 315 320 332
Using 3 years moving average method, find out forcasted demand for 13 th month.Also find
MAD, MSE & MAPE
Question-2. The past demand for 6 months is given of a product
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6
Demand 32 29 27 36 34 32
Calculate MAD, MSE & MAPE and sales for month 7 using moving average method with
period 3.
Problem Based on Exponential Smoothing Method:
Now calculate forecasted value by using 𝑭𝒕+𝟏 = 𝑭𝒕 + 𝜶(𝑨𝒕 − 𝑭𝒕 )
Question-1. Following table shows the actual demand of refrigerators of over a period of past
7 weeks:
Week 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
Demand 39 44 40 45 38 43 39
Using exponential smoothing method 𝜶 = 𝟎. 𝟐 , determine forecasted demand for 8th week.
( )
Also find MAD, MSE & MAPE. Assume 𝑭𝒕 = 𝑨𝒕 for first week
Question-2. Following table shows the actual demand of refrigerators of over a period of past
6 months:
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6
Demand 32 29 27 36 34 32
Using exponential smoothing method (𝜶 = 𝟎. 𝟐), determine forecasted demand for 8th week.
Also find MAD, MSE & MAPE. Assume 𝐹𝑡 = 𝐴𝑡 for first week
Question-3. The weekly demand for units manufactured by the Acme water Purify Company
has been as follows:
(a) Calculate Mean Squared Error and forecast for month 7 using Moving Average method
with period 3.
(b) Calculate estimated sales for month 7 using exponential smoothing method with
smoothing constant 0.1. Assume forecast for month2 as initial value of 132.
(c) Explain Mean Absolute Percentage Error as a measure of accuracy in forecasting
Question-7. You are given the following information for a project with eight activities:
Activity Normal Duration Crash cos /day Crash time
1-2 6 80 2
1-3 8 90 4
1-4 5 30 2
2-4 3 - 0
2-5 5 40 2
3-6 12 200 4
4-6 8 50 3
5-6 6 - 0
Project Management_May-24
A B
Initial investment 30,000,00 40,000,00
Estimated life time (years) 5 5
Scrap Value 2,000,00 5,000,00
The profit before depreciation and after taxes cash flows are as follows:
Year 1 2 3 4 5
A CIF 800000 1200000 1200000 500000 400000
B CIF 2500000 1500000 800000 500000 400000
Q2(C). Write a detailed note on Capital Budgeting.
Q3(A). Calculate the Debt Service Coverage ratio for granting term loans give
recommendations from the given project-
Year 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EBIT (in Lakhs) 400 450 500 580 640
Additional Information-
(i). Tax rate @ 25%
(ii). The principal amount of the loan is repayable equally along with interest payable on
opening balance of loan
(iii). Loan amount in consideration 1500 lakhs to be contracted at the rate of 12% per annum.
(iv). Repayment tenure is 5 years.
(v). Total capital investment in the project is 2000 lakhs depreciable equally over 5 years.
Q 3(B). You are working as a project manager on a missile manufacturing project for which
you have a total budget of 50 crores. During the project audit it was found that you have spent
20 crores so far. The project team has completed 40% of the project work, but when auditor
checks the schedule, it says that you should have completed 50% of the work. Calculate CV,
SV, SPI and TCPI.
Q3(C). Short note of S-curve.
Q4(A). The demand for an item is observed for 15 months and is recorded as shown below
Month 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Demand 280 288 266 295 302 310 303 328 309 315 320 332 310 308 320
(a). Calculate 4-month simple moving average as forecasts along with MSE, MAD and
MAPE
(b). Calculate exponential smoothed as forecasts for 𝛼 = 0.3 . The initial forecasts for first
month is 285.Also find MSE, MAD and MAPE.
Activity A B C D E F
Preceding Activity - A A B C D, E
Time (In days) 6 7 9 12 7 8
i. Draw network diagram and find project completion time
ii. Calculate EST, EFT, LST, LFT and free float for each activity.
Q5(B). For the following project-
Activity A B C D E F G H
Preceding - A A B B C, D E F
Duration 4 6 2 6 3 4 1 2
(i) Draw network diagram.
(ii) Find critical path and project completion time
(iii) Calculate EST, LST, EFT & LFT and total float for all activities
Q5 (c). Write difference CPM and PERT
Q6(A). You are given the following information for a project with eight activities:
Activity Normal Duration Crash cos /day Crash time
1-2 6 80 2
1-3 8 90 4
1-4 5 30 2
2-4 3 - 0
2-5 5 40 2
3-6 12 200 4
4-6 8 50 3
5-6 6 - 0
The direct cost involved for completing the eight activities in normal duration is Rs.
6,500.00 and the indirect cost Rs. 160.00 per day.
i) Draw a network diagram, find critical path, normal project completion
time and normal project cost.
ii) Crash the project duration to find the total cost of completing the project
in 17 days.
Q6(B).
Q6(c).