JAIN (DEEMED-TO-BE UNIVERSITY)

BENGALURU, KARNATAKA

P2: Teaching-Learning and Evaluation Plan

PROGRAMME: MCA

Teaching - Learning & Evaluation Plan

Course Information:

Course Code: 23MCAAI301 Course Title: ADVANCED PROBABILITY AND STATISTICS

Credits: 3 Contact Hours: 45 L:T:P: E 3:0:0:0
IA: ESE Weightage 50:50 Pass Marks (IA & ESE): 0 & 18 Aggregate Pass Marks: 40%
ESE Question Paper Marks: 50 Special Examination Fees: NA Pre-requisite (if any): NA
Course Facilitator: Prof. Pooja Bhakuni

PROGRAMME OUTCOMES (POs)

At the end of the program, students will be able to

POs Programme Outcomes (POs)

Computational Knowledge: Apply mathematical foundation, computing, and domain

1
knowledge for the conceptualization of computing models from defined problems.

Problem Analysis: Analyse complex computing problems using fundamentals of computer

2
science and application domains.

Design & Develop Solutions: Transform complex business scenarios and contemporary issues
3
into problems and propose integrated solutions using emerging technologies.

Conduct Investigations of Complex Computing Problems: conduct experiments, interpret

4
data and provide well informed conclusions.
Modern Tool Usage: Select modern computing tools, skills, and techniques necessary for
5
providing innovative software solutions.
Innovation and Entrepreneurship: Create ideas for opportunities, entrepreneurship vision and
6
use of wealth for the betterment of the individual and society.
Societal & Environmental Concern: Recognize economic, environmental, social, health, legal,
7 ethical issues involved in the usage of computing technologies and other consequential
responsibilities relevant to professional practice.
Professional Ethics: Employ professional ethics and cyber regulations in a global economic
8
environment.
Individual & Team Work: Function effectively as a member or leader in diverse teams in
9
multidisciplinary environment.
 Communication Efficacy: Communicate effectively with the computing community as well as
10
society by being able to comprehend effective documentations and presentations.
Project Management: Demonstrate managerial skills with computing knowledge to manage
11
projects in multidisciplinary environments.
Life-long Learning: Develop the ability and acquire the skills required to engage in continuous
12
learning as a Computing professional.

PROGRAMME SPECIFIC OUTCOMES (PSOs) – General

PSOs PROGRAMME SPECIFIC OUTCOMES (PSOs)

Acquire proficiency to identify complex real-world problems, formulating them

PSO1 into AI-centric challenges, and employing innovative AI methodologies to
provide effective solutions.
Utilize mathematical principles and advanced algorithms to design, developand
PSO2 optimize AI solutions for diverse industrial challenges.
Develop the capacity to collaborate within a team and operate autonomouslyin
PSO3 a multidisciplinary setting, emphasizing lifelong
learning and social consciousness.

COURSE OBJECTIVES

Develop understanding among the students about the variety of data available with
COB1
businesses, market research concepts and marketing decision-making process
Demonstrate methods to apply marketing analytics procedures to business problem-
COB2
solving and marketing decision-making
Teach the use and application of key marketing analytics tools and techniques in real-
COB3
case scenarios.
COB4 Utilize Computational Tools for Statistical Modelling:
COB5 Apply Statistical Methods to Data Analysis

COURSE OUTCOMES
At the end of the course, students will be able to

Course Bloom’s Taxonomy

Description
Outcomes Level
CO1 Understand the concepts and properties Probability Theory. L3
(Understanding)
CO2 Understand how random variables work. L3
(Understanding)
CO3 Evaluate various statistical distributions. L5
(Evaluating)
CO4 Examine basic concepts of inferential statistics, hypothesis testing. L4
 (Analysing)
CO5 Evaluate F-test and analysis of variance L3
(Applying)

CO-PO/PSO Mapping (3-Strong, 2-Good, 1-Week)

PO1 PO2 PO3 PO4 PO5 PO6 PO7 PO8 PO9 PO10 PO11 PO12 PSO1 PSO2
CO1 3 2 1 1 - - - - - - - - 1 -
CO2 3 2 1 2 - - - - - - - - 1 -
CO3 3 3 2 2 - - - - - - - - 1 1
CO4 3 3 2 3 1 - - - - - 1 - 2 1
CO5 2 2 2 2 1 - - - - - 2 - 2 2

Course Contents:

Module Details Contact

Hours

Introduction to probability:

1 Introduction, Sample Space, Probability Axioms, Theorems on Union and 9

Intersections of events in a Sample Spaces.
Conditional Probability, Bayes Theorem, Probability on FiniteSample Spaces.
Independence of Events.
Random variables:
2 Introduction to Random variables – discrete & continuous Random variables 9
Discrete random variables -

Statistical Distributions:
3 Uniform, Bernoulli, Binomial, Geometric, Poisson Distributions, Hypergeometric, 9
Negative Binomial, Poisson Process, Conditional Expectations and Variance,
Chebyshev's Inequality and Introduction to Bivariate Normal.
Inferential Statistics I:
Populations, samples, random sampling, Sampling distribution,standard error of
4 the mean, other sampling distributions. Hypothesis testing, z-test, z-testprocedure 9
– statement of the problem, null hypothesis – alternate hypotheses, decision rule,
confidenceinterval – level of confidence
Inferential Statistics II:
T-test for one sample, t-test procedure, degrees of freedom, standard error
5 estimates, case studies. T-test for two independent samples. F-test, ANOVA, 9
estimating effect size – multiple comparisons, case studies Analysis of variance
with repeated measures. Two-factor experiments, f-tests – two-factor ANOVA –
other types of ANOVA
Text Books

T1 Robert S. Witte and John S. Witte, “Statistics”, Eleventh Edition, Wiley Publications, 2017.
T2 Allen B. Downey, “Think Stats: Exploratory Data Analysis in Python”, Green Tea
Press,2014. [Unit V]

Reference Books

R1 Rohatgi, Vijay K., and AK Md Ehsanes Saleh. An introduction to probability and statistics.
John Wiley & Sons, 2015.
R2 Peter Bruce, Andrew Bruce, and Peter Gedek, “Practical Statistics for Data Scientists”,
Second Edition, O’Reilly Publishers, 2020.
R3 Charles R. Severance, “Python for Everybody: Exploring Data in Python 3”, Shroff
Publishers, 2017. 4. Bradley Efron and
Trevor Hastie, “Computer Age Statistical Inference”, Cambridge University Press, 2016.
R4 A Papoulis, S U Pillai, (2017), “Probability, Random Variables and Stochastic Process”,
4th Edition, McGraw-Hill Education Publications.

Website References (W):

W1 Introduction to probability and statistics

https://ocw.mit.edu/courses/18-05-introduction-to-probability-and-statistics-spring-2022/
W2 Introduction to probability
https://www.vfu.bg/en/e-Learning/Math--
Bertsekas_Tsitsiklis_Introduction_to_probability.pdf
W3 One-Way ANOVA
https://www.stat.cmu.edu/~hseltman/309/Book/chapter7.pdf

Video Links (V):

V1 Introduction to probability (MIT OCW)

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1uW3qMFA9Ho&list=PLUl4u3cNGP60hI9ATjSFg
LZpbNJ7myAg6
V2 Introduction to probability
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4wV9xGJXFjg&pp=ygUbaW50cm9kdWN0aW9uI
HRvIHByb2JhYmlsaXR5
V3 NPTEl introduction to probability and statistics
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=COI0BUmNHT8&list=PLyqSpQzTE6M_JcleDbrV
yPnE0PixKs2JE
V4 Introduction to hypothesis testing
https://archive.nptel.ac.in/courses/103/106/103106120/
V5 Goodness of fit measure, Anova and hypothesis testing Part – 1 &2
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MzpyfWsatcQ&t=195s
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2ndiv_8IpKU
 MOOC Courses (MC):

S. No. Platform Topic CO Link Duration

In Hours
MOOC NPTEL Sets, Relations and CO1 https://archive.nptel.ac.in/courses/111/1 32 Min
1 Functions 06/111106086/
MOOC Great Permutation and CO3 https://www.mygreatlearning.com/acad 1 Hr
2 Learning Combination emy/learn-for-
free/courses/permutation-and-
combination
MOOC MIT Introduction to CO4 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1u 1 Hr 20
4 OCW Probability W3qMFA9Ho&list=PLUl4u3cNGP60h Min
I9ATjSFgLZpbNJ7myAg6
MOOC NPTEL Conditional CO5 https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=CO 20 Min
5 Probability, I0BUmNHT8&list=PLyqSpQzTE6M_J
Independence of cleDbrVyPnE0PixKs2JE
events

SESSION-WISE PLAN

Reading and Pedagogy / CO Mode of

Module Session Topic
References Activity Planned Mapping Delivery
Class room
1 Introduction to Probability
interactive / ICT
Introduction to sample space
Class room
2 and examples in different
interactive / ICT
scenarios
Class room
3 Probability Axioms
T1 interactive / ICT
R1&R2&R4 Activity -1 Class room
Module 4 Theorems on Union of Events
W2 Assignment CO1 interactive / ICT
1 Theorems on Intersection of Class room
5 V1&V2
Events interactive / ICT
Introduction to Conditional Class room
6
Probability interactive / ICT
Bayes Theorem Class room
7
interactive / ICT
Probability on Finite Sample Class room
8
Spaces interactive/ ICT
9 Independence of Events Class room
 interactive/ ICT
Introduction to Random Class room
10 Variables interactive / ICT
Discrete Random Variables - Class room
11
Part 1 interactive / ICT
Discrete Random Variables - Class room
12
Part 2 interactive / ICT
Continuous Random Class room
13
Variables - Part 1 interactive / ICT
Module Continuous Random Class room
14 CO2
2 Variables - Part 2 interactive / ICT
T1
Class room
15 Uniform Distribution R1&R4
W2 interactive / ICT
V3 Activity -1 Class room
16 Bernoulli Distribution
Assignment interactive / ICT
Class room
17 Binomial Distribution
interactive / ICT
Class room
18 Geometric Distribution
interactive / ICT
Class room
19 Poisson Distribution
interactive / ICT
Class room
20 Hypergeometric Distribution
interactive / ICT
Negative Binomial Class room
21
Distribution interactive / ICT
T1 Class room
22 Poisson Process
R2 interactive / ICT
Activity -1
Module Conditional Expectations - W2 Class room
23 Assignment CO3
3 Part 1 V3 interactive / ICT
Conditional Expectations - Class room
24
Part 2 interactive / ICT
Understanding variance and Class room
25
its significance interactive / ICT
Chebyshev’s Inequality and Class room
26
its applications interactive / ICT
Introduction to Bivariate Class room
27
Normal Distribution interactive / ICT
Class room
28 Populations & Samples
interactive / ICT
Random Sampling & Class room
29
Sampling Distributions-1 interactive / ICT
Random Sampling & Class room
30
Sampling Distributions-2 interactive / ICT
Class room
31 Standard Error & Mean-1
Module interactive / ICT
CO4
4 Class room
32 Standard Error & Mean-2
interactive / ICT
Class room
33 Hypothesis Testing - Part 1 T1&T2 interactive / ICT
R1 Class room
34 Hypothesis Testing - Part 2 W1 Activity – 2 interactive / ICT
Confidence Intervals- V4 Case study on Class room
35 bayes theorem
Explanation of confidence interactive / ICT
 intervals
Confidence Intervals-
Class room
36 Calculation and
interactive / ICT
interpretation
Class room
37 T-Test for One Sample
interactive / ICT
T-Test for Two Independent Class room
38
Samples interactive / ICT
F-Test & Analysis of Class room
39
Variance (ANOVA) interactive / ICT
Explanation of repeated Class room
40 T1
measures interactive / ICT
R2
Module Two-factor ANOVA and its Class room
41 W3 CO5
5 applications V5 interactive / ICT
Applications of two-factor Activity – 2 Class room
42 Case study on
ANOVA interactive / ICT
Other Types of ANOVA bayes theorem Class room
43
interactive / ICT
Review of Inferential Class room
44
Statistics I interactive / ICT
Review of Inferential Class room
45
Statistics II interactive / ICT

Activity – 1. Assignment:
S. No Platform Topic CO

1 Assignment Case studies on applications of the topics in first two CO1 –

modules CO2

Activity – 2. Assignment:
S. No Platform Topic CO

2 Assignment Evaluate F-test CO3

and analysis of -C04
variance

Assessment Scheme: IA: ESE - 50:50

Sl. Assessment Formative/ Weightage

Frequency CO
No. Instrument Summative (%)
Activity 1 (IA) – Case Studies
CO1 –
1. on applications of the first three Formative 1 15
CO3
modules.
Activity-2 Assignment on
2. applications of last three Formative 1 15 CO5
modules
CO1 –
3. Class Participation Formative - 5
CO5
Internal Exam 1 & Preparatory CO1 –
4. Formative 2 15
exam CO5
 CO1 –
5. University Examination (ESE) Summative 1 50
CO5
Total 100

Activity-1 Case Studies on applications of the first two modules.

Submitted after the
Submitted On Submitted after Not
Remarks deadline due to
Time deadline. Submitted
genuine reason.
Marks
15 13 8 to 12 0
(15)

Activity-2 Assignment on applications of bayes theorem.

Submitted On Submitted after deadline Submitted after Not
Remarks
Time due to genuine reason deadline Submitted
Marks
15 13 8 to 12 0
(15)

Assessment Rubrics – Internal Exam 1 (Max. Marks: 25) – Students marks converted into 7.5
Assessment Rubrics – Preparatory Exam (Max. Marks: 25) – Students marks converted into 7.5

Others Details:

1. Master Class –Contribution to the Learning Process (1 – Poor/Below 75%, 2 – Good/75-80%, 3 – Very Good/80-
90%, 4 and above – Excellent/Above 90%
2. Assignment / Case Study – Punctuality, Submission of handwritten (1 – Poor/Below 75%, 2 – Good/75-80%, 3 –
Very Good/80-90%, 4 and above – Excellent/Above 90%
3. Presentation – Eye contact, Communication, Delivery of content (1 – Poor/Below 75%, 2 – Good/75-80%, 3 – Very
Good/80-90%, 4 and above – Excellent/Above 90%
4. Pre Reading – The readings/ references given in session-wise plan should be read by students before coming to
class to have effective and meaningful discussion on the topic.

Signature of the Course Facilitator Signature of HOD