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Chap02 1

Chapter 2 of 'Statistics for Business and Economics' focuses on numerical data description, covering measures of central tendency such as mean, median, and mode, as well as measures of variation including range, variance, and standard deviation. It also discusses the empirical rule, weighted mean, and least squares regression for analyzing relationships between variables. Key concepts include the importance of understanding data distribution shapes and the use of quartiles and box plots for data visualization.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
9 views68 pages

Chap02 1

Chapter 2 of 'Statistics for Business and Economics' focuses on numerical data description, covering measures of central tendency such as mean, median, and mode, as well as measures of variation including range, variance, and standard deviation. It also discusses the empirical rule, weighted mean, and least squares regression for analyzing relationships between variables. Key concepts include the importance of understanding data distribution shapes and the use of quartiles and box plots for data visualization.

Uploaded by

benchehidaranym
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Statistics for

Business and Economics


7th Edition

Chapter 2

Describing Data: Numerical

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-1
Chapter Goals
After completing this chapter, you should be able to:
■ Compute and interpret the mean, median, and mode for a
set of data
■ Find the range, variance, standard deviation, and
coefficient of variation and know what these values mean
■ Apply the empirical rule to describe the variation of
population values around the mean
■ Explain the weighted mean and when to use it
■ Explain how a least squares regression line estimates a
linear relationship between two variables

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-2
Chapter Topics
■ Measures of central tendency, variation, and
shape
■Mean, median, mode, geometric mean
■Quartiles

■Range, interquartile range, variance and standard

deviation, coefficient of variation


■Symmetric and skewed distributions

■ Population summary measures


■Mean, variance, and standard deviation
■The empirical rule and Bienaymé-Chebyshev rule

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-3
Chapter Topics
(continued)

■ Five number summary and box-and-whisker


plots
■ Covariance and coefficient of correlation
■ Pitfalls in numerical descriptive measures and
ethical considerations

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-4
Describing Data Numerically
Describing Data Numerically

Central Tendency Variation

Arithmetic Mean Range

Median Interquartile Range

Mode Variance

Standard Deviation

Coefficient of Variation

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-5
2.1
Measures of Central Tendency
Overview
Central Tendency

Mean Median Mode

Arithmetic Midpoint of Most frequently


average ranked values observed value

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-6
Arithmetic Mean
■ The arithmetic mean (mean) is the most
common measure of central tendency
■ For a population of N values:

Population
values
Population size
■ For a sample of size n:

Observed
values
Sample size
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-7
Arithmetic Mean
(continued)

■ The most common measure of central tendency


■ Mean = sum of values divided by the number of values
■ Affected by extreme values (outliers)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Mean = 3 Mean = 4

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-8
Median
■ In an ordered list, the median is the “middle”
number (50% above, 50% below)

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10

Median = 3 Median = 3

■ Not affected by extreme values

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-9
Finding the Median

■ The location of the median:

■ If the number of values is odd, the median is the middle


number
■ If the number of values is even, the median is the average of

the two middle numbers

■ Note that is not the value of the median, only the


position of the median in the ranked data

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-10
Mode
■ A measure of central tendency
■ Value that occurs most often
■ Not affected by extreme values
■ Used for either numerical or categorical data
■ There may may be no mode
■ There may be several modes

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 0 1 2 3 4 5 6

No Mode
Mode = 9
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-11
Review Example
■ Five houses on a hill by the beach

House Prices:

$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-12
Review Example:
Summary Statistics

House Prices:
■ Mean: ($3,000,000/5)
$2,000,000 = $600,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000
■ Median: middle value of ranked data
Sum 3,000,000
= $300,000

■ Mode: most frequent value


= $100,000

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-13
Which measure of location
is the “best”?

■ Mean is generally used, unless extreme values


(outliers) exist . . .
■ Then median is often used, since the median
is not sensitive to extreme values.
■ Example: Median home prices may be reported for
a region – less sensitive to outliers

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-14
Shape of a Distribution

■ Describes how data are distributed


■ Measures of shape
■ Symmetric or skewed

Left-Skewed Symmetric Right-Skewed


Mean < Median Mean = Median Median < Mean

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-15
Geometric Mean
■ Geometric mean
■ Used to measure the rate of change of a variable
over time

■ Geometric mean rate of return


■ Measures the status of an investment over time

■ Where xi is the rate of return in time period i

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-16
Example

An investment of $100,000 rose to $150,000 at the


end of year one and increased to $180,000 at end
of year two:

50% increase 20% increase

What is the mean percentage return over time?

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-17
Example
(continued)

Use the 1-year returns to compute the arithmetic


mean and the geometric mean:

Arithmetic
mean rate Misleading result
of return:

Geometric
mean rate
of return: More
accurate
result
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-18
2.2
Measures of Variability
Variation

Range Interquartile Variance Standard Coefficient of


Range Deviation Variation

■ Measures of variation give


information on the spread
or variability of the data
values.

Same center,
different variation
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-19
Range

■ Simplest measure of variation


■ Difference between the largest and the smallest
observations:
Range = Xlargest – Xsmallest

Example:

0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Range = 14 - 1 = 13

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-20
Disadvantages of the Range
■ Ignores the way in which data are distributed

7 8 9 10 11 12 7 8 9 10 11 12
Range = 12 - 7 = 5 Range = 12 - 7 = 5

■ Sensitive to outliers
1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,5
Range = 5 - 1 = 4

1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,2,3,3,3,3,4,120
Range = 120 - 1 = 119

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-21
Interquartile Range

■ Can eliminate some outlier problems by using


the interquartile range

■ Eliminate high- and low-valued observations


and calculate the range of the middle 50% of
the data

■ Interquartile range = 3rd quartile – 1st quartile


IQR = Q3 – Q1

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-22
Interquartile Range

Example:
X Median X
minimum Q1 (Q2) Q3 maximum

25% 25% 25% 25%

12 30 45 57
70

Interquartile range
= 57 – 30 = 27

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-23
Quartiles
■ Quartiles split the ranked data into 4 segments with
an equal number of values per segment

25% 25% 25% 25%

Q1 Q2 Q3

■ The first quartile, Q1, is the value for which 25% of the
observations are smaller and 75% are larger
■ Q2 is the same as the median (50% are smaller, 50% are
larger)
■ Only 25% of the observations are greater than the third
quartile

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-24
Quartile Formulas

Find a quartile by determining the value in the


appropriate position in the ranked data, where

First quartile position: Q1 = 0.25(n+1)

Second quartile position: Q2 = 0.50(n+1)


(the median position)

Third quartile position: Q3 = 0.75(n+1)

where n is the number of observed values

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-25
Quartiles

■ Example: Find the first quartile


Sample Ranked Data: 11 12 13 16 16 17 18 21 22

(n = 9)
Q1 = is in the 0.25(9+1) = 2.5 position of the ranked data
so use the value half way between the 2nd and 3rd values,
so Q1 = 12.5

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-26
Population Variance

■ Average of squared deviations of values from


the mean

■ Population variance:

Where = population mean


N = population size
xi = ith value of the variable x

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-27
Sample Variance

■ Average (approximately) of squared deviations


of values from the mean

■ Sample variance:

Where = arithmetic mean


n = sample size
Xi = ith value of the variable X

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-28
Population Standard Deviation
■ Most commonly used measure of variation
■ Shows variation about the mean
■ Has the same units as the original data

■ Population standard deviation:

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-29
Sample Standard Deviation
■ Most commonly used measure of variation
■ Shows variation about the mean
■ Has the same units as the original data

■ Sample standard deviation:

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-30
Calculation Example:
Sample Standard Deviation
Sample
Data (xi) : 10 12 14 15 17 18 18 24
n=8 Mean = x = 16

A measure of the “average”


scatter around the mean
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-31
Measuring variation

Small standard deviation

Large standard deviation

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-32
Comparing Standard Deviations

Data A
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = 3.338

Data B
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = 0.926

Data C
Mean = 15.5
11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 s = 4.570

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-33
Advantages of Variance and
Standard Deviation

■ Each value in the data set is used in the


calculation

■ Values far from the mean are given extra


weight
(because deviations from the mean are squared)

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-34
Coefficient of Variation

■ Measures relative variation


■ Always in percentage (%)
■ Shows variation relative to mean
■ Can be used to compare two or more sets of
data measured in different units

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-35
Comparing Coefficient
of Variation
■ Stock A:
■Average price last year = $50

■Standard deviation = $5

Both stocks
■ Stock B: have the same
standard
■Average price last year = $100 deviation, but
■Standard deviation = $5
stock B is less
variable relative
to its price

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-36
Using Microsoft Excel

■ Descriptive Statistics can be obtained


from Microsoft® Excel
■ Select:
data / data analysis / descriptive statistics

■ Enter details in dialog box

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-37
Using Excel
■ Select data / data analysis / descriptive statistics

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-38
Using Excel

■ Enter input
range details

■ Check box for


summary
statistics

■ Click OK
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-39
Excel output
Microsoft Excel
descriptive statistics output,
using the house price data:
House Prices:

$2,000,000
500,000
300,000
100,000
100,000

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-40
Chebychev’s Theorem

■ For any population with mean μ and


standard deviation σ , and k > 1 , the
percentage of observations that fall within
the interval
[μ + kσ]
Is at least

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-41
Chebychev’s Theorem
(continued)

■ Regardless of how the data are distributed, at


least (1 - 1/k2) of the values will fall within k
standard deviations of the mean (for k > 1)
■ Examples:

At least within
(1 - 1/1.52) = 55.6% ……... k = 1.5 (μ ± 1.5σ)
(1 - 1/22) = 75% …........... k = 2 (μ ± 2σ)
(1 - 1/32) = 89% …….…... k = 3 (μ ± 3σ)

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-42
The Empirical Rule

■ If the data distribution is bell-shaped, then


the interval:
■ contains about 68% of the values in the
population or the sample

68%

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-43
The Empirical Rule
■ contains about 95% of the values in
the population or the sample
■ contains almost all (about 99.7%) of the
values in the population or the sample

95% 99.7%

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-44
2.3
Weighted Mean

■ The weighted mean of a set of data is

■ Where wi is the weight of the ith observation


and

■ Use when data is already grouped into n classes, with


wi values in the ith class

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-45
Approximations for Grouped Data
Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with
frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the
classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK

■ For a sample of n observations, the mean is

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-46
Approximations for Grouped Data
Suppose data are grouped into K classes, with
frequencies f1, f2, . . . fK, and the midpoints of the
classes are m1, m2, . . ., mK

■ For a sample of n observations, the variance is

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-47
2.4
The Sample Covariance
■ The covariance measures the strength of the linear relationship
between two variables

■ The population covariance:

■ The sample covariance:

■ Only concerned with the strength of the relationship


■ No causal effect is implied

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-48
Interpreting Covariance

■ Covariance between two variables:

Cov(x,y) > 0 x and y tend to move in the same direction


Cov(x,y) < 0 x and y tend to move in opposite directions
Cov(x,y) = 0 x and y are independent

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-49
Coefficient of Correlation
■ Measures the relative strength of the linear relationship
between two variables

■ Population correlation coefficient:

■ Sample correlation coefficient:

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-50
Features of
Correlation Coefficient, r
■ Unit free
■ Ranges between –1 and 1
■ The closer to –1, the stronger the negative linear
relationship
■ The closer to 1, the stronger the positive linear
relationship
■ The closer to 0, the weaker any positive linear
relationship

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-51
Scatter Plots of Data with Various
Correlation Coefficients
Y Y Y

X X X
r = -1 r = -.6 r=0
Y
Y Y

X X X
r = +1 r = +.3 r=0
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-52
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient
■ Select Data / Data Analysis

■ Choose Correlation from the selection menu


■ Click OK . . .

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-53
Using Excel to Find
the Correlation Coefficient(continued)

■ Input data range and select


appropriate options
■ Click OK to get output

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-54
Interpreting the Result

■ r = .733

■ There is a relatively
strong positive linear
relationship between
test score #1
and test score #2

■ Students who scored high on the first test tended


to score high on second test

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-55
Chapter Summary
■ Described measures of central tendency
■ Mean, median, mode
■ Illustrated the shape of the distribution
■ Symmetric, skewed
■ Described measures of variation
■ Range, interquartile range, variance and standard deviation,
coefficient of variation
■ Discussed measures of grouped data
■ Calculated measures of relationships between
variables
■ covariance and correlation coefficient

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall Ch. 2-56
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Online topic: Outliers

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Locating Extreme Outliers:Z-Score

■ To compute the Z-score of a data value,


subtract the mean and divide by the standard
deviation.
■  The Z-score is the number of standard
deviations a data value is from the mean.
■  A data value is considered an extreme outlier
if its Zscore is less than -3.0 or greater than
+3.0.
■  The larger the absolute value of the Z-score,
the farther the data value is from the mean.
Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall
Locating Extreme Outliers:Z-Score

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Locating Extreme Outliers:Z-Score

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


The Five-Number Summary

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Relationships among the five-number
summary and distribution shape

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Distribution Shape and The Boxplot

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Boxplot Example

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Outliers

■ An outlier is an unusual score, relative to the


dataset. It is inconsistent with the rest of the
data. It willinfluence the mean and the standard
deviation.
■ A data set might have no outliers, one outlier, or
Several outliers.
■ Two types: Mild and Extreme

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Outliers

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall


Outliers

Copyright © 2010 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall

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