Neoclassical Growth Model
Neoclassical Growth Model
Vibhor Verma1
1
Delhi Technological University
What is neoclassical?
S = sY
Y = F (K , L)
y = f (k)
F (K , 0) = 0
F (0, L) = 0
f ′ (k) > 0
f ′′ (k) < 0
lim f ′ (k) = 0
k→∞
lim f ′ (k) = ∞
k→0
Y ≡C +I
Y C I
=⇒ (t) ≡ (t) + (t)
L L L
C I
=⇒ f (k(t)) = (t) + (t)
L L
(1 − s)Y I
=⇒ f (k(t)) = (t) + (t)
L L
I
=⇒ f (k(t)) = (1 − s)f (k(t)) + (t)
L
I
=⇒ (t) = sf (k(t))
L
Note that
K
k=
L
=⇒ lnk = lnK − lnL
1 dk 1 dK 1 dL
=⇒ = −
k dt K dt L dt
k̇ K̇ L̇
=⇒ = −
k K L
k̇ K̇
=⇒ = −n
k K
Using
K̇ = I − δK
we get 2
Y (t) K (t)
=⇒ k̇ = s −δ − nk
L(t) L(t)
=⇒ k̇ = sf (k) − δk − nk
=⇒ k̇ = sf (k) − (n + δ)k
K̇
=n
K
sf (k ∗ ) = (n + δ)k ∗
k̇ = sf (k) − (n + δ)k
d k̇
=⇒ = sf ′ (k) − (n + δ)
dk
Since f ”(k) < 0, and
lim f ′ (k) = ∞
k→0
lim f ′ (k) = 0
k→∞
The long run growth rates in the Solow model are determined by
exogenous factors - in the steady state, the per capita quantities k,
y and c do not grow and the aggregate variables K , Y and C grow
at the rate of population growth n.3
k̇ = sf (k) − (n + δ)k
k̇ sf (k)
=⇒ γk ≡ = − (n + δ)
k k
3
since K , L are growing at the rate n in steady state, due to constant
returns to scale, Y is also growing at the same rate, n, in steady state.
Note that
d f (k) f ′ (k)k − f (k)
( )= 2
dk k k
f (k) ′
=− − f (k) /k
k
4
Y = Lf (k) =⇒ ∂Y
∂L
= f ( KL ) + L.f ′ ( KL )( −K
L2
) = f (k) − kf ′ (k)
Since
sf (k) ∞
lim =” ”
k→∞ k ∞
sf (k) 0
lim =” ”
k→0 k 0
sf (k)
lim = lim sf ′ (k) = 0
k→∞ k k→∞
sf (k)
lim = lim sf ′ (k) = ∞
k→0 k k→0
ẏ k̇ kf ′ (k) k̇
= f ′ (k) =
y f (k) f (k) k
′
The expression kff (k)
(k)
is called the capital share, i.e., the share of
rental income in capital in the total income. We denote it by αK .
Thus, the behaviour of ẏ /y mimics that of k̇/k. More specifically,
ẏ kf ′ (k) k̇
=
y f (k) k
kf ′ (k) [sf (k) − (n + δ)k]
=
f (k) k
′
= sf (k) − (n + δ)αK
(n + δ)f ′ (k)
∂(ẏ /y ) f ”(k).k k̇
= − [1 − αK ]
∂k f (k) k f (k)
If k̇k ≥ 0, ∂(∂k
ẏ /y )
< 0, i.e., if k ≤ k ∗ , ẏ /y necessarily falls as k rises
(and as y rises).
If k̇/k < 0(k > k ∗ ), the sign of ∂(ẏ /y )/∂k is ambiguous for a
general form of the production function, f (k). However, if the
economy is close to its steady state, the magnitude of k̇/k will be
small, and ∂(ẏ /y )/∂k < 0 will surely hold even if k > k ∗ .
Convergence
∂(k̇/k) ′ f (k)
= s f (k) − /k < 0
∂k k
Just like before, assume k(0)poor < k(0)rich but with different
saving rates, spoor < srich . The rich economy is growing faster if
∗
k(0)rich is further away from krich ∗
than k(0)poor is from kpoor . Low
saving rate of the poor economy offsets its higher average product
of capital as a determinant of economic growth. Hence, the poor
economy may grow at a slower rate than the richer one.6
6
The proof of the equation above is left as an exercise.
Effects of increase in rate of saving
7
Since ẏ
y
= f ′ (k) k̇k and in steady state k̇
k
=0
Effects of increase in rate of saving
Effects of increase in rate of saving
Effects of increase in rate of saving
The steady state level of per capita consumption is
c ∗ = (1 − s)f (k ∗ )
Since sf (k ∗ ) = (n + δ)k ∗ ,
∂f (k ∗ (sGOLD ))
=n+δ
∂k ∗ (sGOLD )
f ′ (kGOLD ) = n + δ
The saving rate at which per capita consumption is maximized is
called the golden rule saving rate and is denoted by sGOLD .
Effects of increase in rate of saving
The Golden Rule and Dynamic Inefficiency
The figure above considers three possible rates of saving,
s1 < sGOLD < s2 . The corresponding steady state levels of capital
are k1∗ < kGOLD
∗ < k2∗ .
Consider the economy at s2 > sGOLD , so that c2∗ < cGOLD .
Suppose starting from the steady state at s2 , the saving rate is
permanently reduced to sGOLD . The per capita consumption c
initially increases by a discrete amount and then monotonically
falls in the transition towards its new steady state value cGOLD .
Since c2∗ < cGOLD , we conclude that c exceeds its previous value
c2∗ at all transitional dates, as well as in the new steady state.
Hence when s > sGOLD , the economy is oversaving in the sense
that per capita consumption at all points in time could be raised
by lowering the saving rate. An economy that oversaves is said to
be dynamically inefficient, because the path of consumption lies
below feasible alternative paths at all points in time.
Similarly, for s < sGOLD , the economy is undersaving and hence
dynamically inefficient.
Technical Progress
Y = F (A(t)K , B(t)L)
Ȧ(t)
Y = F (A(t)K , L); =m
A(t)
implies purely capital-augmenting technical progress at the
constant proportional rate m.
Ḃ(t)
Y = F (K , B(t)L); =m
B(t)
implies purely labour-augmenting technical progress at the
constant proportional rate m.
and
Ȧ(t) Ḃ(t)
Y = F (A(t)K , B(t)L); = = m,
A(t) B(t)
implies an equally capital and labour augmenting technical
progress at the constant proportional rate m.
Dynamics of the Solow model with technical progress
K (t)
k(t) =
A(t)L(t)
K̇ (t)A(t)L(t) K (t)
k̇(t) = − (A(t)L̇(t) + Ȧ(t)L(t))
(A(t)L(t))2 (A(t)L(t))2
K̇ (t) ˙
K (t) L(t) Ȧ(t) K (t)
= − −
A(t)L(t) A(t)L(t) L(t) A(t) A(t)L(t)
sY (t) − δK (t) K (t) K (t)
= −n −g
A(t)L(t) A(t)L(t) A(t)L(t)
= sf (k(t)) − (n + δ + g )k(t)
In steady state, k̇/k = 0. At the steady state k = k ∗ ,
sf (k ∗ ) = (n + g + δ)k ∗
ẏ
=0
y
K̇ Ẏ
= =n+g
K Y
d
dt [Y (t)/L(t)]
=g
Y (t)/L(t)
k̇ = sf (k) − (n + δ + g )k
k̇ sf (k)
=⇒ γk ≡ = − (n + δ + g )
k k
Note that for conditional convergence,
k̇ f (k)/k
= (n + g + δ) − 1
k f (k ∗ )/k ∗
K
where k = AL .
Effects of increase in rate of saving
Effects of increase in rate of saving
Effects of increase in rate of saving
A change in the rate of saving has level effects but no growth
effects, i.e., per capital output grows at the same rate as before
from a higher level in the new steady state. Note that
consumption per unit of effective labour in steady state is
maximized at the rate of saving sGOLD where,
∂f (k ∗ (sGOLD ))
=n+g +δ
∂k ∗ (sGOLD )
f ′ (kGOLD ) = n + g + δ
The long run effects of increase in rate of saving on steady state
output per unit of effective labour, y ∗ = f (k ∗ ), are given by
∂y ∗ ∂k ∗ (s, n, g , δ)
= f ′ (k ∗ )
∂s ∂s
Since sf (k ∗ (s, g , n, δ)) = (n + g + δ)k ∗ (s, n, g , δ)
∂k ∗ ∂k ∗
sf ′ (k ∗ ) + f (k ∗ ) = (n + g + δ)
∂s ∂s
∂k ∗ f (k ∗ )
=⇒ =
∂s (n + g + δ) − sf ′ (k ∗ )
∂y ∗ f ′ (k ∗ )f (k ∗ )
=⇒ =
∂s (n + g + δ) − sf ′ (k ∗ )
s ∂y ∗ s f ′ (k ∗ )f (k ∗ )
=⇒ ∗ =
y ∂s f (k ∗ ) (n + g + δ) − sf ′ (k ∗ )
(n+g +δ)k ∗
By substituting s = f (k ∗ ) in steady state,
s ∂y ∗ k ∗ f ′ (k ∗ )/f (k ∗ )
=
y ∗ ∂s [1 − k ∗ f ′ (k ∗ )/f (k ∗ )]
αK (k ∗ )
=
[1 − αK (k ∗ )]
8
If markets are competitive and there are no externalities, capital earns its
marginal product. Since Y = ALf (k), ∂Y ∂K
= ALf ′ (k) AL
1
= f ′ (k). Thus, if
capital earns its marginal product, the share of total income earned by capital
(per unit of effective labour) on the balanced growth path is k ∗ f ′ (k ∗ )/f (k ∗ ) or
αK (k ∗ ). Intuitively, a small value of αK (k ∗ ) makes the impact of saving on
output low for two reasons. First, it implies that the actual investment curve,
sf (k) bends fairly sharply. As a result, an upward shift of the curve moves its
intersection with the break-even investment line relatively little. Secondly, a low
value of αK (k ∗ ) means that the impact of change in k ∗ on y ∗ is small.
Bibliography