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Regression Example2

The document outlines a seminar on geostatistics for A Level Geography, focusing on enhancing student performance. It provides a detailed explanation of regression analysis, including formulas and calculations for determining the regression line of employment rate based on fertility rate data. The final regression equation derived from the analysis is y = 86.95 - 5.534x.

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12 views6 pages

Regression Example2

The document outlines a seminar on geostatistics for A Level Geography, focusing on enhancing student performance. It provides a detailed explanation of regression analysis, including formulas and calculations for determining the regression line of employment rate based on fertility rate data. The final regression equation derived from the analysis is y = 86.95 - 5.534x.

Uploaded by

mizhashayne
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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MT.

PLEASANT HIGH SCHOOL


A Level Geography - Geostatistics Seminar
Enhancing student performance in A Level Geography (6037/3).
Assessment Specialist: Mr. N Karimazondo -0774114549
Regression
Example
Formula
𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥
Where 𝑏 is the gradient and 𝑎 is the 𝑦 intercept
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥𝑦−∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
𝑏= 𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 2 −(∑ 𝑥)2

The gradient, 𝑏 can be found as follows. 𝑏 is known as the regression coefficeinent of 𝑦


on 𝑥
𝑎 = 𝑦̅ − 𝑏𝑥̅
Finding the equation of the regression line of 𝑦 on 𝑥 for the data.
Fertility Rate Employment Rate x2 y2 xy
(x) (y)
1.6 76.2 2.56 5806.44 121.92
5.7 56.4 32.49 3180.96 321.48
2.3 70.1 5.29 4914.01 161.23
2.2 76.4 4.84 5836.96 168.08
1.8 75.0 3.24 5625 135
2.0 79.2 4.0 6272.64 158.4
2.5 73.0 6.25 5329 182.5
2.9 71.8 8.41 5155.24 208.22
1.5 83.6 2.25 6988.96 125.4
2.6 68.9 6.76 4747.21 179.14
25.1 730.6 76.09 53856.42 1761.37
∑ 𝑥 = 25.1 ∑ 𝑦 = 730.6 ∑ 𝑥 2 =76.09 ∑ 𝑦2 = ∑ 𝑥𝑦 = 1761.37
53856.42
𝑠𝑥𝑦
𝑏=
𝑠𝑥𝑥
There are five pairs of data, n=10
∑𝑥 25.1 ∑𝑦 730.6
𝑥̅ = = = 2.51 And 𝑦̅ = = = 73.06
𝑛 10 𝑛 10
1 1
𝑠𝑥𝑦 = 𝑛 ∑ 𝑥𝑦 − 𝑥̅ 𝑦̅ = 10 × 1761.37 − 2.51 × 73.06 = −7.2436
1 1
𝑠𝑥𝑥 = 𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 2 − 𝑥̅ 2 = 10 × 76.09 − 2.512 = 1.3089

For the regression equation of 𝑦 on 𝑥 in the form of 𝑦 = 𝑎 + 𝑏𝑥


𝑠𝑥𝑦 −7.2436
𝑏=𝑠 = = −5.534 and 𝑎 = 𝑦̅ − 𝑏𝑥̅ = 73.06 − −5.534 × 2.51 = 86.95
𝑥𝑥 1.3089

Therefore, the equation of the regression line of 𝑦 on 𝑥 is 𝑦 = 86.95 − 5.534𝑥


Method B

Finding b
∑ 𝑥𝑦 − ∑ 𝑥 ∑ 𝑦
𝑏=
𝑛 ∑ 𝑥 2 − (∑ 𝑥 )2
10(1 761.37) − (25.1)(730.6)
𝑏=
10(76.09) − (25.1)2
17 613.7) − 18 338.06
𝑏=
760.9 − 630.01
−724.36
𝑏=
130.89
𝑏 = −5.534
Finding a
∑𝑦 − 𝑏∑𝑥
𝑎=
𝑛
730.6 − −5.534(25.1)
𝑎=
10
730.6 + 138.9034
𝑎=
10
869.5034
𝑎=
10
𝑎 = 86.95034
Therefore, the equation of the regression line of 𝑦 on 𝑥 is 𝑦 = 86.95 − 5.534𝑥

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