9 Normal Distribution
9 Normal Distribution
𝟐
𝑵(𝝁, 𝝈 )
1
2
The Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝝁, 𝝈𝟐 )
The most important probability distribution in the entire field of statistic is the normal
distribution. The continuous random variable X is said to have the normal distribution with
𝟏 𝟏 𝒙−𝝁 𝟐
−
𝒇 𝒙, 𝝁, 𝝈 = 𝒆 𝟐 𝝈
𝝈 𝟐𝝅
The graph of a normal distribution, shaped like the cross section of a bell, as shown below:
The Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝝁, 𝝈𝟐 )
𝑏
𝑃 𝑎 < 𝑋 < 𝑏 = න 𝑓 𝑥 𝑑𝑥 BUT: for normal distribution cannot integrate analytically.
𝑎
1 −𝑧 2 𝑓(𝑥)
Instead use tables for standard Normal distribution: 𝑓 𝑧 = 𝑒 2
2𝜋
𝑋−𝜇
If 𝑋 ∼ 𝑁 𝜇, 𝜎 2 , then 𝑍 = ∼ 𝑁(0,1)
𝜎
𝑑𝑥
𝑥−𝜇
i.e. change 𝑥 to 𝑧 = 𝜎
𝑑𝑥
⇒ 𝑥 = 𝜇 + 𝜎𝑧 ⇒ =𝜎
𝑑𝑧
𝑍2
=
2
𝑑𝑥 1 − 𝑥−𝜇 2
⇒𝑓 𝑧 = 𝑓 𝑥 = 𝑒 2𝜎 2 ×𝜎
𝑑𝑧 2𝜋𝜎 2
1 −𝑧 2
= 𝑒 2 N(0, 1) - standard Normal distribution
2𝜋 5
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Use standard Normal tables forΦ = 𝑃(𝑍 < 𝑧)
[also called Φ(𝑧)]
𝑋−𝜇
𝑍= ∼ 𝑁(0,1)
𝜎
𝑎
Φ z = 𝑃 𝑍 ≤ 𝑎 = න 𝑓 𝑍 𝑑𝑧
−∞
Φ z
=𝑃 𝑍≤𝑎
6
𝑎
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
To find the probabilities (areas) in the normal distribution
problems
we first convert the values of X to the corresponding Z
𝑋−𝜇
values. 𝑍=
𝜎
this gives the value of area (probability) less than the
value of Z under the curve.
the area (probability) under the standard normal curve and less
than Z = 1.96 𝑝(𝑧 < 1.96 .
Example :
(a) 𝑃 𝑍 ≤ 1.22 = Q 1.22
= 0.8888
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Probability Rules of Normal Distributions:
1)𝑷(𝒛 ≤ 𝒂) = 𝜱 𝒂 3) 𝑷 𝒛 ≥ −𝒂 = 𝜱 𝒂
=
2) 𝑷 𝒛 > 𝒂 = 𝟏 − 𝜱 𝒂 4) 𝑷 𝒛 ≤ −𝒂 = 𝜱 −𝒂 = 𝟏 − 𝜱 𝒂
=
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Probability Rules of Normal Distributions:
5) 𝑷 𝒂 < 𝒛 < 𝒃 = 𝜱 𝒃 − 𝜱 𝒂 6) 𝑷 −𝒂 < 𝒛 < −𝒃 = 𝑷 𝒛 < −𝒃 − 𝑷 𝒛 < −𝒂
=𝜱 𝒂 −𝜱 𝒃
= 𝑃 𝑍 ≤ 0.5
= Φ(0.5)
= 0.6915.
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The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Example : 𝑃 𝑍 ≤ −1.0
= 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 1.0)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑍 < 1.0)
= 1 − Φ 1.0 = 1 − 0.8413
= 0.1587
12
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
= 0.9332 −0.6915
= 0.2417
= −
13
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Example :
𝑷 −𝟎. 𝟓 ≤ 𝒛 ≤ 𝟎. 𝟗
= 𝜱 𝟎. 𝟗 − 𝟏 − 𝜱 𝟎. 𝟓
= 𝟎. 𝟖𝟏𝟓𝟗 − 𝟏 − 𝟎. 𝟔𝟗𝟏𝟓
= 𝟎. 𝟓𝟎𝟕𝟒
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Example :
𝑃 𝑍 < 1.356
0.9115 + 0.9131
Φ 1.356 =
2
= 0.9123
The Standard Normal Distribution 𝑵(𝟎, 𝟏)
Example :
Example :
c. 𝐏(𝐙 > 𝟏. 𝟔𝟎) = 1 − P Z ≤ 1.60
= 1 − Φ(1.60)
= 1 − 0.9452 = 0.0548
Example :
e. 𝑷(𝟎. 𝟓 < 𝒁 < 𝟏. 𝟓𝟕) = Φ(1.57) −Φ(0.5)
P(125 X 150 )
125 150 x μ 150 150
P
30 σ 30
P 0.83 Z 0
= Φ 0 − [1 − Φ 0.83 ]
= 0.5 − [1 − 0.7967]
= 0.5 + 0.7967 − 1
0.2967
Normal Distribution
2. What is the probability that students complete an
exam in 185 minutes or less?
P(X 185 )
x μ 185 150
P
σ 30
PZ 1.17
0.8790
Normal Distribution
What is the probability that students complete an
exam in more than 195 minutes?
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 195)
x μ 195 150
P
σ 30
P Z 1 . 5
1 - P(Z 1.5)
1 - 0.9332
= 0.0668
Normal Distribution
Example :
𝑃 𝑍 ≤ 𝑐 = 0.8
0.84 + 0.85
⇒𝑐=
2
≈ 0.845
23
Normal Distribution
Example :
14.99 − 15.0
𝑃 𝑋 > 14.99 = 𝑃 𝑍 >
0.02
= 𝑃 𝑍 > −0.5
≈ 0.6915
Normal Distribution
Example : (ii) Within what range will X lie with probability 0.95?
we want an interval such that Z lies in this interval with probability 0.95.
suppose we want an interval which is symmetric about zero i.e.
between −𝑑 and 𝑑.
0.95
So 𝑑 is whereΦ 𝑑 = 0.975
0.025+0.95
−𝑑 𝑑
0.975
0.025 0.05/2=0.025
𝑑
26
Normal Distribution
Example :
Use table in reverse:
Φ 𝑑 = 0.975
⇒ 𝑍 = 1.96