Unveiling The Future
Unveiling The Future
Autonomous vehicles are vehicles (most likely cars), capable of driving themselves
without human intervention. A technological breakthrough that has become one
of the latest mega trends and aspires to become the future of driving.
Testing began several years ago with different countries and brands; however, the
use of autonomous vehicles could have accelerated growth during this decade.
In this regard, it is expected that, over the next few years, the number of 5G
connections will increase rapidly globally.
Figure 1. An example of a self-driving car
• Motional
• Magna International
• AutoX
• Cruise
• Waymo
• Swift Navigation
• Embark Trucks
• CARMERA
• Zoox
• Nauto
Cars with self-driving features
Many of the cars available to consumers today have a lower level of autonomy
but still have some self-driving features. Self-driving features that are available in
many production cars as of 2022 include the following:
• Hands-free steering centers the car without the driver's hands on the
wheel. The driver is still required to pay attention.
• Adaptive cruise control (ACC) automatically maintains a selectable distance
between the driver's car and the car in front.
• Lane-centering steering intervenes when the driver crosses lane markings
by automatically nudging the vehicle toward the opposite lane marking.
The U.S. National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) lays out six levels
of automation, beginning with Level 0 where humans do the driving, through
driver assistance technologies up to fully autonomous cars. Here are the five
levels that follow Level 0 automation:
• Level 1: An advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) aids the
human driver with steering, braking or accelerating, though not
simultaneously. An ADAS includes rearview cameras and features
like a vibrating seat warning to alert drivers when they drift out of the
traveling lane.
• Level 2: An ADAS that can steer and either brake or accelerate
simultaneously while the driver remains fully aware behind the wheel
and continues to act as the driver.
• Level 3: An automated driving system (ADS) can perform all driving
tasks under certain circumstances, such as parking the car. In these
circumstances, the human driver must be ready to retake control and
is still required to be the main driver of the vehicle.
• Level 4: An ADS can perform all driving tasks and monitor the driving
environment in certain circumstances. In those circumstances, the
ADS is reliable enough that the human driver needn't pay attention.
• Level 5: The vehicle's ADS acts as a virtual chauffeur and does all
the driving in all circumstances. The human occupants are
passengers and are never expected to drive the vehicle.
A bit of history
While the rise of electric vehicles has gained prominence over the last two
decades, its beginnings date back to the 1990s. In 1925, an electrical engineer
from New York, named Francis Houdina, was the first to implement the concept
of an autonomous vehicle, although the car was remotely controlled.
The model was displayed to the public in Manhattan, traveling about nineteen
kilometers between Broadway and Fifth Avenue; however, the vehicle collided
with another car, interrupting its trajectory. Despite this, Houdinna's vehicle,
named Chandler, was built between 1926 and 1930.
Later, in the 1980s, the German Ernst Dickmanns, who is considered the father of
autonomous vehicle as we know it today, converted a Mercedes-Benz van into an
autonomous vehicle guided by an integrated computer. In 1987, the car managed
to travel through traffic-free streets at a speed of 63 kilometers (about 39.15 mi)
per hour.
In 1994, it did something similar with a similar vehicle that traveled more than
1,000 kilometers (about 621.37 mi) through Paris in traffic. In 1995, a Mercedes-
Benz traveled autonomously between Munich and Copenhagen. These projects
were financed by the European Commission under the name of Project Eureka,
which granted Dickmanns almost 800 million euros to carry out research on this
type of vehicle.
Video cameras detect traffic lights, read road signs, track other vehicles, and look
for pedestrians. Lidar (light detection and ranging) Sensors bounce pulses of light
off the car’s surroundings to measure distances, detect road edges, and identify
lane markings. Ultrasonic sensors in the wheels detect curbs and other vehicles
when parking.
Sophisticated software then processes all this sensory input, plots a path, and
sends instructions to the car’s actuators, which control acceleration, braking, and
steering. Hard-coded rules, obstacle avoidance algorithms, predictive modeling,
and object recognition help the software follow traffic rules and navigate
obstacles.
What are the Challenges with Autonomous Cars?
In the past few years, autonomous cars have faced several evident challenges.
Fully automated cars (Level 5) are going through testing in various regions of the
world; however, they are not accessible in the market yet. The challenges range
from technological and jurisdictive to the environmental and philosophical. The
following are a few examples:
Lidar is costly and is still struggling to strike the right balance between range and
resolution. If numerous autonomous vehicles (AVs) were to drive on the same
road, would their lidar signals interfere with the other? And if various radio
frequencies are available, will the frequency range be enough to support mass
production of AVs?
Weather Conditions:
The regulatory process in the U.S. has recently shifted from federal guidance to
state-by-state mandates for autonomous cars. Some states have even proposed a
per-mile taxation on AVs to reduce the growth of "zombie cars" driving around
without passengers. Lawmakers have also written proposals that all autonomous
cars should be zero-emission vehicles and have a panic button installed in them.
But would the laws vary from state to state? Would one be able to cross state
lines with an AV?
Accident Liability:
The scenarios for convenience and quality-of-life improvements are limitless. The
physically disabled individuals and aged people would have more independence.
If an individual is somewhere out and forgets his/her belongings at home, the car
could bring them their desired items. One could send their pet animals on self-
driving cars for their appointment without physically going with them in case they
are busy with their work.
The real promise of AVs is the potential for dramatically lowering CO2 emissions.
In a recent study, experts identified three trends that, if adopted concurrency,
would unleash the full potential of autonomous cars: vehicle automation, vehicle
electrification, and ride sharing. Till 2050,
these "three revolutions in urban transportation” could:
Today's cars have 100 million lines of code. Tomorrow's autonomous cars will
have more than 300 million lines of code, so cybersecurity is a growing concern.
Synopsys is the leader in application security testing and software composition
analysis, helping automotive customers build security into their software
throughout the development lifecycle and across the supply chain.
Synopsys also offers a broad portfolio of auto-grade IP, certified for ISO 26262
and ASIL B & D readiness, to help customers build the best chips for applications
like ADAS, infotainment, and mainstream MCUs. Synopsys embedded vision
processor solutions help customers integrate capabilities like object and facial
recognition, night vision, and adaptive cruise control.
Running until 2030, the funding aims to solidify the UK as a world leader in the
deployment of technology. The government has previously set a target of
enabling commercial self-driving vehicles to get on the road by 2025.
Matched by industry funding, the nine-figure investment will support the work of
the UK's Centre for Connected and Autonomous Vehicles (CCAV). Since 2015, the
agency has invested more than £500 in over 100 projects, including the CAVForth
programme – the UK's first self-driving bus, which runs from Edinburgh to Fife.
The CCAV said that the cash boost will help deliver its ambition to “to create an
early commercial market and secure first mover advantage in the deployment of
self-driving vehicles and services” across the UK.
Recent studies have made significant progress in identifying and investigating the
factors influencing AV usage intention (Casidy et al., 2021; Huang & Qian, 2021).
Most of them have examined the role of psychological and social factors such as
trust (Yuen et al., 2020; Zhang et al., 2020), perceived risk (Casidy et al., 2021;
Hulse et al., 2018), perceived ease of use (Baccarella et al., 2020), perceived
usefulness (Park et al., 2021), social influence (Erskine et al., 2020), and morality
(Gill, 2020) in shaping customers' responses to AVs. While the above studies have
improved our understanding of AV acceptance by customers, none of them, to
the best of our knowledge, has analyzed the outcome of the service. Prior
research did not clarify whether responses to a positive versus negative service
outcome provided by AVs differ from responses to a positive versus negative
service outcome provided by human agents. Indeed, literature on service delivery
by autonomous technologies suggests that the service outcome is not always
error-free (Choi et al., 2021). Service outcome failure, defined as “a service that
does not fulfill the basic service need” (Smith et al., 1999, p. 358; e.g., taxi arrives
30 min late, and customer arrives at his destination 40 min later than expected)
has been a topic of particular interest in previous work on autonomous service
technology (Srinivasan & Sarial-Abi, 2021) but it is yet to be studied in the context
of autonomous vehicles.
The current study aims to fill this research gap by investigating how service
outcome valence (i.e., positive vs. negative service outcome; e.g., the taxi arrives
30 min late vs. the taxi arrives on time) influences customer responses toward
AVs (vs. human agents). Moreover, building on studies about attribution theory
and autonomous technologies (Belanche et al., 2021; Leo & Huh, 2020), we focus
on the perceived blame, defined as a retrospective appraisal of responsibility for
events (Awad et al., 2018), as a main driver of customer satisfaction with AVs
versus human agents. Previous literature suggests that from both a marketing
(McManus & Rutchick, 2019) and an ethical perspective (Gill, 2020) it is important
to know why more (vs. less) responsibility is ascribed to the actions of AVs (vs.
human agent). However, there is very limited research, especially in the AVs
context, on the psychological antecedents of attribution of blame to AVs (see
Table. 1). We believe that perceived competence of the AV vis-à-vis human agent,
defined as the degree to which customers perceive that the service provider
possesses the required skills, knowledge and capabilities to deliver adequately the
service product (Belanche et al., 2021), can explain the customers' blame
attribution (Choi et al., 2021).
Mean of residential accessibility and frequency of trips with different modes was
calculated based on categories 1 to 5.
Figure 3. SAV users’ motivations for riding in an SAV (%).
Figure 4. SAV non-users’ constraints for not riding the SAV (%).
Figure 5. SAV users’ and non-users’ attitudes (%).
Furthermore, the increasing need for better traffic efficiency is driving the shift to
AVs, since it can reduce traffic and boost productivity across the board for the
transportation system. This paradigm shift has significant ramifications for
research, business and society at large. It is not simply about convenience; rather,
it is a step towards a safer, smarter and more sustainable mobility future.
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