Assignment 1
Assignment 1
Q1)
We have given pdf of x
1
𝑓 ( 𝑥 )= , 0 ≤ 𝑥 ≤ 𝑘
𝑘
𝑥 2 =𝑘⋅ ( 1 −𝑟 )
𝑥 3=𝑘𝑟
MEAN = np = 10
10
n= 𝑝
Variance = np(1-p) = 5
10 −10 𝑝=5
P=0.5
=> n=20
𝑋 𝐵𝑖𝑛 ( 20 , 0.5 )
𝑃 ( 𝑋 ≤ 𝑥 )=0.0207
Mean= 𝜇 = 0
Variance=𝜎 =1 2
, we can say that x follows standard normal
𝑋 ∼ 𝑁 ( 0 , 1)
𝑃 ( 𝜒 236 ≤ 51 ) ≈ 0.9999
Q3) & Q5) Given
4
i) f(x)= 5 𝑥+1
, 𝑥=0.1 .2 … .
∞
𝑀 𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=∑ 𝑒 𝑡𝑥 𝑓 ( 𝑥 )
𝑥=0
∞
4
𝑀 𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=∑ 𝑒 𝑡𝑥 𝑥 +1
𝑥=0 5
[ ]
𝑡 2𝑡
1 𝑒 𝑒
¿4 + + +…….
5 5 2 53
𝑎
Sum of infinite gp Sn = 1− 𝑟
[ ]
1
5
¿4
( 5 −𝑒𝑡 )
5
¿4
[( )]
5− 𝑒𝑡
1
ii) 𝐸 ( 𝑥 ) =𝑀 ❑ ( 0 ) ′
𝑥
𝑡
′ 4𝑒
𝑀 ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=− 2
( 5 −𝑒 𝑡 )
0
( ) 4𝑒
′ 0
𝑀❑ 0 = 𝑥 2
, 𝑒 =1
( 𝑒 −5 )
0
′
𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=0.25
Q4)
❑
i) 𝑀 ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=∫ 𝑒𝑡𝑥 𝑓 ( 𝑥 ) 𝑑𝑥
𝑥
[ ][ ]
0 ∞
1 𝑥 𝑡𝑥 1 − 𝑥 𝑡𝑥
= 𝑀 ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )= ∫ 𝑒 𝑒 𝑑𝑥 + ∫ 𝑒 𝑒 𝑑𝑥
−∞ 2 0 2
[∫ ] [∫ ]
0 ∞
1 𝑥 (1+𝑡 ) 1 𝑥 ( 𝑡 − 1)
= 𝑀 ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=
−∞ 2
𝑒 𝑑𝑥 +
0 2
𝑒 𝑑𝑥
= {( ) ( )}
0 0
1 𝑒 𝑒
+ −
2 ( 1+𝑡 ) ( 𝑡 −1 )
𝑀 𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=
1
( 2
2 ( 1 −𝑡 2 ) )
Hence, 𝑀 𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=( 1 −𝑡 2 )
−1
for |t|¿1
ii) 𝐸 ( 𝑋 )=𝑀 ❑ ( 0 ) ′
𝑥
❑
𝑑
𝑀 ❑′𝑥 ( 𝑡 )= ❑ ( 𝑀𝑥 𝑡 )
( )
𝑑𝑥
2
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 )=𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 0 ) − ( 𝑀 ❑𝑥 (𝑡 ) )
′ ′ ′
′ 2𝑡
𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )= 2
( 1 −𝑡 2 )
′
𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 0 )=𝐸 ( 𝑋 )=0
′ ′
𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 𝑡 )=
[ ( 1 −𝑡 2) 2 −2 ( 1 −𝑡2 ) ( −2 𝑡 ] ]
4
( 1− 𝑡 2 )
′ ′
𝑀 ❑ ❑𝑥 ( 0 )=2
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 )=2
ii) a)
We have cdf
( )
5
10
𝐹 ( 𝑥 )=1−
( 10+ 𝑥 )
Let, F(x) = r
As we know,
If 𝑈 𝑈𝑛𝑖𝑓𝑜𝑟𝑚 ( 0 , 1 ) then,
−1
𝐹 ( 𝑈 )= 𝑋
So,
( )
5
10
𝑟 =1−
( 10+ 𝑥 )
1
10 5
=( 1 −𝑟 )
10+ 𝑥
𝑟 =10
[ 1
1
−1
( 1 −𝑟 )5 ]
𝑥=10 [ ( 1− 𝑟 )−0.2 −1 ]
If 𝑟 𝑈 ( 0 , 1 )
=> 𝑥=10 [ ( 1− 𝑟 ) −1 ]
−0.2
Then,
1 −𝑟 𝑈 ( 0 , 1 )
c)
𝑟 =0.0016 (given)
𝑥=10 [ ( 𝑟 ) −1 ]
−0.2
Now ,
𝑟 =0.5154
𝑥=10 ( ( 0.5154 )−0.2 −1 )
𝑥=14,175
❑
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=∫ ❑ 𝑓 𝑥 , 𝑦 ( 𝑥 , 𝑦 ) 𝑑𝑥
𝑥
∞
𝑓 𝑥 ( 𝑥 )=∫ ❑𝑒
− ( 𝑥+ 𝑦 )
𝑑𝑦
0
∞
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=∫ ❑ 𝑒
− ( 𝑥+ 𝑦 )
𝑑𝑥
0
− ( 𝑥+ 𝑦 ) ∞
𝑓 𝑥 ( 𝑥 )=− [ 𝑒 0 ]
− ( 𝑥+ 𝑦 ) ∞
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=− [ 𝑒 0 ]
On solving we get ,
−𝑥
𝑓 𝑥 ( 𝑥 )=− 𝑒 , x>0
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=− 𝑒
−𝑦
, y>0
To check whether variables are independent
𝑓 𝑥𝑦 ( 𝑥 , 𝑦 )= 𝑓 𝑥 ( 𝑥 ) 𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )
¿ 𝑒 −𝑥 𝑒− 𝑦 ⇒ 𝑒− (𝑥 +𝑦 )
On solving we get
𝐹𝑥𝑦 ( 𝑥 , 𝑦 )=( 1− 𝑒− 𝑥 ) ( 1− 𝑒− 𝑦 )
❑
𝑃 ( 𝑋 =𝑥 , 𝑌 =2 )
Q8) 𝐸 [ 𝑋 /𝑌 =2 ] =∑ ❑ 𝑋
𝑥 𝑃 ( 𝑌 =2 )
𝑃 ( 𝑋 =0 , 𝑌=2 ) 𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ,𝑌 =2 ) 𝑃 ( 𝑋 =2, 𝑌 =2 )
𝐸 [ 𝑋 /𝑌 =2 ] =0 ⋅ +1 ⋅ +2 ⋅
𝑃 ( 𝑌 =2 ) 𝑃 ( 𝑌 =2 ) 𝑃 ( 𝑌 =2 )
𝑃 (𝑌 =2 )=0.40
0.15 0.20
= 0+ +
0.40 0.40
𝐸 [ 𝑋 /𝑌 =2 ] =0.875
Q9)
[𝑛 1 𝑥 1+𝑛 2 𝑥 2 ]
𝑋=
𝑛 1+𝑛 2
[ 25 ⋅120.2+18 ⋅142.7 ]
𝑋=
25+18
𝜎
2
=
∑ 𝑋 21 𝑖
−𝑥
2
❑ and
1 1
𝑛1
❑
2 ∑ 𝑋 2𝑖
2
2
𝜎 = 2 −𝑥 ❑ 2
𝑛2
2 2
𝜎 1 =58.1
2 2
𝜎 2=62.2
On calculating
❑
∑ 𝑋 21 𝑖=44591.25
❑
∑ 𝑋 22 𝑖=436178.34
❑ ❑
∑ 1 𝑖 ∑ 𝑋 22 𝑖 =480769.59
𝑋
2
+
Now using ,
❑
1
2❑
𝜎 =
𝑛1 +𝑛2
∑ 2
𝑋 𝑖 − 𝑥❑
2
2
𝜎 =3600.93
Hence combined standard deviation is
𝜎 =60.01
Q10)
i) To show for continuous random variable X and Y
𝐸 ( 𝑌 )=𝐸 ( 𝐸 ( 𝑌 / 𝑋 ) )
We know that
❑
𝐸 ( 𝑋 )=∫ 𝑋 . 𝑓 ( 𝑥 ) 𝑑𝑥
So,
( ( )) ( )
❑
𝑌 𝑌
𝐸 𝐸 =∫ 𝐸 . 𝑓 ( 𝑥 ) 𝑑𝑥
𝑋 𝑋
❑
𝐸 ( )=∫ 𝑌 . 𝑓 ( ) 𝑑𝑦
𝑌 𝑦
𝑋 𝑥
[ ( 𝑥) ]
❑
𝐸 ( 𝐸 ( 𝑌 / 𝑋 ) ) =∫ ❑ ∫ 𝑦 𝑓 𝑦 𝑑𝑦 𝑓 ( 𝑥 ) 𝑑𝑥
𝑥 𝑦
𝑓 ( )=
𝑦 𝑓 (𝑥 , 𝑦 )
𝑥 𝑓 (𝑥)
𝑦
∫𝑦
𝐸 ( 𝐸 ( 𝑌 / 𝑋 ) ) =∫ 𝑓 ( 𝑥 , 𝑦 ) 𝑑𝑥 𝑑𝑦=𝐸 ( 𝑌 )
𝑥
Hence,
𝐸 ( 𝐸 ( 𝑌 / 𝑋 ) ) =𝐸 ( 𝑌 )
𝐸 ( 𝑥2 +1 ) =𝐸 ( 𝑥2 ) +1
2
𝐸 ( 𝑥 ) =𝑉 ( 𝑥 )+ [ 𝐸 ( 𝑥 ) ]
2
𝑋 𝑁 (0 , 1)
=> 𝐸 ( 𝑋 ) =1 2
𝐸 ( 𝑥2 +1 ) =2=𝐸 ( 𝑌 )
NOW ,
( ( ))
𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑌 )=𝐸 𝑉𝐴𝑅
𝑌
𝑋
+❑❑ 𝑉𝐴𝑅 𝐸
𝑌
𝑋 ( ( ))
𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑌𝑋 )=𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑔 ( 𝑥 ) )=𝑉𝐴𝑅 (𝑥 +1) 2
Solving we get
𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑥 2) =2
𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑌 )=2+2=4
Hence
𝐸 ( 𝑌 )=2
𝑉𝐴𝑅 ( 𝑌 )=4
Q11) 𝑋 ∼ 𝑃𝑜𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑜𝑛 ( 𝑌 )
𝑌 ∼ 𝐿𝑜𝑔𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑙 ( 𝜇, 𝜎 2)
𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣𝑌 =𝑦 )=𝑦
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 = 𝑦 )=𝑦
𝐸 [ 𝑋 ]=𝐸 [ 𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ]
𝐸 [ 𝑋 ]=𝐸 [ 𝑌 ]
𝑆𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑒 𝑌 ∼ 𝐿𝑜𝑔𝑛𝑜𝑟𝑚𝑎𝑙 ( 𝜇 , 𝜎 2 )
2
𝜎
𝜇+
𝐸 [ 𝑌 ]=𝑒 2
=𝐸[𝑋]
𝐸 [ 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ] =𝐸 [ 𝑌 ]
2
𝜎
𝜇+
𝐸 [ 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ] =𝐸 [ 𝑌 ] =𝑒 2
2
𝜎
𝜇+
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 )=𝐸 [ 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ] + 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣ 𝑌 ) ) =𝑒 + (𝑒 − 1 ) 𝑒
2 2
2 𝜎 2 𝜇+𝜎
𝑌 ∼ 𝑁 ( 200,100 )
𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣𝑌 =𝑦 )=2 𝑦
2
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 = 𝑦 )=𝑦
𝐸 [ 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ] =𝐸 [ 𝑌 2 ]
𝐸 [ 𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) ] =40100
NOW,
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) )=𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 2 𝑌 )
𝑉𝑎𝑟 ( 𝐸 [ 𝑋 ∣𝑌 ) )=400
𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ) =0.25
𝑃 (𝑌 =2 )=0.3
𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ) . 𝑃 ( 𝑌 =2 ) ≠ 𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ,𝑌 =2 )
𝑃 ( 𝑅=2 )= 𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ,𝑌 =2 )=0.05
𝑃 ( 𝑅=4 )= 𝑃 ( 𝑋 =0 , 𝑌 =1 )=0.3
𝑃 ( 𝑅=9 )=𝑃 ( 𝑋 =0 , 𝑌 =0 )=0.2
𝑃 ( 𝑅=18 ) =𝑃 ( 𝑋 =1 ,𝑌 =0 )=0.1
IV) Expectation of R
❑
𝐸 ( 𝑅 )=𝑟 ∑ 𝑟 ⋅ 𝑃 ( 𝑅=𝑟 )
𝐸 ( 𝑅 )=5.15
Q14) 2
𝑓 𝑥𝑦 ( 𝑥 , 𝑦 )=𝑘 𝑥 𝑦 , 0< 𝑥< 𝑦 <1
2
1 𝑦
∫∫ 𝑘 𝑥 2 𝑦 2 𝑑𝑥 𝑑𝑦=1
0 0
1 5
𝑦
∫𝑘 3
𝑑𝑦 =1
0
𝑘
=1
18
𝑘=18
ii) find 𝑓 𝑦( 𝑦)
𝑦
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=∫ ❑ 18 𝑥 𝑦 𝑑𝑥
2 2
18 5 5
𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )= 𝑦 =6 𝑦
3
Hence, 𝑓 𝑦 ( 𝑦 )=6 𝑦
5
iii) 𝑃 ( 𝑌𝑋=0.75
> 0.5
)
0.75
𝑃 ( 𝑋 > 0.5
=∫ 𝑓 𝑥)
𝑌 =0.75 0.5 0.75
𝑥
0.75
𝑑𝑥 ( )
𝑓 (𝑥 ,𝑦 )
𝑓 𝑥
𝑦
( ) 𝑥
𝑦
= 𝑥𝑦
𝑓 𝑦 (𝑦)
( )
2 2
𝑥 18 𝑥 𝑦
𝑓 𝑥 =
𝑦 𝑦 6𝑦
5
0.75
( )
2
𝑋 > 0.5 3𝑥
𝑃 =∫ 𝑑𝑥
𝑌 =0.75 0.5 0.753
( )
3 3
𝑋 > 0.5 3 0.75 − 0.5
𝑃 = ⋅
𝑌 =0.75 0.75 3
3