Probability MA
Probability MA
com
1.
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2. A factory buys 10% of its components from supplier A, 30% from supplier B and the rest
from supplier C. It is known that 6% of the components it buys are faulty.
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3. A biased spinner can only land on one of the numbers 1, 2, 3 or 4. The random variable X
5.
represents the number that the spinner lands on after a single spin and P(X = r) = P(X = r + 2)
for r = 1, 2
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The random variable Y =
X
(c) Find P(Y – X 4)
(3)
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Question 5 continued
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2.4. The Venn diagram shows three events, A, B and C, and their associated probabilities.
0
z x
0.39
0.06
C
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Question 2 continued
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6.
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7.
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1. 8.
A B
0.1 C
0.2 0.2
0.2
The Venn diagram, where p is a probability, shows the 3 events A, B and C with their
associated probabilities.
(a) Find the value of p.
(1)
(b) Write down a pair of mutually exclusive events from A, B and C.
(1)
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9. Two bags, A and B, each contain balls which are either red or yellow or green.
5.
Bag A contains 4 red, 3 yellow and n green balls.
Bag B contains 5 red, 3 yellow and 1 green ball.
A ball is selected at random from bag A and placed into bag B.
A ball is then selected at random from bag B and placed into bag A.
The probability that bag A now contains an equal number of red, yellow and green balls
is p.
Given that p > 0, find the possible values of n and p.
(5)
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Question 5 continued
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SECTION A: STATISTICS
µ¥i÷¥¥±¥¥÷¥ me
(b) Using this model, find the probability that cloud cover is less than 50%
(1)
Helen used all the data from the large data set for Hurn in 2015 and found that the
proportion of days with cloud cover of less than 50% was 0.315
(c) Comment on the suitability of Helen’s model in the light of this information.
(1)
(d) Suggest an appropriate refinement to Helen’s model.
(1)
÷÷÷÷÷÷:µµ÷µf
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" """ " "
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0-8 ( outas)
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" """ " "" " " " " "
µ
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=
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"
|
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+
}?
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cower than expected
suggesting
, Helen's model isn't
MM
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%
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"" " "" """ "" "" " " "" " " "
" "" "
µµ
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use a non
uniform distribution instead
-
① .
-
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1÷÷÷÷÷÷..-o→B
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,
11.
132
521-52+28=132 ,g
=
3346 ①
:÷÷÷÷÷÷÷÷:→eoBoe•:
µ
-
*
Part d 10.821 ) differs from perf (a) and I b) lil 1=0.7 ) ①
therefore Magali 's model
may H¥É%¥Y¥desa
Hsmt.br#BffgfER--g-g@-
qo-dodgg.BG
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12.
4. The discrete random variable D has the following probability distribution
µg
d 10 20 30 40 50
k k k k k
P (D = d )
10 20 30 40 50
where k is a constant.
600
(a) Show that the value of k is
137
(2)
The random variables D1 and D2 are independent and each have the same distribution as D.
"÷→⑨µµ
(b) Find P (D1 + D2 = 80)
Give your answer to 3 significant figures.
(3)
AIR
A single observation of D is made.
µ
b) 40+40=80
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or 50+30=80
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Multiplication
Ditto Ditto for ygnd a) ,
✗
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,
. . .. . . . . ...
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D. 30,172=50 ①
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www.go.p#.y,a.,y.gy..p,,.,.a.,..so,.p,,.g,.,,.g ,,
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=/ Fox :-O)+st%×%)+l¥o×¥o)=¥o+¥oo+¥oo
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①
=¥¥, ;%:
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sonar
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0.0375619 ) 0.037613g ①
=
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. . .
=
_⑨②__--oÉ-
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µ
Question 4 continued
if
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µµg
Possible cases :
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c)
leta-firsbtermunseqnescesuh.ee?at3d-
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180
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µ
atatdi.at?dtat3d- 360 ① Zat 3401=180
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M⑧
4a+6d=360y÷
2a+3d -180
,
29=180-30
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*
29=150
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① Meets
a. zag Amazon
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a > 50
Foa > 50
only possible cases (see )→ when d. 20
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working
⑧µ
}
291-31207=180
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d. 10,9=75 ord -20,9=60
① 2a= / 80-60
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600
Za :/ 20
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field
Submit
:D asso
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✓
,
µp
meets
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condition
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password
-207--1%+2%1=(3-1)--9%10 a > 50
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when d- 30
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Zai 31307=180
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-
Za -480-90
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20-90
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a. 45
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{
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a.n.ma.a.o.mn .
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asdnopantbryinga.my
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at Suna as
more
for
possibilities
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⑧-②-__-__-B_
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13.
6. The discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution
x a b c
P(X = x) log36 a log36 b log36 c
where
• a, b and c are distinct integers (a < b < c)
• all the probabilities are greater than zero
(a) Find
(i) the value of a
(ii) the value of b
(iii) the value of c
Show your working clearly.
(5)
The independent random variables X1 and X2 each have the same distribution as X
(b) Find P( X1 = X2 )
(2)
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1. (a) State one disadvantage of using quota sampling compared with simple random
14.
sampling.
(1)
In a university 8% of students are members of the university dance club.
A random sample of 36 students is taken from the university.
The random variable X represents the number of these students who are members of the dance club.
(b) Using a suitable model for X, find
(i) P(X = 4)
(ii) P(X 7)
(3)
Only 40% of the university dance club members can dance the tango.
(c) Find the probability that a student is a member of the university dance club and can
dance the tango.
(1)
A random sample of 50 students is taken from the university.
(d) Find the probability that fewer than 3 of these students are members of the
university dance club and can dance the tango.
(2)
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Question 1 continued.
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