Advisory Modelling Test Completed
Advisory Modelling Test Completed
Timing
Acquistion Date 31-Dec-22
Valuation Period 20
Exit Date 31-Dec-42
Transaction Assumptions
Target Equity IRR 11.0%
Exit multiple 10.00 x EBITDAx
Operating Assumptions
Revenues
Tons 2022 3,500,000 #
Tons annual growth 1.0% p.a.
Revenues per ton 5 in € 2022
Revenues per ton growth - p.a. in real terms
Costs
Costs per ton of volume 1.75 in € 2022
Costs YoY variation 0.2% p.a. in real terms
Capex
Annual Capex 5.0% of the nominal revenues
Debt Assumptions
Acquisition Facility
Margins 2.50%
Base rate 2.00% 5-year forward 20-year swap rate
4.0 5.0
50.0% 100.0%
20-year swap rate
0.019
Project Dr. Evil Constant
Timing
Period End Date
Year Year
Year Count Count
Transaction Period 31-Dec-22
Terminal Period Flag 20
Operating Period Flag
Operations
Price
Base Price Euro/Ton 5.00
Index for Real Price Index 0.00%
Index for Inflation Index 2.50%
Applied Price Euro/Ton
Revenues Euro
Operating Expense
Base Operating Expense Euro 1.75
Index for Real Growth Index 0.20%
Index for Inflation Index 2.50%
Appled Cost per Ton Euro/Ton
EBITDA Euro
EBITDA Euro
Less: Depreciation Euro
EBIT Euro
Operating Taxes Euro 20.00%
Free Cash Flow
EBITDA Euro
Less: Cap Exp Euro
Less: Operating Taxes Euro
Add: Terminal Value (no taxes) Euro
FCFF Euro
EV Euro 114,880,572
Net Cash Flow Euro
Sources
Debt Issue Euro 5.00
Equity Issue Euro
Total Sources Euro
Re-finance Facility
Re-finanance Period Flag 5
Re-finance Repayment Flag 5
Repayment Counter Counter
Repayment Flag Flag 15
Debt to EBITDA x 5
Interest Euro
Fees Euro 853,125
Amortisation Rate % 5
Fee Amortization Euro
Re-financing Facility
EBITDA Euro
Interest Euro
Taxes Paid
EBITDA
Less: Depreciation
Less: Interest
Less; Amortisation of Fee
EBT
Cash Flow
EBTIDA
Less: Cap Exp
Add: Terminal Value
Less: Taxes Paid
Operating Cash Flow
Cash Sweep
Less: Repaymen of Acquisison - Schedule
DSCR
CFADS
Debt Service
DSCR
Annual Yield
Equity Issued 94,983,697
Dividends
Yield
Total Debt
Sensitivity Table
EV Disc
Sum Equity IRR 11.00%
- - - -
114,880,572 - - -
2,000,000 - - -
853,125
34,125,000 - - -
151,858,697 - - -
56,875,000 - - -
94,983,697 - - -
151,858,697 - - -
0 1 1 1
1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
0.00% 1.75% 1.75% 2.00%
1.25% 3.00% 3.00% 3.25%
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0
15 0 0 0 0
- - - -
- - - -
64,000,960 - - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
960,014 - - - -
- - - -
- - - -
960,014 - - - -
- - - -
- 1,706,250 1,706,250 1,848,438
- - - -
- - - -
- - - -
- 9,756,372 9,956,569 10,047,743
- - - 2,511,936
- - - -
1 2 3
56,875,000 56,875,000 56,875,000 54,363,064
Terminal Value
120,055,177 8.00 8.50 9.00 9.50
10.00%
10.50%
11.00%
11.50%
12.00%
12.50%
13.00%
31-Dec-26 31-Dec-27 31-Dec-28 31-Dec-29 31-Dec-30
2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
4 5 6 7 8
- - - - -
- - - - -
1 1 1 1 1
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
1 1 0 0 0
1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
2.00% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
3.25% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
0 1 0 0 0
0 0 1 1 1
0 0 1 2 3
0 0 1 1 1
- 5.00 - - -
1,766,799.59 1,845,062.15 - - -
853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125
20.00% 20.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
170,625 170,625 - - -
- 960,014 - - -
- - 960,014 960,014 960,014
- - 0.07 0.07 0.07
- - 64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96
- 960,014.39 - - -
1,766,800 1,845,062 - - -
- - 2,880,043 2,808,042 2,736,041
- - 1,600,024 1,600,024 1,600,024
- 64,000,960 - - -
10,322,814 73,515,858 8,245,355 8,527,915 8,815,780
5,161,407 49,201,657 - - -
- - - - -
4 5 6 7 8
49,201,657 64,000,960 62,400,936 60,800,912 59,200,888
10.00
31-Dec-31 31-Dec-32 31-Dec-33 31-Dec-34 31-Dec-35
2031 2032 2033 2034 2035
9 10 11 12 13
- - - - -
- - - - -
1 1 1 1 1
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
0 0 0 0 0
1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
0 0 0 0 0
1 1 1 1 1
4 5 6 7 8
1 1 1 1 1
- - - - -
- - - - -
853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
- - - - -
- - - - -
960,014 960,014 960,014 960,014 960,014
0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96
- - - - -
- - - - -
2,664,040 2,592,039 2,520,038 2,232,033 1,944,029
1,600,024 1,600,024 6,400,096 6,400,096 6,400,096
- - - - -
9,109,074 9,407,924 4,912,388 5,395,544 5,884,656
- - - - -
- - - - -
9 10 11 12 13
57,600,864 56,000,840 49,600,744 43,200,648 36,800,552
31-Dec-36 31-Dec-37 31-Dec-38 31-Dec-39 31-Dec-40
2036 2037 2038 2039 2040
14 15 16 17 18
- - - - -
- - - - -
1 1 1 1 1
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
- - - - -
0 0 0 0 0
1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25% 1.25%
2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50% 2.50%
3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75% 3.75%
0 0 0 0 0
1 1 1 1 1
9 10 11 12 13
1 1 1 1 1
- - - - -
- - - - -
853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125 853,125
0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
- - - - -
- - - - -
960,014 960,014 960,014 960,014 960,014
0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07 0.07
64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96 64,000.96
- - - - -
- - - - -
1,656,025 1,368,021 1,094,416 820,812 547,208
6,400,096 6,080,091 6,080,091 6,080,091 6,080,091
- - - - -
6,379,860 7,201,305 5,030,940 5,533,771 6,043,284
- - - - -
- - - - -
14 15 16 17 18
30,400,456 24,320,365 18,240,273 12,160,182 6,080,091
31-Dec-41 31-Dec-42
2041 2042
19 20
- -
- 1
1 1
3,500,000 3,500,000
1.00 1.00
3,500,000 3,500,000
5.00 5.00
1.00 1.00
1.60 1.64
7.99 8.19
27,976,378 28,675,788
1.75 1.75
1.04 1.04
1.60 1.64
2.91 2.98
10,170,592 10,445,707
17,805,786 18,230,081
- 182,300,809
1,398,819 1,433,789
200,000,000 200,000,000
6.67% 6.67%
0 0
- -
17,805,786 18,230,081
- -
17,805,786 18,230,081
3,561,157 3,646,016
17,805,786 18,230,081
(1,398,819) (1,433,789)
(3,561,157) (3,646,016)
- 182,300,809
12,845,810 195,451,084
- -
12,845,810 195,451,084
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
0 0
1.25% 1.25%
2.50% 2.50%
3.75% 3.75%
0.00% 0.00%
0 0
1 1
14 15
1 1
- -
2.00% 2.00%
2.50% 2.50%
4.50% 4.50%
9.50% 0.00%
1.50% 1.50%
0 0
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
- -
853,125 853,125
0.00% 0.00%
- -
17,805,786 18,230,081
6,080,091 -
- -
6,080,091 -
- -
273,604.10 -
- -
960,014 960,014
0.07 0.07
64,000.96 64,000.96
17,805,786 18,230,081
- -
273,604 -
64,001 64,001
17,468,181 18,166,080
3,493,636 3,633,216
17,805,786 18,230,081
1,398,819 1,433,789
- 182,300,809
3,493,636 3,633,216
12,913,331 195,463,885
- -
- -
273,604 (0)
6,080,091 -
- -
6,559,636 195,463,885
- -
- -
6,559,636 195,463,885
6,559,636 195,463,885
6,559,636 195,463,885
- -
6,559,636 195,463,885
12,845,810 195,451,084
12,913,331 13,163,076
6,353,695 (0)
19 20
2.03 -
94,983,697 94,983,697
6,559,636 195,463,885
19 20
6.91%
19 20
(0) (0)
Project Dr. Evil
EV to Equity Bridge
Enterprise Value 114,880,572
Less: Acquisition Debt (56,875,000)
Add: Repaid Debt 34,125,000
Less: Fees 2,853,125
Equity Consideration 94,983,697
Uses
Enterprise Value 114,880,572
Add: Advisory Fees 2,000,000
Add: Debt Fees 853,125
Add: Repayment of Existing Debt 34,125,000
Total Uses 151,858,697
Total Debt
70,000,000
60,000,000
50,000,000
s
40,000,000
30,000,000
20,000,000
10,000,000
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
(10,000,000)
DSCR
8.00
7.00
6.00
5.00
4.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
-
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Yield
30.00%
25.60%
25.00%
20.00%
15.00%
10.27%10.48%
9.59%9.90%
10.00% 8.68%8.98%9.28%
7.93% 7.58%
6.20%6.72% 6.36%6.91%
5.43% 5.17%5.68% 5.30%5.83%
5.00%
0.00%
16 17 18 19 20 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
18 19 20