Pi-Principles 2043
Pi-Principles 2043
PRINCIPLES
FOR EFFECTIVE
PORTFOLIO
CONSTRUCTION
A DISCIPLINED APPROACH
TO BUILDING STRONGER
PORTFOLIOS
AS WE’VE TRANSITIONED INTO A NEW MARKET CYCLE, IT HAS NEVER
Asset allocation has historically been the primary driver of a portfolio’s performance and risk.
Answering these questions will determine how to properly allocate across asset classes and
help investors achieve their goals.
What are your goals? When will you need the money?
COLLEGE RETIREMENT
STRATEGIC ASSET
ALLOCATION MODELS*
BUYING HOME EQUITY / FIXED INCOME
LOW HIGH
*10-year historical results as of 12/31/2020. Source: Bloomberg Barclays, Merrill Lynch, Morgan Stanley, MSCI, Russell, J.P. Morgan Asset Management Multi-Asset Solutions. U.S. large cap: Russell
1000 Growth Index® & Russell 1000 Value Index®; U.S. mid/small cap: Russell 2500 Index®; U.S. REITs: Morgan Stanley REIT Index; developed markets equity: MSCI® EAFE Index; emerging markets
equity: MSCI Emerging Markets IndexSM; U.S. investment grade: Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Index; U.S. high yield: Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Bond
Index; emerging markets debt: J.P. Morgan EMBI Global Index. The model performance shown is hypothetical and for illustrative purposes only and does not represent the
performance of a specific investment product. The performance presented does not reflect the deduction of expenses associated with a fund, such as investment management fees and fund
expenses, including sales charges if applicable. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. For illustrative purposes only.
Diversification works
The last 15 years have provided a volatile and tumultuous ride for investors, with a global
financial crisis, numerous geopolitical conflicts, a global pandemic and two major market
downturns.
Yet despite these difficulties, a well-diversified portfolio of stocks and bonds has weathered the
market ups and downs. Utilizing a balanced asset allocation can smooth out the ride for clients,
which will help keep them invested. And the key to any good investment plan is being able to
stay invested, to ultimately achieve your long-term goals.
Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not eliminate the risk of loss. Diversification among investment options and asset classes may help to reduce overall volatility.
EM High Small Fixed High Large Large Large High DM Fixed EM Small
Comdty. Cash REITs REITs
Equity Yield Cap Income Yield Cap Cap Cap Yield Equity Income Equity Cap
32.6% 16.2% 1.8% 59.4% 26.9% 7.8% 19.6% 32.4% 13.7% 1.4% 14.3% 25.6% 0.0% 28.7% 18.7% 8.9% 23.1%
DM DM Asset DM EM High EM DM Fixed Fixed Large Large Small Large High Small
REITs
Equity Equity Alloc. Equity Equity Yield Equity Equity Income Income Cap Cap Cap Cap Yield Cap
26.9% 11.6% -25.4% 32.5% 19.2% 3.1% 18.6% 23.3% 6.0% 0.5% 12.0% 21.8% -4.0% 25.5% 18.4% 7.5% 22.6%
Large Fixed Small Small Large Small High Small DM EM Asset Large Asset DM EM
Cash Comdty.
Cap Income Cap Cap Cap Cap Yield Cap Equity Equity Alloc. Cap Alloc. Equity Equity
15.8% 7.0% -33.8% 27.2% 15.1% 0.1% 16.3% 7.3% 4.9% -0.4% 11.6% 14.6% -4.4% 19.5% 8.3% 6.9% 18.8%
Asset Large Large High Asset Large Asset High Asset EM Fixed Asset Large
Comdty. REITs Cash REITs
Alloc. Cap Cap Yield Alloc. Cap Alloc. Yield Alloc. Equity Income Alloc. Cap
15.3% 5.5% -35.6% 26.5% 14.8% -0.7% 16.0% 2.9% 0.0% -2.0% 8.6% 10.4% -5.8% 18.9% 7.5% 6.7% 16.7%
High Large Asset Asset Small Asset High High Asset Small High High DM High
Cash Cash REITs
Yield Cap Alloc. Alloc. Cap Alloc. Yield Yield Alloc. Cap Yield Yield Equity Yield
13.7% 4.8% -37.0% 25.0% 13.3% -4.2% 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% -2.7% 8.3% 8.7% -11.0% 12.6% 7.0% 5.0% 12.2%
EM EM EM
Comdty. REITs Cash Cash Comdty. Comdty. Comdty. Comdty. Cash Cash Cash REITs Comdty. Cash
Equity Equity Equity
2.1% -15.7% -53.2% 0.1% 0.1% -18.2% -1.1% -9.5% -17.0% -24.7% 0.3% 0.8% -14.2% 2.2% -5.1% -4.0% 0.8%
Source: Barclays, Bloomberg, FactSet, MSCI, NAREIT, Russell, Standard & Poor’s, J.P. Morgan Asset Management.
Large cap: S&P 500, Small cap: Russell 2000, EM Equity: MSCI EME, DM Equity: MSCI EAFE, Comdty: Bloomberg Commodity Index, High Yield: Bloomberg Barclays Global HY Index, Fixed
Income: Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate, REITs: NAREIT Equity REIT Index, Cash: Bloomberg Barclays 1-3m Treasury. The “Asset Allocation” portfolio assumes the following weights: 25%
in the S&P 500, 10% in the Russell 2000, 15% in the MSCI EAFE, 5% in the MSCI EME, 25% in the Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate, 5% in the Bloomberg Barclays 1-3m Treasury, 5% in the
Bloomberg Barclays Global High Yield Index, 5% in the Bloomberg Commodity Index and 5% in the NAREIT Equity REIT Index. Balanced portfolio assumes annual rebalancing. Annualized
(Ann.) return and volatility (Vol.) represents period from 12/31/05 to 12/31/20. Please see disclosure page at end for index definitions. All data represents total return for stated period. The
“Asset Allocation” portfolio is for illustrative purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future returns.
Guide to the Markets – U.S. Data are as of December 31, 2020.
7 DISCIPLINED APPRO AC H TO BUILDING STR ONGER PORTFOLI OS
PRINCIPLES FOR EFFECTIVE PORTFOLIO CONSTRUCTION
51%
60%
Equity
Equity
JANUARY MARCH
1st, 2020 20th, 2020
40%
49%
Bond
Bond
KEY TAKEAWAYS
24% of investors’ managing portfolios didn’t rebalance at all during the COVID-19 volatility1
Now is a good time to rebalance back to your strategic asset allocation and consider:
Maintain portfolio protection – consider lower beta equities or equity alternatives
Capitalize on the volatility – consider asset classes that may be undervalued like value and international equities
Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management. Stocks measured by MSCI ACWI, bonds measured by Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index. Indices are used for illustrative purposes only, are
unmanaged, include the reinvestment of dividends, and do not reflect the impact of management or performance fees. Indices do not represent actual individual accounts. One cannot invest
directly in an index. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
1 BlackRock Investments, LLC, May 2020.
1. People—Who’s managing the strategy? What are their experiences and capabilities?
2. Philosophy—What is the strategy trying to achieve? For example, is it seeking
long-term growth? Current income? A combination of both?
3. Process—How does the strategy pursue its objectives and invest shareholder money?
4. Performance—When would this strategy likely underperform/outperform? How much
risk was taken relative to returns?
What is the process for identifying and selecting investments for your portfolios?
PEOPLE PHILOSOPHY
Who manages the strategy? What are the core investment beliefs?
How long has the current team been in place? What does the strategy seek to do?
What is the team’s experience? How clearly is the investment philosophy
conveyed?
What are the team’s capabilities and resources?
Is this a benchmark-aware or -agnostic
MANAGER approach?
SELECTION
PERFORMANCE PROCESS
What are the appropriate ways to evaluate How does the team invest to meet its
performance? objective?
Is the track record lined to the team and process? What is the strategy’s investment style?
What are the key return/risk drivers? What are the portfolio characteristics?
When would this strategy likely under/outperform? What is the risk management approach?
In the large growth category, for example, the gap between the top and bottom performers was a
sizable 4.36% difference in annual return. Compounded over time, this can have a big impact on a
portfolio’s dollar value and a client’s ability to achieve their goals.
13.43%
♦ 10th percentile
13% 90th percentile
Market cap-weighted ETF
11%
9.84%
9% 9.07% 9.32%
8.65% 8.90%
8.52%
7%
6.28% 6.25% 6.41%
5.56%
5%
4.72%
3.93%
3.40%
3%
1%
Large Value Large Growth Mid-Cap Blend Small-Cap Blend Foreign Large Emerging Options-based
Blend Markets
Source: Morningstar as of 12/31/2020. *Represents average annual portfolio return dispersion between the 10th and 90th percentile over a 15-year period for each Morningstar category
including mutual funds and ETFs. The ETFs listed above are the largest by AUM within their category. World Allocation not shown as it does not currently have any prevalent ETFs with
significant AUM. ETF shares are bought and sold throughout the day on an exchange at market price (not NAV) through a brokerage account, and are not individually redeemed from the fund.
ETFs and Mutual Funds are different investment vehicles. ETFs are funds that trade like other publicly traded securities. Similar to shares of an index mutual fund, each ETF share represents an
ownership interest in an underlying portfolio of securities and other instruments typically intended to track a market index. Unlike shares of a mutual fund, shares of an ETF may bought and
sold intraday. This information is shown for illustrative purposes only, does not reflect actual investment results, is not a guarantee of future results and it not a recommendation. The
performance quoted is past performance and is not a guarantee of future results. Mutual funds are subject to certain market risks. Investment returns and principal value of an investment
will fluctuate so that an investor's shares, when redeemed, may be worth more or less than original cost. Current performance may be higher or lower than the performance data shown.
This page summarizes the ABC’s of investment selection, a simple framework that can be used to gain a
deeper understanding of performance. Along with guidance from a financial professional, they can
help investors assess investments, compare similar strategies and make informed decisions.
Clients
A B C
COST RETURN CONSISTENCY RISK
NET EXPENSE RATIO ALPHA/EXCESS BATTING AVERAGE CAPTURE RATIOS
Cost of ownership for a Reflects a fund’s total Measures the manager’s Percentage of the
Mutual Fund or ETF return above or below a ability to meet or beat the benchmark’s return that
benchmark benchmark consistently was “captured” in rising
and falling markets
This information is shown for illustrative purposes only, does not reflect actual investment results, is not a guarantee of future results and is not a recommendation.
START
with an asset allocation plan
LOOK DIVERSIFY
beyond total returns to smooth out the ride
CHOOSING REBALANCE
the appropriate investment is key to stay the course
This information is shown for illustrative purposes only, does not reflect actual investment results, is not a guarantee of future results and is not a recommendation.
Equities
U.S. Mid/Small Cap Russell 2500
Qualitative insights that encompass macro-thematic insights, business cycle views, non-
US REITs MSCI US REIT
systematic inputs and market dislocations
Quantitative analysis that considers market inefficiencies, intra- and cross-asset class Developed Mkts Equity MSCI EAFE
risk-return models, relative value, market directional strategies and systematic factor
analysis Emerging Market Equity MSCI EM
Strategy Summits and ongoing dialogue in which research and investor teams debate,
U.S. Investment Grade Bloomberg Barclays US Aggregate Bond
challenge and develop the firm’s asset allocation views
Bloomberg Barclays US Corp High Yield 2% Issuer
U.S. High Yield
These views are translated into two series of risk-based model portfolios, one version Cap
Fixed Income
focusing on traditional asset classes and another that includes alternative strategies. Further Emerging Markets Debt JPM EMBI Global Diversified
they range from conservative to aggressive allocations (see following pages for model
portfolio allocation details). Muni Investment Grade Bloomberg Barclays Municipal
Muni High Yield Bloomberg Barclays High Yield Muni
The J.P. Morgan Multi-Asset Solutions Model Portfolios are updated on a quarterly basis and
are rebalanced on a monthly basis. Each portfolio is constructed using a blend of the TIPS Bloomberg Barclays US Treasury US TIPS
underlying asset class indices shown in the table on the right for performance. Additionally
Cash USTREAS T-Bill Auction Ave 3 Mon
Indices or ETFs may be used for portfolio-level data.
Equity Alternatives HFRX Equity Hedge Index
Alternative
Fixed Income Alternative Barclays US Aggregate Bond
*Allocation changes are expressed in percentage point terms and reflect a change in view since the prior Strategy Summit. Percents may not sum to 100% due to rounding. † Strategic
allocations shown in the left column for each model portfolio do not include this quarter’s tactical shifts. The current allocation for a given model would equal the sum of the strategic
allocation plus the tactical shift. Source: J.P. Morgan Asset Management Multi-Asset Solutions; assessments are made using data and information up to March 2021. For illustration purposes
only. Allocation percentages are subject to market and economic conditions and may be changed without notice. Diversification does not guarantee investment returns and does not
eliminate the risk of loss. Diversification among investment options and asset classes may help to reduce overall volatility.