BASF India
BASF India
Employee Cost 347 328 322 351 376 363 345 381 392 392.14 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3%
Selling and admin 492 576 527 592 614 519 509 660 758 762.97 10% 12% 10% 11% 10% 7% 5% 5% 6% 6%
Other Expenses 85 108 97 75 79 113 142 126 132 107.68 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% Chart of Op.EBIT Margin
Depreciation 142 163 169 153 147 181 174 171 182 191.21 188 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1%
Operating Profit (Op. EBIT) -9.06 -55.75 102.29 192.49 17.57 97.77 458.92 740.83 504.56 698.70 742 Op.EBIT Margin 0% -1% 2% 3% 0% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5%
Marginal Income Tax Rate 34.61% 34.61% 34.61% 35.00% 30.00% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17% 25.17%
MARGINAL INCOME TAX DATA
GROWTH ANALYSIS Source KPMG for the years from 2011 until 2019
SALES Op. EBIT PAT from FY20 onwards, it is assumed that domestic companies will take advantage of Section 115BAA
9 Year CAGR 12.67% -262.06% -226.71% Mar-11 32.44%
7 Year CAGR 15.33% 31.59% -269.30% Mar-12 32.45%
5 Year CAGR 17.97% 108.88% 47.13% Mar-13 33.99%
3 Year CAGR 12.93% 15.04% 0.64% Mar-14 33.99%
TTM CAGR 11.37% 6.16% 8.92% Mar-15 34.61%
Mar-16 34.61%
Mar-17 34.61%
DEBT & SOLVENCY RATIOS Mar-18 35.00%
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 Mar-19 30.00%
Debt 1,600 1,349 1,275 868 912 822 286 122 106 156 Mar-20 25.17%
Equity 1,162 1,116 1,102 1,344 1,413 1,244 1,786 2,336 2,701 3,224 Mar-21 25.17%
Mar-22 25.17%
Debt Coverage Ratios (Lower is Better) Mar-23 25.17%
Debt/Equity Ratio 1.4 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Debt/EBITDA 12.0 12.6 4.7 2.5 5.5 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.2
Interest Expense / Debt 6% 11% 11% 13% 9% 10% 13% 14% 13% 10%
- Interest -148.06 -141.64 -112.96 -85.11 -83.45 -37.57 -17.47 -13.91 -15.53
+ Tax Benefit from Interest (Int x Tax) 51.24 49.02 39.54 25.53 21.00 9.46 4.40 3.50 3.91
- Debt Repayment -251 -75 -407 - -90 -536 -164 -16 -
+ New Debt - - - 45 - - - - 50
FREE CASH FLOW TO EQUITY (FCFE) -282 -76 -273 -119 228 -147 -15 371 642 165.7 3,355.5 -655.7 2,420 165.7%
Total CFO - Int Tax Shield 3,148 (Cum CFO - Interest)/Cum PAT 166% (ideally, should be more than 75%. Higher the better)
- Total Capex -926
TOTAL FCFF 2,222 Cum FCFF/Cum EBIAT 98%
(Payout Ratio)
- Total Interest + Int Tax Benefit -448
Total FCFE through operations 1,774
VALUATION MULTIPLES
Based on Equity Value
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
No. of shares (in crores) 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
EPS -15 -7 -3 57 19 5 128 137 93 130 142
Stock Price 1,121 878 1,371 1,923 1,481 1,125 2,070 3,093 2,276 3,337 4,416 1/(P/E) Current Bond Yield
P / ETTM Not App Not App Not App 33.8 78.4 213.0 16.2 22.5 24.5 25.6 31.2 3% 10% no margin of safety
Book Value / Share 268.4 257.7 254.6 310.4 326.3 287.3 412.5 539.5 623.8 744.5 744.5
P/B 4.2 3.4 5.4 6.2 4.5 3.9 5.0 5.7 3.6 4.5 5.9
EBITDA 172 281 298 527 304 274 1,051 948 739 966 1,028
EV / EBITDATTM 46.0 18.3 24.1 17.4 24.0 20.4 8.6 14.1 13.0 14.5
EV / Sales 1.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.2 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.7 1.0
DIVIDENDS
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
Dividends (Rs crores) 17 4 4 13 22 13 43 26 35 65
% RETURN IF YOU PURCHASED THE STOCK IN THE PAST AND SOLD IT TODAY
INPUT Date of Purchase Mar/20
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24 2.3.25
Stock Bought - - - - - -1,125 - - - -
Dividends - - - - - 3.0 10.0 6.0 8.0 15.0
Stock Sold 4,416
Total - - - - - -1,122 10 6 8 15 4,416
IRR 32.5%
NOTE: The IRR calculated above DOES NOT account for buybacks, if any, by a company
Free CF yield / Acquirer's multiple Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
FCFF - 66 92 207 -104 381 417 162 397 604
EV 7,926 5,146 7,185 9,187 7,310 5,594 9,075 13,388 9,592 13,981
FCFF / EV 0% 1% 1% 2% -1% 7% 5% 1% 4% 4%
Acquirer's multiple -874.79 -92.30 70.24 47.73 416.04 57.22 19.77 18.07 19.01 20.01
Fragility Scorecard
Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18 Mar-19 Mar-20 Mar-21 Mar-22 Mar-23 Mar-24
Total equity 1162.06 1116.01 1102.26 1343.88 1412.89 1243.98 1786.15 2336.08 2701.18 3223.58
Total liabilities 4167.87 3776.56 3874.55 3846.36 3849.48 4829.89 5144.11 6109.93 6564.63 7232.96
Equity as % total liabilities 28% 30% 28% 35% 37% 26% 35% 38% 41% 45% [Higher the better]
Interest + Depreciation 237.98 311.15 310.67 266.35 232.2 264.31 211.49 188.04 195.99 206.74
Operating profit % 0% -1% 2% 3% 0% 1% 5% 6% 4% 5% 5.08% 683.17
Break even sales -123606.70693157 -26505.905749 15408.703536 7725.79661281 79633.4988 20531.02335686 4404.89263183125 3325.0182 5300.1396708 4073.69231 15.53
Actual sales 4,706 4,749 5,073 5,583 6,026 7,595 9,558 13,100 13,645 13,767 698.70
Break even sales as % of sales -2627% -558% 304% 138% 1322% 270% 46% 25% 39% 29.59% [Lower the better]
ROIC 0% -2% 6% 9% 1% 12% 17% 30% 18% 27% [Higher the better]
Cash from operating activities -96 199 221 290 -77 572 483 330 531 807
Interest + Depreciation 237.98 311.15 310.67 266.35 232.2 264.31 211.49 188.04 195.99 206.74
20% of borrowings 320.04 269.844 254.91 173.538 182.442 164.348 57.172 24.304 21.17 31.214
Yearly debt obligations as a % of cash flow from -0.17 0.34 0.39 0.66 -0.19 1.33 1.80 1.55 2.44 3.39 [Higher the better]
Net Block 1,351 1,289 1,222 1,117 957 965 817 763 793 759 32% 34% 32% 29% 25% 20% 16% 12% 12% 10%
Capital Work in Progress 74 55 33 27 42 23 53 100 19 61 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 0% 1% 2% 0% 1%
Cash & Bank 128 3 25 9 13 100 173 126 367 624 3% 0% 1% 0% 0% 2% 3% 2% 6% 9%
Investments - - - - - - - - - 0 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0%
Inventory 991 808 920 1,019 1,213 1,553 1,536 1,943 2,217 2,116 24% 21% 24% 26% 32% 32% 30% 32% 34% 29%
Receivables 930 1,042 1,069 1,089 1,041 1,421 2,059 2,621 2,345 2,522 22% 28% 28% 28% 27% 29% 40% 43% 36% 35%
Loans & Advances (Manually co 59 76 65 24 33 31 97 25 60 34 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 0% 1% 0%
Other Assets 635 503 540 561 551 737 408 532 764 1,116 15% 13% 14% 15% 14% 15% 8% 9% 12% 15%
TOTAL ASSETS 4,168 3,777 3,875 3,846 3,849 4,830 5,144 6,110 6,565 7,233 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100%
Invested Capital from the Liability Side of Balance Sheet = (Book Value of Equity + Book Value of Debt - Cash)
Invested Capital 2,635 2,462 2,352 2,203 2,312 1,966 1,899 2,331 2,440 2,755
Average Invested Capital 2,548 2,407 2,277 2,257 2,139 1,932 2,115 2,386 2,598
Median Min Max
ROIC (EBIAT / Average Invested Capital) -2% 5% 8% 1% 11% 16% 27% 16% 20% 11% -2% 27%
with DuPont breakup
EBIAT/Sales -1% 2% 3% 0% 3% 3% 4% 3% 4% 3% -1% 4%
Sales/Av Invested Capital 1.9 2.1 2.5 2.7 3.6 4.9 6.2 5.7 5.3 3.6 1.9 6.2
Fixed Asset 1,425 1,344 1,255 1,145 999 988 870 863 812 820
Average Fixed Assets 1,385 1,300 1,200 1,072 994 929 867 837 816
Av Fixed Assets/Sales 29% 26% 21% 18% 13% 10% 7% 6% 6% 13% 6% 29%
Av Fixed Asset Turnover 3.43 3.90 4.65 5.62 7.64 10.29 15.11 16.29 16.87 7.6 3.4 16.9
Average Invested Capital from the Asset Side of Balance Sheet = Average Net Block & CWIP + Average Net Working Capital
Average Invested Capital 2,260 2,075 2,021 1,984 1,866 1,770 1,952 2,056 1,955
Av Fixed Asset Turnover 3.4 3.9 4.7 5.6 7.6 10.3 15.1 16.3 16.87
Av Working Capital Turnover 5.43 6.55 6.80 6.61 8.70 11.37 12.06 11.20 12.08
Average Inventory Days 69 62 63 68 66 59 48 56 57.4 Note: Inventory Days and Payable Days are calculated using Sales & not COGS
Average Receivable Days 76 76 71 64 59 66 65 66 64.5
Average Payable Days 78 82 80 77 84 93 83 89 91.7
Average Working Capital Cycle Days 67 56 54 55 42 32 30 33 30.2
Median Min Max Chart of ROIC Pre-Tax
ROIC Pre-Tax -2% 5% 10% 1% 5% 26% 38% 25% 36% 10% -2% 38%
Effective Tax Rate 0% -13% 6% -14% -131% 34% 22% 26% 26%
ROIC -2% 6% 9% 1% 12% 17% 30% 18% 27% 12% -2% 30%
NOTES:
1) The formula used for breaking up ROIC into its components is given in the adjacent image
2) To correctly calculate ROIC you need to several adjustments such as Identifying operating assets,
Capitalizing Operating & Financial Expenses, removing one-time & extra-ordinary items, adjusting taxes, etc
These adjustments are ESSENTIAL to get a correct measurement of ROIC or any other return such as ROE, ROA,
ROCE, etc. However, to do the same we need more granular level data from the Annual Report
HENCE, ROIC calculated without adjustments are ROUGH ESTIMATES of the actual return
Input ONLY in Cells denoted as:
ROIC ESTIMATOR
Calculate the impact of ROIC of a company using your estimates of margins, tax and capital efficiency ratios
ROIC Pre-Tax ( 1 x 2) 8%
1) Refer to the historical ranges of these inputs so that you make more informed estimates.
It is very much possible that you can have estimates higher/lower than the historical ranges.
But you should have strong reasons for doing so
2) Remember that these historical numbers are without adjustments as stated in the previous tab
NOTES:
1) The adjacent formula is used to convert ROIC (calculated from above) into ROE
capital efficiency ratios
7.6 16.9
48 69
59 76
76.83834 93.32792
-131% 34%
previous tab
Other Income 19 27 37 42 73 51
Interest 4 3 7 5 12 13
Profit before tax 90 139 216 291 466 397
Tax 34 47 77 99 153 138
Net profit 56 91 -39% 139 193 -28% 313 259 21%
EBIT Margin 3% 5% 3% 5% 5% 5%
EBITDA Margin 5% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6%
PAT Margin 1% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2%
Dec-24 Dec-23 Dec-22 Sep-24 Sep-23 Sep-22 Jun-24 Jun-23 Mar-24 Mar-23
Sales 3,759 3,326 2,898 4,248 3,707 3,582 3,967 3,375 3,360 3,277
13% 15% 15% 3% 18% 3%
Operating Profit 123 164 9 156 186 143 266 151 197 87
-25% 1754% -16% 31% 76% 127%
COMPANY NAME BASF INDIA LTD
LATEST VERSION 2.10 PLEAS
CURRENT VERSION 2.10
META
Number of shares 4.33
Face Value 10.00
Current Price 4,416.05
Market Capitalization 19,115.16
Quarters
Report Date Sep-22 Dec-22 Mar-23 Jun-23
Sales 3,581.99 2,898.10 3,276.89 3,374.65
Expenses 3,394.26 2,843.41 3,143.32 3,176.83
Other Income 10.01 11.98 27.47 8.59
Depreciation 45.11 45.86 46.54 46.71
Interest 3.66 2.75 2.27 7.83
Profit before tax 148.97 18.06 112.23 151.87
Tax 35.86 7.42 29.84 39.19
Net profit 113.11 10.64 82.39 112.68
Operating Profit 187.73 54.69 133.57 197.82
BALANCE SHEET
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Equity Share Capital 43.29 43.29 43.29 43.29
Reserves 1,118.77 1,072.72 1,058.97 1,300.59
Borrowings 1,600.20 1,349.22 1,274.55 867.69
Other Liabilities 1,405.61 1,311.33 1,497.74 1,634.79
Total 4,167.87 3,776.56 3,874.55 3,846.36
Net Block 1,351.09 1,288.87 1,222.39 1,117.35
Capital Work in Progress 74.18 55.14 32.86 27.48
Investments
Other Assets 2,742.60 2,432.55 2,619.30 2,701.53
Total 4,167.87 3,776.56 3,874.55 3,846.36
Receivables 930.45 1,042.34 1,068.82 1,088.78
Inventory 990.77 807.58 920.13 1,019.17
Cash & Bank 127.69 3.17 25.10 8.62
No. of Equity Shares 43,284,958.00 43,284,958.00 43,284,958.00 43,284,958.00
New Bonus Shares
Face value 10.00 10.00 10.00 10.00
CASH FLOW:
Report Date Mar-15 Mar-16 Mar-17 Mar-18
Cash from Operating Activity -96.33 198.86 221.07 290.00
Cash from Investing Activity -163.05 199.31 -65.96 158.25
Cash from Financing Activity 372.01 -425.09 -132.99 -464.65
Net Cash Flow 112.63 -26.92 22.12 -16.40
DERIVED:
Adjusted Equity Shares in Cr 4.33 4.33 4.33 4.33
PLEASE DO NOT MAKE ANY CHANGES TO THIS SHEET