Stat Map

OHLC
 HIGH

DISTRIBUTION
CLOSE

EXPANSION

OPEN

MANIPULATION

LUMI LOW
TRADERS

HIGH

MANIPULATION
OPEN

EXPANSION

CLOSE

DISTRIBUTION

LOW
ACCUMULATION

Accumulation is where large institutional players, big banks, etc. known as

"smart money," accumulate/building positions to set up framework for
distribution phase.

During this phase, price action tends to be range-bound, with low volatility
and relatively small price movements.
We can see accumulation (consolidation) above/below or near opening
price.

In Accumulation phase, we see consolidation where a lot of liquidity is

generated and then we see a fake move to clear all the liquidity and then
SMR.

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MANIPULATION

After accumulating positions, smart money moves into the manipulation

phase.

Manipulation is where smart money engineers price moves to create

liquidity. They drive the price to stop-loss levels to create liquidity (taking
out retail stops).

They do this by running price above or below the accumulation phase.

Basically, manipulation is where fake move occurs. As I said, Smart

Money “forces” retail traders to think that price is breaking up/down and
then quickly reverse and expands on the opposite direction.

Here we expect to see Smart Money Reversal.

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DISTRIBUTION

The final phase of Po3 is distribution. This is where smart money distributes
their positions to retail traders and investors.

This is where the true direction of the market is revealed.

During this phase we expect price to expand in the opposing direction of

the manipulation phase.

Quick tip:

Real Distribution is entire leg of MMBM or MMSM. Understanding of real

distribution will help you to trade entire move inside buy or sell program

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The OHLC Stat Map indicator uses statistical data to highlight average
manipulation and distribution levels on charts. These levels can serve as
potential reversal zones, providing opportunities to engage with the
market.

Photo: @junotrading
Manipulation Range: This is the main and initial range, as it’s the first one
where price starts trading. It’s formed by the two manipulation levels, with
the - Manipulation as the top of the range and the + Manipulation as the
bottom.

+ Distribution Range: This is the upper range, which we trade in when price
expands higher. It’s formed by the - Manipulation as the bottom part and
the

+ Distribution as the upper part. - Distribution Range: This is the lower

range, which we trade in when price expands lower. It’s formed by the +
Manipulation as the upper part and the - Distribution as the lower part.

Credit to @junotrading
On bullish candles, everything below the opening price can be considered as
'Manipulation'. At this time, the candle is currently printing bearish and traps
traders into opening short positions or scares out long positions. These two
scenarios create Liquidity for Smart Money to accumulate their long orders.
Everything above the opening price can be considered as distribution on
bullish candles. Typically, the distribution is larger than the manipulation on a
candle, that results in a small wick to the downside and a relatively large
body/wick to the upside.

Everything can be flipped when looking at bearish candles, price above the
opening price can be considered manipulation and price below the opening
price is considered distribution.

The StatMap looks back and calculates, how far bullish or bearish candles
manipulated and distributed and calculates the average manipulation and
distribution range. As soon as a new candle starts, the StatMap then plots
those statistical ranges above and below the opening price, so you quickly
understand how far bullish or bearish candles manipulate or distribute on
average.
Our main task is to understand the bias for the day. We never blindly enter the
trade simply because price touched Manipulation or Distribution level.

Personally I don’t go lower than 4-hour time frame when I build my plan for
the day.

What can help me to understand a potential daily range? Daily and 4-hour
levels! What can help me to understand a potential weekly range? Obviously
weekly levels!

Main range: that’s the first range we start trading within on the Stat Map.
The -M level serves as resistance, preventing price from going higher, and the
+M level acts as support, holding price from falling below.

Plus (+) and Minus (-) Distribution ranges: when price starts trading and
finding consolidation within the upper or lower range, then we shift our focus
and switch roles for the manipulation level, if it was acting as support now it
does as resistance and vice versa.
INDICATOR SETTINGS

Key level that we will use to look for

high probability trade.

We are interested in real daily open.

Daily candle starts at 6PM EST.
 INTRODUCTION

IFVG (Inversion Fair Value Gap): This is an inversion of a traditional Fair

Value Gap (FVG). When a bullish FVG is closed below or a bearish FVG is
closed above, it becomes an IFVG, acting as either resistance or support.

Wait for price to sweep liquidity on the opposite side of the expected move.
If you're looking for a bullish move, wait for sell-side liquidity to be swept,
and vice versa for a bearish move.

Enter trades when the price closes above or below the IFVG, depending on
whether you're looking for a bullish or bearish setup.

We all know that not all IFVGs are equal; we should understand that we use
have certain conditions to consider IFVG as a high probability IFVG, right?

Clear, singular FVGs before the inversion happens.

Liquidity raids or sweeps before the IFVG forms, enhancing the
likelihood of the move.
A context where the market has already shown directional bias,
especially if higher time frame analysis supports the move.

HTF analysis? Let’s talk about this. As we all know we look for HTF PDA to
trade LTF MMXM. So, basically a reaction from Bearish 4-hour SIBI will be a
LTF MMSM with clear 1st stage of distribution and 2nd stage of re-
distribution.

Also, we can use a potential HTF ranges as our HTF level. What do I mean by
this.

When we use Stat Map, we can see that this tool provides us a potential
range based on selected time frame. If we see minor manipulation was
provided right below candle open, this will be a signal of WEAK
manipulation and not completed range. This will be another conditions for
us where we look for IFVG to trade and this will be a case where we will be
interested not in major liquidity sweep but in local to complete the candle
range.
 CURRENT CANDLE
RANGE

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WEAK MANIPULATION
 Why we want to see a strong move below or above 4-hour open before
potential reversal?

RELATION OF HTF AND PO3

Monthly PO3 - Use 4 Hour TF

Weekly PO3 - Use 1 Hour TF
Daily PO3 - Use 15 Minutes TF
4H PO3 - Use 5m TF
1H PO3 - Use 1m TF

Weekly Candle 1-hour chart

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In reality, weak manipulation still a part of accumulation and in order to

complete Po3, we will see a move back to HTF candle open and then we
have 2 scenarios:
We got a strong move off weak manipulation level and took some sort
of key level, at this point a retracement back to 4-hour open will be a
distributions phase and we trade a reversal pattern.
We got a small move off weak manipulation and it failed to take key
level, at this point a retracement to 4-hour open will be a retracement
pattern.
 REVERSAL PATTERN

1-hour OB

1-hour OB

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 RETRACEMENT PATTERN

Daily BISI

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Daily BISI
 Weekly Levels

Weekly Level:
Bearish Bias --> Between Weekly Open and Bearish Manipulation - Wait for
1-hour IFVG. Aim for Weekly Open as a partial and final target will be Bullish
Manipulation.
Bullish Bias --> Between Weekly Open and Bullish Manipulation - Wait for 1-
hour IFVG. Aim for Weekly Open as a partial and final target will be Bearish
Manipulation.

High probability setup will occur after touching a manipulation level!

 Daily Levels

Daily Level:
Bearish Bias --> Between Daily Open and Bearish Manipulation - Wait for
15-minute IFVG. Aim for Daily Open as a partial and final target will be
Bullish Manipulation.
Bullish Bias --> Between Daily Open and Bullish Manipulation - Wait for 15-
minute IFVG. Aim for Daily Open as a partial and final target will be Bearish
Manipulation.

High probability setup will occur after touching a manipulation level!

 4-hour Levels

4-hour Level:
Bearish Bias --> Between 4-hour Open and Bearish Manipulation - Wait for
2/5-minute IFVG. Aim for 4-hour Open as a partial and final target will be
Bullish Manipulation.
Bullish Bias --> Between 4-hour Open and Bullish Manipulation - Wait for
2/5-minute IFVG. Aim for 4-hour Open as a partial and final target will be
Bearish Manipulation.

High probability setup will occur after touching a manipulation level!

 CHART EXAMPLES

ES - Weekly Stat Map

Weekly Level - 1H IFVG

CL - Weekly Stat Map

GC - Weekly Stat Map

BTC - Weekly Stat Map

ES - Daily Stat Map

Daily Level - 15-minute IFVG

NQ - Daily Stat Map

GC- Daily Stat Map

NQ - Daily Stat Map

NQ - 4-hour Stat Map

4H Level -
2-minute IFVG

NQ - 4-hour Stat Map

 NQ - 4-hour Stat Map

2-minute model

Context (HTF bias, trend, candle range).

Reaction from 4-hour manipulation level: if bullish, we want to see
a move to the bullish 4-hour manipulation. If bearish, we want to
see a move to the bearish 4-hour manipulation.
Local liquidity sweep.
SMT (optional).
2-minute IFVG.
Stop is above or below the swing point.
First target always will be 4-hour open. If only 1 contract, then close
your trade there or aggressively trail your stop loss.
Second target is an opposite manipulation or a key level next to
this manipulation level (HTF PDA, TGIF, OTE, etc.).

Setup occurs from 6PM to 10PM, from 10PM to 2AM, from 2AM to 6AM,
from 10AM to 2PM, and from 2PM to 6PM.
LUMI TRADERS