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Real
Econometrics
The Right Tools to Answer
Important Questions
viii CONTENTS
APPENDICES
Math and Probability Background 538
A Summation 538
B Expectation 538
C Variance 539
D Covariance 540
E Correlation 541
F Probability Density Functions 541
G Normal Distributions 543
H Other Useful Distributions 549
I Sampling 551
Further Reading 554 . Key Terms 554 . Computing Corner 554
Bibliography 577
Glossary 587
Index 596
LIST OF FIGURES
1.1 Rule #1 2
1.2 Weight and Donuts in Springfield 4
1.3 Regression Line for Weight and Donuts in Springfield 5
1.4 Examples of Lines Generated by Core Statistical Model (for Review
Question) 7
1.5 Correlation 10
1.6 Possible Relationships between X, , and Y (for Discussion
Questions) 12
1.7 Two Scenarios for the Relationship between Flu Shots and Health 14
3.1 Relationship between Income Growth and Vote for the Incumbent
President’s Party, 1948–2016 46
3.2 Elections and Income Growth with Model Parameters Indicated 51
3.3 Fitted Values and Residuals for Observations in Table 3.1 52
3.4 Four Distributions 55
3.5 Distribution of β̂1 58
3.6 Two Distributions with Different Variances of β̂1 62
3.7 Four Scatterplots (for Review Questions) 64
3.8 Distributions of β̂1 for Different Sample Sizes 66
3.9 Plots with Different Goodness of Fit 73
3.10 Height and Wages 75
3.11 Scatterplot of Violent Crime and Percent Urban 77
3.12 Scatterplots of Crime against Percent Urban, Single Parent, and
Poverty with OLS Fitted Lines 79
xii
LIST OF FIGURES xiii
4.1 Distribution of β̂1 under the Null Hypothesis for Presidential Election
Example 96
4.2 Distribution of β̂1 under the Null Hypothesis with Larger Standard
Error for Presidential Election Example 99
4.3 Three t Distributions 100
4.4 Critical Values for Large-Sample t Tests 102
4.5 Two Examples of p Values 107
4.6 Statistical Power for Three Values of β1 Given α = 0.01 and a
One-Sided Alternative Hypothesis 110
4.7 Power Curves for Two Values of se(β̂1 ) 112
4.8 Tradeoff between Type I and Type II Error 114
4.9 Meaning of Confidence Interval for Example of 0.41 ± 0.196 118
5.1 Monthly Retail Sales and Temperature in New Jersey from 1992 to
2013 128
5.2 Monthly Retail Sales and Temperature in New Jersey with December
Indicated 129
5.3 95 Percent Confidence Intervals for Coefficients in Adult Height,
Adolescent Height, and Wage Models 133
5.4 Economic Growth, Years of School, and Test Scores 142
6.1 Goal Differentials for Home and Away Games for Manchester City
and Manchester United 180
6.2 Bivariate OLS with a Dummy Independent Variable 182
6.3 Scatterplot of Trump Feeling Thermometers and Party Identification 185
6.4 Three Difference of Means Tests (for Review Questions) 186
6.5 Scatterplot of Height and Gender 188
6.6 Another Scatterplot of Height and Gender 189
6.7 Fitted Values for Model with Dummy Variable and Control Variable:
Manchester City Example 192
6.8 Relation between Omitted Variable (Year) and Other Variables 199
6.9 95 Percent Confidence Intervals for Universal Male Suffrage Variable
in Table 6.8 202
6.10 Interaction Model of Salaries for Men and Women 204
6.11 Various Fitted Lines from Dummy Interaction Models (for Review
Questions) 206
xiv LIST OF FIGURES
12.1 Scatterplot of Law School Admissions Data and LPM Fitted Line 412
12.2 Misspecification Problem in an LPM 413
12.3 Scatterplot of Law School Admissions Data and LPM- and
Probit-Fitted Lines 415
12.4 Symmetry of Normal Distribution 419
12.5 PDFs and CDFs 420
12.6 Examples of Data and Fitted Lines Estimated by Probit 424
12.7 Varying Effect of X in Probit Model 427
12.8 Fitted Lines from LPM, Probit, and Logit Models 435
12.9 Fitted Lines from LPM and Probit Models for Civil War Data
(Holding Ethnic and Religious Variables at Their Means) 442
12.10 Figure Included for Some Respondents in Global Warming Survey
Experiment 452
5.1 Bivariate and Multivariate Results for Retail Sales Data 130
5.2 Bivariate and Multiple Multivariate Results for Height and Wages
Data 132
xvii
xviii LIST OF TABLES
9.1 Levitt (2002) Results on Effect of Police Officers on Violent Crime 297
9.2 Influence of Distance on NICU Utilization (First-Stage Results) 306
9.3 Influence of NICU Utilization on Baby Mortality 307
9.4 Regression Results for Models Relating to Drinking and Grades 308
9.5 Price and Quantity Supplied Equations for U.S. Chicken Market 321
9.6 Price and Quantity Demanded Equations for U.S. Chicken Market 322
9.7 Variables for Rainfall and Economic Growth Data 327
9.8 Variables for News Program Data 328
9.9 Variables for Fish Market Data 329
9.10 Variables for Education and Crime Data 331
9.11 Variables for Income and Democracy Data 332
13.1 Using OLS and Lagged Residual Model to Detect Autocorrelation 466
13.2 Example of ρ-Transformed Data (for ρ̂ = 0.5) 470
13.3 Global Temperature Model Estimated by Using OLS, Newey-West,
and ρ-Transformation Models 473
13.4 Dickey-Fuller Tests for Stationarity 484
13.5 Change in Temperature as a Function of Change in Carbon Dioxide
and Other Factors 485
13.6 Variables for James Bond Movie Data 492
CHAP. XV.
Chocolatte being this day used not onely over all the West-India's,
but also in Spain, Italy, and Flanders, with approbation of many
learned Doctors in Physick, among whom Antonio Colmenero of
Ledesma; (who lived once in the India's) hath composed a learned
and curious Treatise concerning the nature and quality of this drink;
I thought fit to insert here also somewhat of it concerning my own
experience for the space of twelve yeers. This name Chocolatte is an
Indian name, and is compounded from Atte, as some say or as
others, Atle, which in the Mexican language signifieth water, & from
the sound which the water (wherein is put the Chocolatte) makes, as
Choco, Choco, Choco, when it is stirred in a cup by an instrument
called a Molinet, or Molinillo, untill it bubble and rise unto a froath.
And as there it is a name compounded, so in English wee may well
call it a compounded or a confectioned drink wherein are found
many and severall Ingredients, according to the different disposition
of the body of them that use it. But the chief Ingredient (without
which it cannot be made) is called Cacao, a kind of nut or kernell
bigger then a great Almond, which growes upon a tree called the
tree of Cacao, and ripens in a great huske, wherein sometimes are
found more, sometimes lesse Cacao's, sometimes twenty, sometimes
thirty, nay forty, and above. This Cacao, though as every simple, it
containes the quality of the foure Elements, yet in the common
opinion of most Physitians, it is held to bee cold and dry, a
prædominio; It is also in the substance that rules these two
qualities, restringent and obstructive, of the nature of the Element of
the earth. And as it is thus a mixed, and not a simple Element, it
hath parts correspondent to the rest of the Elements; and
particularly it partakes of those which correspond with the Element
of Aire, that is, heat and moisture, which are governed by unctious
parts; there being drawn out of the Cacao much Butter, which in the
India's I have seen drawn out of it by the Criolian women for to oint
their faces. And let not this seeme impossible to believe, that this
graine or nut of Cacao should bee said to bee first cold and dry, and
then hot and moist; for though experience bee a thousand
witnesses, yet instances will further clear this truth; and first in the
Rubarbe, which hath in it hot and soluble parts, and parts which are
binding, cold and dry, which have a virtue to strengthen, bind and
stop the loosenesse of the belly. Secondly, wee see this cleerly in the
steel, which having so much of the nature of the earth, as being
heavy, thick, cold, and dry, should be thought unproper for the
curing of Oppilations, but rather to bee apt to increase them; and
yet it is given for a proper remedy against them. The authority of
Galen may further cleare this in the third booke of the Qualities of
simples, where hee teacheth that almost all those medicines, which
to our sense seeme to be simple, are notwithstanding naturally
compounded, containing in themselves contrary qualities, that is to
say, a quality to expell, and to retaine, to incrassate and to
extenuate, to rarifie and to condense. And in the fifteenth Chapter
following in the same booke, he puts an example of the broth of a
Cock, which moves the belly, and the flesh hath the virtue to binde.
Yet further that this differing virtue and quality is found in divers
substances, or parts of simple medicaments, he shewes in the first
book of his simple medicines in the seventeenth Chapter, bringing
the example of milke, in which three substances are found and
separated, that is to say, the substance of cheese, which hath the
virtue to stop the fluxe of the belly; and the substance of whay,
which is purging, and butter, as it is expressed Chap. 15. Also we
find in wine which is in the Must, three substances, that is to say,
earth, which is the chiefe; and a thinner substance, which is the
flower, and may be called the scum, or froath; and a third substance
which we properly call wine; and every one of these substances
containes in it selfe divers qualities and virtues, in the colour, in the
smell, and in other accidents.
And this is very comformable to reason, if we consider that every
aliment, be it never so simple, begets and produceth in the liver four
humours, not only differing in temper, but also in substance; and
begets more or lesse of that humour, according as the aliment hath
more or fewer parts corresponding to the substance of that humour,
which is most ingendred. From which examples we may gather that
when the Cacao is grinded and stirred, the divers parts, which
nature hath given it, doe artificially and intimately mixe themselves
one with another; and so the unctuous, warme, and moist parts,
mingled with the earthy represseth, and leaveth them not so
binding, as they were before; but rather with a mediocrity, more
inclining to the warme, and moist temper of the aire, then to the
cold and dry of the earth; as it doth appear, when it is made fit to
drink, that scarce two turnes are given with the Molinet, when there
ariseth a fatty scum, by which is seen, how much it partaketh of the
oyly part. So that from all that hath been said, the error of those is
wel discovered, who speaking of this drink of Chocolatte, say, that it
causeth oppilations, because Cacao is astringent; as if that astriction
were not corrected and modified by the intimate mixing of one part
with another, by meanes of the grinding, as is said before. Besides it
having so many ingredients, which are naturally hot, it must of
necessity have this effect, that is to say, to open, attenuate, and not
to binde. And leaving aside more reasons, this truth is evidently seen
in the Cacao it selfe; which if it be not stirred, grinded and
compounded to make the Chocolatte; but be eaten as it is in the
fruit (as many Criolian and Indian women eat it) it doth notably
obstruct and cause stoppings, and make them looke of a broken,
pale and earthy colour, as doe those that eat earthen ware, as pots,
or pieces of lime-walls (which is much used among the Spanish
women thinking that pale and earthy colour, though with
obstructions and stoppings, well becomes them) and for this
certainly in the Cacao thus eaten there is no other reason, but that
the divers substances which it containes, are not perfectly mingled
by the mastication onely, but require the artificiall mixture, which
wee have spoken of before.
The tree which doth beare this fruit, is so delicate, and the earth
where it groweth so extream hot, that to keep the tree from being
consumed by the sunne, they first plant other trees, which they call,
las Madres del Cacao, mothers of the Cacao; and when these are
grown up to a good height fit to shade the Cacao trees, then they
plant the Cacaotals, or the trees of Cacao; that when they first shew
themselves above the ground, those trees, which are already grown
may shelter them, and as mothers nourish, defend, and shadow
them from the sunne; and the fruit doth not grow naked, but many
of them (as I have said before) are in one great huske or cod, and
therein besides every grain is closed up in a white juicy skin, which
the women also love to suck off from the Cacao, finding it coole, and
in the mouth dissolving into water. There are two sorts of Cacao; the
one is common, which is of a darke colour inclining towards red,
being round and peeked at the ends; the other is broader, and
bigger, and flatter, and not so round, which they call, Patlaxte, and
this is white, and more drying, and is sold a great deal cheaper then
the former. And this especially, more then the other, causeth
watchfullnesse, and drives away sleep, and therefore is not so
usefull as the ordinary, and is chiefly spent by the ordinary and
meaner sort of people. As for the rest of the ingredients which make
this Chocolatticall confection, there is notable variety; for some put
into it black Pepper, which is not well approved of by the Physitians,
because it is so hot and dry, but onely for one who hath a very cold
liver; but commonly instead of this Pepper, they put into it long red
Pepper, called Chile, which though it be hot in the mouth, yet is cool
and moist in the operation. It is further compounded with white
Sugar, Cinnamon, Clove, Anniseed, Almonds, Hasell-nuts, Orejuela,
Bainilla, Sapayoll, Orenge flower water, some Muske, and as much of
Achiotte, as will make it looke of the colour of a red bricke. But how
much of each of these may be applyed to such a quantity of Cacao,
the severall dispositions of mens bodies must be their rule. The
ordinary receipt of Antonio Colmenero was this; To every hundred
Cacao's, two cods of Chile, called long red Pepper, one handfull of
Anniseed and Orejuela's, and two of the flowers called Mechasuchil,
or Bainilla, or instead of this six roses of Alexandria, beat to powder,
two drams of Cinnamon, of Almonds and Hasel-nuts, of each one
dozen; of white Sugar halfe a pound, of Achiotte, enough to give it
the colour. This Author thought neither Clove, nor Musk, nor any
sweet water fit, but in the India's they are much used. Others use to
put in Maiz, or Paniso, which is very windy; but such doe it onely for
their profit, by increasing the quantity of the Chocolatte; because
every fanega or measure of Maiz containing about a bushel and a
half, is sold for eight shillings, and they that sell Chocolatte, sell it for
four shillings a pound, which is the ordinary price. The Cinnamon is
held one of the best ingredients, and denied by none, for that it is
hot and dry in the third degree, it provokes urine, and helpes the
kidneys and reines of those who are troubled with cold diseases, and
it is good for the eyes, and in effect it is cordiall, as appeareth by the
Author of these verses,
Commoda & urinæ Cinamomum & renibus affert,
Lumina clarificat, dira venena fugat.
The Achiotte hath a piercing, attenuating quality, as appeareth by
the common practice of the Physitians in the India's, experienced
daily in the effects of it, who do give it to their Patients to cut and
attenuate the grosse humors, which doe cause shortnesse of breath,
and stopping of urine: and so it is used for any kind of oppilations,
and is given for the stoppings which are in the breast, or in the
region of the belly, or any other part of the body. This Achiotte also
groweth upon a tree in round huskes, which are full of red graines,
from whence the Achiotte is taken, and first made into a paste, and
then being dried up is fashioned either into round balls or cakes, or
into the forme of little brickes, and so is sold. As concerning the long
red Pepper, there are foure sorts of it; one is called Chilchotes; the
other is very little, which they call Chilterpin, and these two kinds are
very quick and biting. The other two are called, Tonalchiles, and
these are but moderately hot, for they are eaten with bread by the
Indians, as they eat other fruits. But that which is usually put into
Chocolatte, is called Chilpaclagua, which hath a broad huske, and is
not so biting as the first, nor so gentle as the last. The Mechasuchil,
or Bainilla hath a purgative quality. All these ingredients are usually
put into the Chocolatte, and by some more, according to their
fancies. But the meaner sort of people, as Blackmores and Indians,
commonly put nothing into it, but Cacao, Achiotte, Maiz, and a few
Chiles with a little Anniseed. And though the Cacao is mingled with
all these ingredients, which are hot; yet there is to be a greater
quantity of Cacao, then of all the rest of the ingredients, which serve
to temper the coldnesse of the Cacao; from whence it followeth that
this Chocolatticall confection is not so cold as the Cacao, nor so hot
as the rest of the ingredients, but there results from the action and
reaction of these ingredients, a moderate temper, which may be
good, both for the cold and hot stomacks, being taken moderately.
Now for the making or compounding of this drinke, I shall set downe
here the method. The Cacao, and the other ingredients must be
beaten in a morter of stone, or (as the Indians use) ground upon a
broad stone, which they call Metate, and is only made for that use.
But first the ingredients are all to be dried, except the Achiotte, with
care that they may be beaten to powder, keeping them still in
stirring, that they be not burnt, or become black; for if they be
overdried, they will be bitter, and lose their virtue. The Cinnamon
and the long red pepper are to be first beaten, with the Anniseed,
and then the Cacao, which must be beaten by little and little, till it
be all powdred; and in the beating it must be turned round, that it
may mixe the better. Every one of these ingredients must be beaten
by it selfe, and then all be put into the vessell, where the Cacao is,
which you must stirre together with a spoon, and then take out that
paste, and put it into the morter, under which there must be a little
fire, after the confection is made; but if more fire be put under then
will only warme it, then the unctuous part will dry away. The
Achiotte also must be put in in the beating, that it may the better
take the colour. All the ingredients must be searsed, save onely the
Cacao, and if from the Cacao the dry shell be taken, it will be the
better. When it is well beaten, and incorporated (which will be
known by the shortnesse of it) then with a spoon (so in the India's is
used) is taken up some of the paste, which will be almost liquid, and
made into tablets, or else without a spoon put into boxes, and when
it is cold it will be hard. Those that make it into tablets, put a
spoonefull of the paste upon a peece of paper (the Indians put it
upon the leaf of a plantin tree) where, being put into the shade (for
in the sunne it melts and dissolves) it growes hard; and then bowing
the paper or leaf, the tablet falls off, by reason of the fatnesse of the
paste. But if it be put into anything of earth, or wood, it stickes fast,
and will not come off, but with scraping or breaking. The manner of
drinking it, is divers; the one (being the way most used in Mexico) is
to take it hot with Atolle, dissolving a tablet in hot water, and then
stirring and beating it in the cup, where it is to be drunke, with a
Molinet, and when it is well stirred to a scumme or froath, then to fill
the cup with hot Atolle and so drinke it sup by sup. Another way is,
that the Chocolatte, being dissolved with cold water and stirred with
the Molinet, and the scumme taken off and put into another vessel;
the remainder be set upon the fire, with as much sugar as will
sweeten it, and when it is warme, then to powre it upon the scum
which was taken off before, and so to drinke it. But the most
ordinary way, is, to warme the water very hot, and then to powre
out halfe the cup full that you mean to drinke; and to put into it a
tablet or two, or as much as will thicken reasonably the water, and
then grind it well with the Molinet, and when it is well ground and
risen to a scum, to fill the cup with hot water, and so drinke it by
sups (having sweetned it with Sugar) and to eat it with a little
conserve, or maple bread, steeped into the Chocolatte. Besides
these waies there is another way (which is much used in the Island
of Santo Domingo) which is, to put the Chocolatte into a pipkin, with
a little water, and to let it boyle well till it be dissolved, and then to
put in sufficient water and sugar according to the quantity of the
Chocolatte, and then to boyle it againe, untill there comes an oily
scumme upon it, and then to drinke it. There is another way yet to
drinke Chocolatte, which is cold, which the Indians use at feasts, to
refresh themselves, and it is made after this manner. The Chocolatte
(which is made with none or very few ingredients) being dissolved in
cold water with the Molinet, they take off the scumme or crassy
part, which riseth in great quantity, especially when the Cacao is
older and more putrefied. The scumme they lay aside in a little dish
by it selfe, and then put sugar into that part from whence was taken
the scum, and then powre it from on high into the scumme, and so
drinke it cold. And this drinke is so cold, that it agreeth not with all
mens stomacks; for by experience it hath been found, that it doth
hurt, by causing pains in the stomack, especially to women. The
third way of taking it is the most used, and thus certainly it doth no
hurt, neither know I why it may not bee used as well in England as
in other parts both hot and cold; for where it is so much used, the
most, if not all, as well in the India's, as in Spaine, Italy, Flanders
(which is a cold Countrey) find that it agreeth well with them. True it
is, it is used more in the India's, then in the European parts, because
there the stomackes are more apt to faint then here, and a cup of
Chocolatte well confectioned comforts and strengthens the stomack.
For my self I must say, I used it twelve yeers constantly, drinking
one cup in the morning, another yet before dinner between nine or
ten of the clock; another within an houre or two after dinner, and
another between four and five in the afternoon; and when I was
purposed to sit up late to study, I would take another cup about
seven or eight at night, which would keep me waking till about
midnight. And if by chance I did neglect any of these accustomed
houres, I presently found my stomacke fainty. And with this custome
I lived twelve yeers in those parts healthy, without any obstructions,
or oppilations, not knowing what either ague, or feaver was. Yet I
will not dare to regulate by mine owne the bodies of others, nor take
upon me the skil of a Physitian, to appoint and define at what time
and by what persons this drinke may be used. Onely I say, I have
known some that have been the worse for it, either for drinking it
with too much sugar, which hath relaxed their stomackes, or for
drinking it too often. For certainly if it be drunke beyond measure,
not only this Chocolatte but all other drinkes, or meats, though of
themselves they are good and wholesome, they may be hurtfull. And
if some have found it oppilative, it hath come by the too too much
use of it; as when one drinkes overmuch wine, instead of comforting
and warming himselfe, he breeds and nourisheth cold diseases,
because nature cannot overcome it, not turne so great a quantity
into good nourishment. So he that drinkes much Chocolatte, which
hath fat parts, cannot make distribution of so great a quantity to all
the parts; and that part which remaines in the slender veines of the
liver must needs cause oppilations and obstructions. But lastly, to
conclude with this Indian drinke, I will adde what I have heard
Physitians of the India's say of it, and have seen it by experience in
others (though never I could find it in my selfe) that those that use
this Chocolatte much, grow fat and corpulent by it; which indeed
may seem hard to beleeve; for considering that all the ingredients,
except the Cacao, doe rather extenuate, then make fat, because
they are hot and dry in the third degree. And we have already said,
that the qualities which doe predominate in Cacao, are cold and dry,
which are very unfit to adde any substance to the body.
Neverthelesse it may be answered that the many unctuous parts,
which have been proved to be in the Cacao, are those which
pinguifie and make fat; and the hotter ingredients of this
composition serve for a guide, or vehicall, to passe to the liver, and
the other parts, untill they come to the fleshy parts; and there
finding a like substance which is hot and moist, as is the unctuous
part, converting it selfe into the same substance, it doth augment
and pinguifie. But how then might this Cacao with the other Indian
ingredients be had in England? even by trading in Spaine for it, as
we doe for other commodities; or not sleighting it so much as we
and the Hollanders have often done upon the Indian seas; of whom
I have heard the Spaniards say that when we have taken a good
prize, a ship laden with Cacao, in anger and wrath we have hurled
over board this good commoditie, not regarding the worth and
goodnesse of it, but calling it in bad Spanish, Cagaruta de Carnero,
or sheeps dung in good English. It is one of the necessariest
commodities in the India's, and nothing enricheth Chiapa in
particular more then it, whither are brought from Mexico and other
parts, the rich bags of Patacons onely for this Cagaruta de Carnero,
which we call sheeps dung. The other drinke which is much used in
the Indians is called Atolle, of which I will say but a little, because I
know it cannot be used here. This was the drinke of the ancient
Indians, and is a thick pap made of the flower of Maiz, taking off the
huskes from it, which is windy and melancholy. This is commonly
carried by the Indian women to the Markets hot in pots, and there is
sold in cups. The Criolian students, as wee goe to a Taverne to drink
a cup of wine, so they go in company to the publike Markets, and as
publikely buy and drinke by measure of this Atolle; which somtimes
is seasoned with a little Chile, or long Pepper, and then it pleaseth
them best. But the Nuns and Gentlewomen have got a trick of
confectioning it with Cinnamon, Sweet-waters, Amber, or Muske, and
store of Sugar, and thus it is held to be a most strong and nourishing
drinke, which the Physitians doe prescribe unto a weake body, as we
doe here our Almond-milke. But of what England never knew nor
tasted, I will say no more, but hasten my penne to Guatemala,
which hath been my second patria.
CHAP. XVII.
The time now being come that I was to leave the little City of
Chiapa, I took some occasion before-hand to take my leave of my
best friends, whose children I had taught, and at my departure I
must confesse I found them kind and bountifull, except it were
Donna Magdalena de Morales, from whom I did not expect, neither
did I desire any farewell, or Adieu token. But among all, the
Governours wife was most liberall unto mee, sending mee many
boxes of Aromaticall Chocolatte, and one extraordinary great box
with foure severall divisions of different conserves gilt over, besides
many Maple breads, and Biskets made with Egs and Sugar, a present
it was which might have been sent to a greater man then to a poor
worthlesse Mendicant Fryer, and with this in a handkerchief a dozen
peeces of eight. Don Melchor del Velazco yet exceeded her, in words
and complements I meane, but in deeds, hee and all the crew of the
Criolians must thinke to come short of them, who are borne in
Spain. The first Town I went unto, was Theopixca, six leagues from
Chiapa, a faire and great Towne of Indians, who are held to bee next
unto the Indians of the other Chiapa in sitting and riding a horse. In
this town is nothing so considerable as the Church, which is great
and strong, and the musick belonging unto it sweet and harmonious.
The Vicar or Curate of this place was one Fryer Peter Martir a
Criolian, whom I knew could not indure the Prior nor mee, yet he
would dissemble a love complementall exceeding well, and in
outward shews raise it up to gradus ut Octo. He knowing my
prevalency with the Prior, durst not but give mee very good
entertainment, which continued two dayes, untill I was weary of his
complements.
The third day I tooke my leave of him, who would not yet leave
mee, but would conduct mee to Comitlan, whither I was invited by
the Prior of that Cloister, named Fryer Thome Rocolano, a French
man, who being a stranger to the Spaniards (for besides him and my
selfe there was no other stranger in that County) desired
acquaintance with mee, which hee began to settle by meeting mee
at the half way with many Indians on horse back, having provided
an harbour where wee might more conveniently conferre and rest
while our Chocolatte and other refreshments were provided. But the
Criolian Peter Martir was not a little envious, (as I was afterwards
informed in the Cloister) to see mee so much made of and esteemed
in the Country, yet his faire words and complements farre exceeded
the sincerity and down-rightnesse of my French friend. At Comitlan I
staied a whole weeke, riding about with the Prior unto the Indian
townes, and downe the hill to the valley of Copanabastla, where I
injoyed much pastime and recreation among the Fryers and Indians
and was feasted after the manner of that Country, which knoweth
more of an Epicurian diet then doth England, or any part of Europe;
nay I am perswaded (and I have heard Spaniards confesse it) that
Spain hath taken from the Indians since the conquest many lessons
for the dressing of severall dishes and compleating a feast or
banquet. After the week was ended my French friend the Prior
conducted mee to Izquintenango, to see mee well furnished up the
Mountaines of Cuchumatlanes. This Towne (as I have formerly
observed) standeth almost at the end of the Valley of Copanabastla,
and within two leagues of the Cuchumatlanes. It is one of the finest
Indian Townes of all the Province of Chiapa, and very rich, by reason
of the much Cotton wooll in it, and especially by reason of its
situation, for standing in the Roade way to Guatemala, all the
Merchants of the Country that trade with their mules that way, passe
through this Towne, and there buy and sell, enriching it with mony
and farre brought Commodities. It is most plentifully stored with
fruits, especially with what they call Pina's or Pine fruit. It standeth
close by the great River, which runneth to Chiapa of the Indians, and
hath its spring not farre off from the Cuchumatlanes, and yet at this
Town is very broad and deep. No man nor beast travelling to
Guatemala can goe into it, or from Guatemala can goe out of it, but
by ferrying over. And the Rode being much used and beaten by
travellers, and by such as they call Requas of mules (every Requa
consisting of fifty or threescore mules) this Ferry is day and night
imployed, and yeelds much treasure to the town at the yeers end.
The Indians of the Town besides the ferry boat, have made many
other little boats, or Canoa's to goe up and down the River. Hither
when the Prior of Comitlan had brought me, we were waited for by
the Vicar or Fryer of that Town with the chief and principall Indians,
and most of the Canoa's. As we ferryed over, the little Canoa's went
before us with the Quiristers of the Church singing before us, and
with others sounding their Waits and Trumpets. The Fryer that lived
in this Town, was called Fryer Geronymo de Guevara, little in stature,
but great in state, pride and vanity, as hee shewed himself in what
hee had provided for us both of fish and flesh. A brave professour or
vower of Mendicancy and poverty he was, who in twelve yeers that
hee had lived in that Towne, what by mumming of Masses for the
dead and living, what by shearing and fleecing the poore Indians,
what by trading and traffiquing with the Merchants that used that
Rode, had got six thousand Duckats, which hee had sent to Spain to
the Court of Madrid, to trade with them Simoniacally for the
Bishoprick of Chiapa, which if he obtained not, (yet when I came out
of that Country the report went that hee had obtained it) hee would
and was well able with a second supply to obtaine a better. After two
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