Democracy Index 2024
Democracy Index 2024
Our solutions
What’s included:
Contents
5 List of tables and charts
6 Overview
22 2024 highlights
27 What to watch in 2025
29 What’s wrong with representative democracy?
39 Democracy around the regions
84 Appendix
90 Further reading
Overview
The Economist Intelligence Unit’s categories: electoral process and
Democracy Index provides a pluralism, functioning of government,
snapshot of the state of democracy political participation, political
in 165 independent states and two culture, and civil liberties. Based on
territories. This covers almost the its scores on a range of indicators
entire population of the world and within these categories, each
the vast majority of the world’s country is classified as one of four
states (microstates are excluded). types of regime: “full democracy”,
Scored on a 0-10 scale, the “flawed democracy”, “hybrid regime”
Democracy Index is based on five or “authoritarian regime”.
Some may argue that the success In our Democracy Index, we can see
at the polls of insurgent parties that there is a dichotomy between
and the ousting of mainstream the high scores recorded by many
parties proves that representative countries in the top half of the global
democracy is working well. This rankings—which possess the formal
is overall a positive phenomenon, institutions, processes and legal
but the longevity and scale of the prerequisites of democracy—and the
low esteem in which many citizens challenging the status quo, as long
hold their democratic systems. as they do so by democratic means.
This widespread disaffection with They may not appear to have all the
the functioning of democracy is answers to the pressing issues of our
evident in the survey data which time, but they are at least connecting
the index draws upon across with marginalised sections of the
several categories. Paying attention electorate and meeting a demand for
to the survey data is crucial for representation from citizens who feel
understanding the sources of that they do not have a voice.
popular dissatisfaction with the
state of democracy today. In our annual “Democracy in focus”
essay, we look in depth at the factors
It is clear that having formal that are causing people to lose faith
democratic institutions is not in representative democracy (see
enough to sustain public support, page 29). We try to go beyond merely
especially if those institutions have discussing the symptoms of this
been hollowed out and decision- long-standing democratic malaise, to
making is outsourced to non-elected identify and analyse the underlying
bodies. Governments and political drivers of public dissatisfaction with
parties in many democracies have the status quo. In this endeavour
become estranged from citizens we are revisiting a theme we first
and as a consequence are no longer addressed in our 2016 report,
responsive to their concerns. The “Revenge of the deplorables”, in
quality of a democracy can be which we presented a multi-faceted
measured by the degree to which explanation of the events of that year,
governments consult the public including the Brexit vote in the UK,
on the important issues of the day. the populist insurgency in Europe
However, in many of the advanced and the election of Donald Trump in
democracies, the established the US. We hope that, eight years
practice has been to exclude the later, we can build on that analysis to
public from having a role in debating provide a fuller understanding of the
these questions. Little wonder that drivers of discontent with democracy
large numbers of citizens do not think around the world.
that democracy, as it is currently
organised in many developed The problems we discuss are not
democracies, is working for them. new, but they have arguably reached
a tipping point, beyond which it
That democracy is not working well becomes more difficult to resolve
in many of the world’s democracies them. So our essay also discusses
has been clear for some time. The what needs to change to make our
rise of populist political alternatives political systems truly representative
over the past decade is an expression and restore public trust in democracy.
of a problem with the mainstream A failure to fix our democracies will
parties that have been in power for not only have negative domestic
the past 75 years and the political political consequences, it will also
systems they have developed. There embolden autocrats everywhere
is nothing undemocratic about and demoralise those fighting for
new, anti-establishment parties democracy around the globe.
5.30
5.20
5.10
Source: EIU. 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024
Table 1
Democracy Index 2024, by regime type
% of world
No. of countries % of countries
population
Full democracies 25 15.0 6.6
Flawed democracies 46 27.5 38.4
Hybrid regimes 36 21.6 15.7
Authoritarian regimes 60 35.9 39.2
Note. “World” population refers to the total population of the 167 geographies (165 countries and 2
territories) covered by the Index. Since this excludes only micro states, this is nearly equal to the entire
estimated world population.
Source: EIU.
4.0
Source: EIU. 2008 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
DemocracyIndex
Democracy Index2024,
2024,global
globalmap
mapbybyregime
regimetype
type
Democracy Index 2024, global map by regime type
Hong
Hong Kong
Kong
Singapore
Singapore
Mauritius
Mauritius
Overall
Overall score
score
Scores 0-10
Scores 0-10 (10=best)
(10=best)
Full democracies
Full democracies Flawed
Flawed democracies
democracies Hybrid
Hybrid regimes
regimes Authoritarian
Authoritarian regimes
regimes
9.0
9.0 –– 10.0
10.0 8.0
8.0 –– 9.0
9.0 7.0 –– 8.0
7.0 8.0 6.0
6.0 –– 7.0
7.0 5.0 –– 6.0
5.0 6.0 4.0
4.0 –– 5.0
5.0 3.0 –– 4.0
3.0 4.0 2.0
2.0 –– 3.0
3.0 00 –– 2.0
2.0 No data
No data
Source:
Source: EIU.
EIU.
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Full democracy
Norway 9.81 1 0 10.00 9.64 10.00 10.00 9.41
New Zealand 9.61 2 0 10.00 9.29 10.00 8.75 10.00
Sweden 9.39 3 1 9.58 9.64 8.33 10.00 9.41
Iceland 9.38 4 -1 10.00 8.93 8.89 9.38 9.71
Switzerland 9.32 5 3 9.58 9.29 8.33 10.00 9.41
Finland 9.30 6 -1 10.00 9.64 7.78 9.38 9.71
Denmark 9.28 7 -1 10.00 9.29 8.33 9.38 9.41
Ireland 9.19 8 -1 10.00 8.21 8.33 10.00 9.41
Netherlands 9.00 9 0 9.58 8.93 8.33 8.75 9.41
Luxembourg 8.88 10 1 10.00 9.29 6.67 8.75 9.71
Australia 8.85 11 3 10.00 8.57 7.22 8.75 9.71
Taiwan 8.78 12 -2 10.00 8.57 7.78 8.13 9.41
Germany 8.73 13 -1 9.58 8.21 8.33 8.13 9.41
Canada 8.69 14 -1 10.00 8.21 8.89 7.50 8.82
Uruguay 8.67 15 -1 10.00 9.29 7.78 6.88 9.41
Japan 8.48 16 0 9.58 8.93 6.67 8.13 9.12
United Kingdom 8.34 17 1 9.58 7.50 8.33 6.88 9.41
Costa Rica 8.29 18 -1 9.58 7.50 7.78 6.88 9.71
Austria 8.28 19 -1 9.58 7.50 8.89 6.88 8.53
Mauritius 8.23 20 0 9.58 7.86 6.11 8.75 8.82
Estonia 8.13 21= 6 10.00 8.57 6.67 6.88 8.53
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Spain 8.13 21= 2 9.58 7.50 7.22 7.50 8.82
Czech Republic 8.08 23= 3 9.58 6.43 7.78 7.50 9.12
Portugal 8.08 23= 8 9.58 7.14 6.11 8.75 8.82
Greece 8.07 25 -5 10.00 6.79 7.22 7.50 8.82
Flawed democracy
France 7.99 26 -3 9.58 7.50 7.78 6.88 8.24
Malta 7.93 27 1 9.17 7.14 6.67 8.13 8.53
United States of
7.85 28 1 9.17 6.43 8.89 6.25 8.53
America
Chile 7.83 29 -4 9.58 7.86 6.67 5.63 9.41
Slovenia 7.82 30 1 9.58 7.50 7.22 6.25 8.53
Israel 7.80 31 -1 9.58 7.50 9.44 6.88 5.59
South Korea 7.75 32 -10 9.58 7.50 7.22 5.63 8.82
Latvia 7.66 33 4 10.00 7.14 6.67 6.25 8.24
Belgium 7.64 34 2 9.58 8.21 5.00 6.88 8.53
Botswana 7.63 35 -2 9.58 6.43 6.11 7.50 8.53
Lithuania 7.59 36 3 10.00 7.14 6.67 5.63 8.53
Cabo Verde 7.58 37= -2 9.17 6.64 6.67 6.88 8.53
Italy 7.58 37= -3 9.58 7.14 7.22 6.88 7.06
Poland 7.40 39 2 10.00 6.43 6.67 6.25 7.65
Cyprus 7.38 40 -3 9.17 5.36 6.67 6.88 8.82
India 7.29 41 0 8.67 7.50 7.22 6.88 6.18
Slovakia 7.21 42 2 10.00 6.07 6.11 5.63 8.24
South Africa 7.16 43 4 9.17 6.79 7.78 5.00 7.06
Malaysia 7.11 44 -4 9.58 7.14 6.67 6.25 5.88
Trinidad and Tobago 7.09 45 -2 9.58 6.79 6.11 5.63 7.35
Timor-Leste 7.03 46 -1 9.58 6.07 5.56 6.88 7.06
Panama 6.84 47 1 9.58 5.71 7.22 3.75 7.94
Suriname 6.79 48 1 9.58 5.36 6.67 5.00 7.35
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Jamaica 6.74 49 -4 8.75 6.43 5.00 5.00 8.53
Montenegro 6.73 50 2 8.75 7.14 6.67 3.75 7.35
Philippines 6.63 51 2 8.75 4.64 8.33 4.38 7.06
Dominican Republic 6.62 52 9 9.17 5.00 7.22 4.38 7.35
Mongolia 6.53 53 6 8.75 5.71 6.67 5.63 5.88
Argentina 6.51 54= 0 9.17 5.00 6.11 3.75 8.53
Hungary 6.51 54= -4 8.75 5.71 4.44 6.88 6.76
Croatia 6.50 56 2 9.17 6.07 6.11 4.38 6.76
Brazil 6.49 57 -6 9.58 5.00 6.11 5.00 6.76
Namibia 6.48 58 -1 7.42 5.36 6.67 5.00 7.94
Indonesia 6.44 59 -3 7.92 6.79 7.22 5.00 5.29
Colombia 6.35 60 -5 9.17 5.71 6.11 3.13 7.65
Bulgaria 6.34 61 1 8.75 5.36 5.56 4.38 7.65
North Macedonia 6.28 62 10 8.75 6.07 6.11 3.13 7.35
Thailand 6.27 63 0 6.50 5.00 8.33 5.63 5.88
Serbia 6.26 64 0 7.83 5.71 6.67 3.75 7.35
Ghana 6.24 65 0 8.33 4.64 6.11 6.25 5.88
Albania 6.20 66 0 7.00 5.71 5.00 6.25 7.06
Sri Lanka 6.19 67 3 7.00 4.29 7.22 6.25 6.18
Singapore 6.18 68 1 5.33 7.14 4.44 7.50 6.47
Guyana 6.11 69 -2 6.92 6.07 6.11 5.00 6.47
Lesotho 6.06 70 1 9.17 3.79 5.56 5.63 6.18
Moldova 6.04 71 -3 6.50 5.36 7.22 4.38 6.76
Hybrid regime
Romania 5.99 72 -12 8.25 5.36 5.56 3.75 7.06
Papua New Guinea 5.97 73 -1 6.92 6.07 3.89 5.63 7.35
Senegal 5.93 74 9 7.42 5.36 4.44 6.25 6.18
Paraguay 5.92 75 -1 8.33 5.36 6.67 1.88 7.35
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Malawi 5.85 76 0 7.00 4.29 5.56 6.25 6.18
Zambia 5.73 77 1 7.92 3.29 5.00 6.88 5.59
Peru 5.69 78 -1 8.75 5.71 5.00 2.50 6.47
Bhutan 5.65 79 2 8.75 5.93 3.89 5.00 4.71
Liberia 5.57 80 -1 7.83 2.71 6.11 5.63 5.59
Fiji 5.39 81 -1 6.58 5.00 4.44 5.63 5.29
Armenia 5.35 82 2 7.92 4.29 6.11 3.13 5.29
Madagascar 5.33 83 4 6.58 3.93 6.11 5.63 4.41
Mexico 5.32 84 6 6.92 5.00 7.22 1.88 5.59
Ecuador 5.24 85 0 8.75 5.00 5.56 1.88 5.00
Tanzania 5.20 86 0 4.42 5.00 5.00 6.88 4.71
Hong Kong 5.09 87 1 2.75 4.00 3.89 6.88 7.94
Bosnia and
5.06 88 6 7.00 3.64 5.00 3.75 5.88
Hercegovina
Kenya 5.05 89 3 3.50 5.36 6.67 5.63 4.12
Honduras 4.98 90 5 8.75 3.93 4.44 2.50 5.29
Morocco 4.97 91 2 5.25 4.29 5.56 5.63 4.12
Ukraine 4.90 92 -1 5.17 2.71 7.22 5.00 4.41
Tunisia 4.71 93 -11 3.42 3.93 5.56 5.63 5.00
Georgia 4.70 94 -5 5.67 3.21 5.56 3.75 5.29
El Salvador 4.61 95 1 6.17 3.21 5.56 3.13 5.00
Nepal 4.60 96 2 4.83 5.36 5.00 2.50 5.29
Guatemala 4.55 97 3 6.08 3.93 5.00 1.88 5.88
Uganda 4.49 98 1 3.42 3.57 3.89 6.88 4.71
Gambia 4.47 99 1 4.42 4.29 3.89 5.63 4.12
Bangladesh 4.44 100= -25 6.08 2.57 5.00 5.00 3.53
Benin 4.44 100= -3 1.75 5.36 4.44 6.25 4.41
Sierra Leone 4.32 102 1 4.83 2.86 3.89 5.00 5.00
Bolivia 4.26 103= 3 4.33 3.93 5.56 1.88 5.59
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Turkey 4.26 103= -1 3.50 4.64 6.11 5.00 2.06
Côte d’Ivoire 4.22 105 0 4.33 2.86 4.44 5.63 3.82
Nigeria 4.16 106 -2 5.17 3.57 3.89 3.75 4.41
Angola 4.05 107 0 4.50 2.86 5.56 5.00 2.35
Authoritarian
Mauritania 3.96 108 0 3.50 3.21 5.56 3.13 4.41
Lebanon 3.56 109 3 3.08 0.79 6.67 3.13 4.12
Algeria 3.55 110 0 3.08 2.50 3.33 5.00 3.82
Kyrgyz Republic 3.52 111 -2 3.42 1.86 3.89 3.13 5.29
Palestine 3.44 112 3 1.58 0.00 8.33 3.75 3.53
Mozambique 3.38 113 0 1.67 1.43 5.56 5.00 3.24
Rwanda 3.34 114 3 1.42 4.29 3.33 5.00 2.65
Jordan 3.28 115 7 3.08 2.86 4.44 2.50 3.53
Ethiopia 3.24 116 0 0.42 2.86 6.11 5.63 1.18
Qatar 3.17 117 -6 0.00 3.93 2.78 5.63 3.53
Kazakhstan 3.08 118 2 0.50 3.21 5.00 3.75 2.94
United Arab
3.07 119 6 0.00 4.29 2.78 5.63 2.65
Emirates
Oman 3.05 120 -1 0.08 3.57 2.78 5.00 3.82
Togo 2.99 121 5 0.92 2.14 3.33 5.63 2.94
Zimbabwe 2.98 122 0 0.00 2.50 4.44 5.00 2.94
Cambodia 2.94 123 -2 0.00 2.36 5.00 5.00 2.35
Comoros 2.84 124= -2 0.83 2.21 3.89 3.75 3.53
Pakistan 2.84 124= -6 0.83 4.29 2.78 2.50 3.82
Azerbaijan 2.80 126= 4 0.50 2.50 3.33 5.00 2.65
Iraq 2.80 126= 2 4.83 0.00 6.11 1.88 1.18
Congo (Brazzaville) 2.79 128= 3 0.00 2.50 4.44 3.75 3.24
Egypt 2.79 128= -1 0.42 2.86 3.89 5.00 1.76
Kuwait 2.78 130 -16 0.92 3.21 2.78 3.75 3.24
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Haiti 2.74 131 -2 0.00 0.29 2.78 5.63 5.00
Djibouti 2.70 132 2 0.00 1.64 3.89 5.63 2.35
Vietnam 2.62 133 3 0.00 3.93 2.78 3.75 2.65
Eswatini 2.60 134 -2 0.00 1.64 2.78 5.63 2.94
Cuba 2.58 135 0 0.00 2.86 3.33 3.75 2.94
Cameroon 2.56 136 2 0.33 2.14 3.89 4.38 2.06
Burkina Faso 2.55 137 -4 0.00 2.14 3.33 3.75 3.53
Bahrain 2.45 138 1 0.42 2.36 3.33 4.38 1.76
Mali 2.40 139 -2 0.00 0.00 5.00 4.38 2.65
Libya 2.31 140 17 1.25 0.00 3.89 3.75 2.65
Niger 2.26 141 0 0.33 1.14 1.67 3.75 4.41
Venezuela 2.25 142 0 0.00 1.07 5.00 3.13 2.06
Gabon 2.18 143 3 0.83 1.14 2.22 3.75 2.94
Burundi 2.13 144 3 0.00 0.00 3.89 5.00 1.76
China 2.11 145 3 0.00 3.21 3.33 3.13 0.88
Uzbekistan 2.10 146 2 0.00 1.86 2.78 5.00 0.88
Nicaragua 2.09 147 -4 0.00 2.14 2.78 3.75 1.76
Saudi Arabia 2.08 148 2 0.00 3.57 2.22 3.13 1.47
Guinea 2.04 149 -4 0.00 0.43 3.33 4.38 2.06
Guinea-Bissau 2.03 150= -10 2.17 0.00 2.78 3.13 2.06
Russia 2.03 150= -6 0.00 2.14 2.22 3.75 2.06
Belarus 1.99 152 -1 0.00 0.79 3.33 4.38 1.47
Eritrea 1.97 153 -1 0.00 2.14 0.56 6.88 0.29
Iran 1.96 154 -1 0.00 2.50 3.33 2.50 1.47
Yemen 1.95 155 -1 0.00 0.00 3.89 5.00 0.88
Democratic
1.92 156= 4 2.08 0.43 2.78 3.13 1.18
Republic of Congo
Equatorial Guinea 1.92 156= 0 0.00 0.43 3.33 4.38 1.47
Chad 1.89 158 3 0.00 0.00 3.33 3.75 2.35
Table 2
Democracy Index 2024
Change in I Electoral
Overall II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
Rank rank from process and
score of government participation culture liberties
previous year pluralism
Tajikistan 1.83 159 -4 0.00 2.21 1.67 4.38 0.88
Laos 1.71 160 -1 0.00 2.86 1.67 3.75 0.29
Turkmenistan 1.66 161 1 0.00 0.79 2.22 5.00 0.29
Sudan 1.46 162 -4 0.00 0.00 1.11 5.63 0.59
Syria 1.32 163 0 0.00 0.00 2.22 4.38 0.00
Central African
1.18 164 0 0.00 0.00 1.67 1.88 2.35
Republic
North Korea 1.08 165 0 0.00 2.50 1.67 1.25 0.00
Myanmar 0.96 166 0 0.00 0.00 1.67 3.13 0.00
Afghanistan 0.25 167 0 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.00
Source: EIU.
2024 highlights
What’s wrong with representative
democracy?
Over the past decade, a consensus analysing this dramatic shift in
has formed that the world is the political landscape, some of
experiencing what US democracy which we reference in the Further
scholar Larry Diamond called a Reading section of the Appendix to
“democracy recession”, that began this report (page 84). The drivers
in around 2007 and has persisted of the democracy recession are
ever since. This impression is manifold—geopolitical, economic,
borne out by the results of the political, cultural and social and their
Democracy Index since its launch interaction is complex. In this year’s
in 2006. The overall index score Democracy Index essay, we discuss
has fallen from 5.52 (on a 0-10 the factors that have fuelled popular
scale) in 2006 to 5.17 in 2024. disaffection with political systems
The number of countries classified over the past two decades and have
by our model as democracies has led to the rise of anti-establishment
fallen by eight from 79 in 2006 parties in some countries and to a
to 71 today. Correspondingly, the more pronounced shift away from
number of “authoritarian regimes” democracy in others (see page
has risen from 55 in 2006 to 60; 29). The essay also considers
and the number of “hybrid regimes”, what needs to change to restore
which occupying a “grey zone” popular confidence in representative
between democracy and autocracy, democracy and bring an end to the
has risen from 33 in 2006 to 36 “democratic recession”.
in 2024. There is a rich literature
Negative watch
Central and west Africa: Of the in murky circumstances, the
elections in Cameroon, Central rescheduled election in May will
African Republic, Gabon, Guinea, come under close scrutiny. The
Guinea-Bissau, Malawi, Seychelles, incoming government has already
Tanzania and Togo, many are been criticised for trying to manage
likely to be stage-managed to the threat of a vote against the
keep incumbents in power or give ruling parties by changing the rules
legitimacy to regimes that seized regarding diaspora voting and the
power in military coups, and some regulation of social media during an
will be subject to Russian influence election campaign.
campaigns. The election in Côte
d’Ivoire is likely to be more open. South Korea: Fallout from Yoon
Suk-Yeol’s attempt to impose
Ecuador: Suffering from high levels martial law in 2024 is likely to
of voter dissatisfaction and a weak persist in 2025, in the form of
political culture, the country will heightened polarisation and
hold legislative elections in February tension in parliament and among
(with a second round in April, if the population. The courts are
necessary). Potential for polarisation, increasingly politicised and the law
violence and emergence of strong- employed as a tool to attack political
arm leader. opponents. Public dissatisfaction
with South Korea’s democracy could
Moldova: Russian interference in increase.
the parliamentary elections, to be
held by July, is to be expected, in the US: Risk of the president seeking
form of a disinformation campaign, retribution, using the Department
vote-buying and encouragement of of Justice and the Federal Bureau
social unrest, putting further strain of Investigation to go after political
on a frontline country polarised enemies, which would also erode
between East and West. checks and balances. Civil liberties
of immigrants, migrants, other
Romania: With the presidential minorities and protesters also at
election cancelled in late 2024 risk.
2bn
1bn
0
Source: EIU. 1800 1820 1840 1860 1880 1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2020
was the fate of the African National to make their voices heard and
Congress (ANC) in South Africa, who act to protect the interests
Narendra Modi’s Bharatiya Janata of the few. When special interest
Party (BJP) in India and the Liberal groups exert undue influence over
Democratic Party (LDP) in Japan. the political process, they end up
undermining majority rule.
Higher consumer price inflation
in the post-pandemic period, Inequality is a major source of
which tends to disproportionately conflict and a natural issue for
affect lower-income households, parties to contest in the public
exacerbated dissatisfaction with realm. The smooth functioning
politicians in both developed and of democratic political systems
developing countries. Work by is probably not compatible with
two academics, Thomas Piketty extremes of social and economic
and Branko Milanovic, has shown inequality.
that income inequality has risen
significantly in democratic
countries in recent decades, led
by the growing returns on capital Corruption concerns
and the erosion of progressive
taxation. In turn, Messieurs Piketty It is hardly surprising that corruption
and Milanovic have argued, the is often mentioned by survey
concentration of wealth at the top respondents who are dissatisfied
of society leads to political systems with their democratic political
becoming more susceptible to systems. Corruption serves as
the influence of the wealthiest, a visible reminder to voters of
leading to policies that tend to economic inequality. Transparency
disproportionately benefit these International’s multi-year Corruption
same groups. Lobbyists are Perceptions Index has pointed to
dominated by the wealthy and by corruption remaining a persistent
businesses, who have the resources issue, even in stable democracies.
Party membership 5m
Austria
Belgium 4m
Denmark
Finland
France 3m
Germany
Ireland
Italy 2m
Netherlands
Norway
Sweden 1m
Switzerland
United Kingdom
0
Source: Delwit, Pascal. (2011). Still in
Decline? Party Membership in Europe. 1946 1956 1966 1976 1986 1996 2006
It should not be difficult for political of the old certainties and political
parties to develop policy alternatives identities, political parties seemed
that distinguish them from their to be on a mission to find “the next
political rivals. That is because big idea”. Having lost their close
public policy alternatives arise connections with their former
naturally out of conflict over specific electoral base, they turned to
issues. The job of representative focus groups in a bid to find policy
political parties is to define and inspiration. Eventually, enough
shape the alternatives on issues politicians realised that they could
of contention. However, today’s do without “the vision thing”. Some
mainstream centrist parties have at political leaders in some countries
times struggled to present coherent made a virtue out of having no big
alternatives to the electorate in ways ideas and being “apolitical”. This
that allow them to endorse or reject was in part a reaction to the highly
programmes and leaders. partisan and adversarial politics of
the 1970s and 1980s. Tony Blair’s
The exceptions have been in “New Labour” UK government
places where populist leaders (1997-2007) backed a “third way”
have challenged the traditional that was an explicit repudiation of a
parties, such as in the US, where traditional ideological approach.
there was a clear contrast in policy
and leadership in the three most The managerial trend has led
recent presidential elections. In not only to the depoliticisation
Latin America, clear ideological of the centre, but also to the
divergence has also opened up depoliticisation of government itself.
between the likes of the libertarian Independent central banks have
Argentinian president, Javier Milei, taken responsibility for inflation
and Brazil’s left-wing president, management and monetary policy
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. These are away from politicians and handed
signs that these developments could it to economists and technocrats.
preview future changes in politics in There were arguments for this,
Europe. including the policy mistakes
of the earlier era and because
politicisation makes the central
bank’s function as a check on fiscal
An ideas deficit excess less effective. However,
it nevertheless reduced areas of
As governments have become more direct responsibility from politicians.
technocratic, they have struggled This model has now extended into
to advance a meaningful vision of other policy areas, so that the body
the future for their citizens; instead, politic perceives that decisions on
it is usually a short-term vision, and health, government budgets, the
the policy emphasis is on combating welfare system and other matters
crisis rather than on economic and of public interest are often taken
social transformation. by unelected experts rather than
elected politicians. The backlash,
For a few years after the end of the rightly or wrongly, is dissatisfaction
cold war, confronted with the end with experts and politicians alike.
Conclusion
This essay has highlighted evidence is not to throw out the baby with
that dissatisfaction with democracy the bathwater. The task is to renew
is being driven by a combination and reinvigorate it by bringing real
of declining trust in government to issues back into the arena of public
deliver economically and in other debate. It means having genuine
areas, the failure of politicians contestation over policy between
and political parties to offer clear competing parties. And it means (re)
choices and ideas, and growing building relations between parties
civic disengagement. Inequality and and the electorate. Democracy
corruption have eroded faith in the is hard work—it demands new
ability of democratic institutions to ideas, clear policies, engaging with
deliver for voters. Political parties voters, winning the arguments
have become disconnected from with them and mobilising them
voters, offering fewer meaningful to create a majority that can win
choices and failing to address major elections. Only such representative
societal challenges. At the same organisations based on the
time citizens feel excluded from grassroots are likely to be able to
decision-making processes. The rise carry through their programmes
of populist political movements is in government—because they will
one reaction to these trends. really be accountable to the people
who elected them—and capable of
The response to the challenges restoring trust in democracy.
faced by representative democracy
Table 3
Democracy across the regions
Democracy Full Flawed Authoritarian
No. of countries Hybrid regimes
index average democracies democracies regimes
North America
2024 2 8.27 1 1 0 0
2023 2 8.27 1 1 0 0
Western Europe
2024 21 8.38 15 5 1 0
2023 21 8.37 15 5 1 0
Eastern Europe & Central Asia
2024 28 5.35 2 13 5 8
2023 28 5.37 0 16 4 8
Latin America & the Caribbean
2024 24 5.61 2 10 8 4
2023 24 5.68 2 11 7 4
Asia & Australasia
2024 28 5.31 4 10 6 8
2023 28 5.41 5 10 5 8
Middle East & North Africa
2024 20 3.12 0 1 2 17
2023 20 3.23 0 1 2 17
Sub-Saharan Africa
2024 44 4.00 1 6 14 23
2023 44 4.04 1 6 15 22
Total
2024 167 5.17 25 46 36 60
2023 167 5.23 24 50 34 59
Source: EIU.
Western Europe
Western Europe is the highest- France and Belgium.
scoring region in the world in the
2024 Democracy Index, remaining Of the 21 countries in the region
above North America for a second covered by the index, five
consecutive year. North America’s (Luxembourg, Portugal, Spain,
score remained unchanged in 2024, Switzerland and the UK) improved
at 8.27, whereas that for western their score, ten retained the same
Europe increased slightly compared score as in 2023 and six (France,
with 2023, from 8.37 to 8.38. The Germany, Greece, Iceland, Italy and
improvement is barely noticeable, Turkey) deteriorated. The change in
but it nevertheless makes the region regime classification is noteworthy
a positive outlier, given that every for two countries in western Europe,
other region recorded a decline or, France and Portugal. After a decade
in the case of North America, no in the political and economic
change. In a year characterised by wilderness following the crisis of
regression everywhere else, this 2009, and having improved its
was an achievement of sorts. It does score on several counts since the
not mean to say, however, that all covid-19 pandemic, Portugal was
is well with democracy even in the upgraded from a “flawed democracy”
highest-ranking countries in the to a “full democracy”. However,
region. There is considerable voter political instability led France
dissatisfaction with the workings to be downgraded to a “flawed
of democracy among the high- democracy” after its score fell to
performing Nordics as well as in 7.99 (below the threshold of 8.00).
lower-ranking countries such as
Table 4
Western Europe 2024
I Electoral IV
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political V Civil
process and Political Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation liberties
pluralism culture
Full
Austria 8.28 19 12 9.58 7.50 8.89 6.88 8.53
democracy
Flawed
Belgium 7.64 34 18 9.58 8.21 5.00 6.88 8.53
democracy
Flawed
Cyprus 7.38 40 20 9.17 5.36 6.67 6.88 8.82
democracy
Full
Denmark 9.28 7 6 10.00 9.29 8.33 9.38 9.41
democracy
Full
Finland 9.30 6 5 10.00 9.64 7.78 9.38 9.71
democracy
Flawed
France 7.99 26 16 9.58 7.50 7.78 6.88 8.24
democracy
Full
Germany 8.73 13 10 9.58 8.21 8.33 8.13 9.41
democracy
Full
Greece 8.07 25 15 10.00 6.79 7.22 7.50 8.82
democracy
Full
Iceland 9.38 4 3 10.00 8.93 8.89 9.38 9.71
democracy
Flawed
Italy 7.58 37= 19 9.58 7.14 7.22 6.88 7.06
democracy
Full
Ireland 9.19 8 7 10.00 8.21 8.33 10.00 9.41
democracy
Full
Luxembourg 8.88 10 9 10.00 9.29 6.67 8.75 9.71
democracy
Flawed
Malta 7.93 27 17 9.17 7.14 6.67 8.13 8.53
democracy
Full
Netherlands 9.00 9 8 9.58 8.93 8.33 8.75 9.41
democracy
Full
Norway 9.81 1 1 10.00 9.64 10.00 10.00 9.41
democracy
Full
Portugal 8.08 23= 14 9.58 7.14 6.11 8.75 8.82
democracy
Full
Spain 8.13 21= 13 9.58 7.50 7.22 7.50 8.82
democracy
Full
Sweden 9.39 3 2 9.58 9.64 8.33 10.00 9.41
democracy
Full
Switzerland 9.32 5 4 9.58 9.29 8.33 10.00 9.41
democracy
Turkey 4.26 103= 21 3.50 4.64 6.11 5.00 2.06 Hybrid regime
Full
United Kingdom 8.34 17 11 9.58 7.50 8.33 6.88 9.41
democracy
Regional score 8.38 9.39 7.98 7.65 8.18 8.70
Source: EIU.
Western Europe boasts the largest Turkey, whose score fell slightly in
number of “full democracies” of 2024 to 4.26, from 4.33 in 2023.
any region (15 out of a total of 25 This score puts the country close
globally) and accounts for nine of to the bottom of the “hybrid regime”
the top ten ranked countries, with classification, and it is ranked 103rd
Luxembourg overtaking Australia out of 167.
in tenth position. The Nordics
continue to stand out as particularly The region registered an
high-scoring, occupying five of the improvement across two of the
top seven positions in the global five categories of the Democracy
rankings. Norway is in first place, Index in 2024—again bucking the
followed by New Zealand. Four of general trend of decline in most
the next five countries are Nordic regions—with the average scores
nations—Sweden, Iceland, Finland for political culture and civil liberties
and Denmark. These countries rising compared with 2023. The
boast high scores across all index regional score remained unchanged
categories, particularly electoral in the electoral process and pluralism
process and pluralism and civil category in what was a big election
liberties. The regional outlier is year in Europe. However, the average
5.25
Political culture
8.18
5.35
Civil liberties
8.70
5.17
Overall score
8.38
Source: EIU.
8.18
Political culture
8.10
8.70
Civil liberties
8.67
8.38
Overall score
8.37
Source: EIU.
North America
North America, comprising the (13th previously), after recording
US and Canada, remains a top a significant decline in its score
performer in the Democracy Index. in 2023. The US continues to trail
The region’s overall score stands Canada, with a score of 7.85 in
at 8.27 in 2024, unchanged from 2024, unchanged from 2023. The
2023, putting it just behind western US rose one spot to 28th position
Europe at 8.38. Canada retained in our global ranking, reflecting
its overall score of 8.69 in 2024, changes in other countries, but it
maintaining its “full democracy” remains in the “flawed democracy”
classification and leaving its category, where it has stood since
placement in our global ranking 2016.
almost unchanged, at 14th position
Table 5
North America 2024
I Electoral II Functioning IV
Overall Global Regional III Political V Civil Regime
process and of Political
score Rank rank participation liberties type
pluralism government culture
Full
Canada 8.69 14 1 10.00 8.21 8.89 7.50 8.82
democracy
United
Flawed
States of 7.85 28 2 9.17 6.43 8.89 6.25 8.53
democracy
America
Regional
8.27 9.58 7.32 8.89 6.88 8.68
score
Source: EIU.
One problem that could become to have bested him in their only
acute if it persists is the current matchup.
crop of unpopular leaders. This
could end up undermining North The Democratic primary was equally
America’s performance in the unconventional. No competitive
electoral process and pluralism and candidates challenged the
political participation categories, incumbent president, Joe Biden,
especially if cynicism towards the despite widespread misgivings
electoral process rises and voter about his advanced age and
participation wanes. Some of these suitability for office. When Mr Biden
dynamics were already visible in the belatedly withdrew his candidacy
2024 US election. Overall turnout on July 21st, he endorsed his vice-
approached record levels, but close president, Ms Harris, who was also
to 90m eligible voters did not cast unpopular, and the Democratic
their ballots, a 10% increase from Party quickly rallied behind her. This
the 2020 race. A key feature of closed off the option for an “open
the 2024 election was that both convention” to select Mr Biden’s
mainstream parties fielded highly replacement.
unpopular presidential candidates.
Democratic Party candidate Kamala Mr Biden’s late exit meant that
Harris had a 48% favourability Ms Harris had only three months to
rating and Mr Trump had a 50% campaign before election day. That
favourability rating, according to left her with little time to assemble
a 10-point favourability scale that and communicate a compelling
Gallup has used for presidential platform, which typically takes
nominees dating back to 1956, place over the course of at least
putting them close to the bottom of a year. Ms Harris also faced the
the scale historically. challenge of having to frame herself
as both a “continuity” and a “change”
Both parties also bypassed candidate, owing to polarised public
standard electoral norms during the attitudes about Mr Biden and his
candidate selection process and administration’s track record. The
the subsequent election campaign. result was a campaign that was light
Facing several Republican on details and often contradictory
challengers, Mr Trump refused to in its messaging. This made it more
participate in any primary debates, difficult for Ms Harris to connect
which normally function to inform with voters, and allowed Mr Trump
voters of their candidate choices. to set public perceptions about her
Given his popularity among candidacy.
Republican voters, Mr Trump was
always the front-runner despite Ms Harris wound up
the misgivings of many senior underperforming in what opinion
Republicans. Mr Trump became polls had suggested would be
the presumptive nominee in March an extremely close election,
and the official candidate in July, especially considering her
together with his vice-presidential opponent’s controversial public
running mate JD Vance. He declined profile. Mr Trump won the popular
subsequent presidential debates and electoral votes, swept all
after Ms Harris was widely agreed seven battleground states and his
5.25
Political culture
6.88
5.35
Civil liberties
8.68
5.17
Overall score
8.27
Source: EIU.
6.88
Political culture
6.88
8.68
Civil liberties
8.68
8.27
Overall score
8.27
Source: EIU.
party took control of both houses within his Liberal Party to step aside.
of Congress. Disengagement by Mr Trudeau finally announced his
Democratic voters played a key resignation in January 2025 after
role in this result. Turnout among losing support from his cabinet and
Democrats was lower than in 2020. allies in parliament. However, this
Ms Harris also failed to win over has left his party with little time to
traditionally Democrat-voting, regroup, select a new leader and
strategically important voters, win over voters ahead of the next
including women and non-white general election, which must be
voters, particularly Hispanics, and called by October 2025 but now
key electoral constituencies in large seems inevitable by the spring. The
urban areas and the suburbs. opposition Conservatives have a
double-digit polling lead and appear
Similar trends have emerged in best placed to win the election. This
Canada’s political system. The in part reflects the success of the
prime minister, Justin Trudeau, Conservative leader, Pierre Poilievre,
held on to power despite years of at targeting public discontent over
plummeting approval ratings and issues such as high living costs and
encouragement from elements immigration, which voters accuse
Table 6
Latin America 2024
I Electoral
II Functioning
Overall Global Regional process III Political IV Political V Civil
of Regime type
score Rank rank and participation culture liberties
government
pluralism
Flawed
Argentina 6.51 54= 9 9.17 5.00 6.11 3.75 8.53
democracy
Hybrid
Bolivia 4.26 103= 20 4.33 3.93 5.56 1.88 5.59
regime
Flawed
Brazil 6.49 57 10 9.58 5.00 6.11 5.00 6.76
democracy
Flawed
Chile 7.83 29 3 9.58 7.86 6.67 5.63 9.41
democracy
Flawed
Colombia 6.35 60 11 9.17 5.71 6.11 3.13 7.65
democracy
Full
Costa Rica 8.29 18 2 9.58 7.50 7.78 6.88 9.71
democracy
Cuba 2.58 135 22 0.00 2.86 3.33 3.75 2.94 Authoritarian
Dominican Flawed
6.62 52 8 9.17 5.00 7.22 4.38 7.35
Republic democracy
Hybrid
Ecuador 5.24 85 16 8.75 5.00 5.56 1.88 5.00
regime
Hybrid
El Salvador 4.61 95 18 6.17 3.21 5.56 3.13 5.00
regime
Hybrid
Guatemala 4.55 97 19 6.08 3.93 5.00 1.88 5.88
regime
Flawed
Guyana 6.11 69 12 6.92 6.07 6.11 5.00 6.47
democracy
Haiti 2.74 131 21 0.00 0.29 2.78 5.63 5.00 Authoritarian
Hybrid
Honduras 4.98 90 17 8.75 3.93 4.44 2.50 5.29
regime
Flawed
Jamaica 6.74 49 7 8.75 6.43 5.00 5.00 8.53
democracy
Hybrid
Mexico 5.32 84 15 6.92 5.00 7.22 1.88 5.59
regime
Nicaragua 2.09 147 24 0.00 2.14 2.78 3.75 1.76 Authoritarian
Flawed
Panama 6.84 47 5 9.58 5.71 7.22 3.75 7.94
democracy
Hybrid
Paraguay 5.92 75 13 8.33 5.36 6.67 1.88 7.35
regime
Hybrid
Peru 5.69 78 14 8.75 5.71 5.00 2.50 6.47
regime
Flawed
Suriname 6.79 48 6 9.58 5.36 6.67 5.00 7.35
democracy
Table 6
Latin America 2024
I Electoral
II Functioning
Overall Global Regional process III Political IV Political V Civil
of Regime type
score Rank rank and participation culture liberties
government
pluralism
Trinidad and Flawed
7.09 45 4 9.58 6.79 6.11 5.63 7.35
Tobago democracy
Full
Uruguay 8.67 15 1 10.00 9.29 7.78 6.88 9.41
democracy
Venezuela 2.25 142 23 0.00 1.07 5.00 3.13 2.06 Authoritarian
Regional
5.61 7.03 4.92 5.74 3.91 6.43
score
Source: EIU.
5.25
Political culture
3.91
5.35
Civil liberties
6.43
5.17
Overall score
5.61
Source: EIU.
3.91
Political culture
4.01
6.43
Civil liberties
6.54
5.61
Overall score
5.68
Source: EIU.
Table 7
Eastern Europe & Central Asia 2024
I Electoral II
IV
Overall Global Regional process Functioning III Political V Civil
Political Regime type
score Rank rank and of participation liberties
culture
pluralism government
Flawed
Albania 6.20 66 14 7.00 5.71 5.00 6.25 7.06
democracy
Armenia 5.35 82 17 7.92 4.29 6.11 3.13 5.29 Hybrid regime
Azerbaijan 2.80 126= 23 0.50 2.50 3.33 5.00 2.65 Authoritarian
Belarus 1.99 152 26 0.00 0.79 3.33 4.38 1.47 Authoritarian
Bosnia and
5.06 88 18 7.00 3.64 5.00 3.75 5.88 Hybrid regime
Hercegovina
Flawed
Bulgaria 6.34 61 11 8.75 5.36 5.56 4.38 7.65
democracy
Flawed
Croatia 6.50 56 10 9.17 6.07 6.11 4.38 6.76
democracy
Czech Full
8.08 23= 2 9.58 6.43 7.78 7.50 9.12
Republic democracy
Full
Estonia 8.13 21= 1 10.00 8.57 6.67 6.88 8.53
democracy
Georgia 4.70 94 20 5.67 3.21 5.56 3.75 5.29 Hybrid regime
Flawed
Hungary 6.51 54= 9 8.75 5.71 4.44 6.88 6.76
democracy
Kazakhstan 3.08 118 22 0.50 3.21 5.00 3.75 2.94 Authoritarian
Kyrgyz
3.52 111 21 3.42 1.86 3.89 3.13 5.29 Authoritarian
Republic
Flawed
Latvia 7.66 33 4 10.00 7.14 6.67 6.25 8.24
democracy
Flawed
Lithuania 7.59 36 5 10.00 7.14 6.67 5.63 8.53
democracy
Flawed
Moldova 6.04 71 15 6.50 5.36 7.22 4.38 6.76
democracy
Flawed
Montenegro 6.73 50 8 8.75 7.14 6.67 3.75 7.35
democracy
North Flawed
6.28 62 12 8.75 6.07 6.11 3.13 7.35
Macedonia democracy
Flawed
Poland 7.40 39 6 10.00 6.43 6.67 6.25 7.65
democracy
Romania 5.99 72 16 8.25 5.36 5.56 3.75 7.06 Hybrid regime
Russia 2.03 150= 25 0.00 2.14 2.22 3.75 2.06 Authoritarian
Flawed
Serbia 6.26 64 13 7.83 5.71 6.67 3.75 7.35
democracy
Table 7
Eastern Europe & Central Asia 2024
I Electoral II
IV
Overall Global Regional process Functioning III Political V Civil
Political Regime type
score Rank rank and of participation liberties
culture
pluralism government
Flawed
Slovakia 7.21 42 7 10.00 6.07 6.11 5.63 8.24
democracy
Flawed
Slovenia 7.82 30 3 9.58 7.50 7.22 6.25 8.53
democracy
Tajikistan 1.83 159 27 0.00 2.21 1.67 4.38 0.88 Authoritarian
Turkmenistan 1.66 161 28 0.00 0.79 2.22 5.00 0.29 Authoritarian
Ukraine 4.90 92 19 5.17 2.71 7.22 5.00 4.41 Hybrid regime
Uzbekistan 2.10 146 24 0.00 1.86 2.78 5.00 0.88 Authoritarian
Regional score 5.35 6.18 4.68 5.34 4.82 5.72
Source: EIU.
5.25
Political culture
4.82
5.35
Civil liberties
5.72
5.17
Overall score
5.35
Source: EIU.
4.82
Political culture
4.80
5.72
Civil liberties
5.77
5.35
Overall score
5.37
Source: EIU.
stand for a fifth term following the territory, inhabited by more than
constitutional change of 2020, was 3m Ukrainians, is under occupation
neither free nor fair. The incumbent by Russia; more than 6m Ukrainians
stood more or less unchallenged, are living as refugees in Europe; it is
after numerous potential opponents impossible to guarantee the security
were barred from standing, including of voters; and there would be no
Mr Navalny (who died a few weeks level playing field for all political
before the poll) and “anti-war” parties. However, surveys indicate
candidate Boris Nadezhdin. The that if a vote was held today, the
election was marred by the now president would lose.
familiar intimidation and widespread
fraud that accompany modern
Russian voting. Mr Putin was re-
elected with 88% of the vote, the Russia’s influence
highest percentage in post-Soviet on politics extends
Russia, in what was a foregone
conclusion. beyond its borders
Ukraine’s overall index score Russia’s influence loomed large
continued to deteriorate in 2024. over several elections in the region
The centralisation of power in the in 2024. Nowhere was this more
office of the president, Volodomyr evident than in Moldova, which
Zelenskyi, and the sidelining held a presidential election in
of government, parliament, the October 2024 and a constitutional
media and the opposition, has referendum in November. Allegations
been implemented alongside a of Russian interference included
robust interpretation of martial the dissemination of misinformation,
law, sparking criticism that the direct financial transfers to voters,
law is being used to insulate the and intimidation and threats against
presidency from political pressure those supporting the country’s EU
and extend the power of the office membership. Moldova’s overall index
of the president. Mobilisation efforts score fell from 6.23 in 2023 to 6.04
have run into problems as the death in 2024, and hence it just managed
count rises and demoralisation to retain its classification as a
creeps in, and the state has resorted “flawed democracy”. The main driver
to using roaming conscription of the deterioration in the country’s
gangs to drag men off the streets overall score was a sharp decline in
and into the army. Exhaustion and the electoral process and pluralism
frustration with progress in the war category, the score for which
have undermined public confidence declined from 7.42 in 2023 to 6.50.
in the state and in Mr Zelenskyi The European election monitoring
personally. Presidential elections organisation, the OSCE, assessed
which would normally have taken the polls themselves as well run,
place in March or April 2024 were while noting biased media coverage
suspended along with the legislative and legal deficiencies. However,
polls, according to martial law. the undisputable intervention
Organising free and fair elections of a foreign power in an attempt
in present circumstances would to influence the outcome led to
be impossible: 20% of Ukraine’s downgrades for several indicators.
Table 8
Asia & Australasia 2024
I Electoral
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
process and Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation culture liberties
pluralism
Afghanistan 0.25 167 28 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.00 Authoritarian
Full
Australia 8.85 11 2 10.00 8.57 7.22 8.75 9.71
democracy
Hybrid
Bangladesh 4.44 100= 20 6.08 2.57 5.00 5.00 3.53
regime
Hybrid
Bhutan 5.65 79 16 8.75 5.93 3.89 5.00 4.71
regime
Cambodia 2.94 123 21 0.00 2.36 5.00 5.00 2.35 Authoritarian
China 2.11 145 24 0.00 3.21 3.33 3.13 0.88 Authoritarian
Hybrid
Fiji 5.39 81 17 6.58 5.00 4.44 5.63 5.29
regime
Hybrid
Hong Kong 5.09 87 18 2.75 4.00 3.89 6.88 7.94
regime
Flawed
India 7.29 41 6 8.67 7.50 7.22 6.88 6.18
democracy
Flawed
Indonesia 6.44 59 11 7.92 6.79 7.22 5.00 5.29
democracy
Full
Japan 8.48 16 4 9.58 8.93 6.67 8.13 9.12
democracy
Laos 1.71 160 25 0.00 2.86 1.67 3.75 0.29 Authoritarian
Flawed
Malaysia 7.11 44 7 9.58 7.14 6.67 6.25 5.88
democracy
Flawed
Mongolia 6.53 53 10 8.75 5.71 6.67 5.63 5.88
democracy
Myanmar 0.96 166 27 0.00 0.00 1.67 3.13 0.00 Authoritarian
Hybrid
Nepal 4.60 96 19 4.83 5.36 5.00 2.50 5.29
regime
New Full
9.61 2 1 10.00 9.29 10.00 8.75 10.00
Zealand democracy
North Korea 1.08 165 26 0.00 2.50 1.67 1.25 0.00 Authoritarian
Pakistan 2.84 124= 22 0.83 4.29 2.78 2.50 3.82 Authoritarian
Papua New Hybrid
5.97 73 15 6.92 6.07 3.89 5.63 7.35
Guinea regime
Flawed
Philippines 6.63 51 9 8.75 4.64 8.33 4.38 7.06
democracy
Flawed
Singapore 6.18 68 14 5.33 7.14 4.44 7.50 6.47
democracy
South Flawed
7.75 32 5 9.58 7.50 7.22 5.63 8.82
Korea democracy
Table 8
Asia & Australasia 2024
I Electoral
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
process and Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation culture liberties
pluralism
Flawed
Sri Lanka 6.19 67 13 7.00 4.29 7.22 6.25 6.18
democracy
Full
Taiwan 8.78 12 3 10.00 8.57 7.78 8.13 9.41
democracy
Flawed
Thailand 6.27 63 12 6.50 5.00 8.33 5.63 5.88
democracy
Flawed
Timor-Leste 7.03 46 8 9.58 6.07 5.56 6.88 7.06
democracy
Vietnam 2.62 133 23 0.00 3.93 2.78 3.75 2.65 Authoritarian
Regional
5.31 5.64 5.19 5.20 5.29 5.25
score
Source: EIU.
Political 5.33
participation 5.20
5.25
Political culture
5.29
5.35
Civil liberties
5.25
5.17
Overall score
5.31
Source: EIU.
5.29
Political culture
5.22
5.25
Civil liberties
5.32
5.31
Overall score
5.41
Source: EIU.
with the judiciary playing a role in and manipulating the election result.
influencing electoral outcomes. The Similarly, in Pakistan’s general
Constitutional Court banned the election in February, there were
Move Forward Party, a progressive allegations of political repression
party that had won the most seats in and interference by the authorities.
the 2023 general election but had Elections in India were generally
been unable to form a government. judged to be free and fair, but the
The court’s decision confirmed that ruling party’s dominant influence
the conservative establishment over news media allowed it to shape
is still able under the current the political narrative.
constitution to thwart democratic
aspirations by managing the In Sri Lanka, there was a major
electoral process and its outcomes. political shift in 2024, with the
These developments raise questions unexpected victory of the left-
about the future of representative leaning National People’s Power
governance and political stability in (NPP) in both the presidential
the region. and parliamentary elections. The
outcome was a rebuke to the
long-ruling political establishment,
reflecting strong public demand for
South Asia had a change and accountability. Similarly,
tumultuous year in India’s election resulted in an
important political change: the ruling
2024 Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) lost its
single-party parliamentary majority
A series of dramatic events in South for the first time since 2014. Voters
Asia in 2024 casts significant doubt prioritised economic concerns such
over the future democratic trajectory as unemployment and living costs
of the sub-region. Countries such over the BJP’s divisive religious
as Bangladesh, India, Pakistan and rhetoric. Despite the rigging of the
Sri Lanka have faced significant election in Bangladesh, grassroots
challenges to their democratic movements emerged as agents
processes, including electoral for change. Youth-led initiatives
manipulation, divisive politics helped to foster a sense of agency
and political unrest. However, among younger generations who are
there are also signs of increased increasingly disillusioned with the
civic engagement and grassroots established political parties.
movements that point to the
potential for more democratisation. Despite these positive
developments, divisions based
Elections in South Asia in 2024 on religious and caste identities
were marred by fraud and violence. are used by ruling elites to shape
In Bangladesh, which held a general national political narratives and
election in January, there were sway voters. In Bangladesh, the
widespread allegations that the protests that ousted long-serving
ruling party suppressed dissent prime minister Sheikh Hasina
and curtailed media freedoms. revealed the intersection of political
The government was accused of unrest and sectarian violence.
intimidating opposition candidates The protests were not merely
Sub-Saharan Africa
The Democracy Index score for registered by far the biggest decline
Sub-Saharan Africa declined for a of 0.11 points. This is a consequence
second consecutive year in 2024. of government inefficiency and a
The regional average score dropped growing lack of trust among citizens
from 4.04 in 2023 to a record low of in governments’ capacity to improve
4.00. The deterioration over the past living conditions. This remains the
decade, from a regional high of 4.38 in weakest category in Sub-Saharan
2015, is the result of several factors. A Africa, with a score of 2.98. On
significant contributor to this decline this metric, Mauritius is the best-
is the rise of military rule within the performing country, scoring 7.86,
region’s “coup belt”, stretching from while the five worst-performing
Guinea in the west to Sudan in the (Burundi, Central African Republic,
east. Additionally, authoritarian rulers Chad, Guinea-Bissau and Mali)
have maintained their grip on power score 0.00.
through elections that lack fairness
and transparency. Furthermore, The region also recorded slight
inadequate state capacity has led declines in the average scores for
to the emergence of armed militias electoral process and pluralism
that operate independently or in the (3.41), political participation (4.43)
service of specific political agendas. and civil liberties (4.02). Notably,
These governance failures have the score for electoral process and
fostered growing disillusionment with pluralism remains significantly below
governments across the continent, the global average of 5.41. The only
leading to increased political area that showed any improvement
instability and, at times, violent social was political culture, the score
unrest. for which increased marginally
by 0.02 points, owing to positive
changes in a few countries, including
Senegal.
A lack of state
capacity and Of the region’s 44 countries
covered by the Democracy Index,
government 20 registered a deterioration in
dysfunction are their score, with the sharpest drops
recorded in Guinea-Bissau (-0.43),
derailing democracy Benin (-0.24), Comoros (-0.20) and
Burkina Faso, Eswatini, Mali and
The decline in the region’s overall Mauritania (-0.18). The scores for
index score was driven by a broad- seven countries improved—albeit
based decline across four of the from a low base—with the biggest
five index categories. The score improvement in Senegal (+0.45).
for functioning of government
Table 9
Sub-Saharan Africa 2024
I Electoral IV
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political V Civil
process and Political Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation liberties
pluralism culture
Angola 4.05 107 21 4.50 2.86 5.56 5.00 2.35 Hybrid regime
Benin 4.44 100= 17 1.75 5.36 4.44 6.25 4.41 Hybrid regime
Flawed
Botswana 7.63 35 2 9.58 6.43 6.11 7.50 8.53
democracy
Burkina Faso 2.55 137 33 0.00 2.14 3.33 3.75 3.53 Authoritarian
Burundi 2.13 144 37 0.00 0.00 3.89 5.00 1.76 Authoritarian
Flawed
Cabo Verde 7.58 37= 3 9.17 6.64 6.67 6.88 8.53
democracy
Cameroon 2.56 136 32 0.33 2.14 3.89 4.38 2.06 Authoritarian
Central
African 1.18 164 44 0.00 0.00 1.67 1.88 2.35 Authoritarian
Republic
Chad 1.89 158 43 0.00 0.00 3.33 3.75 2.35 Authoritarian
Comoros 2.84 124= 28 0.83 2.21 3.89 3.75 3.53 Authoritarian
Congo
2.79 128= 29 0.00 2.50 4.44 3.75 3.24 Authoritarian
(Brazzaville)
Côte d’Ivoire 4.22 105 19 4.33 2.86 4.44 5.63 3.82 Hybrid regime
Democratic
Republic of 1.92 156= 42 2.08 0.43 2.78 3.13 1.18 Authoritarian
Congo
Djibouti 2.70 132 30 0.00 1.64 3.89 5.63 2.35 Authoritarian
Equatorial
1.92 156= 41 0.00 0.43 3.33 4.38 1.47 Authoritarian
Guinea
Eritrea 1.97 153 40 0.00 2.14 0.56 6.88 0.29 Authoritarian
Eswatini 2.60 134 31 0.00 1.64 2.78 5.63 2.94 Authoritarian
Ethiopia 3.24 116 25 0.42 2.86 6.11 5.63 1.18 Authoritarian
Gabon 2.18 143 36 0.83 1.14 2.22 3.75 2.94 Authoritarian
Gambia 4.47 99 16 4.42 4.29 3.89 5.63 4.12 Hybrid regime
Flawed
Ghana 6.24 65 6 8.33 4.64 6.11 6.25 5.88
democracy
Guinea 2.04 149 38 0.00 0.43 3.33 4.38 2.06 Authoritarian
Guinea-
2.03 150= 39 2.17 0.00 2.78 3.13 2.06 Authoritarian
Bissau
Kenya 5.05 89 14 3.50 5.36 6.67 5.63 4.12 Hybrid regime
Table 9
Sub-Saharan Africa 2024
I Electoral IV
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political V Civil
process and Political Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation liberties
pluralism culture
Flawed
Lesotho 6.06 70 7 9.17 3.79 5.56 5.63 6.18
democracy
Liberia 5.57 80 11 7.83 2.71 6.11 5.63 5.59 Hybrid regime
Madagascar 5.33 83 12 6.58 3.93 6.11 5.63 4.41 Hybrid regime
Malawi 5.85 76 9 7.00 4.29 5.56 6.25 6.18 Hybrid regime
Mali 2.40 139 34 0.00 0.00 5.00 4.38 2.65 Authoritarian
Mauritania 3.96 108 22 3.50 3.21 5.56 3.13 4.41 Authoritarian
Full
Mauritius 8.23 20 1 9.58 7.86 6.11 8.75 8.82
democracy
Mozambique 3.38 113 23 1.67 1.43 5.56 5.00 3.24 Authoritarian
Flawed
Namibia 6.48 58 5 7.42 5.36 6.67 5.00 7.94
democracy
Niger 2.26 141 35 0.33 1.14 1.67 3.75 4.41 Authoritarian
Nigeria 4.16 106 20 5.17 3.57 3.89 3.75 4.41 Hybrid regime
Rwanda 3.34 114 24 1.42 4.29 3.33 5.00 2.65 Authoritarian
Senegal 5.93 74 8 7.42 5.36 4.44 6.25 6.18 Hybrid regime
Sierra Leone 4.32 102 18 4.83 2.86 3.89 5.00 5.00 Hybrid regime
Flawed
South Africa 7.16 43 4 9.17 6.79 7.78 5.00 7.06
democracy
Tanzania 5.20 86 13 4.42 5.00 5.00 6.88 4.71 Hybrid regime
Togo 2.99 121 26 0.92 2.14 3.33 5.63 2.94 Authoritarian
Uganda 4.49 98 15 3.42 3.57 3.89 6.88 4.71 Hybrid regime
Zambia 5.73 77 10 7.92 3.29 5.00 6.88 5.59 Hybrid regime
Zimbabwe 2.98 122 27 0.00 2.50 4.44 5.00 2.94 Authoritarian
Regional
4.00 3.41 2.98 4.43 5.16 4.02
score
Source: EIU.
5.25
Political culture
5.16
5.35
Civil liberties
4.02
5.17
Overall score
4.00
Source: EIU.
5.16
Political culture
5.14
4.02
Civil liberties
4.06
4.00
Overall score
4.04
Source: EIU.
free and fair nature of the May election. His mandate was further
election as well as anti-incumbency solidified when Pastef secured
sentiment. The ANC’s historic loss of an absolute majority, with 130
its legislative majority prompted the out of 165 seats in the November
party to form national-level power- parliamentary election. This was
sharing agreements for the first achieved against a backdrop of
time. In an effort to enhance political widespread public unrest over
stability, the ANC established the attempts by the former president,
Government of National Unity Macky Sall, to extend his tenure
(GNU), which includes centrist by delaying the presidential poll
parties such as the Democratic (initially scheduled for February) and
Alliance (DA) and the Inkatha using intimidation tactics to exclude
Freedom Party (IFP). As a result, opposition candidates. Both Mr Faye
South Africa’s overall score improved and Ousmane Sonko, a popular
to 7.16, from 7.05 in 2023. Similarly, leader within Pastef, who was barred
Botswana experienced a momentous from running, were incarcerated
political change at the October just months before their electoral
election, when the opposition party success.
Umbrella for Democratic Change
(UDC), led by Duma Boko, ended In Mauritius, the opposition
nearly six decades of rule by the Alliance for Change, led by Navin
Botswana Democratic Party (BDP). Ramgoolam, won a landslide victory
The peaceful transfer of power in the November elections. The
affirmed Botswana’s commitment to smooth and peaceful transfer of
democratic principles, as it began a power illustrated the strength of the
new phase in its political history. democratic system in the country,
recognised as the region’s only “full
Several west African countries also democracy” and ranked 20th in
experienced significant political the index. This political shift was
shifts as opposition parties ousted driven by public dissatisfaction with
incumbents in elections. In Ghana, persistent corruption and economic
the opposition candidate, John challenges under the previous
Mahama, representing the National administration of Pravind Jugnauth.
Democratic Congress (NDC),
achieved a sweeping victory in The 2024 Democracy Index
the December presidential and presents a complex picture of
legislative elections, owing to Sub-Saharan Africa. Although the
widespread public frustration with overall trend is one of a decline in
the economic situation, including democracy across the region, the
a cost-of-living crisis and issues electoral successes in Botswana,
related to debt default. Ghana, Mauritius, Senegal and
South Africa offer reasons for
In Senegal, anti-establishment optimism. Amid repression,
leader Bassirou Diomaye Faye, of particularly in areas under military
the opposition Patriotes africains rule, civil society movements and
pour le travail, l’éthique et la political opposition continue to
fraternité (Pastef) party, became organise, reflecting strong popular
Africa’s youngest president at the aspirations for political change and
age of 44 in the March presidential greater democracy.
Table 10
Middle East 2024
I Electoral
Overall Global Regional II Functioning III Political IV Political V Civil
process and Regime type
score Rank rank of government participation culture liberties
pluralism
Algeria 3.55 110 5 3.08 2.50 3.33 5.00 3.82 Authoritarian
Bahrain 2.45 138 14 0.42 2.36 3.33 4.38 1.76 Authoritarian
Egypt 2.79 128= 12 0.42 2.86 3.89 5.00 1.76 Authoritarian
Iran 1.96 154 17 0.00 2.50 3.33 2.50 1.47 Authoritarian
Iraq 2.80 126= 11 4.83 0.00 6.11 1.88 1.18 Authoritarian
Flawed
Israel 7.80 31 1 9.58 7.50 9.44 6.88 5.59
democracy
Jordan 3.28 115 7 3.08 2.86 4.44 2.50 3.53 Authoritarian
Kuwait 2.78 130 13 0.92 3.21 2.78 3.75 3.24 Authoritarian
Lebanon 3.56 109 4 3.08 0.79 6.67 3.13 4.12 Authoritarian
Libya 2.31 140 15 1.25 0.00 3.89 3.75 2.65 Authoritarian
Morocco 4.97 91 2 5.25 4.29 5.56 5.63 4.12 Hybrid regime
Oman 3.05 120 10 0.08 3.57 2.78 5.00 3.82 Authoritarian
Palestine 3.44 112 6 1.58 0.00 8.33 3.75 3.53 Authoritarian
Qatar 3.17 117 8 0.00 3.93 2.78 5.63 3.53 Authoritarian
Saudi
2.08 148 16 0.00 3.57 2.22 3.13 1.47 Authoritarian
Arabia
Sudan 1.46 162 19 0.00 0.00 1.11 5.63 0.59 Authoritarian
Syria 1.32 163 20 0.00 0.00 2.22 4.38 0.00 Authoritarian
Tunisia 4.71 93 3 3.42 3.93 5.56 5.63 5.00 Hybrid regime
United Arab
3.07 119 9 0.00 4.29 2.78 5.63 2.65 Authoritarian
Emirates
Yemen 1.95 155 18 0.00 0.00 3.89 5.00 0.88 Authoritarian
Regional
3.12 1.85 2.41 4.22 4.41 2.74
score
Source: EIU.
5.25
Political culture
4.41
5.35
Civil liberties
2.74
5.17
Overall score
3.12
Source: EIU.
4.41
Political culture
4.44
2.74
Civil liberties
2.69
3.12
Overall score
3.23
Source: EIU.
Appendix
Defining and measuring
democracy
There is no consensus on how to basic features is sufficient for a
measure democracy. Definitions of satisfactory concept of democracy.
democracy are contested, and there As discussed below, there is a
is a lively debate on the subject. question as to how far the definition
The issue is not only of academic may need to be widened.
interest. For example, although
democracy promotion is high on the Some insist that democracy is,
list of US foreign-policy priorities, necessarily, a dichotomous concept:
there is no consensus within the US a state is either democratic or not.
government as to what constitutes But most measures now appear to
a democracy. As one observer put adhere to a continuous concept, with
it: “The world’s only superpower is the possibility of varying degrees
rhetorically and militarily promoting of democracy. At present, the
a political system that remains best-known measure is produced
undefined—and it is staking its by the US-based Freedom House
credibility and treasure on that organisation. The average of its
pursuit,” (Horowitz, 2006, p. 114). indexes, on a 1 to 7 scale, of political
freedom (based on 10 indicators)
Although the terms “freedom” and of civil liberties (based on 15
and “democracy” are often used indicators) is often taken to be a
interchangeably, the two are not measure of democracy.
synonymous. Democracy can be
seen as a set of practices and The Freedom House measure is
principles that institutionalise, and available for all countries, and
thereby, ultimately, protect freedom. stretches back to the early 1970s. It
Even if a consensus on precise has been used heavily in empirical
definitions has proved elusive, most investigations of the relationship
observers today would agree that, between democracy and various
at a minimum, the fundamental economic and social variables. The
features of a democracy include so-called Polity Project provides,
government based on majority rule for a smaller number of countries,
and the consent of the governed; the measures of democracy and regime
existence of free and fair elections; types, based on rather minimalist
the protection of minority rights; definitions, stretching back to the
and respect for basic human rights. 19th century. These have also been
Democracy presupposes equality used in empirical work.
before the law, due process and
political pluralism. A question arises Freedom House also measures a
as to whether reference to these narrower concept, that of “electoral
respected, but which also tend Elections, if they do occur, are not
to be underpinned by a political free and fair. There is disregard
culture conducive to the flourishing for abuses and infringements of
of democracy. The functioning of civil liberties. Media are typically
government is satisfactory. Media state-owned or controlled by groups
are independent and diverse. There connected to the ruling regime.
is an effective system of checks There is repression of criticism
and balances. The judiciary is of the government and pervasive
independent and judicial decisions censorship. There is no independent
are enforced. There are only limited judiciary.
problems in the functioning of
democracies.
Further reading
Applebaum, Anne (2024). Autocracy Inc: The Dictators Who Want to Run the
World. London: Allen Lane.
Dahl, Robert A. (1989). Democracy and Its Critics. New Haven & London: Yale
University Press.
Dunn, John (2005). Setting the People Free: The Story of Democracy. London:
Atlantic Books.
Eatwell, Roger and Matthew Goodwin (2018). National Populism: The Revolt
Against Liberal Democracy. London: Pelican Books.
Fukuyama, Francis (2011). The Origins of Political Order: From Prehuman Times
to the French Revolution. London: Profile Books.
Fukuyama, Francis (2014). Political Order and Political Decay: From the
Industrial Revolution to the Globalisation of Democracy. London: Profile Books.
Garton Ash, Timothy (2016). Free Speech: Ten Principles for a Connected
World. New Haven & London: Yale University Press.
Gentry, John A (2023). Neutering the CIA: Why US Intelligence Versus Trump
Has Long-Term Consequences. Colorado: Armin Lear Press.
Gray, John (2023). The New Leviathans: Thoughts After Liberalism. London:
Allen Lane.
Hoey, Joan (2015). Democracy on the Edge: Populism and Protest. Report by
The Economist Intelligence Unit for the BBC.
Holmes, Stephen and Ivan Krastev (2019). The Light that Failed: A Reckoning.
New York: Allen Lane.
Horowitz, Irving Louis (2006). The struggle for democracy, National Interest,
Spring, No 83.
Inglehart, Ronald and Pippa Norris (2019). Cultural Backlash: Trump, Brexit,
and Authoritarian Populism. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Lasch, Christopher (1995). The Revolt of the Elites and the Betrayal Of
Democracy. New York: W.W. Norton & Company.
Levitsky, Steven and Daniel Ziblatt (2018). How Democracies Die: What
History Reveals About Our Future. New York: Penguin.
Lilla, Mark (2017). The Once and Future Liberal: After Identity Politics. New
York: Harper.
Lind, Michael (2020). The New Class War: Saving Democracy from The
Metropolitan Elite. London: Atlantic Books.
Luce, Edward (2017). The Retreat of Western Liberalism. London: Little, Brown.
Mair, Peter (2013). Ruling the Void: The Hollowing of Western Democracy.
London: Verso.
Milanovic, Branko (2019). Capitalism Alone: The Future of the System That
Rules the World. Cambridge, Massachusetts: The Belknap Press of Harvard
University Press.
Rodrik, Dani (2011). The Globalisation Paradox: Why Global Markets, States,
and Democracy Can’t Coexist. Oxford: Oxford University Press.London: Verso.
Rose, Flemming (2014). The Tyranny of Silence. Washington, DC: Cato Institute.
Rose, Richard and Munro, Neil (2009). Parties and Elections in New European
Democracies. Colchester: ECPR Press. University of Essex.
Streeck, Wolfgang (2024). Taking Back Control? States and State Systems
After Globalism.
Wolf, Martin (2023). The Crisis of Democratic Capitalism. London: Allen Lane.
Youngs, Richard (2019). Civic Activism Unleashed: New Hope or False Dawn
for Democracy? Oxford: Oxford University Press.
The complete analysis outlined in this report is exclusively available through our
Country Analysis service. To arrange a demonstration or explore its features and
content, please contact us or visit eiu.com.
Tel: +44 (0)20 7576 8000 Tel: +1 212 541 0500 Tel: + 852 2585 3888
E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected] E-mail: [email protected]
Gurgaon Dubai
Economist Intelligence Economist Intelligence
9th Floor PO Box No - 450056
Infinity Tower A Office No - 1301A
DLF Cyber City Aurora Tower
Gurugram 122002 Dubai Media City
Haryana Dubai
India United Arab Emirates