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hypothesis 练习答案

The document contains statistical problems related to the heights of females and probabilities in games of chance. It includes tasks such as finding specific height thresholds, calculating proportions, and conducting hypothesis tests at a 5% significance level. Additionally, it addresses errors in hypothesis testing and the implications of those errors on conclusions drawn from the data.

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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
19 views13 pages

hypothesis 练习答案

The document contains statistical problems related to the heights of females and probabilities in games of chance. It includes tasks such as finding specific height thresholds, calculating proportions, and conducting hypothesis tests at a 5% significance level. Additionally, it addresses errors in hypothesis testing and the implications of those errors on conclusions drawn from the data.

Uploaded by

vyb8qpq57y
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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com

5.5. The heights of females from a country are normally distributed with
• a mean of 166.5 cm
• a standard deviation of 6.1 cm
Given that 1% of females from this country are shorter than k cm,
(a) find the value of k
(2)
(b) Find the proportion of females from this country with heights between 150 cm
and 175 cm
(1)
A female, from this country, is chosen at random from those with heights between
150 cm and 175 cm
(c) Find the probability that her height is more than 160 cm
(4)
The heights of females from a different country are normally distributed with a standard
deviation of 7.4 cm
Mia believes that the mean height of females from this country is less than 166.5 cm
Mia takes a random sample of 50 females from this country and finds the mean of her
sample is 164.6 cm
(d) Carry out a suitable test to assess Mia’s belief.
You should
• state your hypotheses clearly
• use a 5% level of significance
(4)
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1.
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2. Naasir is playing a game with two friends. The game is designed to be a game of chance
3.
1
so that the probability of Naasir winning each game is

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3
Naasir and his friends play the game 15 times.
(a) Find the probability that Naasir wins
(i) exactly 2 games,
(ii) more than 5 games.
(3)
1
Naasir claims he has a method to help him win more than of the games. To test this claim,
3
the three of them played the game again 32 times and Naasir won 16 of these games.
(b) Stating your hypotheses clearly, test Naasir’s claim at the 5% level of significance.
(4)
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3.
5. Past records show that 15% of customers at a shop buy chocolate. The shopkeeper believes
that moving the chocolate closer to the till will increase the proportion of customers buying
chocolate.

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After moving the chocolate closer to the till, a random sample of 30 customers is taken
and 8 of them are found to have bought chocolate.
Julie carries out a hypothesis test, at the 5% level of significance, to test the shopkeeper’s belief.
Julie’s hypothesis test is shown below.
H0 : p = 0.15
H1 : p . 0.15
Let X = the number of customers who buy chocolate.
X ~ B(30, 0.15)
P(X = 8) = 0.0420
0.0420  0.05 so reject H0

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There is sufficient evidence to suggest that the proportion of customers buying
chocolate has increased.
(a) Identify the first two errors that Julie has made in her hypothesis test.
(2)
(b) Explain whether or not these errors will affect the conclusion of her hypothesis test.
Give a reason for your answer.
(1)
(c) Find, using a 5% level of significance, the critical region for a one-tailed test of the
shopkeeper’s belief. The probability in the tail should be less than 0.05
(2)
(d) Find the actual level of significance of this test.
(1)
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Question 5 continued
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4.
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AMg-odeta oq. B A
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1.
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6
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1-
0.910*10.910 Was our answer to part a)
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Now if let ✗ be a random Variable which denotes the number of strips
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,
we

be used then we're that ✗ is


binomially
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that cannot have
going to
distributed with,
n 10 and
p 0.09
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=
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=
µ > 50.1cm 1
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standard error of the mean : ohh


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PhysicsAndMathsTutor.com

4.
5. The lifetime, L hours, of a battery has a normal distribution with mean 18 hours and
standard deviation 4 hours.

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Alice’s calculator requires 4 batteries and will stop working when any one battery reaches

Hf
the end of its lifetime.

B.
(a) Find the probability that a randomly selected battery will last for longer than 16 hours.
(1)
At the start of her exams Alice put 4 new batteries in her calculator.
She has used her calculator for 16 hours, but has another 4 hours of exams to sit.
(b) Find the probability that her calculator will not stop working for Alice’s remaining exams.
(5)
Alice only has 2 new batteries so, after the first 16 hours of her exams, although her
calculator is still working, she randomly selects 2 of the batteries from her calculator and
replaces these with the 2 new batteries.

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(c) Show that the probability that her calculator will not stop working for the remainder
of her exams is 0.199 to 3 significant figures.
(3)

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After her exams, Alice believed that the lifetime of the batteries was more than 18 hours.

µp÷÷÷
She took a random sample of 20 of these batteries and found that their mean lifetime was
19.2 hours.
(d) Stating your hypotheses clearly and using a 5% level of significance, test Alice’s belief.
(5)
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÷÷÷÷÷÷÷÷÷:÷÷÷÷:÷
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tf
Question 2 continued
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µ
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:
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O 08997
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0.05

,
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cient evidence to Ho ①
reject

-

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⑧µ•
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µIi
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(Total for Question 2 is 7 marks)

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