Week 3 - Data Assignment FC
Week 3 - Data Assignment FC
Insert here the graph for the sales data of the last 4 years
Chart Title
180,000
160,000
SMA
140,000
120,000 WMA
100,000 ES
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
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The most accurate forecast method for this data is: exponential smoothing because it has the
3-year
t-1 = 60%, t-2 =30%, t-3=10% of the newest(most recent) to the oldest
Alpha = 0,7
oothing because it has the smallest average number
Insert here the graph for the sales data of the last 4 years
Forecast 2023 MAD
SMA WMA Exponential Smoothing SMA WMA
SMA 3-year
WMA t-1 = 60%, t-2 =30%, t-3=10%
ES Alpha = 0,7
MAD
Exponential Smoothing
TREKKING Year Foreca
Month 2020 2021 2022 2023 Forecast 2022 SMA
January 48364 50782 41133 40722 49573
February 53195 56387 51876 48245 54791
March 66260 68911 62020 58299 67586
April 73369 77037 73185 71722 75203
May 100343 107367 97704 90865 103855
June 115602 124850 118608 107933 120226
July 114983 118432 106589 104457 116708
August 84128 87494 74370 72139 85811
September 76138 79184 71266 68415 77661
October 50203 53215 42572 39592 51709
November 52538 56216 53405 48599 54377
December 41072 42715 36307 33403 41894
Insert here the graph for the sales data of the last 4 years
SMA
WMA
ES
Forecast 2023 MAD
WMA Exponential Smoothing SMA WMA Exponential Smoothing
3-year
t-1 = 60%, t-2 =30%, t-3=10%
Alpha = 0,7
E-BIKE Year
Month 2020 2021 2022 2023 Forecast 2022
January 25956 40751 44827 49757 33354
February 24789 39911 44900 50287 32350
March 25689 40589 45460 50960 33139
April 28956 47488 53852 60260 38222
May 28956 44014 50175 55193 36485
June 29103 48603 55893 63159 38853
July 29058 46784 52398 58162 37921
August 29455 46539 52124 58379 37997
September 28345 48187 53488 59906 38266
October 28034 45696 52093 58344 36865
November 27940 44146 49885 55871 36043
December 28165 43656 49768 55740 35911
Insert here the graph for the sales data of the last 4 years
Forecast 2023 MAD
SMA WMA Exponential Smoothing SMA WMA
SMA 3-year
WMA t-1 = 60%, t-2 =30%, t-3=10%
ES Alpha = 0,7
MAD
Exponential Smoothing