Module 2 -updated-2025-ppt
Module 2 -updated-2025-ppt
• FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT 2
• MODULE 2
• Module 2
• Cost of capital –RECAP
• Capital Budgeting : Analysis of Cash Flows
• Risk analysis in Capital Budgeting
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WACC.. Contd..
• If the firm’s only investors were common stock holders ,then
cost of capital would have been = the required rate of return
on equity
WACC.. expression
• WACC = wd. Kd + we.Ke + wpe.Kpe
• where wd, we and wpe are the respective weights or
proportions of debt, equity and preferred equity(
market value based not book value) in the total capital
employed
• Kd, Ke and Kpe are the required rates of return by the
debt, equity and preferred equity holders.
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WACC implication
• A company says that its current WACC is 20%.
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Cost of Debt
• The rate of return required by the debt holders…
• Cost of debt should be ‘relevant’ or ‘marginal’ and not
the same as the ‘average’ cost of all previously issued
debt which are also called ‘historical or embedded rate’.
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• If the company has already issued bonds in the past, then the
yield to maturity on these debt issues, is the estimate of
market required rate of return on the firm’s debt. In this case,
the coupon rate will be irrelevant because the coupon rate was
approximately the rate of return that was asked by the market
when the bond was issued.
• If the firm has never issued debt in the past, then one could
also look at YTMs of bond issues of similar firms, for a
reasonable estimate of debt cost.
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Practice Problem 18
• A corporation has 10,000 bonds outstanding with a 6%
annual coupon rate, 8 years to maturity, a $1,000 face
value, and a $1,100 market price.
• The company’s 100,000 shares of preferred stock pays a $3
annual dividend, and sell for $30 per share.
• The company’s 500,000 shares of common stock sell for $25
per share, have a beta of 1.5, the risk free rate is 4%, and
the market return is 12%.
• Assuming a 40% tax rate, what is the company’s WACC?
• 9.8%
• module-2 -numericals.xlsx
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'
#& = # " + ! " %&%#$ ! ! # " !
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Cyclicality of Revenues
• Highly cyclical stocks have high betas :
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Cyclicality of Revenues..contd..
• Note that cyclicality is not the same as
variability—stocks with high standard deviations
need not have high betas.
• Movie producing firms have revenues that are variable,
depending upon whether they produce “hits” or “flops”,
but their revenues are not especially dependent upon
the business cycle. Hence they tend to have high
variability (σ ) but not necessarily high beta.
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Operating Leverage
• The degree of operating leverage measures how
sensitive a firm’s (or project’s) EBIT is to its sales.
• Operating leverage increases as fixed costs rise and variable
costs fall. If most costs are fixed they do not decline when
demand and hence sales falls, then the firm will have high
DOL.
• Operating leverage magnifies the effect of cyclicality on beta.
• The degree of operating leverage is given by:
D EBIT Sales
DOL = ×
EBIT D Sales
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Operating Leverage..contd..
D EBIT
$ Total
costs
Fixed costs
D Volume
Fixed costs
Volume
Operating leverage increases as fixed costs rise and variable costs fall. The
Operating leverage of green firm is more than that of red firm. The profits
of the green firm are more responsive to changes in sales than the red
firm=> more business risk => higher unlevered beta.
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• Why ?
• One source of additional risk is the increased risk of financial
distress (e.g., bankruptcy).
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• RS = RF + BRP + FRP
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Expected
Return on
Financial risk
the Firm’s
premium
Stock
Business premium
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& "#
! E = ! D $& +%& ' #$ !
% !"
!)
• Alternatively, !* =
#
ED +&D ! $% !
"
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Example
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Solution
• Current estimated cost of equity :
• Currently, D/E =0.33
• Currently Observed ( levered ) beta = 1.24
• Rs= rf + beta ( Rm-Rf)
• = 7% + 1.24*(15%-7%) = 16.92%
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Solution ..contd..
• Unlevering Adani’s Beta :
• ! = E
!)*)+, = (%*+ = 1.06
! "#"$% #
D ! + & ! ! $% ! )( + $%&'!$%##!"
"
"
• Re-levering Adani’s beta with the new proposed ! = 1.0
& "#
! D = ! & $! + % ! ' #$ ! = 1.06 [1+(.50)(1.0)]= 1.59
% !"
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Solution .. Contd ..
SOME MORE SCENARIOS
Debt Ratio Adani’s Beta Adani’s estimated cost of
equity RS
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• Alternatively,
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Practice Problem 19
• Your company is considering a project that will cost
$1 million. The project will generate after-tax cash
flows of $250,000 per year for 7 years. The WACC is
15% and the firm’s target D/E ratio is .6 The
flotation cost for equity is 5% and the flotation cost
for debt is 3%.
• What is the NPV of the project without considering
floatation cost?
• What is the NPV for the project after adjusting for
flotation costs?
• 40,000 , -4281
• module-2 -numericals.xlsx
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Practice Problem 20
• Javits and Sons’ common stock currently trades at
$30.00 a share. It is expected to pay an annual
dividend of $3.00 a share at the end of year (
D1=$3.00) and that is expected to grow at a constant
growth rate of 5% a year.
• a. What is the company’s cost of common equity if all
of its equity comes from retained earnings ?
• b. If the company issued new stock at the current
market price it would incur a 10% floatation cost.
What would be the cost of equity from new stock?
• 15%, 16.11%
• module-2 -numericals.xlsx
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problem 21
• A company has a debt equity ratio of 0.75. The
company is considering a new plant that will cost $125
million to build. When the company issues new
equity, it incurs a floatation cost of 8%.The floatation
cost on new debt is 3.5%.What will be the actual cost
of the plant if the company raises all equity
externally? What if it typically uses 60% retained
earnings? What if all equity investment is financed
through retained earnings?
• $133,079,848
• $129,303,975
• $126,903,553
• module-2 -numericals.xlsx
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• When you are faced with this problem , the following general rules
should be adhered to :
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• First :
• Accountants consider profit ‘as it is earned’ i.e a revenue is
considered as it accrues rather than when the company
actually receives the money from the customers.
• Similarly when an expense is incurred it is considered
immediately as an expense although actual cash outflow
towards that may happen later.
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• $2,400,000
• module-2 -numericals.xlsx
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• Example:
• An old warehouse is to be converted into a selling
outlet--- the next best alternative was to sell the
warehouse @$10,000. which is given up if the project is
taken. $10,000 is considered to be the opportunity cost.
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• In a typical capital Budgeting analysis , firms calculate the project’s cash flows
under the assumption that the project is financed only with equity. The
adjustments for debt financing are made in the discount rate rather than the
cash flows.
• This is done by discounting the project’s cash flows by a weighted average(WACC)
of the costs of debt, preferred stock and common equity adjusted for each
component’s risk. The WACC is the rate of return necessary to satisfy all of the
firm’s investors both stock holders and debt holders.
• Thus the cash flows in the numerator are the total cash flows available for all
the stakeholders in the project/company
• if we would have deducted interest expenses then the residual cash flows will be
the ones available only to equity holders) and
• the discount rate in the denominator is the effective rate that is required to
satisfy all the stakeholders in the company-the tax adjusted WACC.
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• As a consequence
• net cash flow will be reduced by the cash outflow for additional
capital expenditures(CAPEX).
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Finding ∆CAPEX
• IF Ending NFA = Beginning NFA - Depreciation
• THEN Net Capital Spending (∆CAPEX) = 0
+ Depreciation 65
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• This is also sometimes called the Free Cash Flow and it is the cash
flow that is available to service both bondholders and equity
holders ( and preferred equity holders , if any) who have supplied
respectively debt and equity ( and preferred equity).
• Hence the suitable discount rate to be used for discounting
this is WACC( post tax) .
• Method known as Free cash Flow approach or WACC approach.
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Practice Problem 23
• Phone Home Inc, is considering a new three year expansion
project that requires an initial fixed asset investment of $4.2
million. The fixed asset will be depreciated straight line to zero
over its three year tax life, after which time it will be worthless.
The project is estimated to generate $3,100,000 in annual sales ,
with costs of $990,000. If the tax rate is 35%, what is the OCF for
this project ?
• The required return on the project is 12%. What is the project’s
NPV?
• Suppose the project requires an initial investment in net
working capital of $300,000 ( to be recovered at the end) and
the fixed asset will have a market value of $210,000 at the end
of the project( book value is zero). What is the project’s year 0
net cash flow? Year 1? Year 2? Year 3? What is the new NPV?
• 1,861,500
• 271009
• 281700
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year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 Initial investment 1000
2 Depreciation 250 188 141 105 79 59
Accumulated
3 Depreciation 250 438 578 684 763 822
4 Book value ( 1-4) 750 563 422 316 237 178
5 Net woking capital 20 30 50 70 70 30 0
6 Salvage Value 100
7 Revenues 550 890 1840 2020 1680 1300
8 Expenses 300 472 958 1075 890 680
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NPV 582
IRR 34.91%
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Replacement Chain
• Use the replacement chain to calculate an extended
NPVB to a common life.
• Since Machine B has a 2-year life and Machine A has
a 4-year life, the common life is 4 years.
0 1 2 3 4
10%
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• Project Risk :
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• Sensitivity analysis
• Scenario analysis
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Sensitivity Analysis
• 1) Sensitivity Analysis :
• A way to analyse how much the project’s NPV or IRR
gets affected by a change in one of the input/affecting
variables ( on revenue side or cost side) other variables
being kept constant.
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($3,000. 00)
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Scenario Analysis
• Sensitivity Analysis assumes that the variables affecting the NPV are
independent of each other . So it analyses the effect one by one.
• However there can be inter relationship between variables. For example sales
volume and operating cost may both be related to price. A price cut may lead
to high sales and thus low operating costs.
• Scenario analysis examines what happens to the NPV under different cash
flow scenarios (caused by different combination of inputs)?
• At the very least look at:
• Best case – high revenues, low costs
• Worst case – low revenues, high costs
• Normal case – somewhere in between
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Scenario Analysis..example
Suppose we have the following NPV numbers after analysis for
the base case, best case and worst case scenarios
Figs in
,000 s Prob 0 1 2 3 4 WACC NPV
Best case 25% ($750) $2,685 $2,520 $2,390 $2,135 7.50% $7,450.38
Base case 50% ($1,000) $500 $400 $300 $100 10.00% $78.82
Worst Case 25% ($1,250) ($1,077) ($1,119) ($1,213) ($1,343) 12.50% ($4,782.40)
Expected NPV $706.40
SD $5,028.94
Coefficient of
Variation
=SD/Exp(NPV) $7.12
If the coefficient of variation for the firm’s average risk project is 2.0 , then a CV
of 7.12 would imply the project is considerably riskier than other projects of
the firm.
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• Capital structure
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Current Proposed
Assets 20000 20000
Debt 0 8000
Equity 20000 12000
D/E 0.00 0.67
Interest Rate n/a 8%
Shares o/s 400 240
Share Price 50 50
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10.00 Debt
8.00 No Debt
point to debt
4.00
2.00
0.00
1,000 2,000 3,000
(2.00) Disadvantage EBIT in dollars, no taxes
to debt
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MM-Proposition I
• Modigliani and Miller (MM) have a convincing
argument that a firm cannot change the total value
of its outstanding securities by changing the
proportions of its capital structure.
• In other words,
• no capital structure is any better or worse than any
other capital structure for the firm’s stockholders.
• This statement is the famous MM Proposition I.
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• Anyone desiring shares in the levered firm would get the same
dollar return more cheaply by borrowing to finance a purchase
of the unlevered firm’s shares.
• The equilibrium result would be, of course, that the value of the
levered firm would fall, and the value of the unlevered firm
would rise until they became equal.
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MM-Proposition II ( No taxes )
• From the example we have seen two important things :
• the expected return on unlevered equity is 10% while the
expected return on levered equity is 11.3%.
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• implies that the required return on equity is a linear function of the firm’s debt-
to-equity ratio.
• Examining the relation we see that if R0 exceeds the debt rate, RD ,then the cost
of equity rises with increases in the debt-equity ratio, D/E.
• Normally, R0 should exceed RD. -- because even unlevered equity is risky, it should
have an expected return greater than that of riskless debt.
• Relation holds for our example firm ABC:
• 11.3% = 10% + (8000/12,000)*(10%-8%)
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" "
C#A%% = ! C" + ! C!
"+! "+!
• where
• rD is the interest rate, also called the cost of debt
• rE is the expected return on equity or stock, also called the cost of equity
or the required return on equity
• rWACC is the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
• D is the value of the firm’s debt or bonds
• E is the value of the firm’s stock or equity
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" "
C#A%% = ! C" + ! C!
R0 "+! "+!
Cost of capital: R (%)
RD RD
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SUMMARY OF MODIGLIANI-MILLERPROPOSITIONS
WITHOUT TAXES
• Assumptions:
• No taxes
• No transaction costs
• Individuals and corporations borrow at same rate
• Results:
• Proposition I: VL= VU (Value of levered firm equals value of
unlevered firm) !
• Proposition II: $# = $# + # " $# ! $! !
"
• Intuition:
• Proposition I: Through homemade leverage, individuals can
either duplicate or undo the effects of corporate leverage.
• Proposition II: The cost of equity rises with leverage, because
the risk to equity rises with leverage.
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Practice Problem 25
• Rolston Corporation is comparing two different capital structures, an all-
equity plan (Plan I) and a levered plan (Plan II). Under Plan I, Rolston
would have 150,000 shares of stock outstanding. Under Plan II, there
would be 60,000 shares of stock outstanding and $1.5 million in debt
outstanding. The interest rate on the debt is 10 percent and there are no
taxes.
• a. If EBIT is $200,000, which plan will result in the higher EPS?
• b. If EBIT is $700,000, which plan will result in the higher EPS?
• c. What is the break-even EBIT?
• d. Use MM Proposition I to find the price per share of equity under each
of the two proposed plans. What is the value of the firm?
• A. EPS under Plan I : $1.33, under Plan II: $0.83
• B . EPS under Plan I : $ 4.67, under Plan II: $ 9.17
• C . Breakeven EBIT : $250,000
• D. $16.67 per share, Vu = $2500,000 and
• VL = $2,500,000, D=1500,000, E =1000,000
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E G G
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Plan I Plan II
Earnings before interest and corporate taxes (EBIT) $1,000,000 $1,000,000
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• Here, we see that more cash flow reaches the owners of the firm
(both stockholders and bondholders) under plan II. The difference
is $140,000 =$790,000 -$650,000.
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-*+B#B.+ = #/ ! /
!
! D(")*+ !"##"AB&
-*+B#B.+ #I+B
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*+IC$!$E)'$C" B$$
"! =
#!
• where
• VU = Present value of an unlevered firm
• EBIT x (1- TC) = Firm cash flows(unlevered) after corporate taxes
• TC = Corporate tax rate
• r0 =The cost of capital to an all-equity firm. As can be seen from the
formula, r0 now discounts after-tax cash flows.
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!!#C = #% + "$ !
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D
B$ = B$ + " "# ! C" ! " " B$ ! B! !
$#
R0
A !"
D%C## = ! DA ! #" " E# ! + ! D!
A+!" A + !"
RD
Debt-to-equity
ratio (D/E)
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" "
C#A%% = ! C" + ! C!
R0 "+! "+!
Cost of capital: R (%)
RD RD
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SUMMARY OF MODIGLIANI-MILLERPROPOSITIONS
WITH CORPORATE TAXES
• Assumptions:
• Corporations are taxed at the rate TC, on earnings after interest.
• No transaction costs.
• Individuals and corporations borrow at same rate.
• Results :
• M&M Proposition I: VL = VU + TC D
!
• M&M Proposition II : %$ = %$ + $ " "# ! C" ! " " %$ ! %! !
#
• Intuition:
• Proposition I: Since corporations can deduct interest payments but
not dividend payments, corporate leverage lowers tax payments.
• Proposition II: The cost of equity rises with leverage, because the
risk to equity rises with leverage.
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