Extensive Games
Extensive Games
Information
M Satpathy
Acquiesce Fight
In 2,1 0,0
Out 1,2 1,2
(Inc, Acq)
• Exactly one root node (empty history)
• Decision node (branching)
• Terminal node (terminal history)
• Only one way to proceed: paths
• No cycles
Subgames
A perfect subgame equilibrium is a strategy profile s* such that in no subgame can any player i
do better by choosing a profile different from si* given every other player j sticks to sj*
AE a c
AF b c
B d d
The set of Nash Equilibria of an extensive game corresponds to the
Nash Equilibria of the strategic game in which the set of actions of each
player is the set of his reduced strategies
1
A B
2
C D 2,1
1 0,1
E F
0,0 1,2
Ch Ext Game with Imperfect Info
In OUT
Inc
Acq Fight
Ch Ch
Acq Acq
Fight Fight
Staregies for Challenger: In, Fight; In, Acq; out, Fight; out, Acq
Inc: Acq; Fight
Ch Ext Game with Imperfect Info
In OUT
Inc
0,3 Inc Acq Fight
Acq Fight Cha
Ch
In Acq 1,2 ½, 3/2
Ch
Acq Acq In Fight 3/2, 1/2 -1, -1
Fight Fight
Out Acq 0,3 0,3
1,2 3/2,1/2 ½, 3/2
-1,-1 OutFight 0,3 0,3
Staregies for Challenger: In, Fight; In, Acq; out, Fight; out, Acq
Inc: Acq; Fight
1 Backward Induction
Going forward, reasoning backward
2
2
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
1,0 0,1
1 Backward Induction
2
2
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
1,0 0,1
1 Backward Induction
A B
2
2
Y C
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
Y C
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
Y C
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
E
Y F
D
3,2
2,3 4,1 0,1
Inc
Inc Acq Fight
Acq Fight Cha
Ch
In Acq 1,2 ½, 3/2
Ch
Acq Acq In Fight 3/2, 1/2 -1, -1
Fight Fight
Out Inc 0,3 0,3
4,1 0,2 5,1 1,0
OutFight 0,3 0,3
A
1 Backward Induction
AX 2,4 8,3
B
AY 2,4 8,3
2
2 BX 3,2 1,0
q q
P p
BY 3,2 0,1
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
1 Backward Induction
A B AX 2,4 8,3
2
AY 2,4 8,3
2
q q BX 3,2 1,0
P p
BY 3,2 0,1
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
q q B 3,2 1,0
P p
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
q S
P R
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
2
2
q S
P R
2,4 1
8,3 3,2
X Y
1,0 0,1
Proper subgames
• Repeat
A
1
B
2 2
2
q S
P R
4,1 1
0,2 5,1 1,0 3,2 2,3
A
1
B
2 2
2
q S
P R
4,1 1
0,2 5,1 1,0 3,2 2,3
2
2
q 2,3
S
P R
4,1 1
0,2 5,1 1,0
L R
C
2
2
2,3
P q P
q
4,1 5,1
1
S T
0,2 1,0
3,2 2,3
P q
L 4,1 0,2
C 5,1 1,0
R 2,3 2,3
1
L R
C
2
2
2,3
P q P
q
4,1 5,1
1
S T
0,2 1,0
3,2 2,3
P q
L 4,1 0,2
C 5,1 1,0
R 2,3 2,3
Subgame Perfect Equilibrium
• To find subgame perfect equilibrium
• Use backward induction
• If BI fails use technique of normal form equilibrium
An Example: IGT Osborne
An Example: IGT Osborne: Subgame perfect
equilibrium
4 subgames:
4 best reponsee