OR (Chapter One)
OR (Chapter One)
Now a day Operations research has been applying by every large organization
in developed nation and developing country in every department at all level.
Availability of faster and flexible computing facilities and the number of
qualified OR professionals have enhanced the acceptance and popularity of
the discipline. In the country like USA and the UK growth of OR has not been
limited, now it has reached to many countries including India.
The term Operations Research (OR) was first coined by MC Closky and Trefthen
in 1940 in a small town, Bowdsey of UK. The main origin of OR was during the
second world war – The military commands of UK and USA engaged several
inter-disciplinary teams of scientists to undertake scientific research into
strategic and tactical military operations.
Their mission was to formulate specific proposals and to arrive at the decision
on optimal utilization of scarce military resources and also to implement the
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decisions effectively. In simple words, it was to uncover the methods that can
yield greatest results with little efforts. Thus it had gained popularity and was
called “An art of winning the war without actually fighting it”
The name Operations Research (OR) was invented because the team was
dealing with research on military operations. The encouraging results obtained
by British OR teams motivated US military management to start with similar
activities. The work of OR team was given various names in US: Operational
Analysis, Operations Evaluation, Operations Research, System Analysis, System
Research, Systems Evaluation and so on.
The first method in this direction was simplex method of linear programming
developed in 1947 by G.B Dantzig, USA. Since then, new techniques and
applications have been developed to yield high profit from least costs.
The ambiguous term Operations Research (OR) was coined during World War II,
when the British Military Management called upon a group of scientists together
to apply a scientific approach to the study of military operations to win the
battle. Due to the availability of faster and flexible computing facilities and the
no. of qualified O.R. professionals, it is now widely used in military, business,
industry, transportation, public health etc. Since its birth in the 1940, OR has
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been widely recognized as an important approach to decision-making in the
management of all aspects of an organization. Operations Research as a new
field started in the late 1930's and has grown and expanded tremendously in
the last 30 years. The British army was conducting exercises on the radar
system for detecting the aircrafts.
On 15th May 1940, with German forces advancing rapidly in France, Stanmore
Research Section was asked to analyze a French request for ten additional
fighter squadrons. In 1941 Operational Research Section (ORS) was established
in Coastal Command which was to carry out some of the most well-known OR
work in World War II. Thus OR as a separate field of specialization was born!
The Operations research is usually the mathematical treatment, analysis of a
process, problem, or operation to determine its purpose and effectiveness and
to gain maximum efficiency. The operation technique is utilized by functional
groups such as Industrial Engineering in effort to support Operations Managers
to make economically feasible decisions on a range of systematic challenges.
The main responsibilities of operations management are to manage and
operate as efficiently and effectively as possible with the given resources.
Quantitative methods which comprises of Simulation, Linear and nonlinear
programming, Queuing Theory and Stochastic Modeling, are well accepted
techniques by both research and practice communities.
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The British/Europeans refer to "operational research", the Americans to
"operations research" but both are often shortened to just "OR" (which is the
term we will use).Another term which is used for this field is "management
science" ("MS"). The Americans sometimes combine the terms OR and MS
together and say "OR/MS" or "ORMS".
Yet other terms sometimes used are "industrial engineering" ("IE"), "decision
science"("DS"), and “problem solving”.
In recent years there has been a move towards a standardization upon a single
term for the field, namely the term "OR".
The term Operations Research (OR) describes the discipline that is focused on
the application of information technology for informed decision-making. In other
words, OR represents the study of optimal resource allocation. The goal of OR is
to provide rational bases for decision making by seeking to understand and
structure complex situations, and to utilize this understanding to predict system
behavior and improve system performance. Much of the actual work is
conducted by using analytical and numerical techniques to develop and
manipulate mathematical models of organizational systems that are composed
of people, machines, and procedures. Hence, it is important to give few opinions
about the definitions of OR. OR is a Mathematical or scientific analysis of a
process or operation, used in making decisions
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The terms Operations Research and Management Science tend to be used
synonymously. Operations research refers to scientific methods (statistical and
mathematical modeling, experiments, simulation, and optimization) applied to
the solution of complex business problems. Operations research is about
deriving optimal solutions to maximize sales or profits and/or to minimize costs,
losses, or risks
The management scientist's mandate is to use rational, systematic, science-
based techniques to inform and improve decisions of all kinds. Management
science is concerned with developing and applying models and concepts that
may prove useful in helping to illuminate management issues and solve
managerial problems, as well as designing and developing new and better
models of organizational excellence. The application of these models within the
corporate sector became known as Management science.
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1944 Exponential Smoothing (R. Brown)
1946 Methods of Operations of Operations Research OEG Report (Philip M.
Morse & G. E.
Kimball) – classified until 1951
1947 Linear programming model (Simplex method) (George B. Dantzig)
1947 Theory of Games & Economic Behavior (von Neumann & Morgenstern)
1948 First course in OR at MIT
1949 Monte Carlo simulation (S. M. Ulam, J. von Neumann)
1950 Shortest-path problem
1950 First OR journal: Operations Research Quarterly (UK) – OR in US in 1952
1951 Nonlinear Programming (optimality condition for constrained problems)
(H. Kuhn & A.
Tucker)
1960 Decision Trees
1. System Orientation. The main aim of the system approach is to trace for
each proposal all significant and indirect effects on all sub-system on a
system and to evaluate each action in terms of effects for the system as a
whole. The interrelationship and interaction of each sub-system can be handled
with the help of mathematical/analytical models of OR to obtain acceptable
solution.
OR study the situation or problem as a whole. This means that any action or
activity has same effect on the other part of the organization. The optimum
result of one part of a system may not be the optimum for some other part.
Therefore to evaluate any decision, one must identify all possible interactions
and determine their impact on the organization as a whole.
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scientist/mathematician and technocrats. Who jointly use the OR tools to obtain a
optimal solution of the problem. The tries to analyze the cause and effect relationship
between various parameters of the problem and evaluates the outcome of various
alternative strategies.
Most of the science studies such as Chemistry, Physics, Biology etc. can be
carried out in the laboratories, without much interference from the outside
world. But same is not true in the systems under study by OR teams. For
example, no company can risk its failure in order to conduct a successful
experiment.
(a) Diagnose the problem, and establish the criterion. The criterion may be
the maximization of profits, utility and minimization of cost etc.
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be used to compare the alternative courses of action taken during the
analysis.
Operations research (OR) often requires a computer to solve the complex
mathematical model or to perform a large number of computations that are
involved. Use of a digital computer has become an integral part of the
operations research approach to decision making.
6. Objectives. Operations research always attempts to find the best and optimal
solution to the problem. For this purpose objectives of the organization are
defined and analyzed. These objectives are then used as the basis to compare
the alternative courses of action.
7. Quantitative solution. Operations research provides the managers with a
quantitative basis for decision-making. OR attempts to provide a systematic
and rational approach for quantitative solutions to the various managerial
problems.
The analysis process employed by manager may take two basic forms:
qualitative and quantitative.
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o The qualitative analysis is based on primarily upon the manager's judgment
and experience.
o The type of analysis includes the manager's intuitive "feel" for the problem and
is more of an art than a science.
o If the manager has had experience with similar problems, or if the problem is
relatively simple, heavy emphasis may be placed up on qualitative analysis.
o However, if the manager has had little experience with similar problems, or if
the problem is sufficiently important and complex, then quantitative analysis of
the problem can be a very important consideration in the managers’ final
decision.
o It is considered when the decision maker doesn’t have data about the problem.
o The skills in qualitative approach to problem solving are inherent in the
decision maker.
o It is used when the problem under consideration doesn't involve too many
variables or it is not complex, it is not new or familiar, when the cost of the
decision is not heavy and when immediate action is required.
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o This approach is believed to reduce time and effort to make decisions.
While skills in the qualitative approach are inherent in the manager and
usually increase with experience, the skills of the quantitative approach can
be learned only by studying the assumptions and methods of management
science. A manager can increase decision making effectiveness by learning
more about quantitative methodology and by better understanding its
contribution to the decision making process. The manager who is
knowledgeable in quantitative decision making procedures is in a much better
position to compare and evaluate the qualitative and quantitative sources of
recommendations and ultimately combine the two sources in order to make
the best possible decision.
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(a) Physical Models. These models include all forms of diagrams, drawings
graphs, and charts. Most of which are designed to deal with specific types of
problems. By presenting significant factors and inter-relationships in pictorial
term, physical models are able to indicate problem in a manner that facilitates
analysis. For example, a BAR chart can be used effectively as a summary
presentation of a company's monthly production forecast. These models are
easy to observe, build and describe, but cannot be manipulated and used for
prediction. There are two types of physical models - Iconic models and Analog
models.
(ii) Analog models. Analog models are closely associated with iconic models.
However they are not replicas of problem situations. Rather, they are small
physical systems that have similar characteristics and work like an object or
system it represents e.g. children's toys model of rail, roads etc., whereas the
actual objects are complex and might not allow direct handing or manipulation.
The objectives of constructing these models is to understand by analogy.
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other words equations are mathematical model commonly used in operations
research. Simple demand curve in economics is a symbolic model predicting
buyer's behaviour at different price levels. Similarly profit and loss statement
and budget for next year are both symbolic models. Profit and loss account is
just reproduced on one sheet of paper, and it summarizes the result of a year
but does not recreates every action, which took place during the year.
Following are the examples of mathematical models which have been
applied to business and industry.
(i) Deterministic Models. In this model everything is defined and the results
are certain. Certainty is the state of nature assumed in these models. For any
given input variable there shall be same output variable, e.g. in EOQ models,
one can easily determine economic lot size, one can apply sensitivity analysis,
where change of one variable shall cause certain change in the outcome.
(ii) Probabilistic Model. In cases of risk and uncertainty, the input and output
variables take the form of probability distribution. In fact such models are semi-
closed model and reveal the probability of occurrence of an event. In fact they
reveal the complexity of the real world and uncertainty prevailing in it, e.g. in a
game theory where saddle points or equilibrium points of the player does not
exist, we apply probabilistic model. Similar kind of model can be applied in
inventory control.
(i) General Models. General model is one which does not apply one situation
only rather it has got general applications. For example linear programming
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model is known as a general model since it can be used for product mix,
production scheduling, marketing, transportation, assignment problems.
(ii) Specific Model. Specific model is applicable under specific condition only,
e.g. sales response curve, or equation as a function of advertising is
applicable in the marketing function alone.
For queuing problem we must apply queuing theory. So, 50% of the problem is
solved, if it is properly understood and the required technique is
recommended.
4. A model can analyze the data but it can not be better than the information that
goes into it. It means data can be interpreted but can not be generated.
5. Models are for the decision makers. Operations Research models are to aid
the decision maker but not to replace them. The decision is to be taken by the
management.
6. A model should never be taken too literally. It means it does not provide
unique answer. In sensitivity analyses, or under simulation, we can find still better
results.
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should give range where one solution is valid as in case of sensitivity analyses.
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• Selection of right place for new facilities such as a warehouse, factory or
fire station
• Identifying future development paths for parts
• Establishing the information system and needs analysis with appropriate
utility mechanism, and
• Developing strategies for enriching information systems
1.11 THE METHODOLOGY / PHASES OF OPERATION RESEARCH STUDY
When OR is used to solve a problem of an organization, the following
seven step procedure should be followed:
Step 1. Formulate the Problem/ Observe the problem environment
OR analyst first defines the organization's problem. Defining the problem
includes specifying the organization's objectives and the parts of the
organization (or system) that must be studied before the problem can be
solved.
Step 2. Observe the System/ Define and analyze the problem
Next, the analyst collects data to estimate the values of parameters that
affect the organization's problem. These estimates are used to develop (in
Step 3) and evaluate (in Step 4) a mathematical model of the
organization's problem.
Step 3. Formulate a Mathematical Model of the Problem/ Develop a
model
The analyst, then, develops a mathematical model (in other words an
idealized representation) of the problem. In this class, we describe many
mathematical techniques that can be used to model systems.
Step 4. Verify the Model and Use the Model for Prediction/ Collecting
data required by the model/Select appropriate data input
The analyst now tries to determine if the mathematical model developed in Step
3 is an accurate representation of reality. To determine how well the model fits
reality, one determines how valid the model is for the current situation.
Step 5. Select a Suitable Alternative/ Coining up with a solution
Given a model and a set of alternatives, the analyst chooses the alternative (if
there is one) that best meets the organization's objectives. Sometimes the set
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of alternatives is subject to certain restrictions and constraints. In many
situations, the best alternative may be impossible or too costly to determine.
Step 6. Present the Results and Conclusions of the Study/ Qualifying
the models and solution
In this step, the analyst presents the model and the recommendations from
Step 5 to the decision-making individual or group. In some situations, one might
present several alternatives and let the organization choose the decision
maker(s) choose the one that best meets her/his/their needs.
After presenting the results of the OR study to the decision maker(s), the
analyst may find that s/he does not (or they do not) approve of the
recommendations. This may result from incorrect definition of the problem on
hand or from failure to involve decision maker(s) from the start of the project. In
this case, the analyst should return to Step 1, 2, or 3.
Step 7. Implement and Evaluate Recommendation/ Implement the
solution
If the decision maker(s) has accepted the study, the analyst aids in
implementing the recommendations. The system must be constantly monitored
(and updated dynamically as the environment changes) to ensure that the
recommendations are enabling decision maker(s) to meet her/his/their
objectives.
The summary of steps have been depicted in Fig1.1 below
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Fig.1.1: Flow chart of Methodology of OR
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• Underlying OR is the philosophy that: decisions have to be made; and
using a quantitative (explicit, articulated) approach will lead to better
decisions than using non-quantitative (implicit, unarticulated) approaches.
• Indeed it can be argued that although OR is imperfect it offers the best
available approach to making a particular decision in many instances
(which is not to say that using OR will produce the right decision).
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iii. Industrial Establishment and Private Sector Units
OR can be effectively used in plant location and setting finance planning,
product and process planning, facility planning and construction, production
planning and control, purchasing, maintenance management and personnel
management etc. to name a few.
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viii. Transportation
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• Transportation Problem. The transportation problem is a special type
of linear programming problem, where the objective is to minimize the
cost of distributing a product from a number of sources to a number of
destinations. Transportation helps shape an area’s economic health and
quality of life.
• Assignment Problem. In a few words, when the problem involves the
allocation of n different facilities to n different tasks, it is often termed as
an assignment problem. Assignment deals with the question how to
assign n object to m other object in an injective fashion in the best
possible way. An assignment problem is specified by its two component:
the assignment which represent the underlying combinatorial structure
and the objective function to be optimized which model “the best possible
way”
• Queuing Theory. The queuing problem is identified by the presence of a
group of customers who arrive randomly to receive some service. Queuing
theory deals with problems which involve queuing (or waiting). This theory
helps in calculating the expected number of people in the queue,
expected waiting time in the queue, expected idle time for the server, etc.
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storage, handling of inventories so as to ensure the availability of material
whenever needed and minimize wastage and losses.
• Goal Programming. It is a powerful tool to tackle multiple and
incompatible goals of an enterprise. Goal programming models are very
similar to linear programming models but whereas linear programs have
one objective goal programs can have several objectives.
• Simulation. It is a technique that involves setting up a model of real
situation and then performing experiments. Simulation is used where it is
very risky, cumbersome, or time consuming to conduct real experiment to
know more about a situation.
• Nonlinear Programming. These methods may be used when either the
objective function or some of the constraints are not linear in nature. Non-
Linearity may be introduced by factors such as discount on price of
purchase of large quantities.
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• Network Scheduling-PERT and CPM. Network scheduling is a
technique used for planning, scheduling and monitoring large projects.
Such large projects are very common in the field of construction,
maintenance, computer system installation, research and development
design, etc.
• Information Theory. It is an analytical process transferred from the
electrical communications field to operations research. It seeks to
evaluate the effectiveness of information flow within a given system and
helps in improving the communication flow.
1.15. ROLE OF COMPUTERS IN OPERATION RESEARCH
As has been presented earlier that OR tries to find optimal solutions with
multiple variables. In most of the cases a large number of iterations are
required to reach optimal solution. Manually this task becomes time consuming
and single mistake at any point can generate erroneous results. With the
development of computers and P.C’s this has reduced manual efforts
considerably and solutions can be obtained in a short period of time and
possibility of errors is also minimized considerably. Storage of information/data
is easy and faster with the use of computers because of its memory. The
computational time requirements are also less and no paper work is required.
Transfer of data from one place to another is also possible through
net/computers. The reliability of solutions is also high. For the large size
problems, where simulation was to be used, it was not possible to carry it out
manually, which is now possible with the use of computers. To handle linear
programming problem with multiple variables use to be cumbersome and time
taking; can be done at wink of moment without any manual efforts.
QSB+ software: QSB+ stands for Quantitative System for Business Plus. It is a
software package developed by Chang and Sullivan for problem solving
algorithms for OR as well as modules of statistics, non –linearity programming
and financial analysis.
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LIPSOL: LIPSOL is a Mat lab-based package for solving linear programs by
interior-Point methods
This is not an unequivocally happy outcome. There was, and still is, great merit
in the sort of grounded, detailed investigation that is the hallmark of good
traditional OR. The technically efficient, goal oriented, socially aware OR
consultants of tomorrow may get things done and satisfy their clients but they
may miss the potential implications or the valuable insight as they rush to the
next challenge.
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expressed in terms of scientific quantifications or mathematical equations. This
gives rise to certain mathematical relations, termed as a mathematical model.
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The significant advantages of OR are enumerated below:
OR has some limitations. However, the limitations are related to the problem of
model building and the time and money factors involved in application rather
than its practical utility. Some of them are as follows:
• Magnitude of Computation. The models of OR strive to find out optimal
solutions taking into account all the factors. These factors may be huge
and state them in quantity and establish relationships among the factors
require ample calculations which can be effectively solved by computers.
• Non-Quantifiable Factors. OR provides solution only when all elements
related to a problem can be quantified. All relevant variables do not lend
themselves to quantification. Factors which cannot be quantified find no
place in OR study.
• Distance between User and Analyst (Gap between Manager and
Operations Researcher). OR being specialist’s job requires a
mathematician or statistician, who might not be aware of the business
problems. Similarly, a manager fails to understand the complex working of
OR. Thus there is a gap between the User and Analyst.
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• Time and Money Costs. OR models are a costly proposition as they
require time and money for scientific application. The computational time
increases depending upon the size of the problem and accuracy of results
desired.
• Implementation. Implementation of any decision is a delicate task. It
must take into account the complexities of human relations and behavior.
Sometimes, resistance is offered due to psychological factors which may
not have any bearing on the problem as well as its solution.
• Difficult to Balance the Requirement: It is often difficult to balance the
requirement of reality and those of simplicity.
• Poor and/or Inaccurate Data: The quality of data collection may be
poor and/or inaccurate.
• Lack of Suitable Solution Techniques: In many cases, the solution of
Operations Research problem is restricted by the lack of suitable solution
techniques. As example, the derived solution may be sub-optimal i.e. the
boundaries of the problem may be open.
• Conflict: An Operations Research model is static but the solution it
imitates is dynamics. Conflict between conclusion reached by the
Operations Research analyst and the opinion of time managers as to the
best course of action.
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Perhaps the greatest difficulty in OR, however, is created by the time factor.
The managers have to make decisions one way or the other, and a fairly good
solution to the problems at the right time may be much more useful than the
perfect solution too late. Further, the cost involved is also an important factor.
Sometimes, some simple application of OR may yield a good solution quickly
and it may be unwise to spend a lot of money and effort to produce a slightly
better solution much later.
Lastly, what may appear to be a pitfall is fact that OR study may raise more
questions than it answers. However, this may ultimately result in more deep
insight into the system yield further benefits and improvements.
CONCLUSION
The OR profession was for a time the center of managerial attention. It had its
golden era. It is now a small professional grouping, which has found its niche.
Few people realize that OR lies behind many every day events, providing the
algorithms for airline reservation systems, checking the credit worthiness of
loan applicants, and calculating the replenishment quantities required by
supermarkets.
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Despite its important role in today’s society OR lacks self-importance, it
includes many, diverse interests and has demonstrated a certain capacity for
survival.
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