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Maths Mtech Unit 2

The document discusses special probability distributions, focusing on the Binomial and Poisson distributions. It provides definitions, properties, and formulas related to these distributions, including the moment generating functions and recurrence relations for central moments. Additionally, it explains how the Poisson distribution serves as a limiting case of the Binomial distribution under certain conditions.
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0% found this document useful (0 votes)
23 views9 pages

Maths Mtech Unit 2

The document discusses special probability distributions, focusing on the Binomial and Poisson distributions. It provides definitions, properties, and formulas related to these distributions, including the moment generating functions and recurrence relations for central moments. Additionally, it explains how the Poisson distribution serves as a limiting case of the Binomial distribution under certain conditions.
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
Available Formats
Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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0 o m e Specia

l Probability
Distributions
(i) Binomial d 179
istribution is a
n legitimate /Jroha
n bility distribution
1 P(X tj = = since
1 nC, q"- r pr
r= O
r= O
= (q + p)'1 = I
( ) r br na!lle 'b
2 i110 111ia I dislribu lio
n' is
2, ... , 11) are the successive term given since the probaWities 11C, q"
) If we ass11111<1 tb s in tbe expansio - 'p' {r = 0, 1,
3 a: n t.1ials. co~ n of the binomia
( pmction of
the bwo1111al dz
stit~te ~ s~t an
d if ,ve cons~der
l e>.pression__(q ~L
•r - 0 1 2, .. stnlmtzon is y_w
en by J(r) = N
N sets; the frequ
- '' . , n. 111 otber iv p :n~
ords, tbe numbe (r) = :-- • 11C, i f p
Jtbe occurrences
~r tbe el'ent A ) = r oif sels in 1vhich
N • ,,c, q"•r p'; we get exact Iv r
successe
,
r = 0, 1, 2, . .. ..1 - s
and V a r ia n , n. _
?Jean c e o f t h e Bin
omial Dis
tribution
have already fo
\V~ the no
un d OU!_E @~!}d Var
1 ment generati~g
(X)_ fot the bin
using e shall fun~tion in Ex omial distributi
find am p le o~ B(n,__p)
ttere w th em directly usi 3 in Worked
E
ng the definitio x ample 4 (b).
ns of E (X) an
E(X)= L
X ,P r
d V ar(X).
r

n
=L r= O
r . nC r p r qn -r
... __ --

- ~£ . . i , .n \
- - - - p r qn -r
r=O r \ ( n
-r)\ ( l)
~
(n-1)\
= np •; , ( r r- 1
_ 1) \ { ( n - (n -l )- (r -1
1) - ( r - 1 )} ! p )
q
= np Ln (n - l) Cr _ 1 r _ \
• P
(n - l) - (r - 1)
r= l •q
= np (q + p)n - l
= np
(2 )
n
E(X 2 ) = L x,2 Pr= L r2
r Pr
0
n
= L {r(r - 1) + r) n\
r ! ( n - r) \
p ' qll - r
r=O

= n ( n - l) p 2 Ln (n - 2 )C ,- 2 P r- 2 n - r + no
q.
r= 2
-.:..-'
(by (1) and(2)1
= n ( n - l) p -,
- ( q + p ) n-2 + np
Probability, Statistics and Random Processes
2
= n (n -1) P + np
2 2·
Var(X) = E (X ) - {E (X)}
2 2 2
= n (n - 1) p + np - n p
= np (1 - p)
=npq

Recurrence Formula for the Central Moments of the


Binomial DistribQtion
By definition, the kth order central moment µk is given by µk :::: E{
For the binomial distribution B(n,p), X'l:(.tJi1
n

µk = ~
~
(r - np )k nCr p t qn-r
r=O
Differentiating (I) with respect top, we get (I)

n'
dµk
L
dp = r=O net [-nk (r- nP/-'·p ' t-r + (r- npl {rp'-l qn-r

+ (n - r) p' qn-r-1
n (--I}j
=-nk µk~ 1 + L, nC (r- npl Pr-I q n-r-l {
rq-(n-r) p}
r==O r

=- nk µk- 1 + L, nC (r- nn)kpr-1 qn-r-1 (


r r r - nn) (·. p +q:: I)
r =0 r •

n
=-nkµ + 1 ~
k- J pq £. nC, p' qn-r (r _ np) k + 1
r=O

= - nk µk - I + _!_ µ
pq k+ I

• µk + 1 = pq [ -dµ t + nk
i.e., ]
. d p µk- l . (1)
.du sing recurrence relation (2)
v1 ed we kno ' we may comp t
u e moments of higher order, pro-
• k ==w moments
putt1ng
1 in (2)
of low er order.
'we get

µ2 == Pq [ ~dpµL + nµo ]
. == npq ( ·: ==
Putting k == 2 in (2) Jlo 1 and µ 1 ::: 0)
'we get

µ3 == pq [ d ]
· dp µ2+2nµ
1
Some Special Probability Distributions 181

d
= pq - [np (1 - p))
dp
= npq [ 1 - 2p) = npq ( q - p)
• e1 k ~ 3 in (2), we get
J'lltttlli:, [
J.14 = pq ddp J.13 + 3n I½
1
= npq [ :p {p(l - p) (1 - 2p)} + 3npq J
= npq [l-6p + 6p2 + 3npq)
= npq [1 - 6pq + 3npq]
= npq [1 + 3 pq (n - 2)]

1
• µ2 is the variance, µ3 is a measure of skewness and µ 4 is a measure of kurtosis.
Sometimes the coefficients {3 1 and /32 are used to measure skewness and kurtosis respective!)·,

µj = µ4
whereµ, == J and µ2 µ2 •
µ2 2

Poisson distribution
Definition: If Xis a discrete RV that can assume the values 0, 1, 2, ... , such tha1
its probability mass function is given by
e-').. ').t
P(X=r)=--; r=O, 1,2, ... ; A>O ~
r! ~
thenX is said to follow a Poisson distribution with parameter Aor symbolical
Xis said to follow P(A).
(Note: Poisson distribution is a legitimate probability distribution, since
oo oo -A ).:
L P(x=r)= L _e-
r=O r=O r.'
=e-l el= 1)
Poisson Distribution as Limiting Form of Binomial
Distribution /
~oisson distribution is a limiting case of binomial distribution under the fi
ing conditions:
~!) n, the number of trials is indefinitely large, i.e., n ➔ 00 •
(u) P, the constant probability of success in each trial is very smi
P ➔ O.

(iii) np(::: A) is finite or p =!. and q =1 - ~. where A. is a posi1


n n
number.
&L

'

I..- (.h f\,\ \


,\
~ht) 'l"' ,i,\'
~

f
= b f (x) dx +t
a
f''
o
i\f(.\') cl.\' + '"

l'J I

t' II . .
Obviously, the coefficient'of ;j' in (2) ht Uau /" 1 mouwut, uliouti Uu~ HI tnt11,

d' v,
Also - M<t) = - r ! + v,, ♦ J t f, ,, , I;; v ' ' If ,
' dt' t:.()
r! ~1
_ 1•
I
'

Thus, vr about origin= ,.th d~rivatlw~ ,,I' M(t) w1U1 t - 0,


Although the moment gtn,~ratlng fur,dA,,u (111.u.l',J Jua~ f u1t111 ,lt 1fltu 1,l lot' U,u ~,., 1,,t,lu •
only, tte dt~njtion can ~.1€ g'::r11~raHZ1~ l'J> ttwt a
J,,,J,J,:, I',,,, u vu, jut,lu, wl11 11u, ;,;f ,, ,,,,,~ I 1,,,,
ofx. e.g., uz = z - rn lrn i.E tfJJ:anJ, th,: ,1J, 1,,,,,!,,~11t 1,fJt,11'1 i wUI ui \II• I 111 ,,,,,,,, •• ,,,, ,,,· • Hl,,,,,I. IJ,,,
mtG!. '"·
1~:::::.ce:.! g';~t;r..~(,;rJ ;tit,n fi,r z wHJ d,~suJy t,,, ~jy,,-, 111:t

'JJ/JJ. £ ,./#f'(i)tft

11 1
UJs--«fJJs f ~/}//INl/'ltJdt -'1 ' J\/,/1111/1 ,,.µ1tllJA/IJ.
J~ N
270
A T~XTBOOK OF ENGINEERING
MA,H~M
3.13.2 In Case of Dis cre te Distributio
We know that, for a variable x,
n of the Variable x 7' . /\lie~

V = rxr . P·
r ·,
where Pis the probability tha t the vari able takes on the value x.
If z is any function of x, we get r th 111omen
t for z by the relation
vr = u"P
and the n1on1ent generating function is
given by
Mz(t) = r.e'·2 p
To verify tha t this function generates mom
ents, we will expand etz and then
~~, ·•.(l)
~~
... M (t) =
z_
L ( 1 + tz +-2!2 z •+ ...JP = tP + ttzP + -
t 2 t2
t 2
2! z -P+ ...
t2
=v +tv +- v +"·
0 1 2! 2

.
In this case, we can also show tha t v = dr
-M z(t )
r dt'
t=O
M(t)' is clearly the expected value
of etx and hence can be written as E(etx)
the moment generating function in case which .
of discrete as well as conti~uous variable
Expectation of an;Y function $(x) is given s. gives
by
E{$(x)} = L $(x) f (x) I for discrete distribution
or, E{c!>(x)} = [ cl>(x) f(x) dx
I for continuous distribution
Eqn. (1) can also be rewritten as

Mx-a(t) = E [et(x-a)] = L/<xi


i
-a) pi = e-at ·r
i
~txi pi = e-at Mo(t)
Therefore the moment generating functio
n about the point 'a' is equal to e-«t times
moment generating function about the orig the
in.
Note. m.g.f. is not always defined since
E{ I etx I} does not always exist for all values oft.
e.g., if ftx) = : 2,x = 1, 2, 3, ... then m.g.f. does not exist.
1t X

m.g.f. always exists fort = 0 since Mx=oCO)


= 1.
3.13.3 Pro per ties of Moment Ge ner
atin g Functionl'-
(M. T. U. 2013)
(1) The moment generg,ting function
of the sum of two independent chance vari
product of their respe~tive ables is the
moment generating functions.
Symbolically, Mx+y(t) = Mx(t) x MY(t) pro
vided that x and y are independent random
variables~ • •
E:vCH:_:N~fQ:_U_E_S_-_1_ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ __
.,r,cAL r -
'1AT1cs
Y f. Lett
andY be two independent random variables so that x + y is also a random
. . .
,;,,,The ro.g. f• of the sum x + y w.r.t.
.
ongin 1s
M
x+y
(t) = E{e'U + Y>} = E(et.x . ety) =E(etx) . E(ety)
-· . "
.
~rexa ndy are independent variables . and so are etx and ety. i.
.•. Mx+y (t) = M.X (t) . MY(t) II
14
Hence the theo·rem . •
"

(1) !Effect ofchange of origin and scale on m.g.f. •


:-Ill
M u(t). = e-a1 11a M% (ti h) where u = x-a
h •
ltto! ~t u be. 8 .. mndom
.new . . en by u = x - a so that x -_ a + hu
. vanable.giv
JJ... I h_
M u (t ) :::: E (e tu )

== E et (- x~ a) = e- ~ Mx (~J
McX(t) =M x( ct ), c b ei n g a constant.

deflllitiorl, L ll S == Mex (t )
~~f
= E(el<x) = Mx (c t) = RHS.
./ ult.
" tbe re 5
~ence [1 L L U S T R A T IV
E EXAMPLES \
.• d th e m o m en t g en
e 1. F in er a ti n
g fu n ct io n o f th e ex po
1 ne nt ia l di st ri bu ti on
~jJllll'l f(x) = -;; e- xl c; 0 <
x < oo , c > 0
a n a n d st a n d a rd d ;>J (M.T .U. 2014
e fi,r1,d its me ra ti n g fu n ev ia ti o n .
eenC ent gene ct io n a b o u t th e o ri g in
.
is g iv en b y
~1. ?Joitl
~
M (t ) = . Joo tx 1 -x lc d
X
e •- e x
O C

00

- -
1 Joo (t - l \
e\ c) d x = -1
X •
Jt-~}
- C O
C
~-~) 0
= (1 - ct)- 1 = 1 + ct
+ c2 t2 + c3 t3 + ....
. _f.!!:._ M /t ) \ =(c + 2c t + 3c
I 2 3 2
Ldt
\! 1 -
Jt=O
t + •· ·\ = o = c
~
~272 "'
OK OF ENGINEERING MATHEMAT1cs
Arexra o~.=---- ---~ r
,f/
.-c ::: Joou 2 (u - 1)-t du Where 1 -
1 +e i::: u
and 1
~ - e-z d
No~, mean

v 2 = [:,: M:c<t>]
r=O
=2c2
0
:::

1 -t
v (1- v) t du
V-I --
Where
~ d
1
- 1 z::: du
x = v1 = c_ = 2c 2 -c2 = c2 ::: ~(1 - t, 1 + t) ; 1- t > o u v::: l du
Vari ance µ2 = v - x 2 = v2 - 2
2 v1 ::: nt cosec nt, t < 1.
:. Stan dard devia tion =
Exam ple 2. Obta in the mom ent=gener
c. . fi Ji;
,,·on of the rand om variable x havinn Find the moment generatin g function
,ahng unc Je 5. - '}.,e-kc; x, A > 0. of the negative
prob abili ty distr ibuti on ."l5
p9"'p f(x) - "° oo
exponential funct'
x, for O< x < 1
r.1
r
(t) ::: A e'x •e-AX dx = Ar e(t - ).)x
Jo ,1•. - 1 r - (A.K.r.u. 2~:;)
f(x) = 2 - x, for 1 ~ x < 2 [G.B.T.U. 2013) 901•
Jo u-t - "'Jn e <A-th: dx
{ o, elsewhere x A ( t )-1 • t )' o
Also deter mine mean v , v an.d variance
1 2 µ2.
= H = 1-A. = ; ;bi
00 (
I
Sol. M/t) = E(e'x)
6 Find the moment generating function of the d' .
= 1: X. etx dx, + Ii2 (2 - X) etx dx, + fo O. etx dx,
~pi e
~,

PX() -_ ncX i' qn-x (where q = 1-p)
"'rete b'11omial distribution
1 2 ~· fi st and second moments about the mean
xerx etx) (2etx _ xeb: et:c)
·d the ir . . ·. . . .
= --- + - ftlSO fin enerating function about the ongin
( t t2 + 2 r.{oJlleOt g 18 given by (A.K.T.U. 2021)
t t t SO.I
0 1
M(t) = ~ etX . nex • p Xqn - X
e1 e' % = ~ ncx (pet}' qn-x = (q +pet)1'
- --- +-1+ i(2e2
-t
1 _ 2e2t ~)- (2e t _{ +{)] = e2t _ 2e' + 1
+ t2
- t t2 t2 t
2

t t t
2
t
2
V
1
= [!£ Mx
dt
(t)]
t=o
= [n(q + pet)1'- 1 . pet ]t: =np
0 ISince q +p =1
t2 t3
2 (t+ -+- + ...
e1 -1) 2! 3! )
V2 =[ d22 Mx( t)]
= - t-
( = t2 = l + t + t + ...
2
dt
r~
t=O
= [np{et. (n -1) (q +pe'Y'- 2pet+ (q ~pe'ya-1,
Mean= vl = et}]t=O
Mx(t )] =1 = [np (q + petY' - 2 . e' {~n - l)pe' + (q +pe')}], =
dt t=O
0
Similarly, v = 2, µ = v - x2 = v - v/ = 2.:.... 2 = [np(q + pe'Y' - 2 . e'(q + npe')]t. o
2 2 2 2 (1) = 1 = Variance.
Example 3. Find the moment generating funct = np(q + np)
v, = (r + 1) ! 2'.
ion ofthe random variable whose moments 1I I·: q +P= 1
= npq + n2p2
Hence first and second moments about the mean are
L etx P(X = x)
00
Sol. M_/t) = E(etx) =
given by
µ1 = 0
X =0
oo t' Since x = v1 = np
= L- r.1
oo
v, = "!... (r+l )!.2 ' =
L-r t
r
L (r+ 1)(2tY.
oo
~ = V2 - x2 = V2- vf = npq + n'1p2 - n2p2 = npq
r= O r=O - ' r=0
= 1 + 2.2t + 3 . (2t) 2 + .... = (1- 2t)-2. • Hence, mean = np, S.D. = .Jµ; = .[npq •
Exam ple 4. Find the moment generating funct Example 7•Find the moment generating funct ion of the discrete Poisson distribution
ion ofthe probabil~tydistrii~tion function
f(z) = e-z (1
+ e-z;-2, - oo < z < oo. ~ P(x) = e-l · ')..x . A/,so find the first and second moments about
Sol. Mz (t) = E(e'z) the mean.
x! (M.T.U. 2013)
= J:ooetz. e-zo + e-zr2 dz,
SoL Moment generating function about • • 1s
the ongin • given
• bY
')..x ()Ji l )i • A(e' - ll
M/t) = r.ea . e_,. . _ = e_,. I ,- =e-A • e = e
X! X.
-
~
274 /'
!I( •
A ~
TEXTBOOK OF ENGINEEFl!No "'~r~ 'flflll!7';i;J
~ l'~
• • -
1<C
ttNIOU
ES-I------ --------~
.
the random variable }( <18su,,,. the •ali.e 'n' tvith t•-
10. Let 2 3, •••• Find the "''""ent ge11erati11g fu11etiondhehprobability lciw

----
~
IIIIP!lill
<75
d M ( )] I A(r 1
- ll 1 _t] / flll'te/ " = 1, ' an enc, l>lean •lld
v1 = [ -d x t = e f\K. t=O =A ) ' pQ' - '•,ren distn"buti·on is a discrete
.t t=O ; ,i•~-
P..., • d1stnbution
p• . · <A,JtT.\J. 2022)
v2 = [ d: M x (l)] = [A {e' . e"<r' - n • 'A.e' + eA<e' - 1) e')] / 'ii£· ']'b• gt M (t) = L e•• pq• - t = - l: (e' q)" =E. (1- e'q)" =-:::-£___
dt t=O '=O I
' 901• n
ating function. q q 1 q(l-qe')
= ~
= {)..e•1•'- 11 e' (A e' + 1)],=0 =A(A + 1) oment gener [d ] . P[ qet ] 1
Hence, the first and second moments about the mean are given by 1b' e J1l _ - M. (t) -o =-:--!'._ =-E.. =_
µl =0 ·ob jS tb vt - dt •=o q (1- qe')2 •=o (1- q) p p
Since v 1 = x =A 2 2
µ2 = V2 - x2 =V2 -
Example 8. Find the moment generating function of the continuous n
v/ = A (A+ 1) - ).
2
=A V2 = [:t: M.(t)L p[¾{~}L
=
I • orrnal distnb .
J --. <.r-µJ· lltto,i (l-qet)2 .et ~et .2(1~qet)(-qe,2]
given by f(x) = ./2ir. e 2
cr ; - oo < x < oo •
=p [ •• (1-qe')'
o 21t 1=0
Sol. Moment generating function about the origin is defined as
(1-q)2 + 2q (1-q)] =.!.+~
1 (x-µ)
2
=p [ (l-q)4 P P
M/t) = E (e0 ) = f°" ix·
1
e-
2 ~ dx
_, cr✓
2n Mean = x = v1 = p1
eµt Joo
= ../2ii, ___ e- 21 z2 . e-tcrz dz x-µ Van•ance =µ2 = v 2 - -2 2q -l..:.!L
1 P
where z::--=.... x = -+2
P P2 P2
0
2 2
= -1- e(µ1+.!.1
2 1
cr ) Joo --(z-tcr)2
./2n 2
--00
e dz \TESTYOURKNOWLEOOEI
=e
µt+.!.t2er2
2 .l=e
µt+.!.t2cr2
2 •• •100 e:-z2 dz= Ji Defi~e moment generating function. Find the moment generating' functi f
1· Xwhose prob a b'l't
11 y
fun t· · · b
c 10n 1s given y:
d •b •
on o a ran om vana le
0 2
P(X =x) =p(l - p't, x =0, 1, 2, ..., 00 (G.B.T.U. 2012)
Example 9. The random variable X assuming only non-negative values has a Gamma
2. Define moment generating function and two properties of moment generating function with proof.
probability distribution if its probability distribution is given by (M.T.U. 2013)
a p P-1 -ax . . • } 01 00
f(x) = r~ x
00
e , x > 0, a > 0, f3 > 1 3. The probability density function of the random variable Xis~)= :a exp (- \x ; ).- <x< •
{
0, elsewhere Find moment generating function of X. Hence find the mean E(X) and variance V(X). •
- (M.T.U. 2013)
Find the moment generating function of Gamma probability distribution.
Sol. MX (t) =E(etx)
=i e oo tx aP P-1 -ax dx
·-·x e aP
=-
loo
x P-1 e -x(a-t) d,x [
Hint:Mx(t) =
· 28
1 J8
_ exp -
8 e dx+
( 8 - X)
1 t:c
28 8 exp - 8
%- )ea d,x1 r(
• f · d m variable X having the p.d.f.

8
o r~ rf3 o 4. Show that the moment generating function o ran °2t -t
= __,.,,P Uv__
ioo
yP-1 e-P d I wherey = x(a-t) so that dy = (a-t)dx 1 e -e t *o
(a-t)P r~ o Y
f(x)
-
= {3'
-l<x<2
•}
. _ -
is Mx<t> - { a; ' t =o
1 1 ( )-P · 0, elsewhere . ' defined by
= (l-:r ·r~fll= 1-!
. .· ar distribution
; It I <a. 0· Find the moment generating function for trtangul . (M.T,U- 2013)_
x, osxsl}
f(x) = {2 - ,x, 1 S XS 2

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