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Exam 2

The document is an exam for Math 335 - Probability, consisting of multiple choice and show work questions covering topics such as normal distribution, exponential distribution, and binomial distribution. It includes specific questions about probabilities related to height, waiting times, and game outcomes, as well as theoretical proofs related to expected values and variances. The exam is structured with a total of 100 points across five questions.

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11 views7 pages

Exam 2

The document is an exam for Math 335 - Probability, consisting of multiple choice and show work questions covering topics such as normal distribution, exponential distribution, and binomial distribution. It includes specific questions about probabilities related to height, waiting times, and game outcomes, as well as theoretical proofs related to expected values and variances. The exam is structured with a total of 100 points across five questions.

Uploaded by

lokal28010
Copyright
© © All Rights Reserved
We take content rights seriously. If you suspect this is your content, claim it here.
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Download as PDF, TXT or read online on Scribd
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Math 335 - Probability

Exam #2

Name (PRINT):

Problems Points Mult. Choice Answers Earned

Q. 1 25

Q. 2 20

Q. 3 20

Q. 4 15 NA

Q. 5 15 NA

Total 100
Question 1 - Multiple Choice
Suppose that the height of a 25 year old man (in inches) is normally distributed with mean
µ = 70 and variance σ 2 = 4. Men who are at least 6 feet tall belong to the 6 footer club.

a. Determine the probability a 25 year old man belongs to the 6 footer club.

A. 0.115
B. 0.159
C. 0.421
D. 0.579
E. 0.841

b. Find the probability that, out of a sample of ten 25-year-old men, there are at most
2 men in the 6 footer club.

A. 0.204
B. 0.488
C. 0.512
D. 0.796
E. 0.940

c. Approximate the probability that out of one hundred 25-year-old men, there will be
at least 20 men in the 6 footer club.

A. 0.031
B. 0.131
C. 0.231
D. 0.331
E. 0.431
Question 2 - Multiple Choice
Suppose that the waiting time (in minutes) to see a bank teller at a certain bank follows
an exponential distribution λ = 0.2.

a. Determine the expected waiting time and its variance.

A. 0.2 and 0.04


B. 1 and 5
C. 10 and 15
D. 5 and 10
E. 5 and 25

b. Determine the probability that the waiting time is between 3 and 8 (minutes)

A. 0.35
B. 0.45
C. 0.55
D. 0.65
E. 0.75

c. Suppose you have been waiting for 7 minutes, determine the probability that you will
have to wait for at least another 5 minutes.

A. 0.17
B. 0.27
C. 0.37
D. 0.47
E. 0.57
Question 3 - Multiple Choice
Suppose team A and team B are in a play-off series which will end when a team reaches 4
wins. Assume that, team A will win any game with probability .6.

a. Evaluate the probability that team A will win the series.

A. 0.41
B. 0.51
C. 0.61
D. 0.71
E. 0.81

b. Let Y denote the number of games won by team B. Evaluate P (Y = 3 | A wins the series).

A. 0.17
B. 0.23
C. 0.28
D. 0.32
E. 0.41

c. Let X be the number of games played. Determine expected value of X given that A
wins the series.

A. 3.6
B. 4.6
C. 5.6
D. 6.6
E. 7.6
Question 4 - Show work
Suppose X ∼ Bin(n, p).

a. Show that E(X) = np.

b. Show that E[X(X − 1)] = n(n − 1)p2 , and hence determine V (X).
Question 5 - Show work
Suppose X ∼ exp(λ).

a. Show that F (x) = 1 − e−λx , x > 0.

b. For s, t > 0, show that P (X > s + t|X > s) = P (X > t).

c. Let Y = ln(X). Determine the density function fY (x) of Y.


STANDARD NORMAL DISTRIBUTION: Table Values Represent AREA to the LEFT of the Z score.
Z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
0.0 .50000 .50399 .50798 .51197 .51595 .51994 .52392 .52790 .53188 .53586
0.1 .53983 .54380 .54776 .55172 .55567 .55962 .56356 .56749 .57142 .57535
0.2 .57926 .58317 .58706 .59095 .59483 .59871 .60257 .60642 .61026 .61409
0.3 .61791 .62172 .62552 .62930 .63307 .63683 .64058 .64431 .64803 .65173
0.4 .65542 .65910 .66276 .66640 .67003 .67364 .67724 .68082 .68439 .68793
0.5 .69146 .69497 .69847 .70194 .70540 .70884 .71226 .71566 .71904 .72240
0.6 .72575 .72907 .73237 .73565 .73891 .74215 .74537 .74857 .75175 .75490
0.7 .75804 .76115 .76424 .76730 .77035 .77337 .77637 .77935 .78230 .78524
0.8 .78814 .79103 .79389 .79673 .79955 .80234 .80511 .80785 .81057 .81327
0.9 .81594 .81859 .82121 .82381 .82639 .82894 .83147 .83398 .83646 .83891
1.0 .84134 .84375 .84614 .84849 .85083 .85314 .85543 .85769 .85993 .86214
1.1 .86433 .86650 .86864 .87076 .87286 .87493 .87698 .87900 .88100 .88298
1.2 .88493 .88686 .88877 .89065 .89251 .89435 .89617 .89796 .89973 .90147
1.3 .90320 .90490 .90658 .90824 .90988 .91149 .91309 .91466 .91621 .91774
1.4 .91924 .92073 .92220 .92364 .92507 .92647 .92785 .92922 .93056 .93189
1.5 .93319 .93448 .93574 .93699 .93822 .93943 .94062 .94179 .94295 .94408
1.6 .94520 .94630 .94738 .94845 .94950 .95053 .95154 .95254 .95352 .95449
1.7 .95543 .95637 .95728 .95818 .95907 .95994 .96080 .96164 .96246 .96327
1.8 .96407 .96485 .96562 .96638 .96712 .96784 .96856 .96926 .96995 .97062
1.9 .97128 .97193 .97257 .97320 .97381 .97441 .97500 .97558 .97615 .97670
2.0 .97725 .97778 .97831 .97882 .97932 .97982 .98030 .98077 .98124 .98169
2.1 .98214 .98257 .98300 .98341 .98382 .98422 .98461 .98500 .98537 .98574
2.2 .98610 .98645 .98679 .98713 .98745 .98778 .98809 .98840 .98870 .98899
2.3 .98928 .98956 .98983 .99010 .99036 .99061 .99086 .99111 .99134 .99158
2.4 .99180 .99202 .99224 .99245 .99266 .99286 .99305 .99324 .99343 .99361
2.5 .99379 .99396 .99413 .99430 .99446 .99461 .99477 .99492 .99506 .99520
2.6 .99534 .99547 .99560 .99573 .99585 .99598 .99609 .99621 .99632 .99643
2.7 .99653 .99664 .99674 .99683 .99693 .99702 .99711 .99720 .99728 .99736
2.8 .99744 .99752 .99760 .99767 .99774 .99781 .99788 .99795 .99801 .99807
2.9 .99813 .99819 .99825 .99831 .99836 .99841 .99846 .99851 .99856 .99861
3.0 .99865 .99869 .99874 .99878 .99882 .99886 .99889 .99893 .99896 .99900
3.1 .99903 .99906 .99910 .99913 .99916 .99918 .99921 .99924 .99926 .99929
3.2 .99931 .99934 .99936 .99938 .99940 .99942 .99944 .99946 .99948 .99950
3.3 .99952 .99953 .99955 .99957 .99958 .99960 .99961 .99962 .99964 .99965
3.4 .99966 .99968 .99969 .99970 .99971 .99972 .99973 .99974 .99975 .99976
3.5 .99977 .99978 .99978 .99979 .99980 .99981 .99981 .99982 .99983 .99983
3.6 .99984 .99985 .99985 .99986 .99986 .99987 .99987 .99988 .99988 .99989
3.7 .99989 .99990 .99990 .99990 .99991 .99991 .99992 .99992 .99992 .99992
3.8 .99993 .99993 .99993 .99994 .99994 .99994 .99994 .99995 .99995 .99995
3.9 .99995 .99995 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99996 .99997 .99997

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