ECN-505 Random Variables - 152 - 161
ECN-505 Random Variables - 152 - 161
• The Poisson process is one of the most widely used counting processes.
• It is usually used in scenarios where we are counting the occurrences of certain
events that appear to happen at a specific rate but entirely at random.
• For example, suppose that from a dataset, we know that a bus arrives at a
particular station at a rate of 3 per hour.
• The timings of the bus are completely random. Thus, we conclude that the Poisson
process might be a good model for counting the arrival of the bus. In practice, the
Poisson process or its extensions have been used to model following cases:
The probability Mass function of the Poisson counting process is given as:
We can note that it is the PMF of a Poisson random variable with mean λt, which is
also called intensity is given as:
Examples
1. The number of customers arriving at a grocery store can be modeled by a Poisson
process with intensity λ=10 customers per hour.
a. Find the probability that there are 2 customers between 10:00 and 10:20.
b. Find the probability of 3 customers between 10:00 and 10:20 and 7 customers
between 10:20 and 11.00 am.
Solution